Risk of myocarditis and pericarditis after the COVID-19 mRNA vaccination in the USA: a cohort study in claims databases.

BACKGROUND: Several passive surveillance systems reported increased risks of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination, especially in young men. We used active surveillance from large health-care databases to quantify and enable the direct comparison of the risk of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, after mRNA-1273 (Moderna) and BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccinations. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, examining the primary outcome of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, identified using the International Classification of Diseases diagnosis codes, occurring 1-7 days post-vaccination, evaluated in COVID-19 mRNA vaccinees aged 18-64 years using health plan claims databases in the USA. Observed (O) incidence rates were compared with expected (E) incidence rates estimated from historical cohorts by each database. We used multivariate Poisson regression to estimate the adjusted incidence rates, specific to each brand of vaccine, and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) comparing mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2. We used meta-analyses to pool the adjusted incidence rates and IRRs across databases. FINDINGS: A total of 411 myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, events were observed among 15 148 369 people aged 18-64 years who received 16 912 716 doses of BNT162b2 and 10 631 554 doses of mRNA-1273. Among men aged 18-25 years, the pooled incidence rate was highest after the second dose, at 1·71 (95% CI 1·31 to 2·23) per 100 000 person-days for BNT162b2 and 2·17 (1·55 to 3·04) per 100 000 person-days for mRNA-1273. The pooled IRR in the head-to-head comparison of the two mRNA vaccines was 1·43 (95% CI 0·88 to 2·34), with an excess risk of 27·80 per million doses (-21·88 to 77·48) in mRNA-1273 recipients compared with BNT162b2. INTERPRETATION: An increased risk of myocarditis or pericarditis was observed after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination and was highest in men aged 18-25 years after a second dose of the vaccine. However, the incidence was rare. These results do not indicate a statistically significant risk difference between mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2, but it should not be ruled out that a difference might exist. Our study results, along with the benefit-risk profile, continue to support vaccination using either of the two mRNA vaccines. FUNDING: US Food and Drug Administration.

ISPOR, the FDA, and the Evolving Regulatory Science of Medical Device Products.

The International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR) is a key venue for members from private industry, government, and academia to collaborate and share advances in regulatory, clinical, and reimbursement science for drugs, devices, and diagnostics. In parallel, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) "is responsible for advancing the public health by helping to speed innovations that make medical products more effective, safer, and more affordable." In 2012, the Medical Device Innovation Consortium (MDIC) was formed as a public-private partnership bringing together government, industry, and nonprofit organizations to advance approaches that promote patient access to safe, innovative medical technologies. With a focus on regulatory science, the MDIC has been assessing how to apply real-world evidence (RWE) regulatory science to medical devices. A key goal of this project is to review the history of RWE regulatory science, define terms, and explain why and how RWE is being considered across the total product life cycle, including regulatory assessment. Unique considerations of real-world data for in vitro diagnostics are also taken into account. We envision that these activities will help ensure a high level of rigor and integrity of RWE necessary for regulatory use cases and demonstrate where RWE can be successfully used for regulatory decision making. The ISPOR, FDA, and MDIC are providing the needed leadership in ensuring that diverse stakeholders share a meaningful voice in determining RWE use and, by so doing, are improving the quality and efficiency of care, enhancing health outcomes, and addressing broader societal concerns of reducing health disparities and costs.

Multi-gene assays: effect on chemotherapy use, toxicity and cost in estrogen receptor-positive early stage breast cancer.

AIM: To assess multi-gene assay (MGA) effects on chemotherapy use, toxicities, recurrences, and costs in estrogen receptor-positive early breast cancer. METHODS: Meta-analysis performed using data from public databases. Results: Studies included 12,202 women. Relative to no testing, chemotherapy use was higher with 12-gene and 70-gene and lower with PAM50 (commercial) and 21-gene MGAs. Overall, 1643 distant recurrences occurred with no testing, declining by 231 (21-gene), 121 (70-gene), 54 (12-gene) and 94 (PAM50); only the 21-gene assay resulted in no risk of increasing the number of distant recurrences. Relative to 'no testing', total cost of care declined only with 21-gene MGA. CONCLUSION: MGAs differ in chemotherapy use and related outcomes for women with estrogen receptor-positive early breast cancer.

A Promising New Strategy to Improve Treatment Outcomes for Patients with Depression.

Each year, ineffective medical management of patients with mental illness compromises the health and well-being of individuals, and also impacts communities and our society. A variety of interrelated factors have impeded the health system's ability to treat patients with behavior health conditions adequately. A key contributing factor is a lack of objective markers to help predict patient response to specific drugs that has led to patterns of "trial and error" prescribing. For many years, clinicians have sought objective data (eg, a laboratory or imaging test) to assist them in selecting appropriate treatments for individual patients. Electroencephalogram (EEG) findings coupled with medication outcomes data may provide a solution. "Crowdsourced" physician registries that reference clinical outcomes to individual patient physiology have been used successfully for cancers. These techniques are now being explored in the context of behavioral health care. The Psychiatric EEG Evaluation Registry (PEER) is one such approach. PEER is a clinical phenotypic database comprising more than 11,000 baseline EEGs and more than 39,000 outcomes of medication treatment for a variety of mental health diagnoses. Collective findings from 45 studies (3130 patients) provide compelling evidence for PEER as a relatively simple, inexpensive predictor of likely patient response to specific antidepressants and likely treatment-related side effects (including suicidal ideation).

Balancing Confounding and Generalizability Using Observational, Real-world Data: 17-gene Genomic Prostate Score Assay Effect on Active Surveillance.

Randomized, controlled trials can provide high-quality, unbiased evidence for therapeutic interventions but are not always a practical or viable study design for certain healthcare decisions, such as those involving prognostic or predictive testing. Studies using large, real-world databases may be more appropriate and more generalizable to the intended target population of physicians and patients to answer these questions but carry potential for hidden bias. We illustrate several emerging methods of analyzing observational studies using propensity score matching (PSM) and coarsened exact matching (CEM). These advanced statistical methods are intended to reveal a "hidden experiment" within an observational database, and so refute or confirm a potential causal effect of assignment to an intervention and study outcome. We applied these methods to the Optum™ Research Database (ORD; Eden Prairie, MN) of electronic health records and administrative claims data to assess the effect of the 17-gene Genomic Prostate Score® (GPS™; Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA) assay on use of active surveillance (AS). In a traditional multivariable logistic regression, the GPS assay increased the use of AS by 29% (95% CI, 24%-33%). Upon applying the matching methods, the effect of the GPS assay on AS use varied between 27% and 80% and the matched data were significant among all algorithms. All matching algorithms performed well in identifying matched data that improved the imbalance in baseline covariates. By using different matching methods to assess causal inference in an observational database, we provide further confidence that the effect of the GPS assay on AS use is statistically significant and unlikely to be a result of confounding due to differences in baseline characteristics of the patients or the settings in which they were seen.

Economic Analysis of a Noninvasive Molecular Pathologic Assay for Pigmented Skin Lesions.

Importance: A recently described noninvasive gene expression test (the pigmented lesion assay [PLA]) with adhesive patch-based sampling has the potential to rule out melanoma and the need for surgical biopsy of pigmented lesions suggestive of melanoma with a negative predictive value of 99% compared with 83% for the histopathologic standard of care. The cost implications of using this molecular test vs visual assessment followed by biopsy and histopathologic assessment (VAH) have not been evaluated. Objective: To determine potential cost savings of PLA use vs the VAH pathway. Design, Setting, and Participants: This health economic analysis performed from a US payer perspective was based on consensus treatment guidelines and fee schedules from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Data for model input were derived from routine use of the test in US dermatology practices and literature. Participants included patients with primary cutaneous pigmented lesions suggestive of melanoma. Data were analyzed from February 8 to December 1, 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary analysis consisted of the relative reduction in costs of diagnostic surgical procedures for PLA vs VAH management. Additional analyses included stage-related treatment costs associated with delays in diagnosis. Results: In the cost analysis for this economic model, the relative reduction in surgical procedure costs (biopsy and subsequent excision), assuming $0 for the PLA to facilitate multiple comparison scenarios, was -$395 compared with VAH. The relative reduction in stage-related treatment costs associated with the PLA was -$433 compared with VAH, primarily associated with avoidance of delays due to false-negative diagnoses. Surveillance costs were reduced by -$119 with the PLA. The total cost of fully adjudicating a lesion suggestive of melanoma by VAH was $947. At a mean selling price reference point for PLA of $500, cost savings of $447 (47%) per lesion tested could be realized. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this analysis suggest that the PLA reduces cost and may improve the care of patients with primary pigmented skin lesions suggestive of melanoma.

Prospective, multicenter French study evaluating the clinical impact of the Breast Cancer Intrinsic Subtype-Prosigna® Test in the management of early-stage breast cancers.

PURPOSE: The Prosigna® breast cancer prognostic gene signature assay identifies a gene-expression profile that permits the classification of tumors into subtypes and gives a score for the risk of recurrence (ROR) at 10 years. The primary objective of this multicenter study was to evaluate the impact of Prosigna's assay information on physicians' adjuvant treatment decisions in patients with early-stage breast cancer. Secondary objectives were to assess confidence of practitioners in their therapeutic recommendations before and after the added information provided by the Prosigna assay; and to evaluate the emotional state of patients before and after the Prosigna test results. METHODS: Consecutive patients with invasive early-stage breast cancer were enrolled in a prospective, observational, multicenter study carried out in 8 hospitals in France. The Prosigna test was carried out on surgical specimens using the nCounter® Analysis System located at the Institut Curie. Both before and after receiving the Prosigna test results, physicians completed treatment confidence questionnaires and patients completed questionnaires concerning their state of anxiety, the difficulties felt in face of the therapy and quality of life. Information was also collected at 6 months regarding the physicians' opinion on the test results and the patients' degree of anxiety, difficulties with therapy and quality of life. RESULTS: Between March 2015 and January 2016, 8 study centers in France consecutively enrolled 210 postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, human epidermal growth hormone-2 (HER-2) negative, and node negative tumors, either stage 1 or stage 2. Intrinsic tumor subtypes as assessed by the Prosigna test were 114 (58.2%) Luminal A, 79 (40.3%) Luminal B, 1 (0.5%) HER-2 enriched (HER-2E), and 2 (1.0%) basal-like. Before receiving the Prosigna test results, physicians categorized tumor subtypes based on immunohistochemistry (IHC) as Luminal A in 126 (64%) patients and Luminal B in 70 (36%) patients, an overall discordance rate of 25%. The availability of Prosigna assay results was significantly associated with the likelihood of change in treatment recommendations, with 34 patients (18%) having their treatment plan changed from Adjuvant Chemotherapy to No Adjuvant Chemotherapy or vice versa (p<0.001, Fisher's exact test). Prosigna test results also decreased patients' anxiety about the chosen adjuvant therapy, and improved emotional well-being and measures of personal perceptions of uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this prospective decision impact study are consistent with 2 previous, identically designed studies carried out in Spain and Germany. The availability of Prosigna test results increased the confidence of treating physicians in their adjuvant treatment decisions, and led to an 18% change in chemotherapy treatment plan (from Adjuvant Chemotherapy to No Adjuvant Chemotherapy or vice versa). Prosigna testing decreased anxiety and improved measures of health-related quality of life in patients facing adjuvant therapy. The 25% discordance between Prosigna test and IHC subtyping underlines the importance of molecular testing for optimal systemic therapy indications in early breast cancer.

Serious Adverse Events Associated with Readmission Through One Year After Vertebral Augmentation with Either a Polyetheretherketone Implant or Balloon Kyphoplasty.

BACKGROUND: The KAST (Kiva Safety and Efficacy) investigation device exempt (IDE) study indicated that the majority of patients responded equally well to vertebral augmentation using either an implant-based approach or balloon kyphoplasty (BK). Additional investigation has suggested that a subset of patients may benefit further by avoiding repeated readmissions due to serious adverse events (SAEs) if they receive one vertebral augmentation approach over another. OBJECTIVES: The primary aim was to assess the effect of 2 different augmentation procedures on readmission rates for SAEs. STUDY DESIGN: The KAST trial is a pivotal, multicenter, randomized, controlled trial conducted to evaluate an implant-based vertebral augmentation approach (implant) against BK. Post-hoc analysis was performed to evaluate SAEs and readmission rates. SETTING: Twenty-one sites in North America and Europe. METHODS: The treatment effect of vertebral implant versus BK on SAEs requiring unplanned readmission was evaluated by estimating the risk of SAEs associated with readmissions in KAST while controlling for key baseline covariates using multivariate Poisson regression modeling. RESULTS: Forty (27.8%) patients with implants had 69 SAEs associated with readmission compared to 44 (31.2%) patients with BK having 103 events. The risk for all SAEs leading to readmission was 34.4% lower with the implant than for BK (95% confidence interval = 11.1%, 51.7%; P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that the risk of SAEs associated with readmission was decreased in subjects treated with the implant compared to BK, and increased in patients with prior histories of vertebral compression fractures (VCFs) or significant osteoporosis. LIMITATIONS: The power of the KIVA study was based on clinical efficacy criteria to meet FDA requirements and recommendations for equivalency or noninferiority. The primary endpoint in this post-hoc analysis is SAEs associated with readmissions; as a result, the sample size is underpowered, although the results remain significant. CONCLUSION: The augmentation approaches compared here have similar pain relief and quality of life effects; the implant showed a lower risk of readmissions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01123512. Key words: Vertebral compression fracture, kiva implant, balloon kyphoplasty, vertebroplasty, health economics, osteoporosis.

Urine circulating-tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection of acquired EGFR T790M mutation in non-small-cell lung cancer: An outcomes and total cost-of-care analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Third-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have proven effective in patients with the acquired EGFR T790M resistance mutation who progress on prior EGFR TKI therapy. Median progression-free survival (PFS) on a 3rd-gen TKI was 9-10 months for T790M+ patients compared to 2.8 months for T790M- patients. PFS is similar regardless of the specimen used to assess T790M, such as tissue, plasma, or urine ctDNA. This study aimed to assess the total cost of care of a urine-testing strategy (UTS) versus a tissue-testing strategy (TTS) for T790M detection, in patients with EGFR-mutation positive lung adenocarcinoma and progression on prior TKI therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Long-term outcomes and economic implications were assessed from a US payer perspective. Endpoints were PFS, overall survival (OS), medical resource use and related costs. DATA SOURCES: We included published randomized drug trials and Medicare fee schedules. A state-transition analysis and Markov model tracked patients from stable disease to progression and death. Univariate and multivariate sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of findings and identify factors that most influenced outcomes and costs. RESULTS: UTS increased the rate of detection of patients with T790M mutation eligible for treatment with 3rd generation TKI by 7% compared with TTS; urine ctDNA testing detected T790M mutation in some patients for whom biopsy could not be performed or when tissue testing yielded indeterminate results. Due to enhanced targeting of TKI therapy, UTS increased PFS and OS by 0.44 and 0.35 months, respectively. UTS yields a savings of $1243-$1680 per patient due to avoidance of biopsy, potential biopsy-associated complications, and tissue-based molecular testing in approximately 55.6% of patients. Probability of T790M detection by tissue and cost of biopsy procedure were the most influential factors. CONCLUSION: UTS prolonged PFS/OS due to increased detection of T790M mutation and decreased biopsies and complication-related costs.

Active Surveillance Use Among a Low-risk Prostate Cancer Population in a Large US Payer System: 17-Gene Genomic Prostate Score Versus Other Risk Stratification Methods.

Many men with low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) receive definitive treatment despite recommendations that have been informed by two large, randomized trials encouraging active surveillance (AS). We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Optum™ Research Database (Eden Prairie, MN) of electronic health records and administrative claims data to assess AS use for patients tested with a 17-gene Genomic Prostate Score™ (GPS; Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA) assay and/or prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). De-identified records were extracted on health plan members enrolled from June 2013 to June 2016 who had ≥1 record of PCa (n 5 291,876). Inclusion criteria included age ≥18 years, new diagnosis, American Urological Association low-risk PCa (stage T1-T2a, prostate-specific antigen ≤10 ng/mL, Gleason score 5 6), and clinical activity for at least 12 months before and after diagnosis. Data included baseline characteristics, use of GPS testing and/or MRI, and definitive procedures. GPS or MRI testing was performed in 17% of men (GPS, n 5 375, 4%; MRI, n 5 1174, 13%). AS use varied from a low of 43% for men who only underwent MRI to 89% for GPStested men who did not undergo MRI (P <.001). At 6-month follow-up, AS use was 31.0% higher (95% CI, 27.6%-34.5%; P <.001) for men receiving the GPS test only versus men who did not undergo GPS testing or MRI; the difference was 30.5% at 12-month follow-up. In a large US payer system, the GPS assay was associated with significantly higher AS use at 6 and 12 months compared with men who had MRI only, or no GPS or MRI testing.

Clinical and cost implications of amyloid beta detection with amyloid beta positron emission tomography imaging in early Alzheimer's disease - the case of florbetapir.

OBJECTIVE: Amyloid beta (Aß) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging helps estimate Aß neuritic plaque density in patients with cognitive impairment who are under evaluation for Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the Aß-PET scan as an adjunct to standard diagnostic assessment for diagnosis of AD in France, using florbetapir as an example. METHODS: A state-transition probability analysis was developed adopting the French Health Technology Assessment (HTA) perspective per guidance. Parameters included test characteristics, rate of cognitive decline, treatment effect, costs, and quality of life. Additional scenarios assessed the validity of the analytical framework, including: (1) earlier evaluation/treatment; (2) cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) as a comparator; and (3) use of other diagnostic procedures. Outputs included differences in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). All benefits and costs were discounted for time preferences. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of findings and key influencers of outcomes. RESULTS: Aß-PET used as an adjunct to standard diagnostic assessment increased QALYs by 0.021 years and 10 year costs by €470 per patient. The ICER was €21,888 per QALY gained compared to standard diagnostic assessment alone. When compared with CSF, Aß-PET costs €24,084 per QALY gained. In other scenarios, Aß-PET was consistently cost-effective relative to the commonly used affordability threshold (€40,000 per QALY). Over 95% of simulations in the sensitivity analysis were cost-effective. CONCLUSION: Aß-PET is projected to affordably increase QALYs from the French HTA perspective per guidance over a range of clinical scenarios, comparators, and input parameters.

Reconstruction of Temporal Hollowing Defect With Anterior-Lateral Thigh Free Flap Following Resection of Recurrent Ameloblastoma of the Infratemporal Fossa and Right Mandible (a Case Report).

Recurrent invasive ameloblastoma of the infratemporal fossa is an uncommonly encountered phenomenon in the practice of oral and maxillofacial surgery and presents many surgical challenges for the practitioner. This case report describes a patient who underwent previous resection of a mandibular ameloblastoma with multiple recurrences. The patient was diagnosed with a recurrent ameloblastoma of the infratemporal fossa that was subsequently resected and reconstructed using an anterolateral thigh (ALT) free tissue transfer. There are few reported cases of recurrent ameloblastomas in the infratemporal fossa and none that describe surgical resection and reconstruction of such a lesion. Owing to the uniqueness of the surgical defect, an ALT flap was used to correct the temporal hollowing. There have been multiple reported cases of reconstruction of temporal hollowing defects using autogenous fat or allograft; however, none have described the use of a de-epithelialized ALT microvascular reconstruction of a temporal hollowing defect. This case report describes a unique clinical situation of surgical resection and reconstruction that resulted in a satisfactory outcome for the patient.

The VA Point-of-Care Precision Oncology Program: Balancing Access with Rapid Learning in Molecular Cancer Medicine.

The Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) recognized the need to balance patient-centered care with responsible creation of generalizable knowledge on the effectiveness of molecular medicine tools. Embracing the principles of the rapid learning health-care system, a new clinical program called the Precision Oncology Program (POP) was created in New England. The POP integrates generalized knowledge about molecular medicine in cancer with a database of observations from previously treated veterans. The program assures access to modern genomic oncology practice in the veterans affairs (VA), removes disparities of access across the VA network of clinical centers, disseminates the products of learning that are generalizable to non-VA settings, and systematically presents opportunities for patients to participate in clinical trials of targeted therapeutics.

Cost-effectiveness of combinatorial pharmacogenomic testing for treatment-resistant major depressive disorder patients.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the lifetime outcomes and economic implications of combinatorial pharmacogenomic (CPGx) testing versus treatment as usual (TAU) psychopharmacologic medication selection for a representative major depressive disorder patient who has not responded to previous treatment(s). STUDY DESIGN: Markov state-transition analysis based on clinical studies. METHODS: Clinical validity and utility were based on published findings in prospective clinical studies of a commercially available CPGx test. Data for quality of life, direct costs, and indirect costs were extracted from meta-analyses of published literature on clinical studies and claims databases. Outcomes were assessed from a societal perspective, and included differences between the CPGx and the TAU strategies in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), cumulative direct and indirect costs, and cost per QALY gained. RESULTS: CPGx improved the treatment response rate by 70% (1.7 times as high as that with TAU), increasing QALYs by 0.316 years. With these health benefits, CPGx is expected to save $3711 in direct medical costs per patient and $2553 in work productivity costs per patient over the lifetime. The cost-effectiveness of CPGx testing was robust over a wide range of variation in the input parameters, including the scenario when testing efficacy was set to its lower limit. CONCLUSIONS: CPGx testing has been shown by prospective studies to modify treatment decisions for patients nonresponsive to previous treatment(s), with increased rates of treatment response. These effects are projected to increase quality-adjusted survival, and to save both direct and indirect costs to individual patients and society generally.

Cost-Effectiveness of Florbetapir-PET in Alzheimer's Disease: A Spanish Societal Perspective.

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence of Alzheimer's disease (AD), and other diseases associated with dementia, imposes significant burden to various stakeholders who care for the elderly. Management of AD is complicated by multiple factors including disease-specific features which make it difficult to diagnose accurately during milder stages. Florbetapir F18 positron emission tomography (florbetapir-PET) is an approved imaging tool used to capture beta-amyloid neuritic plaque density in brains of cognitively impaired adults undergoing evaluation for AD and other causes of cognitive impairment. It has the potential to help improve healthcare outcomes as it may help clinicians identify patients with AD early so that treatments are initiated when most effective. AIMS OF THE STUDY: Evaluate the potential long-term clinical and economic outcomes of adopting florbetapir-PET--adjunctive to standard clinical evaluation (SCE)--versus SCE alone in the diagnostic assessment of cognitively impaired patients with suspected AD. METHODS: A decision analysis with a ten-year time horizon was developed in compliance with Good Research Practices and CHEERS guidelines. The target population was comprised of Spanish patients who were undergoing initial assessment for cognitive impairment (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] score=20). Diagnostic accuracy, rate of cognitive decline, effect of drugs on cognition and dwelling status, economic burden (direct and indirect costs), and quality of life (QoL) were based on relevant clinical studies and published literature. Scenario analysis was applied to explore outcomes under different conditions, which included: (i) use of florbetapir-PET earlier in disease progression (MMSE score=22); and (ii) the addition of fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG)-PET to SCE. RESULTS: Adjunctive florbetapir-PET increased quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) by 0.008 years and increased costs by 36 compared to SCE alone (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER], 4,769). Use of florbetapir-PET was dominant in alternate scenarios. Sensitivity analyses indicated rates of institutionalization (by MMSE) and MMSE score upon initiation of acetylcholinesterase inhibitor (AChEI) treatment most influenced the primary outcome (ICER) in the base case scenario. Over 82% of probabilistic simulations were cost-effective using the Spanish threshold (30,000/QALY). DISCUSSION: The addition of florbetapir-PET to SCE is expected to improve the accuracy of AD diagnoses for patients experiencing cognitive impairment; it is cost-effective due to decreased healthcare costs and caregiver burden. Prospective studies of the clinical utility of florbetapir-PET are necessary to evaluate the long-term implications of adopting florbetapir-PET on clinical outcomes and costs in real-world settings. IMPLICATIONS FOR HEALTH CARE PROVISION AND USE: Florbetapir-PET is expected to improve decision-making regarding appropriate and sufficient care for cognitively impaired patients with suspected AD, while cost-effective. IMPLICATIONS FOR HEALTH POLICIES: Earlier and more accurate diagnosis of AD may help to improve patient's health status and reduce treatment costs by effectively allocating healthcare resources and maximizing the benefit of treatments and supportive services. IMPLICATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH: Use of florbetapir-PET may help accurately identify patients with AD. The development of novel therapeutics for use with companion diagnostics may provide additional benefits by slowing or halting progressive cognitive decline with AD, increase QoL and prolong survival.

Impact of a Genomic Classifier of Metastatic Risk on Postprostatectomy Treatment Recommendations by Radiation Oncologists and Urologists.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate how a genomic classifier (GC) that predicts the risk of metastasis after prostatectomy would impact adjuvant treatment recommendations made by radiation oncologists and urologists. The 2 specialties often disagree about postprostatectomy adjuvant treatment recommendations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-six radiation oncologists and 20 urologists with genitourinary oncology expertise reviewed de-identified clinical results from 11 patients after radical prostatectomy and made adjuvant treatment recommendations. The same cases were later randomized and reassigned, and treatment recommendations were made using the clinical information and GC test results together. RESULTS: Using clinical information alone, observation was recommended in 42% of decisions made by urologists vs 23% by radiation oncologists (P < .0001). The GC test results altered 35% and 45% of treatment recommendations made by radiation oncologists and urologists, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed GC risk was the strongest factor influencing treatment recommendations by both specialties, with an adjusted odds ratio of 4.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.26-7.70) and 6.51 (95% CI, 4.29-9.88) for radiation oncologists and urologists, respectively. GC results indicating high metastatic risk resulted in intensification of treatment, whereas low metastatic risk resulted in less aggressive recommendations. The GC results increased interdisciplinary agreement in treatment recommendations, as the odds of a recommendation for adjuvant treatment by urologists vs radiation oncologists increased from 0.27 (95% CI, 0.17-0.44) to 0.46 (95% CI, 0.29-0.75) after results of the GC test were available. CONCLUSION: The GC test significantly influenced adjuvant postprostatectomy treatment recommendations, reduced disagreement between radiation oncologists and urologists, and has the potential to enhance personalization of postprostatectomy care.

An Economic Analysis of Cell-Free DNA Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing in the US General Pregnancy Population.

OBJECTIVE: Analyze the economic value of replacing conventional fetal aneuploidy screening approaches with non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) in the general pregnancy population. METHODS: Using decision-analysis modeling, we compared conventional screening to NIPT with cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis in the annual US pregnancy population. Sensitivity and specificity for fetal aneuploidies, trisomy 21, trisomy 18, trisomy 13, and monosomy X, were estimated using published data and modeling of both first- and second trimester screening. Costs were assigned for each prenatal test component and for an affected birth. The overall cost to the healthcare system considered screening costs, the number of aneuploid cases detected, invasive procedures performed, procedure-related euploid losses, and affected pregnancies averted. Sensitivity analyses evaluated the effect of variation in parameters. Costs were reported in 2014 US Dollars. RESULTS: Replacing conventional screening with NIPT would reduce healthcare costs if it can be provided for $744 or less in the general pregnancy population. The most influential variables were timing of screening entry, screening costs, and pregnancy termination rates. Of the 13,176 affected pregnancies undergoing screening, NIPT detected 96.5% (12,717/13,176) of cases, compared with 85.9% (11,314/13,176) by conventional approaches. NIPT reduced invasive procedures by 60.0%, with NIPT and conventional methods resulting in 24,596 and 61,430 invasive procedures, respectively. The number of procedure-related euploid fetal losses was reduced by 73.5% (194/264) in the general screening population. CONCLUSION: Based on our analysis, universal application of NIPT would increase fetal aneuploidy detection rates and can be economically justified. Offering this testing to all pregnant women is associated with substantial prenatal healthcare benefits.