ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Firearm injuries are a growing public health issue, with marked increases coinciding with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This study evaluates temporal trends over the past decade, hypothesizing that despite a growing number of injuries, mortality would be unaffected. In addition, the study characterizes the types of centers affected disproportionately by the reported firearm injury surge in 2020. METHODS: Patients aged 18 years and older with firearm injuries from 2011-2020 were identified retrospectively using the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB®). Trauma centers not operating for the entirety of the study period were excluded to allow for temporal comparisons. Joinpoint regression and risk-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were used to evaluate injury counts and adjusted mortality over time. Subgroup analysis was performed to describe centers with the largest increases in firearm injuries in 2020. RESULTS: A total of 238,674 patients, treated at 420 unique trauma centers, met inclusion criteria. Firearm injuries increased by 31.1% in 2020, compared to an annual percent change of 2.4% from 2011-2019 (p = 0.01). Subset analysis of centers with the largest changes in firearm injuries in 2020 found that they were more often level I centers, with higher historic trauma volumes and percentages of firearm injuries (p < 0.001). Unadjusted mortality decreased by 0.9% from 2011-2020, but after controlling for demographics, injury characteristics and physiology, there was no difference in adjusted mortality over the same time period. However, among patients with injury severity scores ≥25, adjusted mortality improved compared to 2011 (SMR of 0.950 in 2020, 95% CI 0.916 - 0.986). CONCLUSIONS: Firearm injuries pose an increasing burden to trauma systems, with level I and high-volume centers seeing the largest growth in 2020. Despite increasing numbers of firearm injuries, mortality has remained unchanged over the past decade. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, Prognostic/Epidemiologic.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Stroke is a devastating complication of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Many studies have investigated risk factors for postoperative stroke, but reliable predictors are not yet well-established. The objective of this study was to further characterize the predictors and outcomes of stroke after TAVR. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of 1022 patients who underwent TAVR at a single institution between 2012 and 2018. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of postoperative stroke and Kaplan-Meier method to compare 1-year survival in patients with and without postoperative stroke. RESULTS: Postoperatively, 36 patients experienced a stroke (3.5%) with most developing multiple (63.9%, N = 23), and often bilateral infarcts (50.0%, N = 18). Stroke patients more commonly had peripheral arterial disease (P = .032) and carotid stenosis (P = .013) and were less likely to receive predeployment balloon aortic valvuloplasty (P = .005). Alternative access approach (odds ratio [OR], 2.322; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.067-5.054) and history of transient ischemic attack (OR, 2.373; 95% CI: 1.026-5.489) were identified as independent predictors of postoperative stroke. Stroke patients more frequently developed postoperative complications, including prolonged ventilation (P < .001), major vascular complications (P < .001), and new-onset dialysis (P < .001). Operative mortality was greater in stroke patients (19.4% vs 3.7%; P < .001), and 1-year Kaplan-Meier estimates revealed worsened survival (log-rank P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: Alternative access approach and a history of transient ischemic attack emerged as independent predictors of postoperative stroke. Patients with stroke suffered more complications and had worse survival, underscoring the importance of characterizing the stroke risk in these patients.
