When is a disease eradicable? 100 years of lessons learned.

Since the 1915 launch of the first international eradication initiative targeting a human pathogen, much has been learned about the determinants of eradicability of an organism. The authors outline the first 4 eradication efforts, summarizing the lessons learned in terms of the 3 types of criteria for disease eradication programs: (1) biological and technical feasibility, (2) costs and benefits, and (3) societal and political considerations.

Using DNA fingerprinting to detect transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis among AIDS patients in two health-care facilities in Puerto Rico.

BACKGROUND: Fourteen cases of tuberculosis (TB) in Puerto Rico, diagnosed from April 1993 to April 1995, had the same DNA fingerprint, documenting disease caused by the same strain of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. The 14 cases were retrospectively investigated for epidemiologic links. METHODS: Records were reviewed and staffs of the TB program, hospital/clinic, and AIDS residential facilities were interviewed. RESULTS: Half of the AIDS cases were epidemiologically related, providing evidence of TB transmission in an emergency department, an AIDS inpatient ward, and an AIDS residential facility. DNA fingerprinting allowed detection of M tuberculosis transmission, but contact investigators could have documented it sooner. Factors contributing to transmission included delayed diagnosis, prolonged infectiousness, inadequate discharge planning and infection control procedures, and poor communication between health-care facilities. CONCLUSIONS: The numbers of AIDS residential facilities are increasing and must understand proper monitoring of TB patients and infection control measures that prevent transmissions.

Widespread paralytic poliomyelitis in Pakistan: A case-control study to determine risk factors and implications for poliomyelitis eradication.

Despite substantial efforts to eradicate poliomyelitis by administering oral poliovirus vaccine through routine immunization and annual national immunization days (NIDs), Pakistan reported 22% (1147) of the worldwide cases in 1997. Reasons for continued high poliomyelitis incidence include failure to vaccinate, vaccine failure, or inadequate immunization strategies. A case-control study was conducted to measure vaccination status and reasons for undervaccination among 66 poliomyelitis cases and 130 age- and neighborhood-matched controls. Cases were undervaccinated through routine immunization (matched odds ratio [MOR], 0.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1-0.5); however, NID immunization was similar for cases and controls (MOR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-1.2). Reasons for undervaccination included not being informed, considering vaccination unimportant, and long distances to vaccination sites. Failure to vaccinate through routine immunization was a major risk factor for poliomyelitis in Pakistan. Successful NIDs alone will not interrupt poliovirus circulation in Pakistan, and children remain at risk unless routine immunization is strengthened or additional supplementary immunization is provided.

AIDS onset at high CD4+ cell levels is associated with high HIV load.

To identify factors associated with development of AIDS at high CD4+ cell levels a nested case-control study using data from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) was conducted. HIV-1-infected men who developed AIDS with > or =300/mm3 CD4+ cells (AIDS men) were compared to men who had > or =300/mm3 of CD4+ cells, but remained AIDS free for at least 2 years. The AIDS men had higher plasma HIV-1 RNA levels (mean 10(5.02) vs. 10(4.42), p<0.01) and neopterin levels (mean 18.3 vs. 11.5 units/ml, p<0.05) before the AIDS diagnosis than did the AIDS-free men. A significantly higher proportion of the AIDS men reported genital herpes within the year prior to their initial AIDS diagnosis than did the AIDS-free men (21.9 vs. 4.4%, p<0.05). The higher viral load at relatively high CD4+ cell levels in men who subsequently developed AIDS within 6 months supports the hypothesis that elevated levels of HIV precede CD4+ decline and are the major factor in determining risk of AIDS even at high levels of CD4+ cell levels.

Measles epidemic in Romania, 1996-1998: assessment of vaccine effectiveness by case-control and cohort studies.

A measles epidemic occurred in Romania with 32,915 cases and 21 deaths reported between November 1996 and June 1998, despite high vaccination coverage since the early 1980s. Most cases were unvaccinated children aged <2 years and vaccinated school-aged children. A case-control study among preschool children and a cohort study among primary-school children were conducted to estimate effectiveness of Romanian-produced measles vaccine, and to evaluate age at vaccination and waning immunity as risk factors for vaccine failure. Both studies indicated that measles vaccine was highly effective. One dose reduced the risk for measles by 89% (95% confidence interval (CI) 85, 91); two doses reduced the risk by 96% (95% CI 92, 98). Children vaccinated at <1 year of age were not at increased risk for measles compared with children vaccinated at > or =1 year. Waning immunity was not identified as a risk factor since vaccine effectiveness was similar for children vaccinated 6-8, 9-11, and 12-14 years in the past. Because specific groups were not at risk for vaccine failure, an immunization campaign that targets all school-aged children who lack two doses may be an effective strategy for preventing outbreaks. A mass campaign followed by increased first-dose coverage should provide the population immunity required to interrupt indigenous measles virus transmission in Romania.

PIP: Two studies examined the effectiveness of measles vaccines in Romania during the measles epidemic between 1996 and 1998. A case control study among preschool children and a cohort study among primary school children were conducted to estimate Romanian-produced vaccine effectiveness and to identify risk factors for measles among these age groups. Both studies found that measles vaccine was highly effective. Single-dose vaccine effectiveness was 89% and double-dose vaccine effectiveness was 96%. Univariate analysis of the case-control study indicated that being unvaccinated and being born of itinerant parents were significant risk factors for measles among preschool children. Children vaccinated at less than 1 year of age were not at increased risk for measles compared with children who receive the vaccine at 1 year or older. Because specific groups were not at risk for vaccine failure, an immunization campaign targeting all school-aged children who lacks two doses of measles vaccine may be an effective measure to prevent outbreaks in Romania.

Tuberculin skin test screening practices among US colleges and universities.

CONTEXT: Concern about transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis on college campuses has prompted some schools to institute tuberculin skin test screening of students, but this screening has never been evaluated. OBJECTIVE: To describe tuberculin skin test screening practices and results of screening in colleges and universities in the United States. DESIGN AND SETTING: Self-administered mail and telephone questionnaire in November and December 1995 to a stratified random sample of US 2-year and 4-year colleges and universities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Type of tuberculin screening required; types of schools requiring screening; number and rate of students with positive skin test results and/or diagnosed as having tuberculosis. RESULTS: Of the 3148 US colleges and universities, 624 (78%) of 796 schools surveyed responded. Overall, 378 schools (61%) required tuberculin screening; it was required for all new students (US residents and international students) in 161 (26%) of 624 schools, all new international students but not new US residents in 53 (8%), and students in specific academic programs in 294 (47%). Required screening was more likely in 4-year vs 2-year schools, schools that belonged to the American College Health Association vs nonmember schools, schools with immunization requirements vs schools without, and schools with a student health clinic vs those without (P<.001 for all). Public and private schools were equally likely to require screening (64% vs 62%; P=.21). In the 378 schools with screening requirements, tine or multiple puncture tests were accepted in 95 (25%); test results were recorded in millimeters of induration in 95 (25%); and 100 (27%) reported collecting results in a centralized registry or database. Of the 168 (27%) of 624 schools accepting only Mantoux skin tests and reporting results for school years 1992-1993 through 1995-1996, 3.1% of the 348 368 students screened had positive skin test results (median percentage positive, 0.8%). International students had a significantly higher case rate for active tuberculosis than US residents (35.2 vs 1.1 per 100000 students screened). CONCLUSIONS: Widespread tuberculin screening of students yielded a low prevalence of skin test reactors and few tuberculosis cases. To optimize the use of limited public health resources, tuberculin screening should target students at high risk for infection.