Are Current Survival Prediction Tools Useful When Treating Subsequent Skeletal-related Events From Bone Metastases?

BACKGROUND: Bone metastasis in advanced cancer is challenging because of pain, functional issues, and reduced life expectancy. Treatment planning is complex, with consideration of factors such as location, symptoms, and prognosis. Prognostic models help guide treatment choices, with Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithms (SORG-MLAs) showing promise in predicting survival for initial spinal metastases and extremity metastases treated with surgery or radiotherapy. Improved therapies extend patient lifespans, increasing the risk of subsequent skeletal-related events (SREs). Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. For these patients, a thorough evaluation, including accurate survival prediction, is essential to determine the most appropriate treatment and avoid aggressive surgical treatment for patients with a poor survival likelihood. Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. However, some variables in the SORG prediction model, such as tumor histology, visceral metastasis, and previous systemic therapies, might remain consistent between initial and subsequent SREs. Given the prognostic difference between patients with and without a subsequent SRE, the efficacy of established prognostic models-originally designed for individuals with an initial SRE-in addressing a subsequent SRE remains uncertain. Therefore, it is crucial to verify the model's utility for subsequent SREs. QUESTION/PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the reliability of the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in patients undergoing surgery or radiotherapy for a subsequent SRE for whom both the initial and subsequent SREs occurred in the spine or extremities. METHODS: We retrospectively included 738 patients who were 20 years or older who received surgery or radiotherapy for initial and subsequent SREs at a tertiary referral center and local hospital in Taiwan between 2010 and 2019. We excluded 74 patients whose initial SRE was in the spine and in whom the subsequent SRE occurred in the extremities and 37 patients whose initial SRE was in the extremities and the subsequent SRE was in the spine. The rationale was that different SORG-MLAs were exclusively designed for patients who had an initial spine metastasis and those who had an initial extremity metastasis, irrespective of whether they experienced metastatic events in other areas (for example, a patient experiencing an extremity SRE before his or her spinal SRE would also be regarded as a candidate for an initial spinal SRE). Because these patients were already validated in previous studies, we excluded them in case we overestimated our result. Five patients with malignant primary bone tumors and 38 patients in whom the metastasis's origin could not be identified were excluded, leaving 584 patients for analysis. The 584 included patients were categorized into two subgroups based on the location of initial and subsequent SREs: the spine group (68% [399]) and extremity group (32% [185]). No patients were lost to follow-up. Patient data at the time they presented with a subsequent SRE were collected, and survival predictions at this timepoint were calculated using the SORG-MLAs. Multiple imputation with the Missforest technique was conducted five times to impute the missing proportions of each predictor. The effectiveness of SORG-MLAs was gauged through several statistical measures, including discrimination (measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration, overall performance (Brier score), and decision curve analysis. Discrimination refers to the model's ability to differentiate between those with the event and those without the event. An AUC ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating the worst discrimination and 1.0 indicating perfect discrimination. An AUC of 0.7 is considered clinically acceptable discrimination. Calibration is the comparison between the frequency of observed events and the predicted probabilities. In an ideal calibration, the observed and predicted survival rates should be congruent. The logarithm of observed-to-expected survival ratio [log(O:E)] offers insight into the model's overall calibration by considering the total number of observed (O) and expected (E) events. The Brier score measures the mean squared difference between the predicted probability of possible outcomes for each individual and the observed outcomes, ranging from 0 to 1, with 0 indicating perfect overall performance and 1 indicating the worst performance. Moreover, the prevalence of the outcome should be considered, so a null-model Brier score was also calculated by assigning a probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome (in this case, the actual survival rate) to each patient. The benefit of the prediction model is determined by comparing its Brier score with that of the null model. If a prediction model's Brier score is lower than the null model's Brier score, the prediction model is deemed as having good performance. A decision curve analysis was performed for models to evaluate the "net benefit," which weighs the true positive rate over the false positive rate against the "threshold probabilities," the ratio of risk over benefit after an intervention was derived based on a comprehensive clinical evaluation and a well-discussed shared-decision process. A good predictive model should yield a higher net benefit than default strategies (treating all patients and treating no patients) across a range of threshold probabilities. RESULTS: For the spine group, the algorithms displayed acceptable AUC results (median AUCs of 0.69 to 0.72) for 42-day, 90-day, and 1-year survival predictions after treatment for a subsequent SRE. In contrast, the extremity group showed median AUCs ranging from 0.65 to 0.73 for the corresponding survival periods. All Brier scores were lower than those of their null model, indicating the SORG-MLAs' good overall performances for both cohorts. The SORG-MLAs yielded a net benefit for both cohorts; however, they overestimated 1-year survival probabilities in patients with a subsequent SRE in the spine, with a median log(O:E) of -0.60 (95% confidence interval -0.77 to -0.42). CONCLUSION: The SORG-MLAs maintain satisfactory discriminatory capacity and offer considerable net benefits through decision curve analysis, indicating their continued viability as prediction tools in this clinical context. However, the algorithms overestimate 1-year survival rates for patients with a subsequent SRE of the spine, warranting consideration of specific patient groups. Clinicians and surgeons should exercise caution when using the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in these patients and remain aware of potential mispredictions when tailoring treatment plans, with a preference for less invasive treatments. Ultimately, this study emphasizes the importance of enhancing prognostic algorithms and developing innovative tools for patients with subsequent SREs as the life expectancy in patients with bone metastases continues to improve and healthcare providers will encounter these patients more often in daily practice. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, prognostic study.

Nephroscope-assisted single trocar peritoneal dialysis catheter insertion improves catheter survival compared with laparoscopic technique: Ten-year experience of a single-center.

BACKGROUND: An ideal technique for peritoneal dialysis (PD) catheter insertion should provide a long-term functioning catheter until permanent renal replacement therapy becomes available. We developed a technique using the nephroscope-assisted single-trocar approach in 2011. In this study, we report the outcomes, learning curve analysis and cost-effectiveness analysisof the nephroscopic approach compared with the traditional laparoscopic approach. METHOD: Between January 2005 and December 2020, we retrospectively reviewed 511 patients who received PD catheter insertions using the laparoscopic or nephroscopic approach. We compared the baseline characteristics of the patients, surgical outcomes, and complications of the two groups. We further analyzed the nephroscopic group to determine the cost-effectiveness analysis, learning curve and the complication frequency between the learning and mastery periods of the nephroscopic approach. RESULTS: A total of 208 patients underwent laparoscopic PD catheter insertion, whereas 303 patients received nephroscopic surgery. The median catheter survival in the nephroscopic group is significantly longer (43.1 vs. 60.5 months, p = 0.019). The incidence of peritonitis (29.3% vs.20.8%, p = 0.035) and exit site infection (12.5% vs. 6.6%, p = 0.019) were significantly lower in the nephroscopic group. The cost-effectiveness analysis showed a medical expense reduction of 16000 USD annually by using the nephroscopic technique. There was no difference in the frequency of surgical complications between the learning and mastery phases when examining the learning curve analysis for the nephroscopic technique. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the traditional laparoscopic approach, the nephroscopic technique effectively prolonged catheter survival and reduces health care cost by reducing infectious complications. The low complication rate during the learning phase of surgery makes the procedure safe for patients and surgeons.

Clinical impact of therapeutic drug monitoring for newer anti-seizure medications in patients with epilepsy: A real-world observation study.

BACKGROUND: The clinical value of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) for newer anti-seizure medications (ASMs) remains uncertain. This study aimed to assess the impact of newer ASM TDM on clinical decision making in patients with epilepsy. METHODS: We retrospectively identified all plasma requests for newer ASM level measurement as part of routine clinical management in the outpatient departments of seven medical institutes across Taiwan between September 2016 and May 2019. Data collected from reviewed medical records included clinical and medication details, indications for TDM request, test results, interpretation, and impact on patient management. RESULTS: A total of 682 visits with 1051 plasma samples were included. The most frequently analyzed ASMs were levetiracetam (36.1%), oxcarbazepine (18.4%), and lamotrigine (12.0%). Reasons for TDM included poorly controlled seizures (55.3%), concerns about drug-drug interactions (12.3%), and suspicion of drug overdose (10.6%). 68.8% of samples were within the orienting therapeutic range, even for patients with poorly controlled seizures. TDM for non-adherence concerns showed 54.3% below the orienting therapeutic range, while ASM-related adverse events assessment only 8.9% showed levels exceeding the orienting therapeutic range. Following TDM results, 64.2% of cases had medication adjustments, mainly dosage increases. Overall, 55.9% of newer ASM TDM visit showed improved outcomes, including reduced seizures (47.5%) and fewer ASM-related side effects (8.4%). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that appropriate utilization of TDM for newer ASMs provides clinical benefits in adjunct to complement clinical decision making in the management of epilepsy patients in a real-world clinical setting.

Determining patients with spinal metastases suitable for surgical intervention: A cost-effective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Both nonoperative and operative treatments for spinal metastasis are expensive interventions. Patients' expected 3-month survival is believed to be a key factor to determine the most suitable treatment. However, to the best of our knowledge, no previous study lends support to the hypothesis. We sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of operative and nonoperative interventions, stratified by patients' predicted probability of 3-month survival. METHODS: A Markov model with four defined health states was used to estimate the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs for operative intervention with postoperative radiotherapy and radiotherapy alone (palliative low-dose external beam radiotherapy) of spine metastases. Transition probabilities for the model, including the risks of mortality and functional deterioration, were obtained from secondary and our institutional data. Willingness to pay thresholds were prespecified at $100,000 and $150,000. The analyses were censored after 5-year simulation from a health system perspective and discounted outcomes at 3% per year. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the study design. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were $140,907 per QALY for patients with a 3-month survival probability >50%, $3,178,510 per QALY for patients with a 3-month survival probability <50%, and $168,385 per QALY for patients with independent ambulatory and 3-month survival probability >50%. CONCLUSIONS: This study emphasizes the need to choose patients carefully and estimate preoperative survival for those with spinal metastases. In addition to reaffirming previous research regarding the influence of ambulatory status on cost-effectiveness, our study goes a step further by highlighting that operative intervention with postoperative radiotherapy could be more cost-effective than radiotherapy alone for patients with a better survival outlook. Accurate survival prediction tools and larger future studies could offer more detailed insights for clinical decisions.

Survival Outcomes of Patients with Esophageal Cancer Who Did Not Proceed to Surgery after Neoadjuvant Treatment.

BACKGROUND: This retrospective study examined outcomes in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who did not undergo surgical resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). METHODS: Patients receiving nCRT between 2012 and 2020 were divided into two groups: group 1 (scheduled surgery) and group 2 (no surgery). Group 2 was further categorized into subgroups based on reasons for not proceeding to surgery: group 2a (disease progression), group 2b (poor general conditions), and group 2c (patient refusal). Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome. RESULTS: Group 1 comprised 145 patients, while subgroups 2a, 2b, and 2c comprised 24, 16, and 31 patients, respectively. The 3-year OS rate was significantly lower in group 2 compared with group 1 (34% versus 56%, p < 0.001). A subgroup analysis showed varying 3-year OS rates: 13% for group 2a, 25% for group 2b, and 58% for group 2c (p < 0.001). Propensity score matching for group 2c and group 1 revealed no significant difference in 3-year OS rates (p = 0.91). CONCLUSION: One-third of ESCC patients receiving nCRT did not undergo surgical resection. Overall survival in this group was generally poorer, except for those who refused surgery (group 2c).

Does the Presence of Missing Data Affect the Performance of the SORG Machine-learning Algorithm for Patients With Spinal Metastasis? Development of an Internet Application Algorithm.

BACKGROUND: The Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithm (SORG-MLA) was developed to predict the survival of patients with spinal metastasis. The algorithm was successfully tested in five international institutions using 1101 patients from different continents. The incorporation of 18 prognostic factors strengthens its predictive ability but limits its clinical utility because some prognostic factors might not be clinically available when a clinician wishes to make a prediction. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: We performed this study to (1) evaluate the SORG-MLA's performance with data and (2) develop an internet-based application to impute the missing data. METHODS: A total of 2768 patients were included in this study. The data of 617 patients who were treated surgically were intentionally erased, and the data of the other 2151 patients who were treated with radiotherapy and medical treatment were used to impute the artificially missing data. Compared with those who were treated nonsurgically, patients undergoing surgery were younger (median 59 years [IQR 51 to 67 years] versus median 62 years [IQR 53 to 71 years]) and had a higher proportion of patients with at least three spinal metastatic levels (77% [474 of 617] versus 72% [1547 of 2151]), more neurologic deficit (normal American Spinal Injury Association [E] 68% [301 of 443] versus 79% [1227 of 1561]), higher BMI (23 kg/m2 [IQR 20 to 25 kg/m2] versus 22 kg/m2 [IQR 20 to 25 kg/m2]), higher platelet count (240 × 103/µL [IQR 173 to 327 × 103/µL] versus 227 × 103/µL [IQR 165 to 302 × 103/µL], higher lymphocyte count (15 × 103/µL [IQR 9 to 21× 103/µL] versus 14 × 103/µL [IQR 8 to 21 × 103/µL]), lower serum creatinine level (0.7 mg/dL [IQR 0.6 to 0.9 mg/dL] versus 0.8 mg/dL [IQR 0.6 to 1.0 mg/dL]), less previous systemic therapy (19% [115 of 617] versus 24% [526 of 2151]), fewer Charlson comorbidities other than cancer (28% [170 of 617] versus 36% [770 of 2151]), and longer median survival. The two patient groups did not differ in other regards. These findings aligned with our institutional philosophy of selecting patients for surgical intervention based on their level of favorable prognostic factors such as BMI or lymphocyte counts and lower levels of unfavorable prognostic factors such as white blood cell counts or serum creatinine level, as well as the degree of spinal instability and severity of neurologic deficits. This approach aims to identify patients with better survival outcomes and prioritize their surgical intervention accordingly. Seven factors (serum albumin and alkaline phosphatase levels, international normalized ratio, lymphocyte and neutrophil counts, and the presence of visceral or brain metastases) were considered possible missing items based on five previous validation studies and clinical experience. Artificially missing data were imputed using the missForest imputation technique, which was previously applied and successfully tested to fit the SORG-MLA in validation studies. Discrimination, calibration, overall performance, and decision curve analysis were applied to evaluate the SORG-MLA's performance. The discrimination ability was measured with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. It ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating the worst discrimination and 1.0 indicating perfect discrimination. An area under the curve of 0.7 is considered clinically acceptable discrimination. Calibration refers to the agreement between the predicted outcomes and actual outcomes. An ideal calibration model will yield predicted survival rates that are congruent with the observed survival rates. The Brier score measures the squared difference between the actual outcome and predicted probability, which captures calibration and discrimination ability simultaneously. A Brier score of 0 indicates perfect prediction, whereas a Brier score of 1 indicates the poorest prediction. A decision curve analysis was performed for the 6-week, 90-day, and 1-year prediction models to evaluate their net benefit across different threshold probabilities. Using the results from our analysis, we developed an internet-based application that facilitates real-time data imputation for clinical decision-making at the point of care. This tool allows healthcare professionals to efficiently and effectively address missing data, ensuring that patient care remains optimal at all times. RESULTS: Generally, the SORG-MLA demonstrated good discriminatory ability, with areas under the curve greater than 0.7 in most cases, and good overall performance, with up to 25% improvement in Brier scores in the presence of one to three missing items. The only exceptions were albumin level and lymphocyte count, because the SORG-MLA's performance was reduced when these two items were missing, indicating that the SORG-MLA might be unreliable without these values. The model tended to underestimate the patient survival rate. As the number of missing items increased, the model's discriminatory ability was progressively impaired, and a marked underestimation of patient survival rates was observed. Specifically, when three items were missing, the number of actual survivors was up to 1.3 times greater than the number of expected survivors, while only 10% discrepancy was observed when only one item was missing. When either two or three items were omitted, the decision curves exhibited substantial overlap, indicating a lack of consistent disparities in performance. This finding suggests that the SORG-MLA consistently generates accurate predictions, regardless of the two or three items that are omitted. We developed an internet application (https://sorg-spine-mets-missing-data-imputation.azurewebsites.net/) that allows the use of SORG-MLA with up to three missing items. CONCLUSION: The SORG-MLA generally performed well in the presence of one to three missing items, except for serum albumin level and lymphocyte count (which are essential for adequate predictions, even using our modified version of the SORG-MLA). We recommend that future studies should develop prediction models that allow for their use when there are missing data, or provide a means to impute those missing data, because some data are not available at the time a clinical decision must be made. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The results suggested the algorithm could be helpful when a radiologic evaluation owing to a lengthy waiting period cannot be performed in time, especially in situations when an early operation could be beneficial. It could help orthopaedic surgeons to decide whether to intervene palliatively or extensively, even when the surgical indication is clear.

Comparison of eight modern preoperative scoring systems for survival prediction in patients with extremity metastasis.

BACKGROUND: Survival is an important factor to consider when clinicians make treatment decisions for patients with skeletal metastasis. Several preoperative scoring systems (PSSs) have been developed to aid in survival prediction. Although we previously validated the Skeletal Oncology Research Group Machine-learning Algorithm (SORG-MLA) in Taiwanese patients of Han Chinese descent, the performance of other existing PSSs remains largely unknown outside their respective development cohorts. We aim to determine which PSS performs best in this unique population and provide a direct comparison between these models. METHODS: We retrospectively included 356 patients undergoing surgical treatment for extremity metastasis at a tertiary center in Taiwan to validate and compare eight PSSs. Discrimination (c-index), decision curve (DCA), calibration (ratio of observed:expected survivors), and overall performance (Brier score) analyses were conducted to evaluate these models' performance in our cohort. RESULTS: The discriminatory ability of all PSSs declined in our Taiwanese cohort compared with their Western validations. SORG-MLA is the only PSS that still demonstrated excellent discrimination (c-indexes>0.8) in our patients. SORG-MLA also brought the most net benefit across a wide range of risk probabilities on DCA with its 3-month and 12-month survival predictions. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians should consider potential ethnogeographic variations of a PSS's performance when applying it onto their specific patient populations. Further international validation studies are needed to ensure that existing PSSs are generalizable and can be integrated into the shared treatment decision-making process. As cancer treatment keeps advancing, researchers developing a new prediction model or refining an existing one could potentially improve their algorithm's performance by using data gathered from more recent patients that are reflective of the current state of cancer care.

Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy: Seizure and Social Outcomes in Taiwan.

Patients with juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) may not achieve seizure freedom despite optimal treatment with antiseizure medications (ASMs). The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical and social features of patients with JME, and to determine the factors associated with outcomes. We retrospectively identified 49 patients with JME (25 females, mean age 27.6 ± 8.9 years) who were assessed at the Epilepsy Centre of Linkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan. The patients were divided into two groups, those who were seizure-free and those with ongoing seizures according to their seizure outcome at the last follow-up for one year. Clinical features and social status were compared between these two groups. Twenty-four (49%) of the JME patients were seizure-free for at least one year, while 51% continued to experience seizures despite being treated with multiple ASMs. The presence of epileptiform discharges in the last electroencephalogram and seizures during sleep were significantly associated with worse seizure outcomes (p < 0.05). The patients who were seizure-free had a higher employment rate compared to those who continued to experience seizures (75% vs. 32%, p = 0.004). Despite receiving ASM treatment, a considerable proportion of the patients with JME continued to have seizures. Moreover, poor seizure control was associated with a lower employment rate, which may lead to negative socioeconomic consequences related to JME.

The prognostic impact of lymph node dissection for clinically node-negative upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma in patients who are treated with radical nephroureterectomy.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the prognostic impact of lymph node dissection (LND) in patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) with bladder cuff excision (BCE) for clinically node-negative (cN0) upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 520 patients with cN0 UTUC in a single tertiary referral center from 2000 to 2015. The patients were divided into three groups: patients with and without pathologically proved lymph node metastasis (pN1-3 and pN0, respectively) and patients without LND (pNx). We analyzed associations between overall survival (OS)/ disease-free survival (DFS)/ cancer-specific survival (CSS) and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: The patients were divided into three groups (pN1-3, pN0 and pNx with 20, 303, and 197 patients, respectively). OS/DFS/CSS in the pN1-3 group were significantly worse (all p<0.001) compared with the pN0 group. However, there were no significant differences between the pNx and pN0 groups. In the multivariate analyses, CSS was only affected by age [(hazard ratio (HR) = 1.03, p = 0.008]), positive surgical margin (HR = 3.38, p<0.001) and pathological T3-4 stages (HR = 4.07, p<0.001). In the subgroup analyses for patients with LND, locally advanced disease (pT3 and pT4) had significantly more metastases [T3-4: 13.91% (16/115) vs. T0-2: 1.92% (4/208), p<0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: In the pN0 group, LND for cN0 UTUC did not show therapeutic benefits in terms of DFS, CSS, and OS. However, LND with RNU allowed optimal tumor staging, through patients still had a poor prognosis. Clinically occult LN metastases were found in 6.2% of our patients.

Prognostic significance of lab data and performance comparison by validating survival prediction models for patients with spinal metastases after radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Well-performing survival prediction models (SPMs) help patients and healthcare professionals to choose treatment aligning with prognosis. This retrospective study aims to investigate the prognostic impacts of laboratory data and to compare the performances of Metastases location, Elderly, Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy (METSSS) model, New England Spinal Metastasis Score (NESMS), and Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine learning algorithm (SORG-MLA) for spinal metastases (SM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: From 2010 to 2018, patients who received radiotherapy (RT) for SM at a tertiary center were enrolled and the data were retrospectively collected. Multivariate logistic and Cox-proportional-hazard regression analyses were used to assess the association between laboratory values and survival. The area under receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUROC), calibration analysis, Brier score, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the performance of SPMs. RESULTS: A total of 2786 patients were included for analysis. The 90-day and 1-year survival rates after RT were 70.4% and 35.7%, respectively. Higher albumin, hemoglobin, or lymphocyte count were associated with better survival, while higher alkaline phosphatase, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, or international normalized ratio were associated with poor prognosis. SORG-MLA has the best discrimination (AUROC 90-day, 0.78; 1-year 0.76), best calibrations, and the lowest Brier score (90-day 0.16; 1-year 0.18). The decision curve of SORG-MLA is above the other two competing models with threshold probabilities from 0.1 to 0.8. CONCLUSION: Laboratory data are of prognostic significance in survival prediction after RT for SM. Machine learning-based model SORG-MLA outperforms statistical regression-based model METSSS model and NESMS in survival predictions.

Can a Bayesian belief network for survival prediction in patients with extremity metastases (PATHFx) be externally validated in an Asian cohort of 356 surgically treated patients?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Predicted survival may influence the treatment decision for patients with skeletal extremity metastasis, and PATHFx was designed to predict the likelihood of a patient dying in the next 24 months. However, the performance of prediction models could have ethnogeographical variations. We asked if PATHFx generalized well to our Taiwanese cohort consisting of 356 surgically treated patients with extremity metastasis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 356 patients who underwent surgery for skeletal extremity metastasis in a tertiary center in Taiwan between 2014 and 2019 to validate PATHFx's survival predictions at 6 different time points. Model performance was assessed by concordance index (c-index), calibration analysis, decision curve analysis (DCA), Brier score, and model consistency (MC). RESULTS: The c-indexes for the 1-, 3-, 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month survival estimations were 0.71, 0.66, 0.65, 0.69, 0.68, and 0.67, respectively. The calibration analysis demonstrated positive calibration intercepts for survival predictions at all 6 timepoints, indicating PATHFx tended to underestimate the actual survival. The Brier scores for the 6 models were all less than their respective null model's. DCA demonstrated that only the 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month predictions appeared useful for clinical decision-making across a wide range of threshold probabilities. The MC was < 0.9 when the 6- and 12-month models were compared with the 12-month and 18-month models, respectively. INTERPRETATION: In this Asian cohort, PATHFx's performance was not as encouraging as those of prior validation studies. Clinicians should be cognizant of the potential decline in validity of any tools designed using data outside their particular patient population. Developers of survival prediction tools such as PATHFx might refine their algorithms using data from diverse, contemporary patients that is more reflective of the world's population.

Robot-Assisted Radiofrequency Ablation Combined with Thermodynamic Simulation for Epilepsy Reoperations.

Repeat craniotomies to treat recurrent seizures may be difficult, and minimally invasive radiofrequency ablation is an alternative therapy. On the basis of this procedure, we aimed to develop a more reliable methodology which is helpful for institutions where real-time image monitoring or electrophysiologic guidance during ablation are not available. We used simulation combined with a robot-assisted radiofrequency ablation (S-RARFA) protocol to plan and execute brain epileptic tissue lesioning. Trajectories of electrodes were planned on the robot system, and time-dependent thermodynamics was simulated with radiofrequency parameters. Thermal gradient and margin were displayed on a computer to calculate ablation volume with a mathematic equation. Actual volume was measured on images after the ablation. This small series included one pediatric and two adult patients. The remnant hippocampus, corpus callosum, and irritative zone around arteriovenous malformation nidus were all treated with S-RARFA. The mean error percentage of the volume ablated between preoperative simulation and postoperative measurement was 2.4 ± 0.7%. No complications or newly developed neurologic deficits presented postoperatively, and the patients had little postoperative pain and short hospital stays. In this pilot study, we preliminarily verified the feasibility and safety of this novel protocol. As an alternative to traditional surgeries or real-time monitoring, S-RARFA served as successful seizure reoperation with high accuracy, minimal collateral damage, and good seizure control.

SSR individual identification system construction and population genetics analysis for Chamaecyparis formosensis.

Chamaecyparis formosensis is an endemic species of Taiwan, threatened from intensive use and illegal felling. An individual identification system for C. formosensis is required to provide scientific evidence for court use and deter illegal felling. In this study, 36 polymorphic simple sequence repeat markers were developed. By applying up to 28 non-linked of the developed markers, it is calculated that the cumulative random probability of identity (CPI) is as low as 1.652 × 10-12, and the identifiable population size is up to 60 million, which is greater than the known C. formosensis population size in Taiwan. Biogeographical analysis data show that C. formosensis from four geographic areas belong to the same genetic population, which can be further divided into three clusters: SY (Eastern Taiwan), HV and GW (Northwestern Taiwan), and MM (Southwestern Taiwan). The developed system was applied to assess the provenance of samples with 88.44% accuracy rate and therefore can serve as a prescreening tool to reduce the range required for comparison. The system developed in this study is a potential crime-fighting tool against illegal felling.

Reduced Sleep Quality Is Related to Poor Quality of Life in Patients with Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy, a Case-Control Study.

Juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) is a primary generalized epilepsy which is closely related to the sleep-wake cycle. This study aimed to investigate whether sleep disturbance is more common among patients with JME and the impact this may have on their quality of life (QOL). Thirty-four patients with JME and age- and gender-matched controls were recruited into this case control study, and assessed using validated sleep questionnaires including the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS), Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), and Stanford Sleepiness Scale (SSS). QOL was assessed using the Quality of Life in Epilepsy Inventory (QOLIE-31). The patients had a significantly higher PSQI score and higher proportion of abnormal PSQI scores than the controls. They also had higher ESS and SSS scores, but without statistical significance. The patients with poor sleep quality had significantly lower overall QOL, emotional well-being, and energy/fatigue subscale scores. The use of a higher number of antiseizure medications, dosage of levetiracetam, and usage of antiseizure medication polytherapy were associated with sleep disorders. Our results showed that sleep disturbance is common in patients with JME, and also that it has an impact on their QOL.

A prospective, randomized study assessing different modalities for flushing totally implanted vascular access device in children with malignancy.

BACKGROUND: The totally implanted vascular access device (TIVAD) is commonly used in patients with malignant tumors requiring chemotherapy or long-term intravenous infusion and those with difficulty placing peripheral venous catheters. It could also be used to draw blood in pediatric patients. Thus, how to maintain the patency and longevity of TIVAD is always emphasized. METHODS: In this prospective study, TIVAD was randomly infused in patients under 18 years with three different concentrations of heparinized solutions: 10 mL with 100 U/mL heparin, 20 mL with 10 U/mL heparin, and 30 mL with 10 U/mL heparin. RESULTS: A total of 81 patients (46 males and 35 females) were enrolled in this study from August 2, 2013 to February 1, 2017. The mean age of those who received TIVAD implantation was 7.2 ± 5.3 years, and the mean duration of using TIVAD was 1027.6 ± 369.1 days. Patients without catheter occlusion events experienced significantly shorter hospitalizations, fewer admissions, and fewer punctures than those with catheter occlusion events (p < 0.05). The administration and frequency of blood transfusions, history of bacteremia, and medication history did not increase the risk of catheter occlusion, but puncture frequency increased this risk. In patients with catheter occlusion events (38/81, 46.9%), catheter patency was restored after instillation of urokinase solution. CONCLUSION: In this study, the risk of TIVAD catheter occlusion was only related to puncture frequency regardless of the heparin flush composition or patient characteristics. A high puncture frequency of TIVAD during the 3.5-year study period significantly increased the risk of catheter occlusion. Besides, flushing and locking solutions for TIVAD using heparin at 10 U/mL was effective as using heparin at 100 U/mL regardless of the flushing volume of 10, 20, or 30 mL.

Aggressive cytoreduction and multiple subpial cortical transections may obtain good surgical outcomes in refractory epilepsy with multiple epileptic foci.

BACKGROUNDS: Epilepsy surgery is the most efficacious therapeutic modality for patients with medical refractory epilepsy, especially resective surgery. However, the variable etiologies and multiple epileptic foci are usually associated with the outcomes. The aim of this study was to demonstrate that combination of different intervention procedures might be an alternative option for patients of refractory epilepsy. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed pre-operative and post-surgical outcomes in 30 patients who received epilepsy surgery between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2014 at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital (CGMH), Linkou, according to Engel's classification. RESULTS: Twenty-six of the 30 patients (86.7%) had good outcomes, sum of class I and class II after epilepsy surgery. The good outcome rate of our complicated group was 80.0% (12/15), compared to 93.3% (14/15) in the simple group, but no significant differences between the two groups (p = 0.569). Four patients whose epileptic foci involved eloquent area and received multiple subpial cortical transection, and good outcome rate was 75% (3/4). At last, six patients had previously failed epilepsy surgery and received a reoperation, with a good outcome rate of 83.3% (5/6). CONCLUSION: After complete pre-surgical evaluation and combined interventional procedures, the patients with refractory epilepsy had satisfactory outcomes and few neurological complications. Moreover, re-operation can improve the outcome in some patients who previously failed epilepsy surgery.

Treatment of pharmacoresistant sleep-related hypermotor epilepsy (SHE) with the selective AMPA receptor antagonist perampanel.

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and tolerability of perampanel (PER) as adjunctive therapy in patients with pharmacoresistant sleep-related hypermotor epilepsy (SHE). Patients diagnosed with SHE who received PER treatment between 2016 and 2019 were included, and their data were reviewed retrospectively. Diagnosis was based on reports of patients or family members witnessing the events and clinical characteristics of seizures captured by video or during video-electroencephalography monitoring. Among 36 SHE patients, 20 with pharmacoresistant SHE (six female; mean age: 34.1 ± 9.0 years) who received PER as adjunctive therapy were included in this study. Fourteen out of the 20 patients received PER with mean length of PER exposure of 24.6 ± 15.7 months: 10 of them were responders and four non-responders. The remaining six patients discontinued PER for adverse events (n = 5) and patient choice (n = 1). Among the 10 responders, six (60%) reported seizure-free periods lasting ≥6 months. The most common PER-associated adverse event was dizziness (25%) followed by malaise (10%). Clinical experience with these patients demonstrated that PER might be considered as an add-on anti-seizure medication for patients with highly pharmacoresistant SHE.

Fabrication and Stabilization of Oxidized Carbon Black Nanoparticle Dispersion in Aqueous Solution for Photothermal Conversion Enhancement.

This study aims to explore oxidized carbon black nanoparticles (OCB-NPs) capped with an inorganic surfactant dispersed in water, as a carbon black water-based nanofluid, on photothermal conversion enhancement. We used ultraviolet-visible (UV-vis) absorption spectroscopy and zeta potential analyzers to identify the optimal concentration of sodium hexametaphosphate (SHMP) as an inorganic surfactant for OCB-NPs in order to determine the maximum value of UV-vis light absorption and absolute zeta potential. Then, the concentrations of 0.025-0.1 wt % OCB water-based nanofluid with SHMP were formulated by an ultrasonic bath for the examination of rheological behavior, thermal conductivity, and heating rate. The results indicated that the heating rate improvement of the water-based nanofluid involving 0.1 wt % OCB-capped with SHMP after irradiation by UV-vis light with wavelengths ranging from 220 to 380 nm, which is included in the solar spectrum, and an intensity of 205 W/m2 increased by approximately 66%, compared to the base fluid in the cyclic flow system. Furthermore, after a 1 month storage period, the dispersion stabilization of water-based nanofluid including 0.1 wt % OCB-capped with SHMP reached 98%, as estimated by the UV-vis spectrophotometer.

Social interactions upregulate hemolymph tryptophan and tyrosine levels in the male lobster cockroach.

In the present study, we found that tryptophan (TRP) and tyrosine (TYR) levels are increased in hemolymph of male Nauphoeta cinerea after social contact with either male or female conspecifics. Hemolymph was collected from individual males before and after the social interactions, and samples were analyzed by HPLC-ECD; analyte identities were confirmed by UPLC/MS. After a male-male first encounter fight, hemolymph TRP and TYR levels were significantly increased in dominants compared with the levels before the encounter. Conversely, TRP and TYR in subordinates were maintained at levels similar to those before the encounter. While after-fight TRP and TYR levels were significantly higher in dominants than subordinates, no significant differences were found in the contestants before the fight. Moreover, contact with an isolated male antenna was sufficient to stimulate attack behavior and increase hemolymph TRP and TYR titers to levels similar to those seen in dominants. After a male-female interaction, two distinct outcomes could be observed. Either hemolymph TRP and TYR levels were increased in successfully mated males, or TRP and TYR levels were unchanged in males that only exhibited premating wing-raising behavior but failed in mating. After contacting the antenna of a socially naïve male with an isolated female antenna, three patterns of behavior and related amino acid response were observed: 1) only premating wing-raising behavior with significant increase of TRP and TYR levels, 2) only attack behavior with significant increase of TRP and TYR levels, and 3) mixed wing-raising and attack behaviors with no significant changes in TRP and TYR levels. The present results show a robust response of hemolymph TRP and TYR to social contact. In light of previously characterized responses in pheromone and juvenile hormone levels, these amine responses suggest that the physiological response of N. cinerea to social contact is multi-dimensional.