ABSTRACT
This research examines the impact of the COVID-19 on cryptocurrencies' connectedness by employing two techniques: TVP-VAR-based connectedness and causality in the quantiles. First, the TVP-VAR-based connectedness unveils that cryptocurrencies act as a net receiver and transmitter of shocks, with Bitcoin, Ethereum are the highest transmitters among others. Moreover, the causality-in-quantile test shows that COVID-19 significantly causes spillover connectedness among cryptocurrencies, mainly at the quantiles ranging from 0.1 to 0.8, while an insignificant causal relationship is found in few cases. The study has implications for investors and policymakers.
ABSTRACT
The current global COVID-19 pandemic is adversely affecting financial markets, including commodities, conventional stocks, and Islamic stocks. This paper empirically investigates the extent to which COVID-19 effects may drive interdependence in markets. We fit copulas to pairs of returns before and during the ongoing epidemic shock, analyze the observed changes in the dependence structure, and discuss asymmetries on the propagation of crisis. We also use the findings to construct portfolios possessing desirable expected behavior. We find that the dependence structure changes significantly during the global pandemic providing valuable information on how the COVID-19 crisis affects inter-dependencies. The selected portfolio, including gold and Islamic return indices, has the best performance outside the COVID-19 crisis, and slightly more performing during the bear markets validating gold's intrinsic characteristic to be a safe haven. However, the portfolio performances, when combining the Brent with Islamic or conventional indices, have the same trend for the whole period. Our findings contribute to help investors better adjust their investment strategies.
ABSTRACT
Using a drifting spillover index approach (Diebold and Yilmaz, 2012) and a continuous time-frequency tool (Torrence and Webster, 1999), this paper attempts an empirical investigation of the spillovers and co-movements among commodity and stock prices in the major oil-producing and consuming countries. While our results point to the existence of a significant interdependence among the markets considered, Chinese and Saudi Arabian stock markets seem to be weakly integrated into the world market. Moreover, the spillovers are time-varying and reached their highest levels during the COVID-19 medical shock.
ABSTRACT
In this paper, we investigated the relationship between cryptocurrency market and hedge funds in two different ways. First, we focus on the dependence between Cryptocurrency hedge funds and conventional hedge funds strategies using VAR and VECM models, while analyzing the impact of COVID-19 on the hedge funds' values. Secondly, we choose between ARDL and ARDL-ECM models to study the effects of cryptocurrency price changes on Crypto- Currency hedge funds' values during COVID-19 crisis. Our empirical findings demonstrate that there is substantial interactions between Crypto-Currency and conventional hedge funds. The COVID-19 pandemic has significant negative impact on the performance of the following hedge funds: Event Driven, Relative Value and Distressed Debt fund strategies, this has reflected in a significant drop in their values during this critical period. However, we demonstrate that COVID-19 pandemic did not affect the relationship between crypto-currency hedge funds and both bitcoin and Ethereum. These findings hold profound implications for hedge funds managers, cryptocurrency market main players and policy makers. Our study is crucial in forecasting the performance of these markets especially during global pandemics.
