Intertriginous mycosis fungoides with T follicular helper cell phenotype progressing to Sézary syndrome.

This case report highlights the challenges in diagnosis and therapeutic options for an individual who initially presented with intertriginous mycosis fungoides with a T follicular helper cell phenotype, which later evolved to Sézary syndrome.

Injury Surveillance in Major League Soccer: A 4-Year Comparison of Injury on Natural Grass Versus Artificial Turf Field.

BACKGROUND: Artificial playing surfaces are becoming more common due to decreased cost of maintenance and increased field usability across different environmental conditions. The Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) has approved newer generation artificial turf for soccer competition at the elite level, but many elite-level athletes prefer to play on natural grass surfaces due to a perceived increase in injury rate, discomfort, and fatigability on artificial turf. HYPOTHESIS: Injury rates and rates of individually categorized types of injury experienced on artificial turf are noninferior to rates of injury on the standard comparator, natural grass, in elite-level Major League Soccer athletes. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. METHODS: Over the course of 4 Major League Soccer seasons (2013-2016), athlete injury data were recorded electronically. Injury data recorded in matches between 2 Major League Soccer teams were then analyzed. Playing surface was known for each venue, and all artificial turf surfaces were rated as 2-star according to FIFA criteria. Incidence rate ratios (Artificial Turf ÷ Natural Grass) were calculated with a 95% CI (α = .05) for both overall injury incidence and individual injury subgroups. A noninferiority margin (δ) of 0.15 was used to determine noninferiority of injury incidence rates. RESULTS: A total of 2174 in-game injuries were recorded during the study period, with 1.54 injuries per game on artificial turf and 1.49 injuries per game on natural grass (incidence rate ratio, 1.033; 95% CI, 0.937-1.139). Within injury subgroups, overall ankle injury, Achilles injury, and ankle fracture were found to have a statistically higher incidence on artificial turf. Artificial turf was found to be noninferior to natural grass for overall foot injury and forefoot injury. No statistically significant differences were found in knee injuries between the 2 surfaces. CONCLUSION: The overall rate of injury on artificial turf was noninferior to that on natural grass. Within individual injury categories, a higher rate of ankle injury was found on artificial turf. No other injury subgroup demonstrated statistically significant differences between surfaces. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: FIFA 2-star rated artificial turf is a viable alternative to natural grass in elite-level soccer competition. Innovative research methods for comparing artificial turf versus natural grass may elucidate relative advantages with respect to player safety.

Chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and osteoporotic fractures in patients with and without HIV in the US Veteran's Affairs Administration System.

Objective: To evaluate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and osteoporotic fractures in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients utilizing data within the Veteran's Affairs (VA) Administration system.Methods: A retrospective cohort study utilizing VA system claims (January 2000-December 2016) were extracted from the VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI). Cases included Veterans with an ICD-9/10 for HIV who had at least one prescription for a complete antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen. Two non-HIV controls were exactly matched on race, sex, month, and year of birth. All patients were followed until the earliest of the following: first incidence of the outcome (identified based on diagnosis codes or laboratory data), last date of VA activity, death, or December 31, 2016. Relative risks (RR) and odds ratios (ORs) were estimated from multivariable Poisson regression models (CVD and osteoporotic fractures) and multivariable logistic regression models (CKD), respectively. Models were adjusted for demographic factors/comorbidities.Results: A total of 79,578 patients (26,526 HIV and 53,052 non-HIV) met all study criteria. The average age was 49.3 years, 38% were black, 32% were white, and 97% were male for both the HIV and control cohorts. The adjusted models demonstrated that HIV was associated with a 78% increased rate of CKD (OR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.68-1.89), a 32% increased risk of CVD (RR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.28-1.37), and a 38% increased risk of fractures (RR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.23-1.56) compared to non-HIV controls.Conclusions: The risk/rate of the three outcomes were significantly higher in HIV patients compared to controls.

Association of maternal gestational weight gain with their offspring's anthropometric outcomes at late infancy and 6 years old: mediating roles of birth weight and breastfeeding duration.

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal studies examining the potential mediating roles of birth weight and breastfeeding duration on the pathways between maternal gestational weight gain (GWG) and offspring anthropometric outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We analyzed data from the mother-child pairs in the Infant Feeding Practices Study II (IFPS II) in late infancy (n=1548) and at the Year 6 Follow-up (n=1514) Study. Child anthropometrics included age- and sex-specific Z-scores for weight for age (WAZ), height /length for age, weight for height/length and body mass index (BMIZ). Structural equation models were used to estimate the total, direct and indirect effects of GWG on child anthropometrics through birth weight and breastfeeding duration. RESULTS: The total effect of GWG on offspring anthropometric outcomes was significant for WAZ (ß=0.107, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.052, 0.161) at late infancy and for WAZ (ß=0.122, 95% CI: 0.066, 0.177) and BMIZ (ß=0.120, 95% CI: 0.063, 0.178) at 6 years old. The direct effects of GWG on offspring's WAZ and BMIZ were observed only at 6 years old. The indirect effects of GWG through birth weight were significant on most of the offspring's anthropometric measures. Compared to breastfeeding duration, birth weight was a stronger mediator on the pathways between GWG and all proposed anthropometric measures both in late infancy and in early childhood. Longer duration of breastfeeding was inversely associated with all offspring anthropometric outcomes at late infancy but not with those outcomes at 6 years old. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a stronger indirect rather than direct effect of GWG on children's anthropometric outcomes mainly through birth weight, independent of maternal sociodemographic and reproductive factors. Longer duration of breastfeeding might suppress the positive relationship between GWG, birth weight and anthropometric outcomes in late infancy but not among 6 years old.

Chronic villitis of unknown etiology and massive chronic intervillositis have similar immune cell composition.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic villitis of unknown etiology (CVUE) and massive chronic intervillositis (MCI) are placental lesions associated with infiltration of mononuclear cells in the chorionic villi and the intervillous spaces, respectively. It is not well known whether immune cells in CVUE and MCI have similar phenotypic characteristics. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of third trimester placentas was conducted to identify immune cell subpopulations in CVUE and MCI (n = 17/group). CVUE was diagnosed with H&E staining and antibody to CD3 in serial sections; and MCI, by the presence of massive infiltration of mononuclear cells in the intervillous spaces. Immune cells, ICAM-1 expression and nuclear factor κB (NF-κB) activation were determined immunohistochemically. RESULTS: CVUE and MCI showed similar infiltrates, mainly CD68+ and CD3+ cells. Most cells (>80%) were CD45RB+, and one third were CD45RO+ in both lesions. There were slightly more CD8+ than CD4+ cells in both CVUE and MCI. More than 90% of cells in CVUE and MCI were ICAM-1+ with NFκB nuclear localization. Syncytiotrophoblast ICAM-1 expression was significantly (p < 0.001) higher in MCI (mean of 81.0; range of 71.6-86.0) than in CVUE (52.4; 36.4-59.4) or normal placentas (0.2; 0.0-0.6). Both, failure of physiologic transformation of spiral arteries and placental atherosclerosis-like lesions of atherosis were significantly more frequent in MCI than in CVUE or normal placentas (p = 0.044 and p = 0.007, respectively). DISCUSSION: These finding suggest that MCI and CVUE have very similar infiltration of immune cells although MCI has more severe placental lesions.

Onychomadesis: literature review.

Onychomadesis is characterized by separation of the nail plate from the matrix with persistent attachment to the nail bed and often, but not always, eventual shedding. Onychomadesis has been associated with infection, autoimmune disease, critical illness and medications. To our knowledge a literature review of all associations with onychomadesis has not been completed previously. Most commonly, onychomadesis has been reported in association with pemphigus vulgaris and hand-foot-mouth disease, and following chemotherapy or antiepileptic medications. This article summarizes these key culprit associations, postulates the pathogenesis of nail matrix arrest and summarizes the clinical outcomes. We conducted a retrospective review of cases of onychomadesis reported from January 1960 to March 2013. Using the PubMed database, the literature was searched using the following terms: 'onychomadesis' and 'proximal nail shedding'. Also, an Ovid search was carried out using the same terms. In total 56 articles have been published, including our previously reported series of idiopathic onychomadesis. Articles pertaining only to Beau's lines and not true onychomadesis were excluded. Onychomadesis has been associated with autoimmune disease, other major medical illness, neonatal illness, medication and infection.

Use of state administrative data sources to study adolescents and young adults with rare conditions.

BACKGROUND: Effective care of young people with rare conditions requires ongoing coordinated medical treatment as well as educational and social support services. However, information on treatment is often lacking due to limited data. South Carolina has a repository of comprehensive health and human service data with which individuals may be tracked across the data systems of multiple state agencies and organizations. OBJECTIVE: To develop a method for studying health care of young persons with rare conditions using this repository. METHODS: We identified individuals aged 15 to 24 years diagnosed during 2000-2010 with Fragile X syndrome (FXS), spina bifida (SB), or muscular dystrophy (MD) using a series of algorithms. ICD-9-CM codes were used to initially identify the cohort from medical billing data. Demographics, medical care, employment, education, and socioeconomic status data were then extracted from linked administrative sources. RESULTS: We identified 1,040 individuals with these rare conditions: 125 with FXS, 695 with SB, and 220 with MD. The vast majority of the cases (95%) were identified in the Medicaid database. Half of the cohort was male, with a higher percentage in the FXS and MD groups. Sixty-two percent of the cohort was enrolled in the last year of high school. Over half of the cohort received support services from the state's disability and special-needs agency; 16% received food assistance. Thirty-eight percent were employed at some point during the study period. Forty-nine individuals with SB and 56 with MD died during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: We used a linked statewide data system to study rare conditions. Strengths include the diversity of information, rigorous identification strategies, and access to longitudinal data. Despite limitations inherent to administrative data, we found that linked state data systems are valuable resources for investigating important public health questions on rare conditions.

Intercellular adhesion molecule-1 expression in massive chronic intervillositis: implications for the invasion of maternal cells into fetal tissues.

INTRODUCTION: Massive chronic intervillositis (MCI), also known as chronic intervillositis of unknown etiology, is a placental lesion associated with massive infiltration of mononuclear cells in the intervillous space, poor perinatal outcome, and high rate of recurrence. Our previous demonstration of increased syncytiotrophoblast (st) intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) expression in villitis lesions and the finding of extensive monocyte/macrophagic cells in the maternal intervillous space in MCI, led us to further investigate stICAM-1 in MCI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study of placentas from the third trimester of pregnancy (34-41 weeks gestation) was conducted to determine stICAM-1 in MCI (n = 7). MCI stICAM-1 expression was compared to stICAM-1 in villitis (n = 7) and in normal villi from placentas with (n = 7) and without (n = 7) villitis. Maternal cells within villi in MCI were identified in placentas mismatched for maternal/fetal human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DRw52. Villitis was diagnosed with hematoxylin and eosin staining and antibody to CD3 in serial sections, and ICAM-1 in syncytiotrophoblasts was confirmed with antibodies to ICAM-1 and cytokeratin. RESULTS: Placentas with MCI had higher stICAM-1 (79.8%) than placentas with villitis (27.1%), normal villi from placentas with villitis (11.5%), and normal villi from placentas without villitis (0.3%). Maternal cells were identified within villi of placentas (n = 5) mismatched (mothers positive, fetuses negative) for HLA-DRw52. CONCLUSIONS: Placentas with MCI have more stICAM-1 than placentas with or without villitis lacking MCI. The finding that MCI and villitis have prominent stICAM-1 and maternal cells in the villi suggests that MCI and villitis could have a similar pathophysiologic mechanism.

Electroarthrography: a novel method to assess articular cartilage and diagnose osteoarthritis by non-invasive measurement of load-induced electrical potentials at the surface of the knee.

OBJECTIVE: A new technique called electroarthrography (EAG) measures electrical potentials on the surface of the knee during joint loading. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of EAG to assess joint cartilage degeneration. DESIGN: EAG recordings were performed on 20 asymptomatic subjects (Control group) and on 20 patients with bilateral knee osteoarthritis (OA) who had had a unilateral total knee replacement (TKR), both the TKR knee and the remaining knee were analyzed. EAG signals were recorded at eight electrode sites over one knee as the subjects shifted their weight from one leg to the other to achieve joint loading. The EAG signals were filtered, baseline-corrected and time-averaged. RESULTS: EAG repeatability was assessed with a test-retest protocol which showed statistically significant high intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) for four electrode sites near the joint line. These sites also showed the highest mean EAG values. The mean EAG potentials of the Control group were significantly higher compared with the OA group for three sites overlying the joint line. The potentials overlying the TKR were statistically nul. In the Control group, no statistically significant correlation was found between the EAG amplitude and age, weight, height or body mass index (BMI); no statistical difference was found in mean EAG potentials between women and men. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that EAG signals arise from the streaming potentials in compressed articular cartilage which are known sensitive indicators of joint cartilage health. EAG is a promising new technique for the non-invasive assessment of cartilage degeneration and arthritis.

The operative correction of symptomatic flat foot deformities in children: the relationship between static alignment and dynamic loading.

At our institution surgical correction of symptomatic flat foot deformities in children has been guided by a paradigm in which radiographs and pedobarography are used in the assessment of outcome following treatment. Retrospective review of children with symptomatic flat feet who had undergone surgical correction was performed to assess the outcome and establish the relationship between the static alignment and the dynamic loading of the foot. A total of 17 children (21 feet) were assessed before and after correction of soft-tissue contractures and lateral column lengthening, using standardised radiological and pedobarographic techniques for which normative data were available. We found significantly improved static segmental alignment of the foot, significantly improved mediolateral dimension foot loading, and worsened fore-aft foot loading, following surgical treatment. Only four significant associations were found between radiological measures of static segmental alignment and dynamic loading of the foot. Weakness of the plantar flexors of the ankle was a common post-operative finding. Surgeons should be judicious in the magnitude of lengthening of the plantar flexors that is undertaken and use techniques that minimise subsequent weakening of this muscle group.

Pre-pregnancy body mass index, weight change during pregnancy, and risk of intellectual disability in children.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and weight change in pregnancy as potential risk factors for intellectual disability (ID) in children. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: South Carolina, USA. POPULATION: A total of 78,675 mother-child pairs, insured by the South Carolina Medicaid programme, born in the period 2004-2007. METHODS: We analysed South Carolina Medicaid data, linked to data from both the South Carolina Department of Education (DOE) and the South Carolina Department of Disabilities and Special Needs (DDSN). Maternal pre-pregnancy BMI and weight change during pregnancy were obtained from birth certificates. ID cases were identified from the three sources listed above. We used generalised estimating equation logistic regression models to model the odds of ID in children. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Identified as having ID in special education, DDSN, or Medicaid billing records. RESULTS: The risk of ID was greater in children of women with pre-pregnancy obesity, and the risk was greatest in children born to women with morbid obesity (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.30-1.77 for ID of any severity; OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.23-2.45 for severe ID). Gestational weight change (gain or loss) was not significantly associated with odds of ID. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-pregnancy obesity may be a modifiable risk factor for ID in children, although further study is needed to evaluate whether the association meets criteria for causation.

Retail firewood can transport live tree pests.

Untreated firewood can harbor destructive insects and pathogens and transport them to uninfested areas. In a national survey of retail locations selling firewood in 18 states, over half (52%) of the firewood was from sources out of the purchase state and 50% showed evidence of insect infestation. In a three state survey of southern Rocky Mountain retailers, the most common retailer types carrying firewood were grocery stores and department or big box stores followed by gas stations or convenience stores. In 2007-2009, we purchased 419 firewood bundles from retailers in Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming and caged the firewood to quantify insect emergence. Live insects emerged from 47% of firewood bundles over 18 mo of rearing time. Approximately 11 insects emerged on average from each infested bundle (1-520 per bundle). Pine, fir, and mixed-conifer bundles yielded the greatest number of insects. Beetles (Coleoptera) were prominent and made up the majority of individuals (3-60 individuals in each of 24 families). Most Coleoptera were bark and ambrosia beetles (subfamily Scolytinae) while wood borers (Buprestidae, Cerambycidae, Siricidae) occurred in lower numbers. Firewood with evidence of previous or current insect infestation was more likely to have insects emerge than firewood without such evidence. The risk of moving live native or nonindigenous insects in untreated firewood is high because insects emerged up to 558 d from purchase date. Retail firewood should be heat treated in a manner to eliminate insects that is uniformly accepted across North America.

Prepopulated radiology report templates: a prospective analysis of error rate and turnaround time.

Current speech recognition software allows exam-specific standard reports to be prepopulated into the dictation field based on the radiology information system procedure code. While it is thought that prepopulating reports can decrease the time required to dictate a study and the overall number of errors in the final report, this hypothesis has not been studied in a clinical setting. A prospective study was performed. During the first week, radiologists dictated all studies using prepopulated standard reports. During the second week, all studies were dictated after prepopulated reports had been disabled. Final radiology reports were evaluated for 11 different types of errors. Each error within a report was classified individually. The median time required to dictate an exam was compared between the 2 weeks. There were 12,387 reports dictated during the study, of which, 1,173 randomly distributed reports were analyzed for errors. There was no difference in the number of errors per report between the 2 weeks; however, radiologists overwhelmingly preferred using a standard report both weeks. Grammatical errors were by far the most common error type, followed by missense errors and errors of omission. There was no significant difference in the median dictation time when comparing studies performed each week. The use of prepopulated reports does not alone affect the error rate or dictation time of radiology reports. While it is a useful feature for radiologists, it must be coupled with other strategies in order to decrease errors.

Efficacy of ozone fumigation against the major grain pests in stored wheat.

Field experiments were conducted in steel bins containing 13,600 kg of hard red winter wheat, Triiticum aestivum L. One bin was treated with ozone and the second bin served as a control. Stored grain insects were placed in bins for 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-d exposure periods in sampling tubes to test ozone concentrations of 0, 25, 50, and 70 parts per million by volume (ppmv). Ozone treatments on eggs and larvae of Plodia interpunctella (Hübner) were not effective, but pupae were more susceptible. Sitophilus oryzae (L.) adults were the most susceptible species with 100% mortality reached after 2 d in all ozone treatments. However, some progeny were produced at all concentrations and exposure periods. Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) adults had 100% mortality only after 4 d at 50 or 70 ppmv. No T. castaneum progeny were produced after 2-4 d at 70 ppmv. For Rhyzopertha dominica (F.), Cryptolestes ferrugineus (Stephens), and Oryzaephilus surinamensis (L.), 100% mortality was never achieved and progeny were produced at all ozone concentrations. Laboratory experiments, testing the effectiveness of ozone in controlling psocids, were conducted in two polyvinyl chloride cylinders each containing 55 kg of hard red winter wheat. Ozone treatment at a concentration of 70 ppmv was highly effective against adult female Liposcelis bostrychophila Badonnel and Liposcelis paeta Pearman after only 1 d of exposure. However, it was not effective against eggs of both species at all exposure periods. Ozonation has potential for the control of some stored grain insect pests on wheat.

Application of biomarkers in the development of drugs intended for the treatment of osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic and slowly progressive disease for which biomarkers may be able to provide a more rapid indication of therapeutic responses to therapy than is currently available; this could accelerate and facilitate OA drug discovery and development programs. The goal of this document is to provide a summary and guide to the application of in vitro (biochemical and other soluble) biomarkers in the development of drugs for OA and to outline and stimulate a research agenda that will further this goal. METHODS: The Biomarkers Working Group representing experts in the field of OA biomarker research from both academia and industry developed this consensus document between 2007 and 2009 at the behest of the Osteoarthritis Research Society International Federal Drug Administration initiative (OARSI FDA initiative). RESULTS: This document summarizes definitions and classification systems for biomarkers, the current outcome measures used in OA clinical trials, applications and potential utility of biomarkers for development of OA therapeutics, the current state of qualification of OA-related biomarkers, pathways for biomarker qualification, critical needs to advance the use of biomarkers for drug development, recommendations regarding practices and clinical trials, and a research agenda to advance the science of OA-related biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Although many OA-related biomarkers are currently available they exist in various states of qualification and validation. The biomarkers that are likely to have the earliest beneficial impact on clinical trials fall into two general categories, those that will allow targeting of subjects most likely to either respond and/or progress (prognostic value) within a reasonable and manageable time frame for a clinical study (for instance within 1-2 years for an OA trial), and those that provide early feedback for preclinical decision-making and for trial organizers that a drug is having the desired biochemical effect. As in vitro biomarkers are increasingly investigated in the context of specific drug treatments, advances in the field can be expected that will lead to rapid expansion of the list of available biomarkers with increasing understanding of the molecular processes that they represent.

Early prediction of cardiac allograft vasculopathy and heart transplant failure.

Early risk-prediction is essential to prevent cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) and graft failure in heart transplant patients. We developed multivariate models to identify patients likely to experience CAV, severe CAV, and failure due to CAV, at 1, 5 and 10 years. A cohort of 172 patients was followed prospectively for 6.7 ± 3.9 years. Logistic regression models were developed and cross-validated using bootstrap resampling. Predictive markers of atherothrombosis (myocardial fibrin deposition, and loss of vascular antithrombin and tissue plasminogen activator) and arterial endothelial activation (intercellular adhesion molecule-1 expression) were measured in serial biopsies obtained within 3 months posttransplant. Most markers were univariately associated with outcome. Multivariate models showed that loss of tissue plasminogen activator was the dominant and, in most cases, only predictor of long-term CAV (p < 0.001), severe CAV (p < 0.001), and graft failure due to CAV (p < 0.001). The models discriminated patients having adverse outcomes, had particularly high negative predictive values (graft failure due to CAV: 99%, 99% and 95% at 1, 5 and 10 years) and predicted event incidence and time to event. Early absence of atherothrombotic risk identifies a patient subgroup that rarely develops CAV or graft failure, implying that this low-risk subgroup could possibly be followed with fewer invasive procedures.

Systemic retinoids: chemoprevention of skin cancer in transplant recipients.

Solid organ transplant recipients (OTRs) have an increased incidence of skin cancer, resulting in significant morbidity and mortality post-transplantation. Chemoprevention strategies are focused on reducing and delaying the development of skin cancer in these patients. Although systemic retinoids are widely used in OTRs, few randomized controlled trials have been performed. Limited data suggest that acitretin may have a beneficial role in high-risk OTRs. Since rebound flares occur upon discontinuation of retinoids, chemoprevention should be viewed as a lifelong therapy. Further studies are required to establish the efficacy and long-term safety of systemic retinoids as chemopreventive agents for high-risk transplant recipients.

Removal of deep extremity implants in children.

We have reviewed our experience of the removal of deep extremity orthopaedic implants in children to establish the nature, rate and risk of complications associated with this procedure. A retrospective review was performed of 801 children who had 1223 implants inserted and subsequently removed over a period of 17 years. Bivariate analysis of possible predictors including clinical factors, complications associated with implant insertion and indications for removal and the complications encountered at removal was performed. A logistical regression model was then constructed using those predictors which were significantly associated with surgical complications from the bivariate analyses. Odds ratios estimated in the logistical regression models were converted to risk ratios. The overall rate of complications after removal of the implant was 12.5% (100 complications in 801 patients), with 48 (6.0%) major and 52 (6.5%) minor. Children with a complication after insertion of the initial implant or with a non-elective indication for removal, a neuromuscular disease associated with a seizure disorder or a neuromuscular disease in those unable to walk, had a significantly greater chance of having a major complication after removal of the implant. Children with all four of these predictors were 14.6 times more likely to have a major complication.

Comparison of the predictive qualities of three prognostic models of colorectal cancer.

Most discoveries of cancer biomarkers involve construction of a single model to determine predictions of survival.. 'Data-mining' techniques, such as artificial neural networks (ANNs), perform better than traditional methods, such as logistic regression. In this study, the quality of multiple predictive models built on a molecular data set for colorectal cancer (CRC) was evaluated. Predictive models (logistic regressions, ANNs, and decision trees) were compared, and the effect of techniques for variable selection on the predictive quality of these models was investigated. The Kolmogorov-Smirnoff (KS) statistic was used to compare the models. Overall, the logistic regression and ANN methods outperformed use of a decision tree. In some instances (e.g., for a model that included 'all variables without tumor stage' and use of a decision tree for variable selection), the ANN marginally outperformed logistic regression, although the difference between the accuracy of the KS statistic was minimal (0.80 versus 0.82). Regardless of the variable(s) and the methods for variable selection, all three predictive models identified survivors and non-survivors with the same level of statistical accuracy.

Predictors of need-driven behaviors in nursing home residents with dementia and associated certified nursing assistant burden.

OBJECTIVE: We examined predictors of staff-reported need-driven behaviors and resistiveness to care in nursing home residents with dementia and predictors of certified nursing assistant (CNA) burden related to both constructs. Background and proximal factors from the need-driven dementia-compromised behavior model [Algase, D.L., Beck, C., Kolanowski, A., Whall, A., Berent, S., Richards, K., et al. (1996). Need-driven dementia-compromised behavior: An alternative view of disruptive behavior. American Journal of Alzheimer's Disease, 5, 10-19] were examined as potential predictors of need-driven behaviors (NDBs) and resistiveness to care and CNA burden. METHOD: We used secondary data analysis of prospective data from 10 nursing homes in Birmingham, Alabama. One-hundred and sixty-one residents (83.43 +/- 8.56 years) with mini mental state examination (MMSE) score = 6.41 (+/- 6.66) were assessed via chart review, resident surveys, and surveys of CNAs. RESULTS: Multiple regression models revealed that cognitive functioning, activities of daily living functioning, race, gender, and CNA-reported weekly resident pain intensity were associated with resident NDBs. Regression models also revealed that weekly pain intensity and medical comorbidity were associated with CNA burden associated with the resident NDBs. However, we were unable to explain a significant amount of variance in the resistiveness to care or CNA burden associated with resistiveness to care. DISCUSSION: Results underscore the role of pain in both resident NDBs and associated CNA burden. Future research should focus on predictors of resident resistiveness to care and the relation of pain assessment and management practices to CNA burden. Moreover, interventions to improve resident care should seek to include CNAs in institutional pain assessment and management processes.