Long term survival after acute myocardial infarction in Australia and New Zealand, 2009-2015: a population cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess long term survival and patient characteristics associated with survival following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Australia and New Zealand. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: All patients admitted with AMI (ICD-10-AM codes I21.0-I21.4) to all public and most private hospitals in Australia and New Zealand during 2009-2015. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality up to seven years after an AMI. RESULTS: 239 402 initial admissions with AMI were identified; the mean age of the patients was 69.3 years (SD, 14.3 years), 154 287 were men (64.5%), and 64 335 had ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI; 26.9%). 7-year survival after AMI was 62.3% (STEMI, 70.8%; non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction [NSTEMI], 59.2%); survival exceeded 85% for people under 65 years of age, but was 17.4% for those aged 85 years or more. 120 155 patients (50.2%) underwent revascularisation (STEMI, 72.2%; NSTEMI, 42.1%); 7-year survival exceeded 80% for patients in each group who underwent revascularisation, and was lower than 45% for those who did not. Being older (85 years or older v 18-54 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 10.6; 95% CI, 10.1-11.1) or a woman (aHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.13-1.17) were each associated with greater long term mortality during the study period, as was prior heart failure (aHR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.76-1.83). Several non-cardiac conditions and geriatric syndromes common in these patients were independently associated with lower long term survival, including major and metastatic cancer, cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease, and dementia. CONCLUSION: AMI care in Australia and New Zealand is associated with high rates of long term survival; 7-year rates exceed 80% for patients under 65 years of age and for those who undergo revascularisation. Efforts to further improve survival should target patients with NSTEMI, who are often older and have several comorbid conditions, for whom revascularisation rates are low and survival after AMI poor.

Frequency, trends and institutional variation in 30-day all-cause mortality and unplanned readmissions following hospitalisation for heart failure in Australia and New Zealand.

AIMS: National 30-day mortality and readmission rates after heart failure (HF) hospitalisations are a focus of US policy intervention and yet have rarely been assessed in other comparable countries. We examined the frequency, trends and institutional variation in 30-day mortality and unplanned readmission rates after HF hospitalisations in Australia and New Zealand. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included patients >18 years hospitalised with HF at all public and most private hospitals from 2010-15. The primary outcomes were the frequencies of 30-day mortality and unplanned readmissions, and the institutional risk-standardised mortality rate (RSMR) and readmission rate (RSRR) evaluated using separate cohorts. The mortality cohort included 153 592 patients (mean age 78.9 ± 11.8 years, 51.5% male) with 16 442 (10.7%) deaths within 30 days. The readmission cohort included 148 704 patients (mean age 78.6 ± 11.9 years, 51.7% male) with 33 158 (22.3%) unplanned readmission within 30 days. In 392 hospitals with at least 25 HF hospitalisations, the median RSMR was 10.7% (range 6.1-17.3%) with 59 hospitals significantly different from the national average. Similarly, in 391 hospitals with at least 25 HF hospitalisations, the median RSRR was 22.3% (range 17.7-27.1%) with 24 hospitals significantly different from the average. From 2010-15, the adjusted 30-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) 0.991/month, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.990-0.992, P < 0.01] and unplanned readmission (OR 0.998/month, 95% CI 0.998-0.999, P < 0.01) rates declined. CONCLUSION: Within 30 days of a HF hospitalisation, one in 10 patients died and almost a quarter of those surviving experienced an unplanned readmission. The risk of these outcomes varied widely among hospitals suggesting disparities in HF care quality. Nevertheless, a substantial decline in 30-day mortality and a modest decline in readmissions occurred over the study period.

SAFety, Effectiveness of care and Resource use among Australian Hospitals (SAFER Hospitals): a protocol for a population-wide cohort study of outcomes of hospital care.

INTRODUCTION: Despite global concerns about the safety and quality of health care, population-wide studies of hospital outcomes are uncommon. The SAFety, Effectiveness of care and Resource use among Australian Hospitals (SAFER Hospitals) study seeks to estimate the incidence of serious adverse events, mortality, unplanned rehospitalisations and direct costs following hospital encounters using nationwide data, and to assess the variation and trends in these outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: SAFER Hospitals is a cohort study with retrospective and prospective components. The retrospective component uses data from 2012 to 2018 on all hospitalised patients age ≥18 years included in each State and Territories' Admitted Patient Collections. These routinely collected datasets record every hospital encounter from all public and most private hospitals using a standardised set of variables including patient demographics, primary and secondary diagnoses, procedures and patient status at discharge. The study outcomes are deaths, adverse events, readmissions and emergency care visits. Hospitalisation data will be linked to subsequent hospitalisations and each region's Emergency Department Data Collections and Death Registries to assess readmissions, emergency care encounters and deaths after discharge. Direct hospital costs associated with adverse outcomes will be estimated using data from the National Cost Data Collection. Variation in these outcomes among hospitals will be assessed adjusting for differences in hospitals' case-mix. The prospective component of the study will evaluate the temporal change in outcomes every 4 years from 2019 until 2030. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Human Research Ethics Committees of the respective Australian states and territories provided ethical approval to conduct this study. A waiver of informed consent was granted for the use of de-identified patient data. Study findings will be disseminated via presentations at conferences and publications in peer-reviewed journals.

Complications of cardiac implantable electronic device placement in public and private hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Few safety data exist comparing clinical outcomes in Australian public and private hospitals. We hypothesised that differences could exist between public and private hospitals due to differences in acuity and patient-level co-morbidities. AIMS: To report comparative complications of cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) placement in public and private hospitals. METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study of outcomes of patients aged >18 years from 2010 to 2015 undergoing a new permanent pacemaker (PPM), implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) or cardiac resynchronisation therapy pacemaker or defibrillator (CRT-D/P) implant in NSW and Queensland public and private hospitals. The primary endpoint was major CIED-related complications occurring in-hospital or within 90 days of discharge. The independent effect of hospital sector was determined using multiple logistic regression, adjusting for covariates, including age, sex, co-morbidities and procedural acuity. RESULTS: A total of 32 364 new CIED implants (PPM 23 845, ICD 5361 and CRT-D/P 3158) were included (49% in private hospitals). Overall, 8.0% of private hospital procedures and 9.6% public hospital procedures experienced at least one complication. After adjustment, the overall risk of CIED complications was similar in private and public hospitals (OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.84-1.00, P = 0.06). In analysis of individual complications, adjusted all-cause in-hospital mortality was higher in private hospitals, (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.03-2.16, P = 0.036) primarily driven by an excess mortality in acute cases. The adjusted risk of in-hospital generator operation (OR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.30-0.94, P = 0.03) and post-discharge infection (OR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.46-0.81, P < 0.001) was lower in private hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: These data identify important similarities and differences in safety outcomes of CIED implantation between Australian public and private hospitals.

Institutional Variation in Quality of Cardiovascular Implantable Electronic Device Implantation: A Cohort Study.

Background: Cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are associated with procedure-related complications, yet little is known about variation in complication rates among institutions that may suggest disparities in care quality. Objective: To assess institutional variation in risk-standardized complication rates (RSCRs) for CIED. Design: Cohort study. Setting: 174 hospitals in Australia and New Zealand, 98 of which implanted at least 25 CIEDs during the study period. Participants: 81 304 patients older than 18 years (mean, 74.7 years [SD, 12.4]; 37.9% female) who received a new CIED (65 711 permanent pacemakers [PPMs] and 15 593 implantable cardioverter-defibrillators [ICDs]) in 2010 to 2015. Measurements: RSCRs and frequencies of major device-related complications during hospitalization or within 90 days of discharge. Results: Of the cohort, 6664 patients (8.2%) had a major complication. Although complication rates were higher for ICDs than PPMs (10.04% vs. 7.76%), 76.5% of all complications were attributable to PPMs (5098 vs. 1566 for ICDs). Among hospitals that implanted at least 25 CIEDs, the median RSCR was 8.1%; however, rates varied from 5.3% to 14.3%, with 22 hospitals identified as having RSCRs that differed significantly from the national average. Similar variation was observed when RSCRs for PPM implantation (n = 96 hospitals) (median RSCR, 7.6% [range, 5.4% to 12.9%]) were considered separately from those for ICD placement (n = 68 hospitals) (median RSCR, 9.7% [range, 6.2% to 16.9%]) and persisted when only elective procedures were assessed (n = 88 hospitals) (median RSCR, 7.4% [range, 4.7% to 13.0%]). Limitation: Possible unmeasured confounding from the use of administrative data. Conclusion: CIED complications are common and vary among hospitals, suggesting institutional variation in CIED care quality. Concerted clinical and policy interventions are needed to address CIED-related complications. These efforts should preferentially target PPMs, because most CIED complications are attributable to these devices. Primary Funding Source: The Hospitals Contribution Fund Research Foundation.

Sex Differences in Acute Complications of Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices: Implications for Patient Safety.

Background To date, limited population-level studies have examined the impact of sex on the acute complications of cardiac implantable electronic devices ( CIED) , including permanent pacemakers, implantable cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices. Methods and Results We studied all patients aged >18 years from 2010 to 2015 who were a resident of Australia or New Zealand, undergoing a new permanent pacemaker, implantable cardioverter defibrillator, or cardiac resynchronization therapy implant. Standardized variables were collected including patient demographic characteristics, primary and secondary diagnoses, procedures performed and discharge status. Diagnoses and procedures were coded as per the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision ( ICD-10) and the Australian Classification of Health Interventions. The primary end point was the incidence of major CIED -related complications in-hospital or within 90 days of discharge, with the effect of sex evaluated using multiple logistic regression. A total of 81 304 new CIED (61 658 permanent pacemakers, 12 097 implantable cardioverter defibrillators, 7574 cardiac resynchronization therapy) implants were included (38% women). Overall, 8.5% of women and 8.0% of men experienced a CIED complication ( P=0.008). Differences between women and men remained significant after adjustment for age, procedural acuity, and comorbidities (odds ratio 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.16, P<0.001). Differences in CIED complication rates were primarily driven by excess rate of in-hospital pleural drainage (1.2% women versus 0.6% men, P<0.001; adjusted odds ratio 1.86, 95% CI: 1.59-2.17, P<0.001) and pericardial drainage (0.3% women versus 0.1% men, P<0.001; adjusted odds ratio 2.17, 95% CI: 1.48-3.18, P<0.001). Conclusions Women are at higher risk of acute CIED complications. Improvements in implant technique and technologies are required to minimize the risk of implant-related complications in women.

Monte Carlo Simulations Demonstrate Algorithmic Interventions Over Time Reduce Hospitalisation in Patients With Schizophrenia and Bipolar Disorder.

Non-adherence with pharmacologic treatment is associated with increased rates of relapse and rehospitalisation among patients with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. To improve treatment response, remission, and recovery, research efforts are still needed to elucidate how to effectively map patient's response to medication treatment including both therapeutic and adverse effects, compliance, and satisfaction in the prodromal phase of illness (ie, the time period in between direct clinical consultation and relapse). The Actionable Intime Insights (AI2) application draws information from Australian Medicare administrative claims records in real time when compliance with treatment does not meet best practice guidelines for managing chronic severe mental illness. Subsequently, the AI2 application alerts clinicians and patients when patients do not adhere to guidelines for treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of the AI2 application on the risk of hospitalisation among simulated patients with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Monte Carlo simulation methodology was used to estimate the impact of the AI2 intervention on the probability of hospitalisation over a 2-year period. Results indicated that when the AI2 algorithmic intervention had an efficacy level of (>0.6), over 80% of actioned alerts were contributing to reduced hospitalisation risk among the simulated patients. Such findings indicate the potential utility of the AI2 application should replication studies validate its methodologic and ecological rigour in real-world settings.