A machine learning approach to personalized predictors of dyslipidemia: a cohort study.

Introduction: Mexico ranks second in the global prevalence of obesity in the adult population, which increases the probability of developing dyslipidemia. Dyslipidemia is closely related to cardiovascular diseases, which are the leading cause of death in the country. Therefore, developing tools that facilitate the prediction of dyslipidemias is essential for prevention and early treatment. Methods: In this study, we utilized a dataset from a Mexico City cohort consisting of 2,621 participants, men and women aged between 20 and 50 years, with and without some type of dyslipidemia. Our primary objective was to identify potential factors associated with different types of dyslipidemia in both men and women. Machine learning algorithms were employed to achieve this goal. To facilitate feature selection, we applied the Variable Importance Measures (VIM) of Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM). Additionally, to address class imbalance, we employed Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) for dataset resampling. The dataset encompassed anthropometric measurements, biochemical tests, dietary intake, family health history, and other health parameters, including smoking habits, alcohol consumption, quality of sleep, and physical activity. Results: Our results revealed that the VIM algorithm of RF yielded the most optimal subset of attributes, closely followed by GBM, achieving a balanced accuracy of up to 80%. The selection of the best subset of attributes was based on the comparative performance of classifiers, evaluated through balanced accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity metrics. Discussion: The top five features contributing to an increased risk of various types of dyslipidemia were identified through the machine learning technique. These features include body mass index, elevated uric acid levels, age, sleep disorders, and anxiety. The findings of this study shed light on significant factors that play a role in dyslipidemia development, aiding in the early identification, prevention, and treatment of this condition.

[Social, demographic and morbimortality characteristics of the cases treated for COVID-19 at the Ignacio Chávez National Institute of Cardiology. A descriptive cross-sectional study]. / Características sociales, demográficas y de morbimortalidad de los casos atendidos por COVID-19 en el Instituto Nacional de Cardiología Ignacio Chávez. Un estudio transversal descriptivo.

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic brought with it a large number of adverse consequences for public health with serious socioeconomic repercussions. In this study we characterize the social, demographic, morbidity and mortality conditions of individuals treated for COVID-19 in one of the SARS-CoV-2 reference hospitals in Mexico City. Method: A descriptive cross-sectional study was carried out in 259 patients discharged from the Instituto Nacional de Cardiología Ignacio Chávez, between April 11, 2020 and March 14, 2021. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify the association between sociodemographic and clinical variables. An optimization was performed using maximum likelihood calculations to choose the best model compatible with the data. The maximum likelihood model was evaluated using ROC curves, goodnessof-fit estimators, and multicollinearity analysis. Statistically significant patterns of comorbidities were inferred by evaluating a hypergeometric test over the frequencies of co-occurrence of pairs of conditions. A network analysis was implemented to determine connectivity patterns based on degree centrality, between comorbidities and outcome variables. Results: The main social disadvantages of the studied population are related to the lack of social security (96.5%) and the lag in housing conditions (81%). Variables associated with the probability of survival were being younger (p < 0.0001), having more durable material goods (p = 0.0034) and avoiding: pneumonia (p = 0.0072), septic shock (p < 0.0001) and acute respiratory failure (p < 0.0001); (AUROC: 91.5%). The comorbidity network for survival cases has a high degree of connectivity between conditions such as cardiac arrhythmias and essential arterial hypertension (Degree Centrality = 90 and 78, respectively). Conclusions: Given that among the factors associated with survival to COVID-19 there are clinical, sociodemographic and social determinants of health variables, in addition to age; It is imperative to consider the various factors that may affect or modify the health status of a population, especially when addressing emerging epidemic phenomena such as the current COVID-19 pandemic.

Introducción: La pandemia de enfermedad por coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) trajo aparejadas una gran cantidad de consecuencias adversas para la salud pública con serias repercusiones socioeconómicas. En este estudio caracterizamos las condiciones sociales, demográficas y de morbimortalidad de los casos atendidos por COVID-19 en uno de los hospitales de referencia de coronavirus 2 del síndrome respiratorio agudo grave (SARS-CoV-2) en la Ciudad de México. Método: Se llevó a cabo un estudio transversal descriptivo en 259 pacientes egresados del Instituto Nacional de Cardiología Ignacio Chávez, entre el 11 de abril de 2020 y el 14 de marzo de 2021. Se utilizó un modelo de regresión logística multivariante para identificar la asociación entre variables sociodemográficas y clínicas. Se realizó una optimización mediante cálculos de máxima verosimilitud para elegir el mejor modelo compatible con los datos. El modelo de máxima verosimilitud fue evaluado mediante curvas ROC, estimadores de bondad de ajuste y análisis de multicolinealidad. Se infirieron patrones de comorbilidades estadísticamente significativos mediante la evaluación de una prueba hipergeométrica en las frecuencias de coocurrencia de pares de condiciones. Se implementó un análisis de redes para determinar los patrones de conectividad basado en la centralidad de grado, entre algunas comorbilidades y las variables de desenlace. Resultados: Las principales desventajas sociales de la población estudiada se relacionan con la falta de seguridad social (96.5%) y el rezago en las condiciones de vivienda (81%). Las variables asociadas a la probabilidad de sobrevivir fueron tener una menor edad (p < 0.0001), contar con más bienes materiales durables (p = 0.0034) y evitar: la neumonía (p = 0.0072), el choque séptico (p < 0.0001) y la insuficiencia respiratoria aguda (p < 0.0001); (AUROC: 91.5%). Las red de comorbilidades para los casos de supervivencia tienen un alto grado de conectividad entre padecimientos como las arritmias cardiacas e hipertensión arterial esencial (centralidad de grado: 90 y 78 respectivamente). Conclusiones: En vista de que entre los factores asociados a supervivencia existen variables clínicas, sociodemográficas y determinantes sociales de la salud, además de la edad, resulta imperativo considerar los diversos factores que puedan incidir o modificar el estado de salud de una población, sobre todo al abordar los fenómenos epidémicos emergentes como es el caso de la actual pandemia de COVID-19.