The natural history of hepatitis C with severe hepatic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: To examine the morbidity and mortality of patients with severe fibrosis secondary to HCV infection, within a population unbiased by tertiary referral. METHODS: One hundred and fifty HCV infected patients were identified from the Trent HCV study with a liver biopsy taken before 2002 demonstrating severe fibrosis (Ishak stage > or =4). Follow-up data were extracted from the database and hospital records. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 51 months. Of the 131 patients with no prior history of decompensation, 33 (25%) died (n=25) or were transplanted (n=8), after a median interval of 42 months. The probability of survival without liver transplantation was 97%, 88%, and 78% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Hepatocellular carcinoma and/or decompensation was diagnosed in 33 (25%), after a median interval of 41 months. In multivariate analysis, combination antiviral therapy was associated with improved survival. Prognosis was not affected by the Ishak stage at index biopsy. There was a worse prognosis for the 19 patients with previous decompensation; 17 (89%) having either died (n=15) or been transplanted (n=2). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that severe liver fibrosis (Ishak stage > or = 4) secondary to hepatitis C is associated with a poor prognosis, that may be improved following combination antiviral treatment.

Evolution of untreated hereditary hemochromatosis in the Busselton population: a 17-year study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the evolution of biochemical and clinical features during a 17-year period in untreated subjects homozygous for the C282Y mutation in the hemochromatosis gene. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: In 1998, 12 subjects from Busselton, Australia, were newly diagnosed as being homozygous for the C282Y mutation. We determined transferrin saturation and ferritin values and retrieved clinical information from the 1981, 1994, and 1998 population surveys for 10 of these subjects. RESULTS: The median age of the 10 subjects in 1981 was 30 years. Between 1981 and 1998, the median transferrin saturation value increased from 42% to 76%. Six subjects with elevated transferrin saturation in 1998 had values less than 45% in 1981. Between 1981 and 1998, the median serum ferritin levels increased from 271 microg/L to 593 microg/L. Serum ferritin levels increased in 4 subjects, remained relatively constant in 4, and decreased in 2. Of 5 subjects with serum ferritin levels lower than 200 microg/L in 1981, 4 had no increase in these levels between 1981 and 1998. Of 4 subjects with persistently elevated serum ferritin levels greater than 500 microg/L, 3 developed stage III or IV fibrosis, based on the METAVIR scoring system. CONCLUSIONS: Untreated C282Y homozygous subjects had progressively increasing transferrin saturation values but marked variation in serum ferritin levels during a 17-year period before diagnosis. A screening threshold for serum transferrin saturation values greater than 45% at an early stage in adult life could fail to detect 60% of C282Y homozygotes who subsequently develop biochemical features of hemochromatosis.