Dementia subtypes, cognitive decline and survival among older adults attending a memory clinic in Cape Town, South Africa: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: There are no published longitudinal studies from Africa of people with dementia seen in memory clinics. The aim of this study was to determine the proportions of the different dementia subtypes, rates of cognitive decline, and predictors of survival in patients diagnosed with dementia and seen in a memory clinic. METHODS: Data were collected retrospectively from clinic records of patients aged ≥ 60 seen in the memory clinic at Groote Schuur Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa over a 10-year period. Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5) criteria were used to identify patients with Major Neurocognitive Disorders (dementia). Additional diagnostic criteria were used to determine the specific subtypes of dementia. Linear regression analysis was used to determine crude rates of cognitive decline, expressed as mini-mental state examination (MMSE) points lost per year. Changes in MMSE scores were derived using mixed effects modelling to curvilinear models of cognitive change, with time as the dependent variable. Multivariable cox survival analysis was used to determine factors at baseline that predicted mortality. RESULTS: Of the 165 patients who met inclusion criteria, 117(70.9%) had Major Neurocognitive Disorder due to Alzheimer's disease (AD), 24(14.6%) Vascular Neurocognitive Disorder (VND), 6(3.6%) Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB), 5(3%) Parkinson disease-associated dementia (PDD), 3(1.8%) fronto-temporal dementia, 4(2.4%) mixed dementia and 6(3.6%) other types of dementia. The average annual decline in MMSE points was 2.2(DLB/PDD), 2.1(AD) and 1.3(VND). Cognitive scores at baseline were significantly lower in patients with 8 compared to 13 years of education and in those with VND compared with AD. Factors associated with shorter survival included age at onset greater than 65 (HR = 1.82, 95% C.I. 1.11, 2.99, p = 0.017), lower baseline MMSE (HR = 1.05, 95% C.I. 1.01, 1.10, p = 0.029), Charlson's comorbidity scores of 3 to 4 (HR = 1.88, 95% C.I. 1.14, 3.10, p = 0.014), scores of 5 or more (HR = 1.97, 95% C.I. 1.16, 3.34, p = 0.012) and DLB/PDD (HR = 3.07, 95% C.I. 1.50, 6.29, p = 0.002). Being female (HR = 0.59, 95% C.I.0.36, 0.95, p = 0.029) was associated with longer survival. CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge of dementia subtypes, the rate and factors affecting cognitive decline and survival outcomes will help inform decisions about patient selection for potential future therapies and for planning dementia services in resource-poor settings.

The variables predictive of ambulance non-conveyance of patients in the Western Cape, South Africa.

Introduction: Emergency medical service (EMS) resources are limited and should be reserved for incidents of appropriate acuity. Over-triage in dispatching of EMS resources is a global problem. Analysing patients that are not transported to hospital is valuable in contributing to decision-making models/algorithms to better inform dispatching of resources. The aim is to determine variables associated with patients receiving an emergency response but result in non-conveyance to hospital. Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional study was performed on data for the period October 2018 to September 2019. EMS records were reviewed for instances where a patient received an emergency response but the patient was not transported to hospital. Data were subjected to univariate and multivariate regression analysis to determine variables predictive of non-transport to hospital. Results: A total of 245 954 responses were analysed, 240 730 (97.88 %) were patients that were transported to hospital and 5 224 (2.12 %) were not transported. Of all patients that received an emergency response, 203 450 (82.72 %) patients did not receive any medical interventions. Notable variables predictive of non-transport were green (OR 4.33 (95 % CI: 3.55-5.28; p<0.01)) and yellow on-scene (OR 1.95 (95 % CI: 1.60-2.37; p<0.01).Incident types most predictive of non-transport were electrocutions (OR 4.55 (95 % CI: 1.36-15.23; p=0.014)), diabetes (OR 2.978 (95 % CI: 2.10-3.68; p<0.01)), motor vehicle accidents (OR 1.92 (95 % CI: 1.51-2.43; p<0.01)), and unresponsive patients (OR 1.98 (95 % CI: 1.54-2.55; p<0.01)). The highest treatment predictors for non-transport of patients were nebulisation (OR 1.45 (95 % CI: 1.21-1.74; p<0.01)) and the administration of glucose (OR 4.47 (95 % CI: 3.11-6.41; p<0.01)). Conclusion: This study provided factors that predict ambulance non-conveyance to hospital. The prediction of patients not transported to hospital may aid in the development of dispatch algorithms that reduce over-triage of patients, on-scene discharge protocols, and treat and refer guidelines in EMS.

A retrospective descriptive analysis of non-physician-performed prehospital endotracheal intubation practices and performance in South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Prehospital advanced airway management, including endotracheal intubation (ETI), is one of the most commonly performed advanced life support skills. In South Africa, prehospital ETI is performed by non-physician prehospital providers. This practice has recently come under scrutiny due to lower first pass (FPS) and overall success rates, a high incidence of adverse events (AEs), and limited evidence regarding the impact of ETI on mortality. The aim of this study was to describe non-physician ETI in a South African national sample in terms of patient demographics, indications for intubation, means of intubation and success rates. A secondary aim was to determine what factors were predictive of first pass success. METHODS: This study was a retrospective chart review of prehospital ETIs performed by non-physician prehospital providers, between 01 January 2017 and 31 December 2017. Two national private Emergency Medical Services (EMS) and one provincial public EMS were sampled. Data were analysed descriptively and summarised. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate factors that affect the likelihood of FPS. RESULTS: A total of 926 cases were included. The majority of cases were adults (n = 781, 84.3%) and male (n = 553, 57.6%). The most common pathologies requiring emergency treatment were head injury, including traumatic brain injury (n = 328, 35.4%), followed by cardiac arrest (n = 204, 22.0%). The mean time on scene was 46 minutes (SD = 28.3). The most cited indication for intubation was decreased level of consciousness (n = 515, 55.6%), followed by cardiac arrest (n = 242, 26.9%) and ineffective ventilation (n = 96, 10.4%). Rapid sequence intubation (RSI, n = 344, 37.2%) was the most common approach. The FPS rate was 75.3%, with an overall success rate of 95.7%. Intubation failed in 33 (3.6%) patients. The need for ventilation was inversely associated with FPS (OR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.20-0.88, p = 0.02); while deep sedation (OR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.36-0.88, p = 0.13) and no drugs (OR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.25-0.90, p = 0.02) compared to RSI was less likely to result in FPS. Increased scene time (OR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.985-0.997, p < 0.01) was inversely associated FPS. CONCLUSION: This is one of the first and largest studies evaluating prehospital ETI in Africa. In this sample of ground-based EMS non-physician ETI, we found success rates similar to those reported in the literature. More research is needed to determine AE rates and the impact of ETI on patient outcome. There is an urgent need to standardise prehospital ETI reporting in South Africa to facilitate future research.

Adaptation and norming of the Edinburgh Cognitive and behavioural amyotrophic lateral sclerosis screen (ECAS) for three language groups in South Africa.

Objectives: To adapt and translate the Edinburgh Cognitive and behavioural amyotrophic lateral sclerosis screen (ECAS); to generate preliminary normative data for three language groups in South Africa (SA); to assess the convergent validity of the ECAS in SA samples. Methods: The ECAS was linguistically and culturally adapted for Afrikaans-, isiXhosa-, and English-speaking SA adults (n = 108, 100, and 53, respectively). Each language group was stratified by age and educational level. Cutoff scores for cognitive impairment were set at the group mean minus two standard deviations (SDs). A pilot sample of ALS patients and controls (n = 21 each) were administered the ECAS and an extensive neuropsychological evaluation (NPE) and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) to assess convergent validity. Results: Across the three language groups, the total ECAS cutoff scores ranged from 68 to 97. The ECAS score correlated significantly positively with educational level (p < 0.001) and negatively with age (p < 0.005). The restricted letter fluency task demonstrated a floor effect, particularly in Afrikaans-speakers. The mean total ECAS score (±SD) was similar in ALS patients (103.52 ± 11.90) and controls (100.67 ± 20.49; p = 0.58). Three (14.3%) ALS patients scored below the cutoff for cognitive impairment. Correlations between individual ECAS subtests and analogous NPE tests ranged from weak to moderate. The MoCA score was significantly positively correlated with the ECAS total score (r = 0.59; p = < 0.001). Conclusions: The adapted ECAS and associated normative data will aid cognitive screening of African ALS patients. Larger participant numbers are needed to assess the validity of the adapted instrument.

Postoperative outcomes associated with surgical care for women in Africa: an international risk-adjusted analysis of prospective observational cohorts.

Background: Improving women's health is a critical component of the sustainable development goals. Although obstetric outcomes in Africa have received significant focus, non-obstetric surgical outcomes for women in Africa remain under-examined. Methods: We did a secondary analysis of the African Surgical Outcomes Study (ASOS) and International Surgical Outcomes Study (ISOS), two 7-day prospective observational cohort studies of outcomes after adult inpatient surgery. This sub-study focuses specifically on the analysis of the female, elective, non-obstetric, non-gynaecological surgical data collected during these two large multicentre studies. The African data from both cohorts are compared with international (non-African) outcomes in a risk-adjusted logistic regression analysis using a generalised linear mixed-effects model. The primary outcome was severe postoperative complications including in-hospital mortality in Africa compared with non-African outcomes. Results: A total of 1698 African participants and 18 449 international participants met the inclusion criteria. The African cohort were younger than the international cohort with a lower preoperative risk profile. Severe complications occurred in 48 (2.9%) of 1671, and 431 (2.3%) of 18 449 patients in the African and international cohorts, respectively, with in-hospital mortality after severe complications of 23/48 (47.9%) in Africa and 78/431 (18.1%) internationally. Women in Africa had an adjusted odds ratio of 2.06 (95% confidence interval, 1.17-3.62; P=0.012) of developing a severe postoperative complication after elective non-obstetric, non-gynaecological surgery, compared with the international cohort. Conclusions: Women in Africa have double the risk adjusted odds of severe postoperative complications (including in-hospital mortality) after elective non-obstetric, non-gynaecological surgery compared with the international incidence.

Gender Differences in the Violence Exposure Types That Predict PTSD and Depression in Adolescents.

Both specific forms of violence and polyvictimization have been associated with an increased risk for negative mental health outcomes in youth. Despite evidence of gender differences in trauma experience and impact, gender patterns in the comparative contribution of specific violence exposures versus polyvictimization to mental health outcomes have seldom been explored. The few existing studies have all been conducted in high-income countries, while there is a dearth of research from lower and middle-income countries. This study examined the contribution of witnessed and direct community violence, domestic violence, sexual abuse, and different levels of polyvictimization to the severity of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and depression in a clinic sample of children and adolescents (n = 310) in South Africa. Although polyvictimization rates were high across both genders, polyvictimization posed differential risks for boys and girls. For girls, higher levels of polyvictimization, but not individual violence types, predicted both PTSD and depression severity. For boys, polyvictimization did not predict PTSD or depression severity. Higher levels of victimization in the community predicted PTSD severity among boys, while no forms of violence predicted depression. The findings confirm the value of examining gender patterns in the risk for posttraumatic sequelae posed by exposure to specific and cumulative forms of violence. Implications for interventions with youth in high-violence contexts such as South Africa are considered.

Social support, violence exposure and mental health among young South African adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: Cumulative violence exposure has been associated with both internalising and externalising difficulties in youth. Therefore, it is important to identify protective factors that may ameliorate both exposure to and the impact of cumulative violence. This study aimed to identify sources of perceived social support amongst early adolescents in a low-income, high-violence community in South Africa, and to examine the association of perceived support with exposure to violence and with the severity of depression, aggression and conduct disorder symptoms. METHOD: A sample of 615 Grade 7 learners completed measures of perceived social support, different types of violence exposure and symptoms of depression, aggression and conduct disorder. RESULTS: Maternal, paternal and overall family support were weakly associated with a reduced risk of domestic violence, but not with other forms of violence exposure, and were also weakly associated with a reduced risk of mental health difficulties. Peer support was associated with higher symptomatology across all mental health outcomes while teacher support was associated with greater severity of depression. CONCLUSIONS: The stress-buffering effects of social support may not be maintained in contexts of high exposure to violence. Implications for interventions to enhance youth safety and resilience in high-violence contexts are considered.

The contribution of different forms of violence exposure to internalizing and externalizing symptoms among young South African adolescents.

While many youth are exposed to multiple forms of co-occurring violence, the comparative impact of different forms of violence on the mental health of children and adolescents has not been clearly established. Studies from low and middle income countries in particular are lacking. The present study examined the contribution of different forms of violence to internalizing and externalizing symptoms among young adolescents in South Africa. A community-based sample of 616 high school learners completed self-report scales assessing exposure to six different forms of violence and the severity of depression, aggression and conduct disorder symptoms. In bivariate analyses, all six forms of violence were significantly associated with internalizing and externalizing difficulties. When the contribution of all forms of violence to mental health outcomes was examined simultaneously, domestic victimization emerged as the strongest predictor of both internalizing and externalizing difficulties. Cumulative exposure to other forms of violence contributed further to the prediction of aggression and conduct disorder, but not depression. Recommendations for future research, and the implications of the findings for prioritizing the development of violence prevention and intervention initiatives in the South African context, are considered.

Gender patterns in the contribution of different types of violence to posttraumatic stress symptoms among South African urban youth.

OBJECTIVE: Identifying the comparative contributions of different forms of violence exposure to trauma sequelae can help to prioritize interventions for polyvictimized youth living in contexts of limited mental health resources. This study aimed to establish gender patterns in the independent and comparative contributions of five types of violence exposure to the severity of posttraumatic stress symptoms among Xhosa-speaking South African adolescents. METHOD: Xhosa-speaking adolescents (n=230) attending a high school in a low-income urban community in South Africa completed measures of violence exposure and posttraumatic stress symptoms. RESULTS: While witnessing of community violence was by far the most common form of violence exposure, for the sample as a whole only sexual victimization and being a direct victim of community violence, together with gender, contributed independently to the severity of posttraumatic stress symptoms. When the contribution of different forms of violence was examined separately for each gender, only increased exposure to community and sexual victimization were associated with symptom severity among girls, while increased exposure to direct victimization in both the community and domestic settings were associated with greater symptom severity in boys. CONCLUSIONS: The findings provide some preliminary motivation for focusing trauma intervention initiatives in this community on girls who have experienced sexual abuse compounded by victimization in the community, and boys who have been direct victims of either domestic or community violence. Further research is required to establish whether the risk factors for posttraumatic stress symptoms identified among adolescents in this study are consistent across different communities in South Africa, as well as across other resource-constrained contexts.

Diagnostic accuracy of a urine lipoarabinomannan strip-test for TB detection in HIV-infected hospitalised patients.

Lack of point-of-care tests for tuberculosis (TB) result in diagnostic delay, and increased mortality and healthcare-related costs. The urine Determine(TM) TB-LAM point-of-care strip-test was evaluated in 335 prospectively-recruited hospitalised patients with suspected TB-HIV co-infection (group 1) and from 88 HIV-infected hospitalised patients with non-TB diagnoses (group 2). Cut-off point-specific analyses were performed using: 1) a microbiological reference standard (culture positive versus negative); and 2) a composite reference standard (exclusion of patients with clinical-TB from the culture-negative group). Using the microbiological reference and the manufacturer-recommended grade-1 cut-off point, LAM sensitivity and specificity was 66% (95% CI 57-74%). By contrast, using the composite reference sensitivity was 60% (95% CI 53-67%) and specificity improved to 96% (95% CI 89-100%) (p=0.001). The same pattern was seen when the grade-2 cut-off point was used (specificity 75% versus 96%; p=0.01). In group two patients specificity was poor using the grade-1 cut-off point, but improved significantly when the grade-2 cut-off point was used (90% versus 99%; p=0.009). The grade-2 cut-off point also offered superior inter-reader reliability (p=0.002). Sensitivity was highest in those with a CD4 <200 cells per mL. LAM combined with smear-microscopy was able to rule-in TB in 71% of Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture-positive patients. This preliminary study indicates that the LAM strip-test may be a potentially useful rapid rule-in test for TB in hospitalised patients with advanced immunosuppression. The grade 2, but not the manufacturer-recommended grade 1 cut-off point, offered superior rule-in utility and inter-reader reliability. Larger studies to evaluate cut-off points and diagnostic accuracy are urgently required.

Risk factors for premature termination of treatment at a child and family mental health clinic.

OBJECTIVE: Premature termination of treatment amongst children and families attending mental health services is a significant problem for both outcomes research and clinical practice in South Africa and elsewhere. This study investigated factors that are associated with premature termination of treatment at a public service child and family clinic in Cape Town. METHOD: A retrospective archival analysis of clinic files from 2002-2009 was conducted. Administrative, child and family factors, and type of treatment were explored as risk factors for premature termination. RESULTS: A single-parent household and the presence of a child or oppositional defiant disorder were risk factors for premature termination of treatment, while the presence of a maternal psychiatric diagnosis was associated with a lower likelihood of terminating treatment prematurely. Conducting a scholastic assessment with the child was associated with a lower risk of premature termination, while there was a trend towards a higher risk of premature termination when individual child therapy was the recommended treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This study offers recommendations for how these findings could assist South African clinicians to enhance client retention in child and family mental health services, and suggestions for future research.