Trends in youth risk behaviours and firearm injury in the USA over 20 years.

BACKGROUND: Firearm injuries are the leading cause of death in children and adolescents in the USA. We hypothesised that high rates of risky behaviour in high school students are associated with firearm injury and death in this population. METHODS: We obtained data from the Youth Behaviour Risk Survey of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and combined it with data from the CDC Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System, CDC Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research and American Community Survey, 2001-2020. We examined trends over time using a non-parametric test for trends. RESULTS: The percentage of high school-aged youth carrying a weapon in the preceding 30 days ranged from 13.2% in 2019 to 18.5% in 2005, without a statistically significant trend over time (p=0.051). Those carrying a weapon to school peaked at 6.5% in 2005 and steadily downtrended to 2.8% in 2019 (p=0.004). Boys consistently reported higher rates of weapon carriage, with white boys reporting higher rates than black boys. Firearm homicides among adolescents 14-18 years showed no significant change, ranging from 4.0 per 100k in 2013 to 8.3 per 100k in 2020. This varied considerably by sex and race, with black boys suffering a rate of nearly 60 per 100 000 in 2020 and white girls rarely exceeding 1/100 000 during the study period. CONCLUSION: Self-reported weapon carriage among teens in the USA has steadily downtrended over time. However, shooting injuries and deaths have not. While the former suggests progress, the latter remains concerning. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III; retrospective cohort study.

Hemodynamic Deterioration of Trauma Patients Undergoing Interhospital Transfer.

INTRODUCTION: Organized trauma systems reduce morbidity and mortality after serious injury. Rapid transport to high-level trauma centers is ideal, but not always feasible. Thus, interhospital transfers are an important component of trauma systems. However, transferring a seriously injured patient carries the risk of worsening condition before reaching definitive care. In this study, we evaluated characteristics and outcomes of patients whose hemodynamic status worsened during the transfer process. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study database from 2011 to 2018. Patients were included if they had a heart rate ≤ 100 and systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 at presentation to the referring hospital and were transferred within 24 h. We defined hemodynamic deterioration (HDD) as admitting heart rate > 100 or systolic blood pressure < 100 at the receiving center. We compared demographics, mechanism of injury, injury severity, management, and outcomes between patients with and without HDD using descriptive statistics and multivariable regression analysis. RESULTS: Of 52,919 included patients, 5331 (10.1%) had HDD. HDD patients were more often moderately-severely injured (injury severity score 9-15; 40.4% versus 39.4%, P < 0.001) and injured via motor vehicle collision (23.2% versus 16.6%, P < 0.001) or gunshot wound (2.1% versus 1.3%, P < 0.001). HDD patients more often had extremity or torso injuries and after transfer were more likely to be transferred to the intensive care unit (35% versus 28.5%, P < 0.001), go directly to surgery (8.4% versus 5.9%, P < 0.001), or interventional radiology (0.8% versus 0.3%, P < 0.001). Overall mortality in the HDD group was 4.9% versus 2.1% in the group who remained stable. These results were confirmed using multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Interhospital transfers are essential in trauma, but one in 10 transferred patients deteriorated hemodynamically in that process. This high-risk component of the trauma system requires close attention to the important aspects of transfer such as patient selection, pretransfer management/stabilization, and communication between facilities.

The open abdomen in mesenteric ischemia: A tool for patients undergoing revascularization.

BACKGROUND: We examined outcomes in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia (AMI) with the hypothesis that Open Abdomen (OA) is associated with decreased mortality. METHODS: We performed a cohort study reviewing NSQIP emergency laparotomy patients, 2016-2020, with a postoperative diagnosis of mesenteric ischemia. OA was defined using flags for patients without fascial closure. Logistic regression was used with outcomes of 30-day mortality and several secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Out of 5514 cases, 4624 (83.9%) underwent resection and 387 (7.0%) underwent revascularization. The OA rate was 32.6%. 10.8% of patients who were closed required reoperation. After adjustment for demographics, transfer status, comorbidities, preoperative variables including creatinine, white blood cell count, and anemia, as well as operative time, OA was associated with OR 1.58 for mortality (95% CI [1.38, 1.81], p < 0.001). Among revascularizations, there was no such association (p = 0.528). OA was associated with ventilator support >48 h (OR 4.04, 95% CI [3.55, 4.62], and p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: OA in AMI was associated with increased mortality and prolonged ventilation. This is not so in revascularization patients, and 1 in 10 patients who underwent primary closure required reoperation. OA should be considered in specific cases of AMI. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective cohort, Level III.

The Role of Emergency Department Thoracotomy in Patients with Cranial Gunshot Wounds.

BACKGROUND: Although several society guidelines exist regarding emergency department thoracotomy (EDT), there is a lack of data upon which to base guidance for multiple gunshot wound (GSW) patients whose injuries include a cranial GSW. We hypothesized that survival in these patients would be exceedingly low. METHODS: We used Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study (PTOS) data, 2002-2021, and included EDTs for GSWs. We defined EDT by ICD codes for thoracotomy or procedures requiring one, with a location flagged as ED. We defined head injuries as any head abbreviated injury scale (AIS) ≥1 and severe head injuries as head AIS ≥ 4. Head injuries were "isolated" if all other body regions AIS < 2. Descriptive statistics were performed. Discharge functional status was measured in 5 domains. RESULTS: Over 20 years in Pennsylvania, 3,546 EDTs were performed, 2,771 (78.1%) for penetrating injuries. Most penetrating EDTs (2,003, 72.3%) had suffered GSWs. Survival among patients with isolated head wounds (n = 25) was 0%. Survival was 5.3% for the non-head-injured (n = 94/1,787). In patients with combined head and other injuries, survival was driven by the severity of the head wound - 0% (0/81) with a severe head injury (p = 0.035 vs no severe head injury), and 4.5% (5/110) with a non-severe head injury. Of the 5 head-injured survivors, 2 were fully dependent for transfer mobility, and 3 were partially or fully dependent for locomotion. Of 211 patients with a cranial injury who expired, 2 (0.9%) went on to organ donation. CONCLUSIONS: Though there is clearly no role for EDT in patients with isolated head GSWs, EDT may be considered in patients with combined injuries, as most of these patients have minor head injuries and survival is not different from the non-head-injured. However, if a severe head injury is clinically apparent, even in the presence of other body cavity injuries, EDT should not be pursued. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level II, retrospective observational cohort study.

Costs of Care for Operative and Nonoperative Management of Emergency General Surgery Conditions.

OBJECTIVE: Many emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions can be managed operatively or nonoperatively, with outcomes that vary by diagnosis. We hypothesized that operative management would lead to higher in-hospital costs but to cost savings over time. BACKGROUND: EGS conditions account for $28 billion in health care costs in the United States annually. Compared with scheduled surgery, patients who undergo emergency surgery are at increased risk of complications, readmissions, and death, with accompanying costs of care that are up to 50% higher than elective surgery. Our prior work demonstrated that operative management had variable impacts on clinical outcomes depending on the EGS condition. METHODS: This was a nationwide, retrospective study using fee-for-service Medicare claims data. We included patients 65.5 years of age or older with a principal diagnosis for an EGS condition 7/1/2015-6/30/2018. EGS conditions were categorized as: colorectal, general abdominal, hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB), intestinal obstruction, and upper gastrointestinal. We used near-far matching with a preference-based instrumental variable to adjust for confounding and selection bias. Outcomes included Medicare payments for the index hospitalization and at 30, 90, and 180 days. RESULTS: Of 507,677 patients, 30.6% received an operation. For HPB conditions, costs for operative management were initially higher but became equivalent at 90 and 180 days. For all others, operative management was associated with higher inpatient costs, which persisted, though narrowed, over time. Out-of-pocket costs were nearly equivalent for operative and nonoperative management. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with nonoperative management, costs were higher or equivalent for operative management of EGS conditions through 180 days, which could impact decision-making for clinicians, patients, and health systems in situations where clinical outcomes are similar.

Geospatial Analysis of Social Vulnerability, Race, and Firearm Violence in Chicago.

INTRODUCTION: Urban firearm violence (UFV) is associated with inequities rooted in structural racism and socioeconomic disparities. Social vulnerability index (SVI) is a composite measure that encompasses both. We sought to understand the relationship between SVI and the incidence of UFV in Chicago using geospatial analysis for the first time. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Firearm assaults in Chicago 2001-2019 were obtained from the Trace. Locations of incidents were geocoded using ArcGIS and overlaid with census tract vector files. These data were linked to 2018 SVI measures obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Shooting rates were calculated by tabulating the total number of shootings per capita in each census tract. We used Poisson regression with robust error variance to estimate the incident rate of UFV in different levels of social vulnerability and Local Moran's I to evaluate spatial autocorrelation. RESULTS: In total, 642 census tracts were analyzed. The median shooting rate was 2.6 per 1000 people (interquartile 0.77, 7.0). When compared to those census tracts with very low SVI, census tracts with low SVI had a 1.7-time increased incident rate of shootings (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.74, 95% CI 1.08, 2.81), tracts with moderate SVI had a 3.1-time increased incident rate (IRR 3.07, 95% CI 2.31, 4.10), and tracts with high SVI had a 7-time increased incident rate (IRR 7.03, 95% CI 5.45, 9.07). CONCLUSIONS: In Chicago, social vulnerability has a significant association with rates of firearm violence, providing a focus point for policy intervention to address high rates of interpersonal violence in similar cities.

Effects of prior injury on long term patient reported outcomes after trauma.

BACKGROUND: Trauma is an episodic, chronic disease with substantial, long-term physical, psychological, emotional, and social impacts. However, the effect of recurrent trauma on these long-term outcomes remains unknown. We hypothesized that trauma patients with a history of prior traumatic injury (PTI) would have poorer outcomes 6 months (6mo) after injury compared with patients without PTI. METHODS: Adult trauma patients admitted at an urban, academic, Level I trauma center were screened for inclusion (October 2020 to November 2021). Enrolled patients were administered the PROMIS-29 instrument, the primary care post-traumatic stress disorder screen, and standardized questions about prior trauma hospitalization, substance use, employment, and living situation at baseline and 6mo after injury. Assessment data was merged with clinical registry data, and outcomes were compared with respect to PTI. RESULTS: Of 3,794 eligible patients, 456 completed baseline assessments and 92 completed 6mo surveys. Between those with or without PTI, there were no differences at 6mo after injury in the proportion of patients reporting poor function in social participation, anxiety, depression, fatigue, pain interference, or sleep disturbance. Prior traumatic injury patients reported poor physical function less often than patients without PTI (10 [27.0%] vs. 33 [60.0%], p = 0.002). After controlling for age, gender, race, injury mechanism, and Injury Severity Score, PTI correlated with a fourfold decrease in poor physical function risk (adjusted odds ratio, 0.243; 95% confidence interval, 0.081-0.733; p = 0.012) in the multivariable logistic regression model. CONCLUSION: Compared with patients suffering their first injury, trauma patients with PTI have better self-reported physical function after a subsequent injury and otherwise equivalent outcomes across a range of HRQoL domains at 6mo. There remains substantial room for improvement to mitigate the long-term challenges faced by trauma patients and to facilitate their societal reintegration, regardless of the number of times they are injured. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.

A tale of two cities: Policing and firearm homicides in Boston and Philadelphia.

BACKGROUND: Recent political movements have raised questions about the effectiveness of police funding, but the impact of law enforcement budgets on firearm violence is unknown. We hypothesized that department funding and measures of police activity would be associated with decreased shootings and firearm homicides (FHs) in two major cities with different police funding patterns. METHODS: We collected data from the following sources: district attorney's offices, police departments, Federal Bureau of Investigation Uniform Crime Reporting program, the Centers for Disease Control, the Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll, and the American Community Survey. Data included demographics, police department budgets, number of officers, homicide clearance rates, firearms recovered, shootings, and FHs, 2015 to 2020. Totals were normalized to population and number of shootings. We used panel linear regression to measure associations between policing variables, shootings, and FHs while adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: Firearm homicides significantly increased in Philadelphia. In Boston, the trend was less clear, although there was an increase in 2020. Police budget normalized to shootings trended toward a decrease in Philadelphia and an increase in Boston. The number of firearms recovered annually appeared to increase in Boston but peaked midstudy in Philadelphia. In multivariable analyses, police budget was associated with neither shootings nor FHs. However, increased firearm recovery was associated with lower shooting ( ß = -0.0004, p = 0.022) and FH ( ß = -0.00005, p = 0.004) rates. CONCLUSION: Philadelphia and Boston demonstrated differences in police funding, 2015 to 2020. While budget is not associated with shootings or FHs, firearm recovery is suggesting that removal of firearms from circulation remains key. The impact this has on vulnerable populations requires further investigation. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

National Cohort Study of Resource Utilization in Older Adults With Emergency General Surgery Conditions.

INTRODUCTION: Prior studies have sought to describe Emergency General Surgery (EGS) burden, but a detailed description of resource utilization for both operative and nonoperative management of EGS conditions has not been undertaken. METHODS: Patient and hospital characteristics were extracted from Medicare data, 2015-2018. Operations, nonsurgical procedures, and other resources (i.e., radiology) were defined using Current Procedural Terminology codes. RESULTS: One million eight hundred two thousand five hundred forty-five patients were included in the cohort. The mean age was 74.7 y and the most common diagnoses were upper gastrointestinal. The majority of hospitals were metropolitan (75.1%). Therapeutic radiology services were available in 78.4% of hospitals and operating rooms or endoscopy suites were available in 92.5% of hospitals. There was variability in resource utilization across EGS subconditions, with hepatobiliary (26.4%) and obstruction (23.9%) patients most frequently undergoing operation. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of EGS diseases in older adults involves several interventional resources. Changes in EGS models, acute care surgery training, and interhospital care coordination may be beneficial to the treatment of EGS patients.

Higher center volume is significantly associated with lower mortality in trauma patients with shock.

INTRODUCTION: Injured patients presenting in shock are at high risk of mortality despite numerous efforts to improve resuscitation. Identifying differences in outcomes among centers for this population could yield insights to improve performance. We hypothesized that trauma centers treating higher volumes of patients in shock would have lower risk-adjusted mortality. METHODS: We queried the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study from 2016 to 2018 for injured patients ≥16 years of age at Level I&II trauma centers who had an initial systolic blood pressure (SBP) of <90 mmHg. We excluded patients with critical head injury (abbreviated injury score [AIS] head ≥5) and patients coming from centers with a shock patient volume of ≤10 for the study period. The primary exposure was tertile of center-level shock patient volume (low, medium, or high volume). We compared risk-adjusted mortality by tertile of volume using multivariable Cox proportional hazards model incorporating age, injury severity, mechanism, and physiology. RESULTS: Of 1,805 included patients at 29 centers, 915 (50.7%) died. The median annual shock trauma patient volume was 9 patients for low volume centers, medium 19.5, and high 37. Median ISS was higher at high volume compared to low volume centers (22 vs 18, p <0.001). Raw mortality was 54.9% at high volume centers, 46.7% for medium, and 42.9% for low. Time elapsed from arrival to emergency department (ED) to the operating room (OR) was lower at high volume than low volume centers (median 47 vs 78 min) p = 0.003. In adjusted analysis, hazard ratio for high volume centers (referenced to low volume) was 0.76 (95% CI 0.59-0.97, p = 0.030). CONCLUSION: After adjusting for patient physiology and injury characteristics, center-level volume is significantly associated with mortality. Future studies should seek to identify key practices associated with improved outcomes in high-volume centers. Furthermore, shock patient volume should be considered when new trauma centers are opened.

Funding the war in America: A look in the mirror.

BACKGROUND: Health care political action committees (HPACs) historically contribute more to candidates opposing firearm restrictions (FRs), clashing with their affiliated medical societies. These societies have increasingly emphasized the prevention of firearm violence and it is not known if recent contributions by their HPACs have aligned with their stated goals. We hypothesized that such HPACs still contribute similar amounts toward legislators up for reelection opposing FR. METHODS: We identified HPACs of medical societies endorsing one or both calls-to-action against firearm violence published in the Annals of Internal Medicine (2015, 2019). House of Representatives (HOR) votes on H.R.8, a background checks bill, were characterized from GovTrack. We compiled HPAC contributions between the H.R.8 vote and election to HOR members up for re-election from the National Institute on Money in Politics. Our primary outcome was total campaign contributions by H.R.8 stance. Secondary outcomes included percentage of politicians funded and total contributions. RESULTS: Nineteen societies endorsed one or both call-to-action articles. Three hundred eighty-five of 430 HOR members ran for reelection in 2020. Those endorsing H.R.8 (n = 226, 59%) received $2.8 M for $4,750 (interquartile range [IQR], $1000-$15,500) per candidate. Those opposing (n = 159, 41%) received $1.5 M for $2,500 (IQR, $0-$11,000) per candidate ( p = 0.0057). Health care political action committees donated toward a median of 20% (IQR, 7-28) of candidates endorsing H.R.8 and 9% (IQR, 4-22) of candidates opposing H.R.8 ( p = 0.0014). Those endorsing H.R.8 received 1,585 total contributions for a median of 3 (IQR, 1-10) contributions per candidate, while those opposing received 834 total contributions for a median of 2 (IQR, 0-7) contributions per candidate ( p = 0.0029). CONCLUSION: Politicians voting against background checks received substantial contributions toward reelection from the HPACs of societies advocating for firearm restrictions. However, this is the first study to suggest that HPAC's contributions have become more congruent with their respective societies. Further alignment of medical society goals and their HPAC political contributions could have a profound impact on firearm violence. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.

Modifiable Factors Related to Firearm Homicides: A Broader View of Our Lane.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to identify modifiable factors related to firearm homicide (FH). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Many socioeconomic, legislative and behavioral risk factors impact FH. Most studies have evaluated these risk factors in isolation, but they coexist in a complex and ever-changing American society. We hypothesized that both restrictive firearm laws and socioeconomic support would correlate with reduced FH rates. METHODS: To perform our ecologic cross-sectional study, we queried the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) Wide-ranging ONline Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) and Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) for 2013-2016 state FH data. We retrieved firearm access estimates from the RAND State-Level Firearm Ownership Database. Alcohol use and access to care data were captured from the CDC Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). Detached youth rates, socioeconomic support data and poverty metrics were captured from US Census data for each state in each year. Firearm laws were obtained from the State Firearms Law Database. Variables with significant FH association were entered into a final multivariable panel linear regression with fixed effect for state. RESULTS: A total of 49,610 FH occurred in 2013-2016 (median FH rate: 3.9:100,000, range: 0.07-11.2). In univariate analysis, increases in concealed carry limiting laws ( P =0.012), detached youth rates ( P <0.001), socioeconomic support ( P <0.001) and poverty rates ( P <0.001) correlated with decreased FH. Higher rates of heavy drinking ( P =0.036) and the presence of stand your ground doctrines ( P =0.045) were associated with increased FH. Background checks, handgun limiting laws, and weapon access were not correlated with FH. In multivariable regression, increased access to food benefits for those in poverty [ß: -0.132, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.182 to -0.082, P <0.001] and laws limiting concealed carry (ß: -0.543, 95% CI: -0.942 to -0.144, P =0.008) were associated with decreased FH rates. Allowance of stand your ground was associated with more FHs (ß: 1.52, 95% CI: 0.069-2.960, P <0.040). CONCLUSIONS: The causes and potential solutions to FH are complex and closely tied to public policy. Our data suggests that certain types of socioeconomic support and firearm restrictive legislation should be emphasized in efforts to reduce firearm deaths in America.

The variable role of damage control laparotomy over 19 years of trauma care in Pennsylvania.

BACKGROUND: Damage control laparotomy emphasizes physiologic stabilization of critically injured patients and allows staged surgical management. However, there is little consensus on the optimal criteria for damage control laparotomy. We examined variability between centers and over time in Pennsylvania. METHODS: We analyzed the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study data between 2000 and 2018, excluding centers performing <10 laparotomies/year. Laparotomy was defined using International Classification of Diseases codes, and damage control laparotomy was defined by a code for "reopening of recent laparotomy" or a return to the operating room >4 hours from index laparotomy that was not unplanned. We examined trends over time and by center. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed to predict both damage control laparotomy and mortality, generate observed:expected ratios, and identify outliers for each. We compared risk-adjusted mortality rates to center-level damage control laparotomy rates. RESULTS: In total, 18,896 laparotomies from 22 centers were analyzed; 3,549 damage control laparotomies were performed (18.8% of all laparotomies). The use of damage control laparotomy in Pennsylvania varied from 13.9% to 22.8% over time. There was wide variation in center-level use of damage control laparotomy, from 11.1% to 29.4%, despite adjustment. Factors associated with damage control laparotomy included injury severity and admission vital signs. Center identity improved the model as demonstrated by likelihood ratio test (P < .001), suggesting differences in center-level practices. There was minimal correlation between center-level damage control laparotomy use and mortality. CONCLUSION: There is wide center-level variation in the use of damage control laparotomy among centers, despite adjustment for patient factors. Damage control laparotomy is both resource intensive and highly morbid; regional resources should be allocated to address this substantial practice variation to optimize damage control laparotomy use.

The traveling pelvic bullet: a case of retrograde ballistic migration through the venous system.

Migration of a ballistic missile through the vasculature is rare but important to recognize. It can lead to diagnostic confusion and seemingly unexplainable bullet trajectories. We have described the case of a young man with a gunshot wound to the axillary vein and initial embolus to the inferior vena cava. The bullet subsequently migrated to the right common iliac vein, allowing for straightforward retrieval.

Operative trauma volume is not related to risk-adjusted mortality rates among Pennsylvania trauma centers.

BACKGROUND: Higher center-level operative volume is associated with lower mortality after complex elective surgeries, but this relationship has not been robustly demonstrated for operative trauma. We hypothesized that trauma centers in Pennsylvania with higher operative trauma volumes would have lower risk-adjusted mortality rates than lower volume institutions. METHODS: We queried the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study database (2017-2019) for injured patients 18 years or older at Level I and II trauma centers who underwent an International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10), procedure code -defined operative procedure within 6 hours of admission. The primary exposure was tertile of center-level operative volume. The primary outcome of interest was inpatient mortality. We entered factors associated with mortality in univariate analysis (age, injury severity, mechanism, physiology) into multivariable logistic regression models with tertiles of volume accounting for center-level clustering. We conducted secondary analyses varying the form of the association between the volume and mortality to including dichotomous and fractional polynomial models. RESULTS: We identified 3,650 patients at 29 centers meeting the inclusion criteria. Overall mortality was 15.9% (center-level range, 6.7-34.2%). Operative procedure types were cardiopulmonary (7.3%), vascular (20.1%), abdominopelvic (24.3%), and multiple (48.3%). The mean annual operative volume over the 3 years of data was 10 to 21 operations for low-volume centers, 22 to 47 for medium-volume centers, and 47 to 158 for high-volume centers. After controlling for patient demographics, physiology, and injury characteristics, there was no significant difference in mortality between highest and lowest tertile centers (odds ratio, 0.92; confidence interval, 0.57-1.49). Secondary analyses similarly demonstrated no relationship between center operative volume and mortality in key procedure subgroups. CONCLUSION: In a mature trauma system, we found no association between center-level operative volume and mortality for patients who required early operative intervention for trauma. Efforts to standardize the care of seriously injured patients in Pennsylvania may ensure that even lower-volume centers are prepared to generate satisfactory outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.

Change in outcomes for trauma patients over time: Two decades of a state trauma system.

BACKGROUND: Trauma center mortality rates are benchmarked to expected rates of death based on patient and injury characteristics. The expected mortality rate is recalculated from pooled outcomes across a trauma system each year, obscuring system-level change across years. We hypothesized that risk-adjusted mortality would decrease over time within a state-wide trauma system. METHODS: We identified adult trauma patients presenting to Level I and II Pennsylvania trauma centers, 1999-2018, using the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study. Multivariable logistic regression generated risk-adjusted models for mortality in all patients, and in key subgroups: penetrating torso injury, blunt multisystem trauma, and patients presenting in shock. RESULTS: Of 162,646 included patients, 123,518 (76.1%) were white and 108,936 (67.0%) were male. The median age was 49 (interquartile range [IQR] 29-70), median injury severity score was 16 (IQR 10-24), and 87.5% of injuries were blunt. Overall, 9.9% of patients died, and compared to 1999, no year had significantly higher adjusted odds of mortality. Overall mortality was significantly lower in 2007-2009 and 2011-2018. Of patients with blunt, multisystem injuries, 17.7% died, and adjusted mortality improved over time. Mortality rates were 24.9% for penetrating torso injury, and 56.9% for shock, with no significant change. Mortality improved for patients with ISS < 25, but not for the most severely injured. CONCLUSIONS: Over 20 years, Pennsylvania trauma centers demonstrated improved risk-adjusted mortality rates overall, but improvement remains lacking in high-risk groups despite numerous innovations and practice changes in this time period. Identifying change over time can help guide focus to these critical gaps.

Beyond pain and disability: The lasting effects of trauma on life after injury.

BACKGROUND: The impact of traumatic injury likely extends beyond direct physical consequences and lasts well beyond the acute injury phase. Data collection is sparse after hospital discharge, however. In this observational study, we hypothesized that sequelae of injury would last at least 6 months and sought to prospectively determine patient-reported physical, emotional, and social outcomes during this postinjury period. METHODS: We surveyed patients admitted to our Level I trauma center (July 2019 to October 2020) regarding baseline functioning and quality of life after injury, using the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS-29) instrument, a primary care posttraumatic stress disorder screen, and questions on substance use, employment, and living situation. Patients were re-surveyed at 6 months. PROMIS-29 scores are reported as t scores compared with the US population. Differences between groups were analyzed using χ 2 , signed-rank, and t tests, with paired tests used for changes over time. RESULTS: Three hundred sixty-two patients completed the baseline, 130 of whom completed 6-month follow-up. Those completing the 6-month survey were similar ages (43.3 ± 17.8 vs. 44.4 ± 19.0, p = 0.57), mechanism (24.7% vs. 28.0% shot or stabbed, p = 0.61), and severities (median Injury Severity Score, 9 vs. 9; p = 0.15) as those who only completed the baseline. There were 55.0% reported being hospitalized for an injury previously. Patients reported decreases in ability to participate in social roles and activities (mean t score 51.4 vs. 55.3; p = 0.011) and increases in anxiety (53.8 vs. 50.5, p = 0.011) and depression (51.0 vs. 48.7, p = 0.025). There were 26.2% that screened positive for posttraumatic stress disorder at 6 months. Employment decreased at 6 months, with 63.9% reporting being "occasionally" employed or unemployed at 6 months versus 44.6% preinjury ( p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The effects of injury extend beyond pain and disability, impacting several realms of life for at least 6 months following trauma. These data support the development of screening and intervention protocols for postinjury patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level IV.

Settling the Score: Injury Severity Score Fails to Capture Nuances in Pediatric Trauma.

OBJECTIVES: Recent work has questioned the accuracy of the Injury Severity Score (ISS) and the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) in the pediatric population. We sought to determine mortality rates in pediatric trauma patients at ISSs considered "severe" in adults and whether mortality would vary substantially between adults and children sustaining injuries with the same AIS. METHODS: Univariate logistic regression was used to generate mortality rates associated with ISS scores, for children (<16 years of age) and adults, using the 2016 National Trauma Data Bank. Mortality rates at an ISS of 15 were calculated in both groups. We similarly calculated ISS scores associated with mortality rates of 10%, 25%, and 50%. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to compare the discriminative ability of ISS to predict mortality after blunt and penetrating injuries in adults and children. Mortality rates associated with 1 or more AIS 3 injuries per body region were defined. RESULTS: There were 855,454 cases, 86,414 (10.1%) of which were children. The ISS associated with 10%, 25%, and 50% mortality were 35, 44, and 53, respectively, in children; they were 27, 38, and 48 in adults. At an ISS of 15, pediatric mortality was 1.0%; in adults, it was 3.1%. A 3.1% mortality rate was not observed in children until an ISS of 25. On receiver operating characteristic analysis, the ISS performed better in children compared with adults (area under the curve, 0.965 vs 0.860 [P < 0.001]). Adults consistently suffered from higher mortality rates than did children with the same number of severe injuries to a body region, and mortality varied widely between specific selected AIS 3 injuries. CONCLUSIONS: Although the ISS predicts mortality well, children have lower mortality than do adults for the same ISS, and therefore, the accepted definition of severe injury is not equivalent between these 2 cohorts. Mortality risk is highly dependent on the specific nature of the injury, with large variability in outcomes despite identical AIS scores.