Morphology-Predicted Large-Scale Transition Number in Circulating Tumor Cells Identifies a Chromosomal Instability Biomarker Associated with Poor Outcome in Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer.

Chromosomal instability (CIN) increases a tumor cell's ability to acquire chromosomal alterations, a mechanism by which tumor cells evolve, adapt, and resist therapeutics. We sought to develop a biomarker of CIN in circulating tumor cells (CTC) that are more likely to reflect the genetic diversity of patient's disease than a single-site biopsy and be assessed rapidly so as to inform treatment management decisions in real time. Large-scale transitions (LST) are genomic alterations defined as chromosomal breakages that generate chromosomal gains or losses of greater than or equal to10 Mb. Here we studied the relationship between the number of LST in an individual CTC determined by direct sequencing and morphologic features of the cells. This relationship was then used to develop a computer vision algorithm that utilizes CTC image features to predict the presence of a high (9 or more) versus low (8 or fewer) LST number in a single cell. As LSTs are a primary functional component of homologous recombination deficient cellular phenotypes, the image-based algorithm was studied prospectively on 10,240 CTCs in 367 blood samples obtained from 294 patients with progressing metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer taken prior to starting a standard-of-care approved therapy. The resultant computer vision-based biomarker of CIN in CTCs in a pretreatment sample strongly associated with poor overall survival times in patients treated with androgen receptor signaling inhibitors and taxanes. SIGNIFICANCE: A rapidly assessable biomarker of chromosomal instability in CTC is associated with poor outcomes when detected in men with progressing mCRPC.

Oncogenic Genomic Alterations, Clinical Phenotypes, and Outcomes in Metastatic Castration-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: The genomic underpinning of clinical phenotypes and outcomes in metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer is unclear. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In patients with metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer at a tertiary referral center, clinical-grade targeted tumor sequencing was performed to quantify tumor DNA copy number alterations and alterations in predefined oncogenic signaling pathways. Disease volume was classified as high volume (≥4 bone metastases or visceral metastases) versus low volume. RESULTS: Among 424 patients (88% white), 213 (50%) had high-volume disease and 211 (50%) had low-volume disease, 275 (65%) had de novo metastatic disease, and 149 (35%) had metastatic recurrence of nonmetastatic disease. Rates of castration resistance [adjusted hazard ratio, 1.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.40-2.41] and death (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.71; 95% CI, 2.28-6.02) were higher in high-volume disease. Tumors from high-volume disease had more copy number alterations. The NOTCH, cell cycle, and epigenetic modifier pathways were the highest-ranking pathways enriched in high-volume disease. De novo metastatic disease differed from metastatic recurrences in the prevalence of CDK12 alterations but had similar prognosis. Rates of castration resistance differed 1.5-fold to 5-fold according to alterations in AR, SPOP (inverse), and TP53, and the cell cycle, WNT (inverse), and MYC pathways, adjusting for disease volume and other genomic pathways. Overall survival rates differed 2-fold to 4-fold according to AR, SPOP (inverse), WNT (inverse), and cell-cycle alterations. PI3K pathway alterations were not associated with prognosis once adjusted for other factors. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified genomic features associated with prognosis in metastatic castration-sensitive disease that may aid in molecular classification and treatment selection.