High remnant-cholesterol levels increase the risk for end-stage renal disease: a nationwide, population-based, cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The effect of remnant-cholesterol (remnant-C) on incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has not been studied longitudinally. This retrospective cohort study evaluated the association between remnant-C and the development of ESRD in a nationwide Korean cohort. METHODS: Participants in a National Health Insurance Service health examination (n = 3,856,985) were followed up until the onset of ESRD. The median duration of follow-up was 10.3 years. The Martin-Hopkins equation was used to determine low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels from directly measured triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and total cholesterol levels. Remnant-C levels were determined by subtracting HDL-C and LDL-C from total cholesterol. The risk for incident ESRD was calculated for each quartile of remnant-C, adjusting for conventional risk factors such as baseline renal function, comorbidities, and total cholesterol levels. RESULTS: ESRD developed in 11,073 (0.29%) participants. The risk for ESRD exhibited a gradual increase according to higher levels of remnant-C, with a 61% increased risk in the highest quartile than in the lowest (hazard ratio [HR] 1.61 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-1.72]). The elevated risk for ESRD in the highest quartile versus the lowest quartile was more prominent in younger than in older subjects (20-29 years, HR 4.07 [95% CI 2.85-5.83]; 30-39 years, HR 2.39 [95% CI 1.83-3.13]; ≥ 70 years, HR 1.32 [95% CI 1.16-1.51]). In addition, the increased risk for ESRD related to higher remnant-C levels was greater in females than in males. CONCLUSIONS: Independent of conventional risk factors, remnant-C levels were positively associated with incident ESRD, particularly in younger populations and adult females. Reducing remnant-C levels may be a novel preventive strategy against ESRD.

Clinical Link between the BARD Score at Diagnosis and Mortality during Follow-Up in Patients with Antineutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis.

This study investigated whether the BARD score at diagnosis could predict all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). This study included 236 immunosuppressive drug-naïve patients without chronic liver diseases such as viral hepatitis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and advanced liver diseases and their clinical data at diagnosis, such as age, sex, and the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS). The BARD score was calculated by the sum of aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio ≥ 0.8 (+2 points), body mass index (BMI) ≥ 28 kg/m2 (+1 point), and the presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (+1 point). All-cause mortality was investigated as a poor outcome of AAV. The median age of AAV patients was 60.0 years, and 34.7% were men. Among AAV patients, 7, 50, and 187 scored 1, 1, and 2 points owing to having a BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2, T2DM, and an AST/ALT ratio ≥ 0.8, respectively. Patients with a BARD score ≥ 2 and those with a BARD score ≥ 3 exhibited significantly lower cumulative patient survival rates than those without (p = 0.038 and p = 0.003, respectively). In the multivariable Cox analysis, among the two cut-offs of the BARD scores, only a BARD score ≥ 3 (HR 2.866), along with age (HR 1.061), male sex (HR 2.327), and BVAS (HR 1.100), was independently associated with all-cause mortality during follow-up. In conclusion, this study was the first to demonstrate that the BARD score ≥ 3 at AAV diagnosis could predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in AAV patients.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score is a useful index for predicting all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis.

Background: This study investigated whether the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) could predict all-cause mortality during follow-up among patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: The medical records of 256 AAV patients were retrospectively reviewed. AAV patients with clinically critical chronic liver diseases were excluded. NFS was calculated using the following equation: NFS = -1.675 + 0.037 - age + 0.094 - body mass index +1.13 × impaired fasting glucose/diabetes mellitus +0.99 × aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio - 0.013 × platelet count - 0.66 × serum albumin. Results: The median age was 59.0 years, and 35.2% of the patients were male. The median Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS), five-factor score (FFS), and NFS were 12.0, 1.0, and - 4.7, respectively. Of the 256 patients, 33 (12.9%) died. Using the receiver operating characteristic curve, the optimal cut-off of NFS for all-cause mortality was obtained as-3.97. AAV patients with NFS at diagnosis ≥ - 3.97 exhibited a lower cumulative patients' survival rate than those with NFS at diagnosis <-3.97. The multivariable Cox analysis revealed that NFS at diagnosis ≥ - 3.97 (HR 2.232, 95% CI 1.011, 4.925) was independently associated with all-cause mortality in AAV patients. Conclusion: This study was the first to demonstrate that NFS at AAV diagnosis was clinically useful in predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up, regardless of both the degree of liver fibrosis and abnormal or normal liver function results.

Hepatic steatosis index at diagnosis has the potential for forecasting end-stage kidney disease in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis.

Objective: This study evaluated whether the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) at antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV) diagnosis could forecast poor outcomes during the disease course in AAV patients. Methods: This study included 260 AAV patients. The equation for HSI is as follows HSI=8×(alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase)+body mass index+(2, diabetes mellitus)+(2, female). The cut-off of HSI was obtained using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: The median age of the 260 patients was 59.5 years, and 65.0% were female. Among the continuous variables excluding the parameters composing the equation for HSI, HSI was significantly correlated with Birmingham vasculitis activity score, five-factor score, haemoglobin, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, and total cholesterol. Among poor outcomes, the area under the curve of HSI for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) was significant, and the cut-off of HSI for ESRD was set at ≤30.82. AAV patients with HSI ≤30.82 exhibited a significantly higher risk of ESRD (relative risk 3.489) and a significantly lower cumulative ESRD-free survival rate than those with HSI >30.82. Conclusion: This study is the first to demonstrate that HSI at AAV diagnosis could forecast ESRD during the disease course in AAV patients.

Cholecystectomy increases the risk of metabolic syndrome in the Korean population: a longitudinal cohort study.

Background: Cholecystectomy is a common surgical procedure to treat symptomatic gallstones; however, the long-term outcomes after cholecystectomy are unknown. Therefore, we aimed to investigate whether incident metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with cholecystectomy through a large, population-based, longitudinal study. Methods: Subjects aged ≥20 years who underwent cholecystectomy from 2010 to 2014 (n=76,485) and controls (n=76,485), matched for age and sex, were identified from the Korean National Health Insurance Corporation. Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to evaluate the association between cases and incident MetS, and hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Results: A total of 152,970 patients were included. Mean age was 52.47±12.76 years, and 50.65% of participants were male. During the follow-up period, there were 38,979 (25.48%) newly diagnosed MetS cases in the study participants. The risk of MetS in the cholecystectomy group was approximately 20% higher than that in the control group [adjusted odds ratio (OR), 1.20; 95% CI: 1.17-1.23]. In the fully adjusted models, the corresponding ORs for new-onset high waist circumference (WC), low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels, high triglycerides (TG) levels, high blood pressure (BP), and high blood glucose levels were 1.16 (1.13-1.19), 1.19 (1.16-1.22), 1.25 (1.22-1.28), 1.27 (1.23-1.31), and 1.21 (1.18-1.24), respectively. Cholecystectomy was an independent risk factor of incident MetS, after adjusting for potential confounding factors. In the subgroup analyses, the cholecystectomy group had a higher risk of MetS than the control group in subjects without hypertension or dyslipidemia, respectively. Conclusions: In this large, population-based study, cholecystectomy was associated with an increased risk of developing MetS, independent of other confounding factors. Therefore, careful monitoring of metabolic variables and long-term follow-up are required to evaluate MetS risk after cholecystectomy.

Long-term Effectiveness of the National Diabetes Quality Assessment Program in South Korea.

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the long-term effectiveness of the national diabetes quality assessment program (NDQAP) in diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: From the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database, 399,984 individuals with diabetes who visited a primary care clinic from 1 July 2012 to 30 June 2013 were included and followed up until 31 May 2021. The NDQAP included five quality assessment indicators: regular outpatient visits, continuity of prescriptions, regular testing of glycated hemoglobin and lipids, and regular fundus examination. Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for diabetes complications and all-cause mortality by the achievement of quality assessment indicators. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up duration of 7.6 ± 1.8 years, 20,054 cases (5.0%) of proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), 6,281 end-stage kidney diseases (ESKD; 1.6%), 1,943 amputations (0.5%), 9,706 myocardial infarctions (MIs; 2.4%), 26,975 strokes (6.7%), and 35,799 all-cause mortality (8.9%) occurred. Each achievement of quality assessment indicator was associated with a decreased risk of diabetes complications and all-cause mortality. Individuals who were managed in high-quality institutions had a lower risk of PDR (HR 0.82; 95% CI 0.80-0.85), ESKD (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.73-0.81), amputation (HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.69-0.83), MI (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.82-0.89), stroke (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.84-0.88), and all-cause mortality (HR 0.96; 95% CI 0.94-0.98) than those who were not managed in high-quality institutions. CONCLUSIONS: In Korea, the achievement of NDQAP indicators was associated with a decreased risk of diabetes complications and all-cause mortality.

New index using triglyceride glucose-body mass index for predicting mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis.

Background: This study aimed to investigate whether triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and a new index using TyG-BMI (NITGB) could predict all-cause mortality in non-obese patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: The medical records of 78 non-obese AAV patients (BMI < 23.0 kg/m2 for Asians) were retrospectively reviewed. TyG-BMI was calculated by the equation: Ln (triglyceride × fasting glucose/2) × BMI. To develop NITGB, we assigned a weight of a number close to an 0.1 decimal integer to each variable according to the slopes for independent variables with P-value < 0.1 in the multivariable Cox analysis. Results: The median age was 54.3 years and five patients died. When non-obese AAV patients were divided into two groups based on TyG-BMI ≥ 187.74, those with TyG-BMI ≥ 187.74 exhibited a significantly higher risk for all-cause mortality than those without (RR 9.450). Since age (HR 1.324), Birmingham vasculitis activity score (BVAS; HR 1.212), and TyG-BMI ≥ 187.74 (HR 12.168) were independently associated with all-cause mortality, NITGB was developed as follows: age + 0.2 × BVAS + 2.5 × TyG-BMI ≥ 187.74. When non-obese AAV patients were divided into two groups based on NITGB ≥ 27.36, those with NITGB ≥ 27.36 showed a significantly higher risk for all-cause mortality than those without (RR 284.000). Both non-obese AAV patients with TyG-BMI ≥ 187.74 and those with NITGB ≥ 27.36 exhibited significantly higher cumulative rates of all-cause mortality than those without. Conclusion: NITGB along with TyG-BMI could predict all-cause mortality in non-obese AAV patients.

Comparison of Newly Proposed LDL-Cholesterol Estimation Equations.

BACKGROUND: Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol is an important marker highly associated with cardiovascular disease. Since the direct measurement of it is inefficient in terms of cost and time, it is common to estimate through the Friedewald equation developed about 50 years ago. However, various limitations exist since the Friedewald equation was not designed for Koreans. This study proposes a new low-density lipoprotein cholesterol estimation equation for South Koreans using nationally approved statistical data. METHODS: This study used data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2009 to 2019. The 18,837 subjects were used to develop the equation for estimating low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The subjects included individuals with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels directly measured among those with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, and total cholesterol measured. We compared twelve equations developed in the previous studies and the newly proposed equation (model 1) developed in this study with the actual low-density lipoprotein cholesterol value in various ways. RESULTS: The low-density lipoprotein cholesterol value estimated using the estimation formula and the actual low-density lipoprotein cholesterol value were compared using the root mean squared error. When the triglyceride level was less than 400 mg/dL, the root mean squared of the model 1 was 7.96, the lowest compared to other equations, and the model 2 was 7.82. The degree of misclassification was checked according to the NECP ATP III 6 categories. As a result, the misclassification rate of the model 1 was the lowest at 18.9%, and Weighted Kappa was the highest at 0.919 (0.003), which means it significantly reduced the underestimation rate shown in other existing estimation equations. Root mean square error was also compared according to the change in triglycerides level. As the triglycerides level increased, the root mean square error showed an increasing trend in all equations, but it was confirmed that the model 1 was the lowest compared to other equations. CONCLUSION: The newly proposed low-density lipoprotein cholesterol estimation equation showed significantly improved performance compared to the 12 existing estimation equations. The use of representative samples and external verification is required for more sophisticated estimates in the future.

Association between Sleep Duration and Incident Diabetes Mellitus in Healthy Subjects: A 14-Year Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate whether sleep duration and/or quality are associated with incident diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: A total of 8816 of 10,030 healthy participants were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. Sleep duration and quality questionnaires were completed. Sleep quality was assessed using the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS), which measures excessive daytime sleepiness in individuals. RESULTS: During the 14-year follow-up period, 18% (1630/8816) were diagnosed with DM. A U-shaped relationship was observed between sleep duration and incident DM, with the highest risk observed when sleep duration was ≥10 h/day (hazard ratios (HR) 1.65 [1.25-2.17]). This group exhibited decreased insulin glycogenic index, a marker of insulin secretory function, during the study period. Among study participants who slept less than 10 h/day, the risk of incident DM increased when the ESS score was >10. CONCLUSIONS: We found that the association between sleep duration and incident DM was U-shaped; both short (≤5 h) and long (≥10 h) sleep durations were associated with an increased risk for the occurrence of incident DM. When sleep duration was 10 h or longer per day, there was a tendency to develop DM due to decreased insulin secretory function.

Omega-3 fatty acids and atrial fibrillation.

Although some clinical trials have demonstrated reduced incidence of cardiovascular disease with the use of omega-3 fatty acids, others have found an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). AF is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia worldwide. It is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates and significant public health burden. Previous studies of the effect of omega-3 fatty acids on AF occurrence have reported contradictory results. Here we reviewed the effect of omega-3 fatty acids on the risk of AF.

Remnant Cholesterol Is an Independent Predictor of Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Although the atherogenic effect of remnant cholesterol (remnant-C) has been widely recognized, the relationship between remnant-C and glucose metabolism remains unclear. This retrospective, longitudinal study investigated the relationship between remnant-C and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) in a nationwide cohort of Korean adults. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 8,485,539 Korean adults without diabetes participated in the national health screening in 2009 and were followed up until 2019. The relationship between remnant-C quartiles and incident T2D was examined by Cox regression models. The risk of incident T2D over the continuum of remnant-C was examined with cubic spline analysis. RESULTS: During the median follow-up period of 9.28 years, 584,649 individuals (6.8%) developed T2D. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, participants in the upper quartile of remnant-C had a higher risk of T2D, with hazard ratios of 1.25 (95% CI 1.24-1.27) in the second quartile, 1.51 (95% CI 1.50-1.53) in the third quartile, and 1.95 (95% CI 1.93-1.97) in the fourth quartile, compared with the lowest quartile. The increase in the risk of T2D owing to high remnant-C concentration was more profound in individuals with fewer traditional T2D risks, such as women, and absence of metabolic abnormalities, including impaired fasting glucose, hypertension, and atherogenic dyslipidemia. Moreover, the magnitude of the increased risk for incident T2D in individuals with higher remnant-C quartiles was higher in younger participants than older participants. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that remnant-C profiles provide additional information in predicting future progression of T2D, independent of the conventional lipid parameters.

Waist circumference and end-stage renal disease based on glycaemic status: National Health Insurance Service data 2009-2018.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is associated with an increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). This study aimed to examine the effect of waist circumference (WC) on the risk for ESRD based on glycaemic status in a Korean population-based sample. METHODS: This cohort study with a 9.2-year follow-up period used a population-based National Health Insurance Service health checkup database with approximately 10 585 852 participants who were followed up from 2009 to the time of ESRD diagnosis. WC was categorized into seven levels in 5-cm increments, with Level 4 as the reference group. Glycaemic status was categorized into the following groups: normal fasting glucose (NFG), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), newly diagnosed T2DM, T2DM treated with ≤2 oral hypoglycaemic agents (OHAs) and diabetes treated with ≥3 OHAs or insulin. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for ESRD according to WC values and glycaemic status of the participants. RESULTS: The study finally included 10 177 245 patients with a mean age of 47.1 (13.8) years. The study population included 5 604 446 men (55.1%) and 4 572 799 women (45.9%). In total, 8.3% (n = 877 143) of the study population had diabetes. During the mean follow-up of 9.2 (1.0) years (93 554 951 person-years of follow-up), 23 031 individuals were newly diagnosed with ESRD. The ESRD risk increased in parallel with an increase in WC in participants without T2DM, that is, the NFG and IFG groups (adjusted HRs [95% CIs] of WC Levels 4, 5 and 6: 1.17 [1.09-1.26], 1.37 [1.25-1.51] and 1.84 [1.63-2.07] in the NFG group and 1.06 [0.97-1.16], 1.23 [1.10-1.38] and 1.80 [1.57-2.06] in the IFG group, respectively). In patients with T2DM, the risk for ESRD was significantly increased in those with a low WC (adjusted HRs [95% CIs] of WC Level 1: 2.23 [1.77-2.80], 3.18 [2.70-3.74] and 10.31 [9.18-11.59] in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes, patients on ≤2 OHAs and those on ≥3 OHAs or insulin, respectively). The association between WC and ESRD thus showed a J-shaped pattern in patients with newly diagnosed T2DM and a U-shaped pattern in those on ≤2 OHAs and on ≥3 OHAs or insulin. CONCLUSIONS: Central obesity substantially increases the risk of developing ESRD regardless of glycaemic status. The harmful effects of low WC only become significant with the progression of T2DM.

Cholecystectomy Increases the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in the Korean Population: Data From the National Health Insurance Cooperation Health Checkup 2010-2017.

OBJECTIVE: This study assessed whether cholecystectomy is a risk factor for newly developed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Korean population. BACKGROUND: There is a lack of evidence that cholecystectomy is independently associated with insulin resistance and T2DM. METHODS: This study included all patients aged more than 20 years who had undergone cholecystectomy from 2010 to 2015 (n=55,166) and age-matched and sex-matched control subjects without cholecystectomy (n=110,332) using the National Health Insurance Service database. They were followed up until the date of newly developed T2DM or study end and the incidence of T2DM was traced over a maximum observation period of 7 years. RESULTS: Overall, 55,166 patients who underwent cholecystectomy and 110,332 age-matched and sex-matched controls were followed up for ∼4.7 years, during which, incident T2DM occurred in 5982 (3.61%) patients. Cholecystectomy was associated with 20% higher risk of T2DM after adjustment for all covariates. The cumulative incidence of T2DM also significantly increased in the cholecystectomy group for ∼7 years ( P <0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for T2DM was the highest in the group with both cholecystectomy and obesity using the control without both cholecystectomy and obesity as a reference [HR=1.41, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.29-1.56]. The group with cholecystectomy without obesity showed the comparable risk of incident T2DM compared with the group without cholecystectomy with obesity (HR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.20-1.40 for cholecystectomy without obesity and HR=1.24, 95% CI: 1.14-1.36 for control with obesity). CONCLUSIONS: These results provide evidence that cholecystectomy is associated with an increased risk of newly developed T2DM in the Korean population. Further research is required to elucidate the mechanism of the association between cholecystectomy and incident diabetes.

Remnant cholesterol and the risk of cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Elevated remnant cholesterol (remnant-C) is considered a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, whether this notion applies to the East Asian population with type 2 diabetes (T2D) has not been established. This study investigated the association between remnant-C concentrations and the risk of CVD in Korean patients with T2D. METHODS: By using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, 1,956,452 patients with T2D and without atherosclerotic CVD who underwent regular health checks between 2009 and 2012 were included. Cox regression analyses were conducted to assess the association between remnant-C concentrations and incident CVD comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke. RESULTS: In total, 50,120 (2.56%) cases of MI and 73,231 (3.74%) cases of ischemic strokes occurred during a median follow-up of 8.1 years. The adjusted hazard ratios for MI and stroke in the highest remnant-C quartile were 1.281 (95% confidence interval [CIs], 1.249-1.314) for MI and 1.22 (1.195-1.247) for ischemic stroke, compared to those in the lowest quartiles. The results were similar, based on stratified analysis by age, sex, use of statin or fibrate, and levels of other cholesterol. The increased risk of CVD in the highest remnant-C quartile was profound in patients who had a longer T2D duration. A remnant-C concentration ≥ 30 mg/dL differentiated patients who were at a higher risk of CVD, compared to patients with a lower concentrations, regardless of whether LDL-C levels were or were not on target at ≤ 100 mg/dL. CONCLUSION: In Korean patients with T2D, remnant-C was associated with CVD, independent of the LDL-C level or other conventional CVD risk factors. Our finding confirmed evidence of the causal role of remnant-C on CVD, as a residual risk of CVD, in East Asian patients with T2D.

Prediction Model for Hypertension and Diabetes Mellitus Using Korean Public Health Examination Data (2002-2017).

Hypertension and diabetes mellitus are major chronic diseases that are important factors in the management of cardiovascular disease. In order to prevent the occurrence of chronic diseases, proper health management through periodic health check-ups is necessary. The purpose of this study is to determine the incidence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus according to the health check-up, and to develop a predictive model for hypertension and diabetes according to the health check-up. We used the National Health Insurance Corporation database of Korea and checked whether hypertension or diabetes occurred from that date according to the number of health check-ups over the past 10 years. Compared to those who underwent five health check-ups, those who participated in the first screening had hypertension (OR = 2.18, 95% CI = 2.14-2.22), diabetes mellitus (OR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.30-1.35) and both diseases (OR = 2.46, 95% CI = 2.39-2.53); individuals who underwent 10 screenings had hypertension (OR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.83-0.88), diabetes mellitus (OR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.81-0.85) and both diseases (OR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.79-0.87). Individuals who attended fewer than five screenings compared with individuals who attended five or more screenings had hypertension (OR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.59-1.62; AUC = 0.66), diabetes mellitus (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.20-1.22; AUC = 0.59) and both diseases (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.72-1.78, AUC = 0.63). The machine learning-based prediction model using XGBoost showed higher performance in all datasets than the conventional logistic regression model in predicting hypertension (accuracy, 0.828 vs. 0.628; F1-score, 0.800 vs. 0.633; AUC, 828 vs. 0.630), diabetes mellitus (accuracy, 0.707 vs. 0.575; F1-score, 0.663 vs. 0.576; AUC, 0.710 vs. 0.575) and both diseases (accuracy, 0.950 vs. 0.612; F1-score, 0.950 vs. 0.614; AUC, 0.952 vs. 0.612). It was found that health check-up had a great influence on the occurrence of hypertension and diabetes, and screening frequency was more important than other factors in the variable importances.

Tolerability and Effectiveness of Switching to Dulaglutide in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Inadequately Controlled With Insulin Therapy.

Aims: Glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists have demonstrated strong glycemic control. However, few studies have investigated the effects of switching from insulin to GLP-1 receptor agonists. We aimed to investigate, using real-world data, whether switching to dulaglutide improves glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) inadequately controlled with conventional insulin treatment. Materials and methods: We retrospectively evaluated 138 patients with T2D who were switched from insulin to dulaglutide therapy. We excluded 20 patients who dropped out during the follow-up period. The participants were divided into two groups according to whether they resumed insulin treatment at 6 months after switching to a GLP-1 receptor agonist (group I) or not (group II). A multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the parameters associated with the risk of resuming insulin after replacement with dulaglutide. Results: Of 118 patients initiated on the GLP-1 receptor agonist, 62 (53%) resumed insulin treatment (group I), and 53 (47%) continued with GLP-1 receptor agonists or switched to oral anti-hypoglycemic agents (group II). Older age, a higher insulin dose, and lower postprandial glucose levels while switching to the GLP-1 receptor agonist were associated with failure to switch to the GLP-1 receptor agonist from insulin. Conclusions: A considerable proportion of patients with T2D inadequately controlled with insulin treatment successfully switched to the GLP-1 receptor agonist. Younger age, a lower dose of insulin, and a higher baseline postprandial glucose level may be significant predictors of successful switching from insulin to GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy.

Fatty Liver Index Independently Predicts All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Antineutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis but No Substantial Liver Disease.

Background: This study investigated whether the fatty liver index (FLI) could predict all-cause mortality and cerebrovascular accident (CVA) during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) without substantial liver disease. Methods: The medical records of 75 AAV patients with AAV were retrospectively reviewed. An equation for the FLI is as follows: FLI = (e0.953×loge(triglycerides)+0.139×BMI+0.718×loge(GGT)+0.053×waistcircumference-15.745)/(1 + e0.953×loge(triglycerides)+0.139×BMI+0.718×loge(GGT)+0.053×waistcircumference-15.745) × 100. The cut-offs of the FLI were obtained using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: The mean age at AAV diagnosis was 59.1 years and 42.7% were male. Eight patients (10.7%) died and 8 patients had CVA during follow-up. When the cut-offs of the FLI for all-cause mortality and CVA were set as the FLI ≥ 33.59 and the FLI ≥ 32.31, AAV patients with the FLI over each cut-off exhibited a higher risk for all-cause mortality or CVA than those without (RR 8.633 and 8.129), respectively. In addition, AAV patients with the FLI over each cut-off exhibited a significantly lower cumulative patients' survival rate or CVA-free survival rate than those without, respectively. In the multivariable Cox analysis, only the FLI ≥ 33.59 at AAV diagnosis was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality during follow-up in AAV patients (HR 10.448). Conclusion: The FLI at AAV diagnosis can be a potential independent predictor of all-cause mortality and CVA during follow-up in AAV patients. We suggest that physicians measure the FLI at AAV diagnosis and pay more attention to those with a high FLI value for prevention of future mortality and CVA.