Validity of childhood adiposity classification in predicting adolescent overweight and obesity.

OBJECTIVE: Identification of children at risk for adolescent overweight can assist in targeting interventions. Uncertainty remains regarding the validity of current body mass index (BMI) reference values in predicting future risk on a population basis. This study aimed to assess the validity of current childhood adiposity classifications in predicting adolescent overweight and obesity among Israeli youth. DESIGN: Historical cohort study. SETTING: School-based childhood health studies and adolescent physical examinations. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3 163 subjects surveyed first at age 8-15 and again at age 17-19. OBSERVATIONS: Age, sex, height, weight and BMI. OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and relative risk of childhood adiposity classification. RESULTS: Childhood overweight and obesity showed low sensitivity and high specificity for predicting adolescent overweight and obesity. Positive predictive values were low and varied by age and sex, but negative predictive values were consistently high in both sexes and all ages (range 0.85-0.99). After adjusting for age and sex, both childhood overweight and obesity substantially increased the risk of adolescent overweight (relative risk [RR] 7.03 and 7.20, respectively) and adolescent obesity (RR 24.34 and 28.41, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Childhood overweight and obesity are strong risk factors for adolescent overweight and obesity among Israeli youth. Normal weight children were at very low risk for adolescent overweight. These findings suggest that population-based health promotion aimed at maintaining normal weight among children should be given preference over risk-guided approaches targeting weight reduction among obese children.

Ten-year trends in obesity among Israeli schoolchildren: 1990-2000.

AIM: To analyze trends in childhood body mass index (BMI) in Israel between 1990 and 2000, and to determine the proportion of obese children using US and population-specific reference values. METHODS: Cross-sectional data from 13 284 second- and fifth-grade schoolchildren were collected, including age, sex, height, weight, country of birth, and time since immigration. Age- and sex-specific BMI means and centiles were calculated, and the prevalence of obesity was determined using Israeli and US reference values. RESULTS: BMI values at the 95th centile increased monotonously over time in all age and sex categories. Between 1990 and 2000, 95th centile values increased by 12.7% and 11.8% among second-grade boys and girls, respectively. Among fifth-grade children, 95th centile values increased by 10.2% and 8.4%, respectively. Among second graders in 2000, 11.4% of both boys and girls exceeded the BMI value recorded at the 95th centile in 1990. Among fifth-graders in 2000, 10.7% of boys and 11.1% of girls exceeded the 1990 BMI reference value (p for all comparisons < 0.001). The proportion of obese children increased over time using both Israeli and US reference values. CONCLUSION: This substantial increase in childhood obesity poses a serious health threat, and requires implementation of suitable public health interventions.

Parental smoking and education as determinants of overweight in Israeli children.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a well-recognized risk factor for many chronic diseases. Pediatric overweight is an especially severe problem because its childhood onset increases the overall length of exposure to the detrimental effects of overweight, accelerates the onset of chronic disease, and affects children's physical, psychological, and social development. Several parental traits have been shown to be associated with an increased risk for childhood overweight. In our study, we quantified the mutual effects of parental education and smoking on the risk of filial overweight in a large population-based sample of Israeli schoolchildren, adjusting for the effects of age, sex, and immigration status. METHODS: Data were collected in 1997 and 2000 from 8623 Israeli schoolchildren aged 8 to 13 years in two cross-sectional samples. Overweight was defined as body mass index (BMI) of greater than the 85th percentile for age and sex, and severe overweight was defined as BMI greater than the 95th percentile for age and sex. RESULTS: Mean BMI was positively associated with number of parental smokers for a child. Parental smoking was an independent risk factor for both overweight and severe overweight, with a dose-response relationship between the number of parental smokers and the risk of filial overweight. Children whose parents did not attend college were at increased risk for overweight (odds ratio [OR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.42) and severe overweight (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.09-2.05) compared with children whose parents both attended college. Children with one college-educated parent were at increased risk for severe overweight (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.004-1.71) compared with children whose parents both attended college. CONCLUSION: Parental education and smoking are independent risk factors for filial overweight. Children of less-educated, smoking parents should be targeted for overweight prevention and intervention efforts. These findings should also be included as key messages in adult smoking prevention and cessation campaigns. Parents who smoke should be warned that not only is their own health at stake, but their children are also at increased risk for overweight and its associated diseases.

Adenoid cystic carcinoma of the salivary glands: a 20-year review with long-term follow-up.

The behavior of adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) of the salivary glands has been shown to be unpredictable in terms of local and distant spread and mortality. We retrospectively studied 35 operations in 34 patients who had had a pathologic diagnosis of ACC of the salivary glands and who had been treated over a 20-year period and followed for a minimum of 10 years. We analyzed the effect that different factors had on outcomes. The site of origin appeared to be an important factor in survival rates; survival among patients with tumors that had originated in the parotid gland was fairly good, while survival among those with tumors that originated in the minor salivary glands was significantly worse. TNM staging was another significant factor in survival. Other poor prognostic indicators were local spread, nodal positivity, distant metastasis, and local and regional recurrence. Radiation and chemotherapy did not appear to be beneficial for patients with advanced disease. We recommend radical surgery with complete resection for all patients with ACC of the salivary glands and a careful assessment of the neck in patients with minor salivary gland tumors.