Cost-effectiveness analysis of endovascular vs surgical arteriovenous fistula creation in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: In the United States, an estimated $2.8 billion annually is spent on vascular access and its complications. Endovascular arteriovenous fistula (endoAVF) creation is a novel, minimally invasive alternative to traditional surgical AV fistula (sAVF) creation in ≤60% of patients. Although cost effective in single-payer systems, the clinical and financial impact of endoAVF in the United States remains uncertain. METHODS: We constructed a decision tree followed by a probabilistic cohort state-transition model to study the cost effectiveness of endoAVF vs sAVF creation. We conducted a systematic review to obtain input parameters including technical success, maturation, patency, and utility values. We derived costs from the Medicare 2022 fee schedule and from the literature. We used a 5-year time horizon, an annual discount rate of 3% for costs and utilities (measured in quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]), and the common willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000. One-way and Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed varying technical success, patency, reintervention, cost, and utility parameters. RESULTS: In the base-case scenario, endoAVF ($30,129 average per-person costs, 2.19 QALYs gained, 65% patent at 5 years) was not cost effective compared with sAVF ($12.987 average per-person costs, 2.11 QALYs gained, 66% patent at 5 years), generating an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $227,504 per QALY gained. In one-way sensitivity analyses, endoAVF becomes cost effective when the initial cost of sAVF creation exceeds endoAVF by ≥$600 (eg, if endoAVF creation costs ≤$3000 relative to the base-case sAVF cost of $3600), the additional QALYs gained from endoAVF exceeds 0.12 QALYs/year (eg, 0.81 QALYs gained/year from endoAVF compared with base-case sAVF 0.69 QALYs/year), the endoAVF maturation rate is >90% (base case 78%), or the sAVF maturation rate is <65% (base case 78%). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that sAVF remained the optimal strategy in 71% of iterations. CONCLUSIONS: EndoAVF is not cost effective compared with sAVF when modeling 5-year outcomes. The main driver of sAVF remaining cost effective is the four times higher up-front cost for endoAVF creation, as well as a relatively low additional increase in quality of life for endoAVF. It will be important to establish how the endoAVF learning curve contributes to upfront costs and, given the annual cost attributed to vascular access nationally, a randomized controlled trial is warranted.

Physician- and Patient-Elicited Barriers and Facilitators to Implementation of a Machine Learning-Based Screening Tool for Peripheral Arterial Disease: Preimplementation Study With Physician and Patient Stakeholders.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is underdiagnosed, partially due to a high prevalence of atypical symptoms and a lack of physician and patient awareness. Implementing clinical decision support tools powered by machine learning algorithms may help physicians identify high-risk patients for diagnostic workup. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate barriers and facilitators to the implementation of a novel machine learning-based screening tool for PAD among physician and patient stakeholders using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). METHODS: We performed semistructured interviews with physicians and patients from the Stanford University Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Division of Cardiology, and Division of Vascular Medicine. Participants answered questions regarding their perceptions toward machine learning and clinical decision support for PAD detection. Rapid thematic analysis was performed using templates incorporating codes from CFIR constructs. RESULTS: A total of 12 physicians (6 primary care physicians and 6 cardiovascular specialists) and 14 patients were interviewed. Barriers to implementation arose from 6 CFIR constructs: complexity, evidence strength and quality, relative priority, external policies and incentives, knowledge and beliefs about intervention, and individual identification with the organization. Facilitators arose from 5 CFIR constructs: intervention source, relative advantage, learning climate, patient needs and resources, and knowledge and beliefs about intervention. Physicians felt that a machine learning-powered diagnostic tool for PAD would improve patient care but cited limited time and authority in asking patients to undergo additional screening procedures. Patients were interested in having their physicians use this tool but raised concerns about such technologies replacing human decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: Patient- and physician-reported barriers toward the implementation of a machine learning-powered PAD diagnostic tool followed four interdependent themes: (1) low familiarity or urgency in detecting PAD; (2) concerns regarding the reliability of machine learning; (3) differential perceptions of responsibility for PAD care among primary care versus specialty physicians; and (4) patient preference for physicians to remain primary interpreters of health care data. Facilitators followed two interdependent themes: (1) enthusiasm for clinical use of the predictive model and (2) willingness to incorporate machine learning into clinical care. Implementation of machine learning-powered diagnostic tools for PAD should leverage provider support while simultaneously educating stakeholders on the importance of early PAD diagnosis. High predictive validity is necessary for machine learning models but not sufficient for implementation.

Artificial intelligence in clinical workflow processes in vascular surgery and beyond.

In the past decade, artificial intelligence (AI)-based applications have exploded in health care. In cardiovascular disease, and vascular surgery specifically, AI tools such as machine learning, natural language processing, and deep neural networks have been applied to automatically detect underdiagnosed diseases, such as peripheral artery disease, abdominal aortic aneurysms, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. In addition to disease detection and risk stratification, AI has been used to identify guideline-concordant statin therapy use and reasons for nonuse, which has important implications for population-based cardiovascular disease health. Although many studies highlight the potential applications of AI, few address true clinical workflow implementation of available AI-based tools. Specific examples, such as determination of optimal statin treatment based on individual patient risk factors and enhancement of intraoperative fluoroscopy and ultrasound imaging, demonstrate the potential promise of AI integration into clinical workflow. Many challenges to AI implementation in health care remain, including data interoperability, model bias and generalizability, prospective evaluation, privacy and security, and regulation. Multidisciplinary and multi-institutional collaboration, as well as adopting a framework for integration, will be critical for the successful implementation of AI tools into clinical practice.

Expansion of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening and Ultrasound Utilization and Diagnosis.

This cohort study uses a deidentified national administrative claims database to assess the association of eligibility expansion with abdominal aortic aneurysm screening and diagnosis.

Association of Baseline Chronic Kidney Disease Stage With Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Fenestrated Endovascular Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair (FEVAR) is a well-established treatment approach for juxtarenal and short-neck infrarenal aortic aneurysms. Recommendations and clinical outcomes are lacking for offering FEVAR in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to compare short- and long-term outcomes for patients with none-to-mild versus moderate-to-severe CKD undergoing FEVAR. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed consecutive patients undergoing standard FEVAR with Cook devices at a single institution. The cohort was stratified by preoperative CKD stage none-to-mild or moderate-to-severe (CKD 1-2 and CKD 3-5, respectively). The primary outcome was postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). Secondary outcomes included 30-day perioperative complications, 1- and 5-year rates of overall survival, dialysis, renal target artery patency, endoleak, and reintervention assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Aneurysm sac regression, number of surveillance computed tomography (CT) scans, and CKD stage progression were assessed at latest follow-up. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to evaluate the association of CKD stage 3 and stage 4-5 with all-cause mortality, controlling for differences in baseline characteristics. RESULTS: From 2012- to 2022, 184 patients (of which 82% were male) underwent FEVAR with the Cook ZFEN device (mean follow-up 34.3 months). Group CKD 3-5 comprised 77 patients (42%), was older (75.2 vs. 73.0 years, P = 0.04), had increased preoperative creatinine (1.6 vs. 0.9 mg/dL, P < 0.01), and demonstrated increased renal artery ostial calcification (37.7% vs. 21.5%, P = 0.02) compared with Group CKD 1-2. Perioperatively, CKD 3-5 sustained higher estimated blood loss (342 vs. 228 ml, P = 0.01), longer operative times (186 vs. 162 min, P = 0.04), and longer length of stay (3 vs. 2 days, P < 0.01). Kaplan-Meier 1- and 5-year survival estimates were lower for CKD 3-5 (82.3% vs. 95.1%, P < 0.01 and 55.4% vs. 70.8%, P = 0.02). Fewer CKD 3-5 patients remained free from chronic dialysis at 1 year (94.4% vs. 100%, P = 0.015) and 5 years (84.7% vs. 100%, P < 0.01). There were no significant differences in postoperative AKI rate (CKD 1-2 6.5% vs. CKD 3-5 14.3%, P = 0.13), long-term renal artery patency, reinterventions, type I or III endoleak, mean sac regression, or total follow-up CT scans between groups. CKD stage progression occurred in 47 patients (31%) at latest follow-up but did not differ between stratified groups (P = 0.17). On multivariable modeling, age (hazard ratio 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.09, P = 0.02) and CKD stage 4-5 (hazard ratio 6.39, 95% confidence interval 2.26-18.05, P < 0.01) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative CKD status did not negatively impact the durability or technical success related to aneurysm outcomes after FEVAR. Worsening CKD stage was associated with lower 1- and 5-year overall survival and freedom from dialysis after FEVAR with no statistically significant differences in 30-day or long-term technical aneurysm outcomes.

Most privately insured patients do not receive federally recommended abdominal aortic aneurysm screening.

OBJECTIVE: Since 2005, the United States Preventative Services Task Force has recommended abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) ultrasound screening for 65- to 75-year-old male ever-smokers. Integrated health systems such as Kaiser Permanente and the Veterans Affairs (VA) health care system report 74% to 79% adherence, but compliance rates in the private sector are unknown. METHODS: The IBM Marketscan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases (2006-2017) were queried for male ever-smokers continuously enrolled from age 65 to 75 years. Exclusion criteria were previous history of AAA, connective tissue disorder, and aortic surgery. Patients with abdominal computed tomographic or magnetic resonance imaging from ages 65 to 75 years were also excluded. Screening was defined as a complete abdominal, retroperitoneal, or aortic ultrasound. A logistic mixed-effects model utilizing state as a random intercept was used to identify patient characteristics associated with screening. RESULTS: Of 35,154 eligible patients, 13,612 (38.7%) underwent screening. Compliance varied by state, ranging from 24.4% in Minnesota to 51.6% in Montana (P < .05). Screening activity increased yearly, with 0.7% of screening activity occurring in 2008 vs 22.2% in 2016 (P <.05). In a logistic mixed-effects model adjusting for state as a random intercept, history of hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.13), coronary artery disease (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.10-1.22), congestive heart failure (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01-1.22), diabetes (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.06-1.16), and chronic kidney disease (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.24-1.53) were associated with screening. Living outside of a census-designated metropolitan area was negatively associated with screening (OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: In a private claims database representing 250 million claimants, 38.7% of eligible patients received United States Preventative Services Task Force-recommended AAA screening. Compliance was nearly one-half that of integrated health systems and was significantly lower for patients living outside of metropolitan areas. Efforts to improve early detection of AAA should include targeting non-metropolitan areas and modifying Medicare reimbursement and incentivization strategies to improve guideline adherence.

Utilizing remote access for electronic medical records reduces overall electronic medical record time for vascular surgery residents.

OBJECTIVE: Survey data suggests that surgical residents spend 20% to 30% of training time using the electronic medical record (EMR), raising concerns about burnout and insufficient operative experience. We characterize trainee EMR activity in the vascular surgery service of a quaternary care center to identify modifiable factors associated with high EMR use. METHODS: Resident activity while on the vascular surgery service was queried from the EMR. Weekends and holidays were excluded to focus on typical staffing periods. Variables including daily time spent, post-graduate year (PGY), remote access via mobile device or personal laptop, and patient census including operative caseload were extracted. Univariate analysis was performed with t tests and χ2 tests where appropriate. We then fit a linear mixed-effects model with normalized daily EMR time as the outcome variable, random slopes for resident and patient census, and fixed effects of PGY level, academic year, and fractional time spent using remote access. RESULTS: EMR activity for 53 residents from July 2015 to June 2019 was included. The mean daily EMR usage was 1.6 hours, ranging from 3.6 hours per day in PGY1 residents to 1.1 hours in PGY4 to 5 residents. Across all PGYs, the most time-consuming EMR activities were chart review (43.0%-46.6%) and notes review (22.4%-27.0%). In the linear mixed-effects model, increased patient census was associated with increased daily EMR usage (Coefficient = 0.61, P-value < .001). Resident seniority (Coefficient = -1.2, P-value < .001) and increased remote access (Coefficient = -0.44, P-value < .001) were associated with reduced daily EMR usage. Over the study period, total EMR usage decreased significantly from the 2015/2016 academic year to the 2018/2019 academic year (mean difference, 2.4 hours vs 1.78; P-value < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In an audit of EMR activity logs on a vascular surgery service, mean EMR time was 1.6 hours a day, which is lower than survey estimates. Resident seniority and remote access utilization were associated with reduced time spent on the EMR, independent of patient census. Although increasing EMR accessibility via mobile devices and personal computers have been hypothesized to contribute to poor work-life balance, our study suggests a possible time-saving effect by enabling expedient access for data review, which constitutes the majority of resident EMR activity. Further research in other institutions and specialties is needed for external validation and exploring implications for resident wellness initiatives.

Transversus abdominus plane blocks do not reduce rates of postoperative prolonged opioid use following abdominally based autologous breast reconstruction: a nationwide longitudinal analysis.

Background: The transversus abdominus plane (TAP) block reduces postoperative donor site pain in patients undergoing autologous breast reconstruction with an abdominally based flap. This study aimed to determine the effect of TAP blocks on rates of conversion to chronic opioid use. Methods: The Clinformatics Data Mart was queried from 2003 to 2019, extracting adult encounters for abdominally based free and pedicled flaps based on common procedural terminology (CPT) codes. Patients were excluded if they had filled a narcotic prescription 1 year to 30 days prior to surgery. The exposure variable-TAP block-was identified by CPT codes. Outcomes were evaluated using morphine milligram equivalents (MME) from prescriptions filled between 30 days prior to and 30 days after surgery. Chronic opioid use (COU) was defined as receiving 4 unique prescriptions or a 60-day supply between 30 and 180 days after surgery. Results: Of the 4091 patients, (mean age 51.2 ± 9.0 years), 181 (4.4%) had a TAP block placed. Perioperative MMEs/day, postoperative COU, and length of stay did not differ in patients who received a TAP block (p = 0.142; p = 0.271). Significant predictors of risk of conversion to COU included younger age, pedicled abdominal flap, Elixhauser comorbidity index score > 3, filling a psychiatric medication prescription, and filling a benzodiazepine prescription. Conclusions: In patients undergoing autologous breast reconstruction with abdominally based flap reconstruction, TAP blocks do not decrease perioperative MME/day, conversion to chronic opioid use, or length of stay. These data suggest that intraoperative TAP block placement may be a low-yield opioid-reduction strategy.Level of evidence: Level III, risk/prognostic study.

Female sex is independently associated with reduced inpatient mortality after endovascular repair of blunt thoracic aortic injury.

BACKGROUND: Female sex has been associated with decreased mortality after blunt trauma, but whether sex influences the outcomes of thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) for traumatic blunt thoracic aortic injury (BTAI) is unknown. METHODS: In this retrospective study of a prospectively maintained database, the Vascular Quality Initiative registry was queried from 2013 to 2020 for patients undergoing TEVAR for BTAI. Univariate Student's t-tests and χ2 tests were performed, followed by multivariate logistic regression for variables associated with inpatient mortality. RESULTS: Of 806 eligible patients, 211 (26.2%) were female. Female patients were older (47.9 vs 41.8 years, P < .0001) and less likely to smoke (38.3% vs 48.2%, P = .044). Most patients presented with grade III BTAI (54.5% female, 53.6% male), followed by grade IV (19.0% female, 19.5% male). Mean Injury Severity Scores (30.9 + 20.3 female, 30.5 + 18.8 male) and regional Abbreviated Injury Score did not vary by sex. Postoperatively, female patients were less likely to die as inpatients (3.8% vs 7.9%, P = .042) and to be discharged home (41.4% vs 52.2%, P = .008). On multivariate logistic regression, female sex (odds ratio [OR]: 0.05, P = .002) was associated with reduced inpatient mortality. Advanced age (OR: 1.06, P < .001), postoperative transfusion (OR: 1.05, P = .043), increased Injury Severity Score (OR: 1.03, P = .039), postoperative stroke (OR: 9.09, P = .016), postoperative myocardial infarction (OR: 9.9, P = .017), and left subclavian coverage (OR: 2.7, P = .029) were associated with inpatient death. CONCLUSIONS: Female sex is associated with lower odds of inpatient mortality after TEVAR for BTAI, independent of age, injury severity, BTAI grade, and postoperative complications. Further study of the influence of sex on postdischarge outcomes is needed.

Impact of Scalene Muscle Botulinum Toxin Injection With and Without Surgery in Neurogenic Thoracic Outlet Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: Scalene blocks are part of both the diagnostic and treatment algorithm for patients presenting with symptoms of neurogenic thoracic outlet syndrome (nTOS). However, there is a paucity of data on the utility of scalene botulinum toxin injection (BTI) before surgical decompression. We sought to determine the impact of BTI with and without surgery at a multidisciplinary referral center. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Single institution tertiary academic center, 2011 to 2020. PATIENTS: Seventy-seven consecutive patients. INTERVENTIONS: Scalene muscle BTI for nTOS with or without surgical decompression. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pain relief and Quick Disability of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (QDASH) score. RESULTS: Seventy-seven patients, with a mean age of 31.4 years, had BTI for symptoms of nTOS. All patients underwent pretreatment physical therapy through the Edgelow protocol for a mean duration of 3.4 months. However, 72.7% had dynamic vascular compression on duplex ultrasound with provocative maneuvers and 85.7% had a positive physical examination finding. After BTI, 77.9% reported subjective relief, confirmed by an improved QDASH disability score. Thirty-one patients (40.3%) then went on to have further persistent symptoms and proceeded with first rib resection. After BTI + Surgery, 96.8% reported symptomatic relief and had a median QDASH score improvement of 21 (range: 10-40), with all reaching minimal clinically important differences in the QDASH score after combination therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In this reported series of chemodenervation in patients with nTOS, BTI is helpful in alleviating symptoms before definitive surgical decompression. BTI followed by first rib resection provides additional symptom improvement over BTI alone.

Prescription quantity and duration predict progression from acute to chronic opioid use in opioid-naïve Medicaid patients.

Opiates used for acute pain are an established risk factor for chronic opioid use (COU). Patient characteristics contribute to progression from acute opioid use to COU, but most are not clinically modifiable. To develop and validate machine-learning algorithms that use claims data to predict progression from acute to COU in the Medicaid population, Adult opioid naïve Medicaid patients from 6 anonymized states who received an opioid prescription between 2015 and 2019 were included. Five machine learning (ML) Models were developed, and model performance assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (auROC), precision and recall. In the study, 29.9% (53820/180000) of patients transitioned from acute opioid use to COU. Initial opioid prescriptions in COU patients had increased morphine milligram equivalents (MME) (33.2 vs. 23.2), tablets per prescription (45.6 vs. 36.54), longer prescriptions (26.63 vs 24.69 days), and higher proportions of tramadol (16.06% vs. 13.44%) and long acting oxycodone (0.24% vs 0.04%) compared to non- COU patients. The top performing model was XGBoost that achieved average precision of 0.87 and auROC of 0.63 in testing and 0.55 and 0.69 in validation, respectively. Top-ranking prescription-related features in the model included quantity of tablets per prescription, prescription length, and emergency department claims. In this study, the Medicaid population, opioid prescriptions with increased tablet quantity and days supply predict increased risk of progression from acute to COU in opioid-naïve patients. Future research should evaluate the effects of modifying these risk factors on COU incidence.

Large Fenestrations Versus Scallops for the Superior Mesenteric Artery during Fenestrated Endovascular Aneurysm Repair: Does it Matter?

BACKGROUND: Fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair is an established customized treatment for aortic aneurysms with 3 current commercially available configurations for the superior mesenteric artery (SMA)-a single-wide scallop, large fenestration, or small fenestration, with the scallop or large fenestration most utilized. Outcomes comparing SMA single-wide scallops to large fenestrations with the Zenith fenestrated (ZFEN) device are scarce. As large fenestrations have the benefit of extending the proximal seal zone compared to scalloped configurations, we sought to determine the differences in seal zone and sac regression outcomes between the 2 SMA configurations. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed our prospectively maintained complex endovascular aneurysm repair database and included all patients treated with the Cook ZFEN device with an SMA scallop or large fenestration configuration at its most proximal build. All first postoperative computed tomography scans (1-30 days) were analyzed on TeraRecon to determine precise proximal seal zone lengths, and standard follow-up anatomic and clinical metrics were tabulated. RESULTS: A total of 234 consecutive ZFEN patients from 2012 to 2021 were reviewed, and 137 had either a scallop or a large fenestration for the SMA as the proximal-most configuration (72 scallops and 65 large fenestrations) with imaging available for analysis. The mean follow-up was 35 months. The mean proximal seal zone length was 19.5 ± 7.9 mm for scallop versus 41.7 ± 14.4 mm for large fenestration groups (P < 0.001). There was no difference in sac regression between the scallop and large fenestration at 1 year (10.1 ± 10.9 mm vs. 11.0 ± 12.1, P = 0.63). Overall, 30-day mortality (1.3% vs. 2.5%, P = 0.51) and all-cause 3-year mortality (72.5% vs. 81.7%, P = 0.77) were not significantly different. Reinterventions within 30 days were primarily secondary to renal artery branch occlusions, with only 1 patient in the scallop group requiring reintervention for an SMA branch occlusion. CONCLUSIONS: Despite attaining longer proximal seal lengths, large SMA fenestrations were not associated with a difference in sac regression compared to scalloped SMA configurations at a one-year follow-up. There were no significant differences in reinterventions or overall long-term survival between the 2 SMA strategies.

Interruptive Electronic Alerts for Choosing Wisely Recommendations: A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy of interruptive electronic alerts in improving adherence to the American Board of Internal Medicine's Choosing Wisely recommendations to reduce unnecessary laboratory testing. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We administered 5 cluster randomized controlled trials simultaneously, using electronic medical record alerts regarding prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing, acute sinusitis treatment, vitamin D testing, carotid artery ultrasound screening, and human papillomavirus testing. For each alert, we assigned 5 outpatient clinics to an interruptive alert and 5 were observed as a control. Primary and secondary outcomes were the number of postalert orders per 100 patients at each clinic and number of triggered alerts divided by orders, respectively. Post hoc analysis evaluated whether physicians experiencing interruptive alerts reduced their alert-triggering behaviors. RESULTS: Median postalert orders per 100 patients did not differ significantly between treatment and control groups; absolute median differences ranging from 0.04 to 0.40 for PSA testing. Median alerts per 100 orders did not differ significantly between treatment and control groups; absolute median differences ranged from 0.004 to 0.03. In post hoc analysis, providers receiving alerts regarding PSA testing in men were significantly less likely to trigger additional PSA alerts than those in the control sites (Incidence Rate Ratio 0.12, 95% CI [0.03-0.52]). DISCUSSION: Interruptive point-of-care alerts did not yield detectable changes in the overall rate of undesired orders or the order-to-alert ratio between active and silent sites. Complementary behavioral or educational interventions are likely needed to improve efforts to curb medical overuse. CONCLUSION: Implementation of interruptive alerts at the time of ordering was not associated with improved adherence to 5 Choosing Wisely guidelines. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02709772.

Use of an app-based exercise therapy program including cognitive-behavioral techniques for the management of intermittent claudication.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical practice guidelines recommend supervised exercise therapy (SET) as first-line therapy for patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) and intermittent claudication (IC). The Society for Vascular Surgery Appropriate Use Criteria for IC deems excercise therapy (ET) as appropriate for all patients with IC. However, compliance with recommendations for the use of ET is often poor owing to the lack of availability, patient travel requirements, and cost. Results of home-based ET programs have been mixed with a trend toward improved results with more frequent patient engagement. The feasibility, use, and effectiveness of a 12-week app-based structured ET program using cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) techniques for IC was evaluated. METHODS: Patients with PAD confirmed by an abnormal ankle-brachial index or toe-brachial index and IC were recruited prospectively to participate in Society for Vascular Surgery SET, a 12-week app-based ET program. Participants performed home 6-minute walk tests, completed quality-of-life surveys, received education options via micro learning courses (eg, What is PAD?, Exercise, and Nutrition), and ongoing health coaching using CBT techniques. They were instructed to record at least three 30-minute ET walks a week using their personal mobile phones. Programming also included daily doses of health education, coaching, and reminders sent via text message. RESULTS: One hundred thirty-nine patients (37% women; mean age, 65 years) were enrolled across 20 institutions (44% offered in-person ET programs). One hundred twenty patients (86%) completed the program. Participants recorded 201,163 minutes of walking 8,013,520 steps with the ET program, completing a total of 5049 SET walks. Nineteen enrolled participants (14%) became inactive because they either paused (14 participants: medical reasons, travel, or other) or withdrew (5 participants: security concerns, lack of motivation). Ninety-two percent of patients met their stated CBT specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound goals. Freedom from intervention at 6 months was 92% and 69% at 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Deployment of a 12-week app-based ET program for PAD incorporating CBT was feasible in achieving 86% program completion and effective at meeting guideline recommended activity goals. Ninety-two percent of participants achieved their CBT specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound goals. The use of ET was increased by virtue of offering this program at institutions that did not offer ET.

Predicting Unplanned 7-day Intensive Care Unit Readmissions with Machine Learning Models for Improved Discharge Risk Assessment.

Unplanned readmission to the intensive care unit (ICU) confers excess morbidity and mortality. We explore whether machine learning models can outperform the current standard, the Stability and Workload Index for Transfer (SWIFT) score, in assessing 7-day ICU readmission risk at discharge. Logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and gradient boosting models were trained and validated on Stanford Hospital data (2009-2019), externally validated on Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) data (2008-2019) and benchmarked against SWIFT. The best performing model was gradient boosting, with AUROC of 0.85 and 0.60 and F1-score of 0.43 and 0.14 on internal and external validation, respectively. SWIFT had an AUROC of 0.67 and 0.51 and F1-score of 0.33 and 0.10 on Stanford and BIDMC data, respectively. Machine learning models predicting 7-day ICU readmission risk can improve current ICU discharge risk assessment standards, but performance may be limited without local training.

Trends in annual open abdominal aortic surgical volumes for vascular trainees compared with annual national volumes in the endovascular era.

OBJECTIVE: A prior analysis predicted a shortfall in open abdominal aortic repair (OAR) experience for vascular trainees resulting from the rapid adoption, and increased anatomic suitability, of endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) technology. We explored how EVAR has transformed contemporary open aortic surgical education for vascular trainees. METHODS: We examined the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education case volumes of open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair and reconstruction for aortoiliac occlusive disease via aortoiliac or femoral bypass (AFB) from integrated vascular surgery residents (VSRs) and fellows (VSFs) graduating from 2006 to 2017 and compared them to the national estimates of total OAR (open AAA repair plus AFB) in the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality National Inpatient Sample using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th revision, procedural codes. Changes over time were assessed using the χ2 test, Student's t test, and linear regression. RESULTS: During the 12-year study period, the national annual total OAR and open AAA repair estimates had decreased: total OAR by 72.5% (estimate ± standard error: 2006, 24,255 ± 1185; vs 2017, 6690 ± 274; P < .001) and open AAA repair by 84.7% (estimate ± standard error: 2006, 18,619 ± 924; vs 2017, 2850 ± 168; P < .001). The AFB estimates had decreased by 33.0% (P < .001). The percentage of total OAR, open AAA repair, and AFB performed at teaching hospitals had significantly increased, from ∼55% to 80% (P < .001 for all). A 40.9% decrease was found for open AAA repairs performed by graduating VSFs (mean, 18.6 vs 11) but only a 6.9% decrease in total OAR cases (mean, 27.6 vs 25.7) owing to increasing AFB volumes (mean, 9.0 vs 14.7). The VSR graduates had consistently logged an average of ∼10 open AAA repairs, with a 31.0% increase in total OARs (mean, 23.2 vs 30.4), again secondary to increasing AFB volumes (mean, 11.4 vs 17.5). Although an absolute decrease was found in open aortic experience for VSFs, the rate of decline for the total OAR case volumes was not significantly different after VSR programs had been established (P = .40). CONCLUSIONS: As the incidence has decreased nationally, the use of OAR has been shifting toward teaching hospitals. Although open AAA procedures for trainees have been declining with the increased use of EVAR, open aortic reconstruction for aortoiliac occlusive disease has been increasing, playing an important role in ensuring that vascular trainees continue to have satisfactory OAR experience sufficient for meeting minimum graduation requirements. Strategies to maintain and maximize the education and experience from these cases should be the top priority for vascular surgery program directors.

Cost-effectiveness of computed tomography versus ultrasound-based surveillance following endovascular aortic repair of intact infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms.

BACKGROUND: While Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines recommend computed tomography angiography (CTA) or ultrasound for surveillance following infrarenal endovascular aortic repair (EVAR), there is a lack of consensus regarding optimal timing and modalities. We hypothesized that ultrasound-based approaches would be more cost-effective and developed a cost-effectiveness analysis to estimate the lifetime costs and outcomes of various strategies. METHODS: We developed a decision tree with nested Markov models to compare five surveillance strategies: yearly CTA, yearly CDU, yearly CEU, CTA at first year followed by CDU, and CTA at first year followed by CEU. The model accounted for differential sensitivity, specificity, and risk of acute kidney injury after CTA, and was implemented on a monthly cycle with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and 3% annual discounting. RESULTS: Under base case assumptions, the CTA-CDU strategy was cost effective with a lifetime cost of $77950 for 7.74 QALYs. In sensitivity analysis, the CTA-CDU approach remained cost-effective when CEU specificity was less than 95%, and risk of acute kidney injury following CTA was less than 20%. At diagnostic sensitivities below 75% for CEU and 55% for CDU, a yearly CTA strategy maximized QALYs. CONCLUSIONS: A hybrid strategy in which CTA is performed in the first year and CDU is performed annually thereafter is the most cost-effective strategy for infrarenal EVAR surveillance in patients with less than a 20% risk of contrast-induced nephropathy. If the sensitivity of CEU and CDU are at the lower end of plausible estimates, a yearly CTA strategy is reasonable. Further research should aim to identify patients who may benefit from alternative surveillance strategies.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of management of incompetent perforators in patients with chronic venous insufficiency.

OBJECTIVE: Incompetent perforator veins (IPVs) contribute to venous pathology and are surgically treated based on hemodynamic measurements, size, and the CEAP (Clinical, Etiological, Anatomical, and Pathophysiological) classification. The objective of the present study was to systematically review and synthesize the current literature regarding the surgical management of IPVs, including open ligation, subfascial endoscopic perforator surgery (SEPS), endovascular laser ablation, ultrasound-guided sclerotherapy, and radiofrequency ablation. METHODS: English-language literature reported before November 2021 was reviewed from the PubMed, EMBASE, and MEDLINE databases for primary studies reporting safety and efficacy outcomes in the surgical treatment of IPVs. Study quality and risk of bias were assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool for comparative studies and a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for noncomparative studies. A random effects model was used to pool the effect sizes for efficacy outcomes of wound healing and freedom from wound recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 81 studies were included for qualitative synthesis, representing 7010 patients, with a mean age of 54.7 years. The overall evidence quality was low to intermediate, with a moderate to high risk of bias in the comparative studies. An 11.3% complication rate was found across the interventions, with no reported incidence of stroke or air embolism. Regarding efficacy, the pooled estimates for short-term (≤1 year) wound healing were 99.9% for ultrasound-guided sclerotherapy (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81%-1%), 72.2% for open ligation (95% CI, 0.04%-0.94%), and 96.0% for SEPS (95% CI, 0.79%-0.99%). For short-term freedom from wound recurrence, the pooled estimate for SEPS was 91.0% (95% CI, 0.3%-0.99%). CONCLUSIONS: The current evidence regarding the treatment of IPVs is limited owing to the low adherence to reporting standards in the observational studies and the lack of randomization, blinding, and allocation concealment in the comparative studies. Additional comparative studies are needed to guide clinical decision-making regarding the invasive treatment options for IPVs.

Gaps in standardized postoperative pain management quality measures: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The goal of this study was an assessment of availability postoperative pain management quality measures and National Quality Forum-endorsed measures. Postoperative pain is an important clinical timepoint because poor pain control can lead to patient suffering, chronic opiate use, and/or chronic pain. Quality measures can guide best practices, but it is unclear whether there are measures for managing pain after surgery. METHODS: The National Quality Forum Quality Positioning System, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Indicators, and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Measures Inventory Tool databases were searched in November 2019. We conducted a systematic literature review to further identify quality measures in research publications, clinical practice guidelines, and gray literature for the period between March 11, 2015 and March 11, 2020. RESULTS: Our systematic review yielded 1,328 publications, of which 206 were pertinent. Nineteen pain management quality measures were identified from the quality measure databases, and 5 were endorsed by National Quality Forum. The National Quality Forum measures were not specific to postoperative pain management. Three of the non-endorsed measures were specific to postoperative pain. CONCLUSION: The dearth of published postoperative pain management quality measures, especially National Quality Forum-endorsed measures, highlights the need for more rigorous evidence and widely endorsed postoperative pain quality measures to guide best practices.

Female sex is independently associated with in-hospital mortality after endovascular aortic repair for ruptured aortic aneurysm.

BACKGROUND: Endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) can treat anatomically compatible ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAA), but registry data suggests that women undergo more open abdominal aneurysm repairs than men. We evaluate in-hospital outcomes of EVAR for rAAA by sex. METHODS: The Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) registry was queried from 2013 to 2019 for rAAA patients treated with EVAR. Univariate analysis was performed with Student's t-test and chi-squared tests. Multivariable logistic regression was then performed to assess the association between female sex and inpatient mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1775 patients were included (23.8% female). Female rAAA patients were older (P< 0.01) and weighed less (P < 0.01). They were less likely to have smoked (P <.0 001) and had lower creatinine (1.29 vs. 1.43, P < 0.01) and hemoglobin (10.7 vs. 11.7, P < 0.01). Women had smaller maximum aortic diameters (74 vs. 66 mm, P < 0.01) and were less likely to have iliac aneurysms (P < 0.001). Women were more likely to have concomitant femoral endarterectomy (8.5% vs. 4.6%, P = 0.03). Despite having no significant difference in complication or reintervention rates, women had higher rates of in-hospital mortality (45.9% vs. 34.5%, P < 0.01). In a logistic regression model for predictors of in-hospital mortality (χ2 < .01), increased age (OR 1.08, P < 0.01), female sex (OR 1.7, P = 0.02), preoperative cardiac arrest (OR 5.29, P < 0.01), concurrent iliac stenting (OR 2.38, P = 0.02), postoperative mesenteric ischemia (OR 2.51, P < 0.01) and postoperative transfusion (OR 1.06, P < 0.01) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Increased preoperative hemoglobin was protective (OR 0.89, P < 0.01) CONCLUSIONS: Female sex is independently associated with in-hospital mortality after EVAR for rAAA, suggesting a relationship beyond anatomical, biochemical, and procedural covariates.