Prognostic indices in heart transplant candidates after the first hospitalization triggered by the need for intravenous pharmacologic circulatory support.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure refractory to optimal oral pharmacologic therapy have a dismal short term prognosis. Heart transplantation is the only therapy shown to improve survival in these patients. Unfortunately, due to the critical shortage of donor organs, approximately 30% of listed patients with end-stage heart failure die before a suitable donor heart becomes available. The principal aim of this study was to determine whether intravenous pharmacologic circulatory support favorably influences the clinical course of heart transplant candidates or whether mechanical circulatory support should be instituted in this high risk patient population. METHODS: Data from 154 consecutive hospitalizations in 125 patients 49+/-12 years were retrospectively reviewed. The product limit method was used to estimate survival. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify the clinical and hemodynamic variables that independently predict outcome after each admission in which heart transplantation did not occur. RESULTS: One year survival for the study population was 65%. This survival is significantly lower than the 91% 1 year survival in similarly ill patients undergoing heart transplantation. The Cox proportional hazard method identified serum bilirubin, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), serum sodium levels and right atrial pressure as independent prognostic indices. Serum bilirubin, BUN levels and duration of intravenous pharmacologic circulatory support were associated with a poor outcome. A composite index including serum bilirubin and BUN levels predicted outcome with a sensitivity and specificity of 79% and 77%, respectively. The addition of pharmacologic support duration increased the model's sensitivity to 95%, but did not significantly alter specificity that was 74%. Of the 125 patients hospitalized due to the need to initiate intravenous pharmacologic support for the first time (index hospitalization), 69 (55%) were discharged after optimization of medical therapy. Of 21 patients who did not undergo transplantation during the follow-up period, 18 (86%) died within 2 years of the index hospitalization. The duration of intravenous pharmacologic support beyond which prognosis dramatically worsens without heart transplantation is 21 days. CONCLUSION: Heart transplant candidates who require intravenous pharmacologic circulatory support for more than 21 days and do not receive a suitable donor heart within this period of time have a high mortality. Alternative therapies, such as implantation of a mechanical circulatory assist device should be considered in this high risk population.

Restrictive criteria for heart transplantation candidacy maximize survival of patients with advanced heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The shortage of organ donors and the amelioration of medical management of advanced heart failure mandate strict selection of heart transplant candidates on the basis of the need and probability of success of transplantation, with the aim of maximizing survival of patients with advanced heart failure, both with and without transplantation. This study analyzes the impact of restricting the criteria for heart transplantation candidacy on the outcome of patients with advanced heart failure referred for transplantation. METHODS: Survival and freedom from major cardiac events (death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, transplantation while supported with inotropes or mechanical devices) were compared between patients listed during 1990 to 1991, when standard criteria were applied (group 1, n = 118), and patients listed during 1993 to 1994, when only patients requiring continuous/recurrent intravenous inotrope therapy in spite of optimized oral medications and outpatients showing actual progression of the disease were admitted to the waiting list (group 2, n = 88). Survival and freedom from cardiac events (defined as above plus listing in urgent status) were also calculated in stable outpatients evaluated in 1993 to 1994, who were potential heart transplant candidates according to standard criteria but were not listed because of restrictive criteria (group 3, n = 52, New York Heart Association functional class > or = III, mean echocardiographic ejection fraction 0.22 +/- 0.05, mean peak oxygen consumption 12.3 +/- 1.5 ml/kg/min, mean follow-up 19 +/- 10 months). RESULTS: Thirty-one percent, 40%, and 50% of group 1 patients versus 58%, 65%, and 77% of group 2 patients underwent transplantation within 3, 6, and 12 months after listing (p < 0.0007). The 1- and 2-year survival rates after listing were 80% and 71% in group 1 versus 85% and 84% in group 2 (p < 0.0001). Freedom from death/urgent transplantation was lower in group 2 than in group 1 (55% and 48% versus 72% and 59% at 6 and 12 months, respectively; p < 0.0001). In patients undergoing transplantation, the postoperative survival rate was similar (87% and 91% at 2 years in group 1 and group 2, respectively). Two years after heart transplantation candidacy was denied, 86% of group 3 patients were alive, and 74% were event-free. CONCLUSIONS: Restricting the admissions to the waiting list to patients with refractory/progressive heart failure improved survival rates after listing by increasing the probability to undergo transplantation in a short time. Selection of most severely ill candidates did not affect postoperative survival. Survival and freedom from cardiac events were good in patients with advanced but stable heart failure, in spite of their severe functional limitation. Thus restrictive criteria for heart transplantation candidacy allows maximal survival benefit from both medical therapy and transplantation.