[Disease burden and prediction of oral cancer attributable to smoking in China from 1990 to 2019].

Objective: To analyze the trend of disease burden of oral cancer attributable to smoking in China from 1990 to 2019, and predict the mortality trend of oral cancer from 2020 to 2034, providing scientific basis for formulating targeted oral cancer prevention and treatment strategy to achieve the goal of "Healthy China 2030". Methods: Using partial data on the global burden of disease in China in 2019, attributive death and disability adjusted life year (DALY) were used to describe. The trend of changes in the burden of oral cancer disease attributed to smoking was analyzed by using the Joinpoint regression model to estimate the annual average percentage change (AAPC) of age standardized mortality and DALY rates. Meanwhile, the Bayesian age-period- cohort model is used to predict oral cancer deaths and DALY trends attributed to smoking over the next 15 years. Results: The age-standardized mortality rate and DALY rate in China from 1990 to 2019 showed an overall upward trend, with an average annual increase of 1.49% (95%CI: 1.34%-1.65%, P<0.001) and 1.41% (95%CI: 1.24%-1.59%, P<0.001) respectively, higher than around the earth and in regions with different socio-demographic index (SDI). In 2019, 46.74% (10 584/22 642) of oral cancer deaths in China were attributed to smoking. Compared to 1990, the number of attributed deaths in 2019 increased by 293.75% (7 896/2 688), while DALY increased by 257.97% (189 039/73 280). Moreover, the growth rates of attributed deaths and DALY in males [304.95% (7 584/2 487) and 265.60% (183 349/69 033), respectively] were significantly higher than those in females [154.73% (311/201) and 133.95% (5 690/4 248), respectively] (P<0.001). The age group results showed that the proportion of deaths and DALY gradually transitioned towards the elderly (>60 years old). The expected number of deaths would increase from 10 731 in 2020 to 14 125 in 2034, with a rise of 31.63% (3 394/10 731). Simultaneously, DALY would increase from 267 064 person years in 2020 to 326 634 person years in 2034, with a rise of 22.31% (59 570/267 064). Conclusions: From 1990 to 2019, the burden of oral cancer diseases attributed to smoking in China showed an increasing trend, with a higher growth rates than in the global and different SDI regions. There were differences in gender and age, and the burden of oral cancer diseases attributed to smoking in China would continue to increase in the next 15 years. It is necessary to educate on the adverse effects of tobacco consumption and to conduct vigilant oral self-examination among high-risk groups to help early detection and intervention at the same time.

[Diagnosis and treatment experience of 161 cases of pancreatic serous cystic neoplasm in single center and analysis of cause of preoperation misjudgement].

Objective: To analyze the causes of preoperative miscarriage of pancreatic serous cystadenoma (SCN) and find the ways to improve it. Methods: Clinical data of 425 pancreatic cystic neoplasm patients who underwent surgical resection from January 2006 to December 2016 in Department of Pancreatic Surgery in Huashan Hospital were retrospectively analyzed.Excel database was created which covered 128 fields of 7 fields: general information of patients, preoperative blood biochemical indexes, tumor markers, surgical related data, postoperative complications, imaging findings and pathology.One hundred and sixty-one cases of SCN were analyzed in depth, mainly in three aspects: surgical benefit, preoperative imaging diagnostic value and interference factors in preoperative judgement.The classification data were analyzed by χ(2) test and the quantitative data were analyzed by t test.The Logistic regression model was used for multiple factor analysis. Results: Of the 425 PCN cases surgically removed, 161 cases (37.9%) were SCN, the incidence of operative complications was 40.4%(65/161), the hospitalization days was (20.7±12.1)days and the medical cost was (75 267±37 866) yuan.Only 3 of 161 cases of SCN were accurately diagnosed by preoperative imaging methods, 61 cases were diagnosed as "cystic lesions of pancreas" (37.9%) and 52 cases were diagnosed as "pancreatic cystadenoma" (32.3%). SCN was misdiagnosed as MCN(32.3%) and IPMN(28%) before operation.25.5% of them were diagnosed as SCN before operation, but still underwent radical operation.The rate of preoperative imaging diagnosis for identifying SCN was 62.8%.The lack of preoperative endoscopy and the lack of understanding of the image characteristics and biological behavior of SCN were the most important factors affecting the accuracy of preoperative judgment.Statistics found that gender, age, CA125 and tumor location can be used as independent factors contribute to the clinical identification(χ(2)=8.995, P=0.003; χ(2)=10.019, P=0.007; t=3.157, P=0.002; χ(2)=6.790, P=0.009). Logistic analysis showed that women, older than 60 years old, the tumors located in the pancreatic body and tail were the independent factors of SCN classification and diagnosis (OR=0.481, 0.376, 0.577, 0.666, 95% CI: 0.305-0.759, 0.199-0.710, 0.361-0.924, 0.433-1.024, P=0.002, 0.003, 0.022, 0.064). Conclusions: SCN has more benign biological behavior.Although surgical excision is acceptable for clinical safety, the corresponding benefit is very limited.It is possible to improve the rationality of SCN clinical operation decisions to some extent by performing endoscopic examination, imaging doctors to improve the SCN feature recognition and surgeons to enhance the awareness of SCN.

[The imaging analysis of the age-related changes on maxillary sinus].

Objective:The aim of this study is to investigate the age-related changes rules of maxillary sinus.Method:The 540 patients (1 080 sides) with normal data of deputy sinus in spiral CT were enrolled,including 270 cases of male and female,age from 7 to 81 years old.They are divided into 9 groups according to the age:Group A at the age of 7-12 years old,Group B at the age of 13-17,Group C at the age of 18-20 years old,Group D at the age of 21-24 years old,Group E at the age of 25-28 years,Group F at the age of 29-35 years old,Group G at the age of 36-40 years old,Group H at the age of 41-65 years old,and Group I is more than 65 years old.By the gender,the patients in each group was divided into male and female groups.There are 30 cases in each group(60 sides).The volumes and the three-dimensional diameters of the maxillary sinus were measured,and the coefficient of gasification of them were calculated.Result:The maxillary sinus volume and 3 D lines have almost the same change trend along with the age between the male and female group;From 7 to 20 ages,they are increased linearly,13 to 17 fastest-growing;18 to 20 years old reached to peak;declined slightly in 21-28 years old,29-35 a second growth peak,and 36 to 40 years old have fallen sharply,to reaching a steady state after 41 years old;The gasification coefficient has no difference among all groups.Conclusion:The volume changes with the age-related on maxillary sinus is in the adolescent stage.It reaches a steady state in the middle and old age stage,and gasification coefficient on maxillary sinus has no age-related changes among all groups.

IL-10 promoter SNPs and susceptibility to leprosy in ethnic groups from southwest China.

The purpose of this study was to determine whether interleukin-10 (IL-10) promoter polymorphisms are associated with leprosy or their subtypes in ethnic groups from southwest China. Genotyping using TaqMan® SNP Genotyping Master Mix and ABI 7500 real-time PCR system was performed for IL-10 T3575A, G2849A, C2763A, A1082G, C819T, and C592A in 189 healthy controls (40 ± 18 years) and 193 patients (46 ± 18 years) with leprosy [multibacillary, N = 131; paucibacillary (PB), N = 62]. The allelic frequencies of -2763C (97.9 vs 94.0%, P = 0.0074) and -1082A (92.8 vs 88.6%, P = 0.0452) in leprosy patients were significantly higher than in control subjects. The genetic frequency of -2763CC and -1082AA was not only significantly higher among leprosy patients than among control subjects [odds ratio (OR) = 3.33, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 1.39-7.99, P = 0.0071 and OR = 1.76, 95%CI = 1.02-3.03, P = 0.0420, respectively] but also significantly higher among PB patients than among control subjects (OR = 2.46, 95%CI = 1.22-4.96, P = 0.0115 and OR = 5.58, 95%CI = 2.06-15.12, P = 0.0007, respectively). The frequency of IL-10 haplotype 3575A/2849G/2763A/1082G/819C/592C was significantly higher among leprosy patients (OR = 5.57, 95%CI = 1.13-27.52, P = 0.0351) and PB patients (OR = 10.5, 95%CI = 1.36- 81.05, P = 0.0241) than among control subjects. IL-10 promoter -2763C/CC,-1082A/AA and haplotype 3575A/2849G/2763A/1082 G/819C/592C are associated with susceptibility to leprosy and the PB subtype in southwest China.