Predicting significant fibrosis in hepatitis C patients in Luxembourg using serological markers.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study was to assess the diagnostic performance of various serological markers and scores for predicting significant fibrosis retrospectively in a population of patients referring to our hospital for liver biopsy and chronic hepatitis C. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Stored serum obtained from 186 patients were tested for a number of biological markers putatively associated with liver fibrosis. Fibrotest and Forns scores were compared with liver fibrosis pathology scored according to the METAVIR system by multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: The prevalence of significant fibrosis was 44%. Aspartate amino transferase (AST) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) were most correlated with METAVIR staging, followed by platelet counts and alpha2-macroglobulin. The negative predictive value was 77% and 83% and the positive predictive value was 100% and 84% for the Forns score and the Fibrotest, respectively. In multivariate analysis AST, GGT and alpha2-macroglobulin had independent predictive power. CONCLUSIONS: The accuracy of serological markers in predicting significant fibrosis is limited, because approximately two thirds of patients lie into an indeterminate "grey zone". Serological markers might be useful for patients reluctant to undergo liver biopsy but current predictive scoring systems are too inaccurate to replace biopsies in a routine manner.

Hepatitis C virus genotypes distribution and transmission risk factors in Luxembourg from 1991 to 2006.

AIM: To analyze the Hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype distribution and transmission risk factors in a population of unselected patients in Luxembourg. METHODS: Epidemiological information (gender, age and transmission risks) were collected from 802 patients newly diagnosed for hepatitis C and living in Luxembourg, among whom 228 patients referred from prison. Genotyping using 5'noncoding (5'NC) sequencing was performed. We compared categorical data using the Fisher's exact F-test and odds ratios (OR) were calculated for evaluating association of HCV genotype and risk factors. RESULTS: The sex ratio was predominantly male (2.2) and individuals aged less than 40 years represented 49.6% of the population. Genotype 1 was predominant (53.4%) followed by genotype 3 (33%). Among risk factors, intravenous drug usage (IVDU) was the most frequently reported (71.4%) followed by medical-related transmission (17.6%) including haemophilia, transfusion recipients and other nosocomial reasons. Genotype 3 was significantly associated to IVDU (OR = 4.84, P < 0.0001) whereas genotype 1 was significantly associated with a medical procedure (OR = 2.42, P < 0.001). The HCV genotype distribution from inmate patients differed significantly from the rest of the population (Chi-square test with four degrees of freedom, P < 0.0001) with a higher frequency of genotype 3 (46.5% vs 27.5%) and a lower frequency of genotype 1 and 4 (44.7% vs 56.8% and 5.3% vs 9.6%, respectively). IVDU was nearly exclusively reported as a risk factor in prison. CONCLUSION: We report the first description of the HCV genotype distribution in Luxembourg. The repartition is similar to other European countries, with one of the highest European prevalence rates of genotype 3 (33%). Since serology screening became available in 1991, IVDU remains the most common way of HCV transmission in Luxembourg.