Clinical variables that increase the probability of pulmonary embolism diagnosis in symptomatic children.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary embolism (PE) in children carries a significant morbidity and mortality. We examined previously described factors in 2 cohorts of children tested for PE and identified novel factors. METHODS: We combined data from 2 retrospective cohorts. Patients up to age 21 years were included who underwent imaging or D-dimer testing for PE, with positive radiologic testing being the gold standard. Combined predictor variables were examined by univariate analysis and then forward stepwise multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: The combined data set yielded 1103 patients with 42 unique predictor variables, and 93 PE-positive patients (8.4%), with a median age of 16 years. Univariate analysis retained 17 variables, and multivariable logistic regression found 9 significant variables with increased probability of PE diagnosis: age-adjusted tachycardia, tachypnea, hypoxia, unilateral limb swelling, trauma/surgery requiring hospitalization in previous 4 weeks, prior thromboembolism, cancer, anemia, and leukocytosis. CONCLUSION: This combined data set of children with suspected PE discovered factors that may contribute to a diagnosis of PE: hypoxia, unilateral limb swelling, trauma/surgery requiring hospitalization in previous 4 weeks, prior thromboembolism, and cancer, age-adjusted tachycardia, tachypnea, anemia, and leukocytosis. Prospective testing is needed to determine which criteria should be used to initiate diagnostic testing for PE in children.

Detection of Pulmonary Embolism in High-Risk Children.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate 2 commonly used adult-based pulmonary embolism (PE) algorithms in pediatric patients and to derive a pediatric-specific clinical decision rule to evaluate children at risk for PE, given the paucity of data to guide diagnostic imaging in children for whom PE is suspected. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a single-center retrospective study among 561 children <22 years of age undergoing either D-dimer testing or radiologic evaluation (computed tomography or ventilation-perfusion scan) in the emergency department setting for concern of PE. A diagnosis of PE required radiologic confirmation and anticoagulant treatment. We evaluated the test characteristics of the Wells criteria and Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC) low-risk rule and used recursive partition analysis to derive a clinical decision rule. RESULTS: Among the 561 patients included in the study, 36 (6.4%) were diagnosed with PE. The Wells criteria demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 86% and 60%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the PERC were 100% and 24%, respectively. A clinical decision rule including the presence of oral contraceptive use, tachycardia, and oxygen saturation <95% demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 90% and 56%, respectively, a positive and negative likelihood ratio of 2.0 and 0.2, and a positive and negative predictive value of 0.12 and 0.99, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of PE is low among children not receiving estrogen therapy and without tachycardia and hypoxia in those with an initial suspicion of PE. Application of the PERC rule and Wells criteria should be used cautiously in the pediatric population.

Risks of radiation versus risks from injury: a clinical decision analysis for the management of penetrating palatal trauma in children.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: Penetrating palatal trauma in children presents a diagnostic dilemma regarding the small but severe risk of injury to carotid vessels. Decisions regarding which children require computed tomography with angiography must be balanced against the risk of radiation-induced malignancy. Our objectives were to compare outcomes between children with and without computed tomography with angiography in the evaluation of palatal trauma and to identify thresholds where the ideal strategy changes in the management of children with palatal trauma through sensitivity analyses. STUDY DESIGN: Decision analytic techniques were used to compare management strategies for penetrating palatal trauma. METHODS: We assigned utilities to the following outcomes: 1) perfect health, 2) future malignancy, 3) carotid injury diagnosed by computed tomography with angiography, and 4) delayed diagnosis of stroke. We calculated outcomes when the risk of stroke ranged from 0.01% to 5.0% for a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 injured children. RESULTS: Not obtaining computed tomography with angiography is the optimal strategy when the stroke risk is less than 4.5%. In two-way sensitivity analyses that consider a range of probabilities of radiation-induced malignancy and stroke, not obtaining computed tomography with angiography on all patients dominates as a strategy until the risk of stroke exceeds 2.3%, and the risk of malignancy is under 0.24%. Routine imaging would introduce 20 additional malignancies for each additional stroke diagnosed. CONCLUSIONS: Routine use of computed tomography with angiography for well-appearing children with palatal trauma should be reconsidered, as the risk of radiation-induced malignancy may outweigh the benefit of identifying the rare carotid injury. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2b.

Pediatric traumatic brain injury and radiation risks: a clinical decision analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the optimal imaging strategy for young children with minor head injury considering health-related quality of life and radiation risk. In children with minor head trauma, the risk of missing a clinically important traumatic brain injury (ciTBI) must be weighed against the risk of radiation-induced malignancy from computed tomography (CT) to assess impact on public health. STUDY DESIGN: We included children <2 years old with minor blunt head trauma defined by a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 14-15. We used decision analysis to model a CT-all versus no-CT strategy and assigned values to clinical outcomes based on a validated health-related quality of life scale: (1) baseline health; (2) non-ciTBI; (3) ciTBI without neurosurgery, death, or intubation; and (4) ciTBI with neurosurgery, death, or intubation >24 hours with probabilities from a prospective study of 10000 children. Sensitivity analysis determined the optimal management strategy over a range of ciTBI risk. RESULTS: The no-CT strategy resulted in less risk with the expected probability of a ciTBI of 0.9%. Sensitivity analysis for the probability of ciTBI identified 4.8% as the threshold above which CT all becomes the preferred strategy and shows that the threshold decreases with less radiation. The CT all strategy represents the preferred approach for children identified as high-risk. CONCLUSION: Among children <2 years old with minor head trauma, the no-CT strategy is preferable for those at low risk, reserving CT for children at higher risk.

Appendicitis update.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The diagnostic approach to children with possible appendicitis remains challenging. Although advances in imaging have improved diagnostic accuracy over clinical judgment alone, new management strategies continue to evolve. This review serves as an update on imaging, biomarkers, and management of appendicitis. RECENT FINDINGS: Abdominal computed tomography (CT) and ultrasound continue to be the ancillary radiologic studies of choice for appendicitis. Recent studies on the use of CT have focused on the need for intravenous or enteral contrast. Despite lower diagnostic performance, ultrasound has the advantage of sparing patients from radiation exposure. MRI is being evaluated as an additional diagnostic modality. New biomarkers, beyond a standard white blood cell count or absolute neutrophil count, continue to be investigated, but these are not being routinely used in practice. Different management approaches are also being investigated, including nonoperative treatment with antibiotic therapy for early, acute appendicitis. SUMMARY: The best use of advanced radiologic imaging for children with possible appendicitis is actively debated. CT continues to show superior accuracy as compared with ultrasound; however, screening ultrasounds for nonobese children have advantages. The combination of robust decision rules that incorporate biomarkers and the judicious use of CT will help define diagnostic strategies for appendicitis over the next decade.