ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to examine whether adding biomarkers to routine clinical parameters improves prediction of radiographic spinal progression in axial spondyloarthritis. METHODS: One hundred and seventeen patients with ankylosing spondylitis who completed the Effects of NSAIDs on RAdiographic Damage in Ankylosing Spondylitis (ENRADAS) trial were included. Radiographic spinal progression was defined as worsening of the modified Stoke Ankylosing Spondylitis Spine Score by ⩾2 points after 2 years. A clinical prediction model was constructed out of baseline syndesmophytes, elevated CRP, cigarette smoking and male sex. The following serum biomarkers were measured at baseline by ELISA: MMP3, VEGF, calprotectin, leptin, high molecular weight adiponectin, osteoprotegerin, sclerostin, N-terminal telopeptide, procollagen type II N-terminal propeptide and serum amyloid A. RESULTS: Repeated cross-validation analyses revealed one biomarker combination with potential added predictive value in addition to the clinical model: leptin + high molecular weight adiponectin + VEGF. This biomarker combination showed an area under the curve (AUC)Biomarkers = 0.731 (95% CI: 0.614, 0.848), which was numerically superior to the clinical model [AUCClinical = 0.665 (95% CI: 0.553, 0.776)]. A combination of clinical parameters + biomarkers showed an improved predictive value compared with the clinical model reflected by AUCClinical+Biomarkers = 0.768 (95% CI: 0.666, 0.871), though not statistically significant (P = 0.051). However, by considering the part of the receiver operating characteristic curve with a specificity ⩾75% resulting in partial AUC (pAUC), the improvement becomes significant (pAUCClinical+Biomarkers = 0.119; pAUCClinical = 0.053; P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Biomarkers show potential to improve the prediction of radiographic spinal progression in axial spondyloarthritis when used in addition to the clinical parameters, though the added value seems to be rather small.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers/blood , Spondylitis, Ankylosing/diagnosis , Adult , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Inflammation Mediators/metabolism , Leptin/blood , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Radiography , Severity of Illness Index , Spine/diagnostic imaging , Spondylitis, Ankylosing/diagnostic imaging , Spondylitis, Ankylosing/drug therapy , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/bloodABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Previous research indicates a role of adipokines in inflammation and osteogenesis. Hence adipokines might also have a pathophysiological role in inflammation and new bone formation in patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS). The aim of this study was to investigate the role of adipokine serum levels as predictors of radiographic spinal progression in patients with AS. METHODS: A total of 120 patients with definite AS who completed a 2-year follow up in the ENRADAS trial were included in the current study. Radiographic spinal progression was defined as: (1) worsening of the modified Stoke Ankylosing Spondylitis spine (mSASSS) score by ≥2 points and/or (2) new syndesmophyte formation or progression of existing syndesmophytes after 2 years. Serum levels of adipokines (adiponectin (APN) and its high molecular weight form (HMW-APN), chemerin, leptin, lipocalin-2, omentin, resistin, visfatin) were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. RESULTS: There was a significant association between radiographic spinal progression and both leptin and HMW-APN. Baseline serum levels of both adipokines were lower in patients who showed radiographic spinal progression after 2 years. This association was especially evident in men; they had generally lower leptin and HMW-APN serum levels as compared to women. The inverse association between adipokines and radiographic spinal progression was confirmed in the logistic regression analysis: the odds ratios (OR) for the outcome "no mSASSS progression ≥2 points" were 1.16 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.29) and 1.17 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.38), for leptin and HMW-APN, respectively; for "no syndesmophyte formation/progression" the respective OR were 1.29 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.50) and 1.18 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.42), adjusted for the presence of syndesmophytes at baseline, C-reactive protein at baseline, sex, body mass index (BMI), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs intake score over 2 years, and smoking status at baseline. CONCLUSION: Serum leptin and HMW-APN predict protection from spinal radiographic progression in patients with AS. Women generally have higher leptin and HMW-APN serum levels that might explain why they have less structural damage in the spine as compared to male patients with AS. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT: 2007-007637-39. ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00715091 . Registered on 14 July 2008.
