The impacts of COVID-19 lockdown and post-lockdown on homicide and rape in Bangladesh: A dynamic time series analysis.

There are studies on crime trend changes during the pandemic lockdown, but very few on homicide and rape instances afterward. This study investigates how lockdown and post-lockdown pandemic situations affect homicide and rape cases in Bangladesh. Initially, the investigation checked the bidirectional Granger cause between COVID-19 and the trend of crimes (homicide and rape). The study found a unidirectional Granger cause of COVID-19 in crime trend changes. Further, the study used the ordinary least square (OLS) approach to a dynamic model to produce unbiased, consistent, and efficient conclusions for future policy implications. Compared to the crime rates during normal (pre-pandemic) times, this study found that homicides increased substantially (9.5%) during the lockdown and declined marginally (3.0%) afterward. The rate of rapes dropped considerably (34.3%) during the lockdown, but it rebounded significantly (13.9%) during the post-lockdown pandemic period. This study suggests further investigations of the causes of increased rape cases during the post-lockdown pandemic period in the country.

Aggregated imports and expenditure components in Bangladesh: A cointegration and equilibrium correction analysis.

Even though there have been a few studies on Bangladesh's aggregate import demand, the effects of the global financial crisis (GFC) on aggregate import demand still need to be measured. The short-run determinants of import demand also remained to be identified in the country. This paper explores both short-run dynamic and long-run cointegrating relationships, capturing the impact of the GFC on aggregate import demand. This study uses annual data from 1980 to 2021 (N = 42) and employs different econometric techniques for efficient results essential for compelling policy implications. The study derives an efficient dynamic equation using the best error correction mechanism. Additionally, this study includes unconventional determinants, namely, foreign currency reserves and components of expenditure (i.e., exports, private consumption and government expenditures, and expenditures on investment goods), along with the traditional import demand function. The study finds that all conventional and unconventional determinants of import demand are significant in both the long and short run. All determinants except relative price positively influence the volume of import demand. The income elasticity reduces over time, and the price inelasticity remains non-zero and negative, which indicates the competitiveness of domestic product substitutes for importable goods in the economy. In the long run, trade liberalization and foreign currency reserves have a limited positive influence on import demand. The findings of this study would be helpful for import-related policy implications in the country.

Effects of maternal employment on child malnutrition in South Asia: An instrumental variable approach.

OBJECTIVE: Although the association between child malnutrition and maternal employment status has been widely studied in several developing countries, the causal effect of mothers' employment on their children's health remains largely unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the causal effect of maternal employment on child malnutrition in five South Asian countries. METHOD: This study used a data set of >55 200 children ages 0 to 5 y by pooling the most recent Demographic Health Surveys (DHS) from Bangladesh, India, the Maldives, Nepal, and Pakistan. An instrumental variable (IV) method was applied to measure the causal effect of the mother's employment status (working mother) on stunting and underweight among children. RESULTS: Results showed that of the children in South Asia, 37.9% and 33.6% were stunted and underweight, respectively. The IV estimates suggested that maternal employment significantly increased stunting and underweight in children. For example, the likelihood of stunting and underweight increased by about 9.5% and 6.3% points, respectively, in South Asia when mothers worked. The likelihoods in Bangladesh (39.9 and 26.6%) and Pakistan (28 and 33.4%) were high but were at moderate levels in India (5.3 and 4.2%) and Nepal (8 and 9%). CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, an adverse effect of maternal labor market participation on the nutritional status of under-five children in South Asian countries was found. These findings could be helpful for policymakers in South Asian countries to adopt suitable policies to reduce malnutrition among children, especially for the children of employed mothers.