ABSTRACT
Background: Newborn screening for congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH-NBS) is not yet a worldwide consensus, in part due to inconclusive evidence regarding cost-effectiveness because the analysis requires an understanding of the short- and long-term costs of care associated with delayed diagnosis. Objective: The present study aimed to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) to compare the costs associated with CAH-NBS and clinical diagnosis. Methods: A decision model comparing the two strategies was tested by sensitivity analysis. The cost analysis perspective was the public health system. Unscreened patients' data were extracted from medical records of Hospital das Clinicas, Saõ Paulo, and screened data were extracted from the NBS Referral Center of São Paulo. The population comprised 195 classical patients with CAH, clinically diagnosed and confirmed by hormonal/CYP21A2 analysis, and 378,790 newborns screened during 2017. Adverse outcomes related to late diagnosis were measured in both cohorts, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. We hypothesized that CAH-NBS would be cost-effective. Results: Twenty-five screened infants were confirmed with CAH (incidence: 1:15,135). The mortality rate was estimated to be 11% in unscreened infants, and no deaths were reported in the screened cohort. Comparing the unscreened and screened cohorts, mean serum sodium levels were 121.2 mEq/L (118.3-124.1) and 131.8 mEq/L (129.3-134.5), mean ages at diagnosis were 38.8 and 17 days, and hospitalization occurred in 76% and 58% of the salt-wasting patients with the in the two cohorts, respectively. The NBS incremental cost was US$ 771,185.82 per death averted, which yielded an ICER of US$ 25,535.95 per discounted life-year saved. Conclusions: CAH-NBS is important in preventing CAH mortality/morbidity, can reduce costs associated with adverse outcomes, and appears cost-effective.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The primary concern related to congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) newborn screening (NBS) is the high rate of false-positive results (FPR) associated with prematurity; false-negative results (FNR) can also occur due to precocious sample collection. OBJECTIVE: To determine the neonatal 17-hydroxyprogesterone (N17OHP) normal range in newborns in Sao Paulo using different references according to age and birthweight (BW) and to establish the optimal NBS cut-off levels. METHODS: Neonatal 17-hydroxyprogesterone levels from 271 810 newborns (NBs) according to sample collection time (G1: 48-<72 h and G2: ≥72 h) and BW (≤1500 g, 1501-2000 g, 2001-2500 and >2500 g) were evaluated. N17OHP was measured by an fluoroimmunoassay, and serum 17OHP was measured by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Affected and asymptomatic NBs with persistently increased 17OHP levels were submitted to CYP21A2-sequencing. RESULTS: Neonatal 17-hydroxyprogesterone levels in G1 were lower than G2 in all BW groups (P < 0·001). The FPR rate in G1/G2 was 0·2% using the 99·8th and 0·5% using the 99·5th percentile. The 99·8th percentile N17OHP value was the best cut-off for distinguishing between unaffected and affected NBs. Forty-four salt wasters, and five simple virilisers were diagnosed; N17OHP levels ranged from 93·3 to 2209·8 nmol/l, and no affected neonates with FNR were identified. The positive predictive value in G1 and G2 using the 99·8th percentile was 5·6% and 14·1%, respectively, and 2·3% and 7%, respectively, using the 99·5th percentile. Molecular tests identified two NBs with the nonclassical form among the 29 FPR. CONCLUSION: Neonatal 17-hydroxyprogesterone levels adjusted to sample collection age and birthweight reduced the FPR, and the use of N17OHP values based upon the 99·8th percentile improved the NBS efficacy.
