Effectiveness of the quadrivalent high-dose influenza vaccine for prevention of cardiovascular and respiratory events in people aged 65 years and above: Rationale and design of a real-world pragmatic randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Influenza has been an acknowledged cause of respiratory disease for decades. However, considerable related, and often unappreciated, disease burden stems from cardiovascular complications, exacerbations of underlying medical conditions and secondary respiratory complications, with the highest burden in the elderly. This novel study combines the gold standard method of a randomized controlled trial with real-world data collection through national registries, to assess the relative effectiveness of high-dose (QIV-HD) vs standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV-SD) in preventing cardio-respiratory hospitalizations in a large cohort of adults aged ≥65 years. METHODS AND RESULTS: This trial (NCT04137887) is a Phase III/IV, modified double-blinded, randomized, registry-based trial, conducted by the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare (THL). Participants (n>120 000) are being enrolled over multiple influenza seasons and randomized (1:1) to receive QIV-HD or QIV-SD. Participant follow-up is based on data collection up to 11 months post-vaccination using Finnish national health registries. The primary objective is to demonstrate the relative superior effectiveness of QIV-HD over QIV-SD in preventing cardio-respiratory hospitalizations up to 6 months post-vaccination. Safety will be assessed using automated online tools throughout the study, with causality assessed using statistical and probabilistic methods; serious adverse reactions and adverse events of special interest will be investigated individually. CONCLUSION: This large, real-world, randomized study will provide valuable insight into the contribution of influenza in causing severe cardio-respiratory events, and the role of vaccination with QIV-HD in reducing these outcomes compared to the current standard of care. FUNDING: Sanofi Pasteur.

Introductory paper: High-dose influenza vaccine.

Seasonal influenza has a significant impact on global public health each year, especially in older adults 65 years of age and above. This paper presents the evolution of high-dose influenza vaccine and the quantity as well as quality of evidence on this vaccine. Its introduces other peer-reviewed manuscripts included in this supplement covering the benefits high-dose influenza vaccine over ten consecutive influenza seasons. The development of the high-dose influenza vaccine represents an important step in the evolution of influenza vaccines, offering an advancement in prevention of influenza and a step in encouraging healthy aging in older adults. A video summary of the article can be accessed via the Supplementary data link at the end of this article.

Assessment of the benefits of seasonal influenza vaccination: Elements of a framework to interpret estimates of vaccine effectiveness and support robust decision-making and communication.

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses confirm that influenza vaccination reduces the risk of influenza illness by between about 40% and 60% in seasons when circulating influenza stains are well matched to vaccine strains. Influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) estimates, however, are often discordant and a source of confusion for decision makers. IVE assessments are increasingly publicized and are often used by policy makers to make decisions about the value of seasonal influenza vaccination. But there is limited guidance on how IVE should be interpreted or used to inform policy. There are several limitations to the use of IVE for decision-making: (a) IVE studies have methodological issues that often complicate the interpretation of their value; and (b) the full impact of vaccination will almost always be greater than the impact assessed by a point estimate of IVE in specific populations or settings. Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of study methodologies and the fundamental limitations of IVE estimates is important for the accuracy of interpretations and support of policy makers' decisions. Here, we review a comprehensive set of issues that need to be considered when interpreting IVE and determining the full benefits of influenza vaccination. We propose that published IVE values should be assessed using an evaluative framework that includes influenza-specific outcomes, types of VE study design, and confounders, among other factors. Better interpretation of IVE will improve the broader assessment of the value of influenza vaccination and ultimately optimize the public health benefits in seasonal influenza vaccination.

Quantifying the Impact of Influenza Among Persons With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A New Approach to Determine Medical and Physical Activity Impact.

BACKGROUND: We describe the impact of influenza on medical outcomes and daily activities among people with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Retrospective cohort analysis of a US health plan offering a digital wellness platform connecting wearable devices capable of tracking steps, sleep, and heart rate. For the 2016 to 2017 influenza season, we compared adults with T2DM to age and gender matched controls. Medical claims were used to define cohorts and identify influenza events and outcomes. Digital tracking data were aggregated at time slices of minute-, day-, week-, and year-level. A pre-post study design compared the peri-influenza period (two weeks before and four weeks after influenza diagnosis) to the six-week preceding period (baseline). RESULTS: A total of 54 656 T2DM and 113 016 non-DM controls were used for the study. People with T2DM had more influenza claims, vaccinations, and influenza antivirals per 100 people (1.96% vs 1.37%, 34.3% vs 24.3%, and 27.1 vs 22 respectively, P < .001). A total of 1086 persons with T2DM and 1567 controls had an influenza claim (47.4% male, median age 54, 6.4% vs 7.8% trackers, respectively). Glycemic events, pneumonia, and ischemic heart disease increased over baseline during the peri-influenza period for T2DM (1.74-, 7.4-, and 1.6-fold increase respectively, P < .01). In a device wearing subcohort, we observed 10 000 fewer steps surrounding the influenza event, with the lowest (5500 steps) two days postinfluenza. Average heart rate increased significantly (+5.5 beats per minute) one day prior to influenza. CONCLUSION: Influenza increases rates of pneumonia, heart disease, and abnormal glucose levels among people with T2DM, and negatively impacts daily activities compared to controls.

Hybrid clinical trials to generate real-world evidence: design considerations from a sponsor's perspective.

Randomized controlled trials have traditionally been the gold standard for evaluating efficacy and safety of medical products and for regulatory decision-making. With the advancement of information technologies, vast amounts of data pertinent to patient health status and health care delivery are becoming available from a variety of real-world sources, including electronic health records, medical claims, patient registries, and patient-generated data. In 2016, the United States Congress passed the 21st Century Cures Act, mandating the U.S. FDA to establish a program to evaluate the potential use of real-world evidence (RWE) for regulatory purposes. In 2018, the FDA published the framework on its RWE program. One particular study type identified in the framework is the hybrid design - integration of a traditional randomized controlled trial with pragmatic design aspects to collect real-world data on patients. This design preserves the benefit of randomization, provides real-world outcome data while potentially accelerating product development and lowering the cost of data collection and patient follow-up. Here we focus on design considerations for hybrid trials to support regulatory decisions and provide a sponsor's perspective. While applicable to all medical products, we emphasize vaccine development where such hybrid designs are particularly useful given the low incidence rate of some vaccine-preventable clinical outcomes. We propose program strategies on how such hybrid designs may be integrated into a clinical development plan, illustrated by three examples. Major challenges are discussed and recommendations provided. Given the promise of hybrid designs and the challenges in implementation, we encourage proactive discussion with health authorities.

Immunogenicity of high-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: High-dose trivalent, inactivated, split-virus influenza vaccine (IIV3-HD) has been available in the US since 2009 for adults aged ≥ 65 years. To better understand how IIV3-HD provides improved protection against influenza, we systematically reviewed clinical studies comparing immune responses to IIV3-HD and standard-dose trivalent vaccine (IIV3-SD). AREAS COVERED: The primary objective was to determine the relative hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) antibody response of IIV3-HD vs. IIV3-SD in adults aged ≥ 65 years. Based on seven randomized studies including more than 18,500 adults aged ≥ 65 years, combined HAI geometric mean titer (GMT) ratios (95% confidence interval) approximately 1 month post-vaccination were 1.74 (1.65-1.83) for influenza A/H1N1, 1.84 (1.73-1.95) for influenza A/H3N2, and 1.47 (1.36-1.58) for influenza B. HAI GMT ratios in these studies were similar irrespective of sex, older age (≥ 75 years), frailty, and underlying conditions. Trends were similar for A/H3N2 neutralization and anti-neuraminidase antibody titers. In immunocompromised individuals, HAI GMT ratios were mostly > 1. EXPERT OPINION: In agreement with its improved efficacy and effectiveness, IIV3-HD is consistently more immunogenic than IIV3-SD in adults aged ≥ 65 years. IIV3-HD also appears more immunogenic in immunocompromised individuals.

Quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (VaxigripTetra™).

INTRODUCTION: VaxigripTetra™ (IIV4; Sanofi Pasteur) is a quadrivalent split-virion influenza vaccine approved in Europe in 2016 for individuals ≥ 3 years of age. IIV4 builds on the well-established record of the trivalent split-virion influenza vaccine (Vaxigrip®). Areas covered: This literature review summarizes the rationale for developing quadrivalent influenza vaccines and discusses the phase III clinical trial results supporting the immunogenicity, safety, and tolerability of IIV4. Expert commentary: IIV4 is immunogenic and well tolerated. Adding a second B strain to the trivalent split-virion influenza vaccine provides a superior immune response for the additional strain but does not reduce the immune response for the three other strains or negatively affect the safety profile. By offering broader protection against co-circulating influenza B lineages, IIV4 has the potential to further reduce influenza-related morbidity and mortality beyond that achieved with trivalent vaccines.

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine herd effects on non-invasive pneumococcal pneumonia in elderly.

BACKGROUND: Herd protection from infant pneumococcal conjugate vaccination is well established for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) but not for non-IPD pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia (PCAP). We assessed the contribution of vaccine-serotypes in non-IPD PCAP in adults 65 years and older in the period 2008-2013. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of two prospective studies from the Netherlands. Serotype specific urinary antigen detection and routine microbiological testing were used to categorize episodes as IPD or non-IPD PCAP caused by 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7), PCV10-7 (three additional PCV10 serotypes), PCV13-10 (three additional PCV13 serotypes), and non-PCV13 serotypes. Proportions per vaccine-serotype group were assessed per year from June 1st to May 31st. Time trends were compared to national IPD data. RESULTS: Of 270 non-IPD PCAP episodes with known serotype, PCV7 serotypes decreased from 28% in 2008/2009 to 7% in 2012/2013 (p-value for trend <0.001). No change in PCV10-7 (19% overall) and PCV13-10 (29% overall) serotypes was observed. Non-PCV13 serotypes increased from 30% in 2008/2009 to 37% in 2012/2013 (p-value for trend 0.048). Trends corresponded with national IPD data. CONCLUSION: PCV7 serotypes declined in non-IPD PCAP among elderly between 2008 and 2013, comparable to IPD data. No reduction in the additional PCV10 serotypes could be demonstrated within the first two years after PCV10 introduction.

Noninvasive Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes recovered from hospitalized adult patients in the United States in 2009 to 2012.

This study was conducted to determine the serotype distribution and trends over time of Streptococcus pneumoniae strains associated with noninvasive infections among adult patients ≥18 years of age in the United States (2009 to 2012). A total of 2,927 S. pneumoniae isolates recovered from patients presenting with respiratory infections and obtained mainly (87.0%) from lower respiratory tract specimens (sputum) were included. The levels of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) serotypes remained stable over the 4-year study period (4.6% to 5.5%; P = 0.953). Overall, 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) serotypes were identified in 32.7% of samples, declining from 33.7% to 35.5% in 2009 to 2011 to 28.2% in 2012 (P = 0.007), with a significant decrease in the levels of serotypes 7F (P = 0.013) and 6A (P = 0.010). The levels of 19A remained constant (15.8% to 17.1%) during 2009 to 2011, dropping to 12.2% in 2012 (P = 0.089). The prevalence of serotypes associated with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), but not PCV13, remained generally stable; however, the prevalence of serotypes 15B and 15C (15B/15C) increased from 2.7% to 6.3% (P = 0.010). The proportion of nonvaccine serotypes increased gradually during the study period (P = 0.044), particularly for serotype 35B (from 3.6% in 2009 to 8.2% in 2012; P = 0.001). Nonsusceptibility rates for penicillin (susceptible breakpoint, ≤2 µg/ml) and clindamycin against PCV7 serotypes decreased over the period. These results suggest the emergence of indirect effects following introduction of PCV13 for infants and young children; continued surveillance is needed to assess the burden of PCV13 serotypes in the adult population after the implementation of age-based recommendations in the United States.