Predicting Foodborne Disease Outbreaks with Food Safety Certifications: Econometric and Machine Learning Analyses.

Since the late 1990s, food safety certification has emerged as a prominent and influential regulatory mechanism in both the private and public spheres of the contemporary agri-food system. Food safety standards protect consumers from foodborne illnesses and help producers avoid the massive economic losses associated with food safety breaches. We empirically examine the relationship between foodborne disease outbreaks and certification adoption by utilizing the data on food safety certification adoption in the United States and Europe from 2015 through 2020. In our regression models, food safety certification along with select economic variables such as gross domestic product are used to explain the number of illnesses caused by foodborne disease outbreaks. For the United States at the state level, we found that certifications to SQF, PrimusGFS, BRC, or FSSC 22000 are negatively associated with the number of foodborne illnesses. For the case of Europe at the country level, certifications to ISO 22000 or FSSC 22000 are negatively associated with the number of foodborne illnesses. We then proceed to use machine learning techniques to examine how well we can use food safety certification data to predict foodborne disease outbreaks. Applying several algorithms (ordinary least squares, multinomial, decision tree, and random forest) to the U.S. data, we found that our models with food safety certification adoption can predict the number of U.S. foodborne illnesses or deaths with a relatively high degree of precision (testing accuracy at around 70% or better). Feature importance analysis allows us to inspect the relative importance of each explanatory variable (or feature) for making accurate predictions of the illness or death numbers. Through ranking the importance of explanatory variables, our study reveals that certification information could be the second most important variable (after gross domestic product) contributing to explain foodborne disease outbreaks.

8-O-ß-D-Glucopyranosyl-2-methylchromone, a new chromone glycoside from the Tibetan medicine plant of Swertia punicea Hemsl.

A new chromone glycoside, 8-O-ß-D-Glucopyranosyl-2-methylchromone (1), together with eight known compounds (2-9) were isolated from the Tibetan medicine plant of Swertia punicea. All compounds of this plant were reported for the first time. The structures of these metabolites were elucidated by analysis of their HR-ESI-MS, 1D and 2D NMR spectroscopic data and comparison with data reported in the literature. In vitro test, all compounds were evaluated for their anti-inflammatory activity through the determination of nitric oxide production. Compounds 1-2 were evaluated for cytotoxic activities against three human cancer cell lines (HeLa, MDA-MB-231 and A375) by 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2,5-diphenyl tetrazolium bromide (MTT) method. Furthermore, the chemotaxonomic significance of these compounds has also been described.

Structure Elucidation of Two New Norlignans from Anemone vitifolia and Their Anti-Inflammatory Activities.

Two new norlignans together with two known phenylpropanoids were isolated from the whole herb of Anemone vitifolia. All compounds were reported from this plant for the first time. The structures of these compounds were identified by comprehensive HR-ESI-MS, 1D and 2D NMR spectroscopic data analysis and comparison with literature data. Additionally, bioactivity study results showed that two new compounds have potential anti-inflammatory activity. The plausible biosynthetic pathway for these compounds were also speculated in this article.

Three new phenylacetamide glycosides from Dracocephalum tanguticum Maxim and their anti-hyperglycemic activity.

Three new phenylacetamide glycosides (1-3) together with one known phenylacetamide glycoside (4) and two known flavonoid glycosides (5-6) were isolated from whole plants of Dracocephalum tanguticum. The structure of all compounds were elucidated based on spectroscopic data analysis and comparison with data reported in related literature. Compounds (1-3) were evaluated for their anti-hyperglycemic and anti-fungal (Candida albicans) activities, the results revealed that all of them showed moderate activity with 3T3-L1 adipocytes glucose consumption rate of 20.80 ± 1.47%, 21.48 ± 2.44%, and 21.57 ± 1.35%, respectively at the final concentration of 25 µM. However, none of them showed obvious Candida albicans inhibitory activity.

Vasodilatory effect and structural-activity relationship of a group of iridoid glucosides from Phlomis likiangensis.

As a folk medicine, Phlomis likiangensis is traditionally used in China to activate collaterals and protect cardiovascular system. We hypothesized that the beneficial effects of Phlomis likiangensis may be related to vasodilatation. In the present study, twelve known iridoid glucosides (1-12) were isolated from Phlomis likiangensis. The vasodilatory effects and the underlying mechanisms of the main components (iridoid glucosides) of Phlomis likiangensis on rat aortic rings were investigated. The result showed that iridoid glucosides significantly increased the vasodilatation in rat aortic rings, which was abolished by removing the endothelium of the vessels or by eliminating the generation of nitric oxide. Finally, the structure-activity relationship of compounds 1-12 was also speculated. Our findings provide the first evidence that the iridoid glucosides of Phlomis likiangensis may be the pharmacodynamic basis for its traditional efficacy.

Angiogenic effect of motherwort (Leonurus japonicus) alkaloids and toxicity of motherwort essential oil on zebrafish embryos.

There is growing evidence that motherwort (Leonurus japonicus Houtt.), and Chinese patent medicines derived from motherwort, alleviate postpartum uterine subinvolution, as well as the effects on myocardial and cerebral ischemic injuries. We hypothesized that these beneficial effects of motherwort may be related to angiogenesis. To test this hypothesis, we investigated the angiogenic effects of motherwort total alkaloids and essential oil, as well as their respective primary components, on zebrafish embryos. Motherwort total alkaloids significantly increased angiogenesis in transgenic Tg (flk1: EGFP) zebrafish embryos treated with sunitinib, as did stachydrine, the most abundant alkaloid produced by motherwort. Unexpectedly, motherwort essential oil was toxic to zebrafish embryos. Our results indicated, for the first time, that motherwort alkaloids were potent angiogenic agents, while even low concentrations of motherwort essential oil were toxic. As angiogenesis is a critical aspect of postpartum recovery, our results provide evidence for traditional application of motherwort water decoction and its Chinese patent medicines (e.g. motherwort injection) to promote postpartum recovery.

Growth of 3-D flower/grass-like metal oxide nanoarchitectures based on catalyst-assisted oxidation method.

Cu2O grass-like and ZnO flower-like nanoarchitectures were fabricated directly on Cu powders and Zn powders using a novel thermal oxidation stress-induced (TOS) method based on catalyst assistance at a low temperature of 150°C under moderate humid atmosphere. The experiments of Al powder were also carried out based on TOS method. Overlapping migration (OLM) of Cu and Zn atoms and toothpaste squeezing migration (TSM) of Al atoms caused by different atom densities in metal oxide materials were studied. PACS: 81. Materials science; 81.07.-b Nanoscale materials and structures: fabrication and characterization; 81.16.Hc Catalytic methods.

The surface condition effect of Cu2O flower/grass-like nanoarchitectures grown on Cu foil and Cu film.

Cu2O flower/grass-like nanoarchitectures (FGLNAs) were fabricated directly on two category specimens of Cu foils and Cu film using thermal oxidation method. The FGLNAs are approximately 3.5 to 12 µm in size, and their petals are approximately 50 to 950 nm in width. The high compressive stress caused by a large oxide volume in the Cu2O layer on the specimen surface played an important role in the growth of FGLNAs. The effects of surface conditions, such as the surface stresses, grain size, and surface roughness of Cu foil and Cu film specimens, on the FGLNA growth were discussed in detail. PACS: 81. Materials science; 81.07.-b Nanoscale materials and structures: fabrication and characterization; 81.16.Hc Catalytic methods.