Statistical criteria for estimation of the cerebral autoregulation index (ARI) at rest.

The autoregulation index (ARI) can reflect the effectiveness of cerebral blood flow (CBF) control in response to dynamic changes in arterial blood pressure (BP), but objective criteria for its validation have not been proposed. Monte Carlo simulations were performed by generating 5 min long random input/output signals that mimic the properties of mean beat-to-beat BP and CBF velocity (CBFV) as usually obtained by non-invasive measurements in the finger (Finometer) and middle cerebral artery (transcranial Doppler ultrasound), respectively. Transfer function analysis (TFA) was used to estimate values of ARI by optimal fitting of template curves to the output (or CBFV) response to a step change in input (or BP). Two-step criteria were adopted to accept estimates of ARI as valid. The 95% confidence limit of the mean coherence function (0.15-0.25 Hz) ([Formula: see text]) was estimated from 15 000 runs, resulting in [Formula: see text] = 0.190 when using five segments of data, each with 102.4 s (512 samples) duration (Welch's method). This threshold for acceptance was dependent on the TFA settings and increased when using segments with shorter duration (51.2 s). For signals with mean coherence above the critical value, the 5% confidence limit of the normalised mean square error (NMSEcrit) for fitting the step response to Tieck's model, was found to be approximately 0.30 and independent of the TFA settings. Application of these criteria to physiological and clinical sets of data showed their ability to identify conditions where ARI estimates should be rejected, for example due to CBFV step responses lacking physiological plausibility. A larger number of recordings were rejected from acute ischaemic stroke patients than for healthy volunteers. More work is needed to validate this procedure with different physiological conditions and/or patient groups. The influence of non-stationarity in BP and CBFV signals should also be investigated.

An estimate of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis heritability using twin data.

BACKGROUND: Causative gene mutations have been identified in about 2% of those with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), often, but not always, when there is a strong family history. There is an assumption that there is a genetic component to all ALS, but genome-wide association studies have yet to produce a robustly replicated result. A definitive estimate of ALS heritability is therefore required to determine whether ongoing efforts to find susceptibility genes are worth while. METHODS: The authors performed two twin studies, one population- and one clinic-based. The authors used structural equation modelling to perform a meta-analysis of data from these studies and an existing twin study to estimate ALS heritability, and identified 171 twin pairs in which at least one twin had ALS. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Five monozygotic twin pairs were concordant-affected, and 44 discordant-affected. No dizygotic twin pairs were concordant-affected, and 122 discordant-affected. The heritability of sporadic ALS was estimated as 0.61 (0.38 to 0.78) with the unshared environmental component 0.39 (0.22 to 0.62). ALS has a high heritability, and efforts to find causative genes should continue.