A health status estimation method based on interpretable neural network observer for HVs.

Estimating the health status is a crucial step in learning about the health of hypersonic vehicles beforehand. The estimation results can be used to detect abnormal states and provide data reference for fault diagnosis. However, certain conventional neural network-based estimate techniques rely heavily on data and have limited model interpretability, which challenges the accuracy of the estimation results. This research aims to address the problems of data dependency and model interpretability in estimation models. In this study, a block interpretable neural network model with constraints on the trajectory and attitude equations is established. On the basis of the interpretable neural network model, two health status estimation methods are proposed: one that is unsupervised and the other that is supervised. Additionally, in the supervised health status estimate approach, an FC-LN-Mish structure is created to fit the relationship between the fault residual and the fault state parameters. The results indicate that the proposed estimation methods can fit the system mechanism relationship more accurately, improve the model interpretability, reduce data dependency, and ensure high estimation efficiency and precision. The FC-LN-Mish structure can reduce the missed detection rate and false detection rate to some extent, and perform better than other models under the low fault deviation degree. In conclusion, the interpretable neural network model-based observers accurately observe the health status parameters of rudders and RCS, reduce data dependence and data processing costs, and have better performance under high uncertainty interference. It provides effective method for online health estimation.

A coalitional game-based joint monitoring mechanism for combating COVID-19.

In the absence of effective treatment for COVID-19, disease prevention and control have become a top priority across the world. However, the general lack of effective cooperation between communities makes it difficult to suppress the community spread of the global pandemic; hence repeated outbreaks of COVID-19 have become the norm. To address this problem, this paper considers community cooperation in disease monitoring and designs a joint epidemic monitoring mechanism, in which adjacent communities cooperate to enhance their monitoring capability. In this work, we formulate the epidemiological monitoring process as a coalitional game. Then, we propose a Shapley value-based payoffs distribution scheme for the coalitional game. A comprehensive analytical framework is developed to evaluate the advantages and sustainability of the cooperation between communities. Experimental results show that the proposed mechanism performs much better than the conventional non-cooperative monitoring design and can greatly increase each community's payoffs.

Periodic analysis on gas path fault diagnosis of gas turbines.

The gas path fault diagnosis is considered widely to ensure the economy, safety and practicability of gas turbines. Traditional gas path diagnosis methods are vulnerable to various uncertainties, resulting in a deviation between the diagnostic results and the real states, which brings huge potential safety hazard to industrial production. Periodic analysis can suppress the uncertainty interference and extract accurately the features of performance parameters to improve the accuracy of health evaluation. Motivated by these, a novel periodic analysis method is proposed for detecting gas path faults, namely the changing periodicity of performance parameters representing the health state of gas turbine is detected to determine whether gas path fault occurs. It is theoretically analyzed that the relationship between the periodicity of observed performance parameters and that of boundary conditions, system uncertainties, and thermodynamic parameters. The simulation experiments are performed to analyze the effects of gas path faults on periodicity of boundary conditions, system uncertainties and thermodynamic parameters. The results show that most gas path faults break the periodicity of performance parameters, proving that the operating states can be monitored through the periodic analysis of performance parameters. An online diagnosis procedure is further proposed by combining signal decomposition and rolling periodic extraction method to judge whether the gas turbine is in health or not. The validity is verified by comparing the periodicity of performance parameters under healthy and fault states. Periodic analysis suppresses the effects of system and parameter uncertainties and detects sensitively gas path faults, which provides a new idea for the fault diagnosis of gas turbines.

Dynamic-Sensitive centrality of nodes in temporal networks.

Locating influential nodes in temporal networks has attracted a lot of attention as data driven and diverse applications. Classic works either looked at analysing static networks or placed too much emphasis on the topological information but rarely highlighted the dynamics. In this paper, we take account the network dynamics and extend the concept of Dynamic-Sensitive centrality to temporal network. According to the empirical results on three real-world temporal networks and a theoretical temporal network for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) models, the temporal Dynamic-Sensitive centrality (TDC) is more accurate than both static versions and temporal versions of degree, closeness and betweenness centrality. As an application, we also use TDC to analyse the impact of time-order on spreading dynamics, we find that both topological structure and dynamics contribute the impact on the spreading influence of nodes, and the impact of time-order on spreading influence will be stronger when spreading rate b deviated from the epidemic threshold bc, especially for the temporal scale-free networks.