Ten-year follow-up investigation of stroke risk in systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To analyse the long-term risk of ischaemic stroke and the clinical effects of antithrombotics on the risk of haemorrhagic stroke in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using a population-based database taken from Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients with SLE between 2000 and 2008 were registered and matched with two controls by the index date, age, gender and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). These subjects were followed until either stroke event or 31 December 2013. Adjusted HRs (aHRs) for strokes were estimated with Cox regression models, and the cumulative incidence of ischaemic stroke was analysed by log-rank test and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: In total, 8310 patients with SLE and 16 620 patients without SLE were included. In general, patients with SLE had higher rates of ischaemic stroke (5.4% vs 3.3%) and haemorrhagic stroke (1.5% vs 0.6%) than in controls. In multivariate analysis adjusted to age, gender, CCI, urbanisation level and antithrombotics uses, aHRs of all strokes, ischaemic stroke and haemorrhagic stroke were 1.73 (95% CI: 1.54 to 1.94), 1.65 (95% CI: 1.45 to 1.87) and 2.24 (95% CI: 1.71 to 2.95), respectively, in patients with SLE. Patients with SLE were significantly more likely to suffer ischaemic stroke than patients without SLE, even 10 years after SLE diagnosis (6.12% vs 3.50%, p<0.001). Antiplatelet use increased the risk of haemorrhagic stroke in SLE group (aHR=1.74, 95% CI: 1.18 to 2.57). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SLE are at greater risk of developing ischaemic stroke that lasts for 10 years. Antiplatelets should be carefully administered to prevent cardiovascular events in patients with SLE due to the risk of haemorrhagic stroke.

Severe lupus flare is associated with a much higher risk of stroke among patients with SLE.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: There are few data on the influence of lupus flare on stroke risk in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). In this study, we examined whether a severe lupus flare further increases the risk of stroke among SLE patients. METHODS: Using the Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study from 2000 to 2016. Each patient with SLE was matched to a non-SLE subject in age, sex, and index date. A severe flare of lupus was identified when an SLE patient was admitted for pulse therapy with intravenous methylprednisolone greater than 250 mg in a single hospitalization. SLE patients were divided into severe flare and non-severe flare groups. RESULTS: In total, 334 of 10,006 patients with SLE had a severe lupus flare, and the remaining 9672 patients were assigned to the non-severe flare group. Ischemic stroke occurred in 29 (8.7%), 485 (5%), and 384 (3.8%) of the patients in the severe flare, non-severe flare, and control groups, respectively. Hemorrhagic stroke occurred in 9 (2.7%), 123 (1.3%), and 37 (0.4%) of patients in the severe flare, non-severe flare, and control groups, respectively. Compared with patients in the non-severe flare group, patients with severe flare had a significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 7.44, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.93-11.25 vs aHR = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.26-1.83) and hemorrhagic stroke (aHR = 22.49, 95% CI: 10.09-50.12 vs aHR = 4.47, 95% CI: 2.90-6.90). CONCLUSION: Severe lupus flare is associated with a much higher risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes among SLE patients.