Morbidity and Mortality in the Obese Trauma Intensive Care Unit Patient.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is an epidemic in the United States, known to be associated with comorbidities. However, some data show that obesity may be a protective factor in some instances. The purpose of this study is to determine if there are differences in morbidity and mortality when comparing the obese and non-obese critically ill trauma patient populations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective study conducted at Prisma Health Upstate in Greenville, South Carolina, an Adult Level 1 Trauma Center. Patients over the age of 18 years admitted due to trauma from February 6, 2016 to February 28, 2019 were included in this study. Burn patients were excluded. An online trauma database was used to obtain age, sex, body mass index, Glasgow coma score (GCS), injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), days on mechanical ventilation, hospital length of stay (LOS), and intensive care unit (ICU) LOS. RESULTS: There were 2365 critically ill trauma patients who met inclusion criteria for this study. 1570 patients were men (66.38%) and mean age was 53.2 ± 20.9. Of the patients, 2166 patients had blunt trauma (91.59%). Median GCS was 15 (interquartilerange [IQR]: 12, 15), median RTS was 12 (IQR: 11, 12), and median ISS was 17 (IQR: 9, 22). Obese critically ill trauma patients had significantly lower odds of mortality than nonobese (OR .686, CI 0.473-.977). Penetrating traumas (OR: 4.206, CI: 2.478, 6.990), increased ISS (OR: 1.095, CI: .473, 1.112), and increased age (OR: 1.036, CI: 1.038, 1.045) were associated with significantly increased odds of mortality. DISCUSSION: The obesity paradox is observed in the obese critically ill trauma patient population.

Assessing the future threat from vivax malaria in the United Kingdom using two markedly different modelling approaches.

BACKGROUND: The world is facing an increased threat from new and emerging diseases, and there is concern that climate change will expand areas suitable for transmission of vector borne diseases. The likelihood of vivax malaria returning to the UK was explored using two markedly different modelling approaches. First, a simple temperature-dependent, process-based model of malaria growth transmitted by Anopheles atroparvus, the historical vector of malaria in the UK. Second, a statistical model using logistic-regression was used to predict historical malaria incidence between 1917 and 1918 in the UK, based on environmental and demographic data. Using findings from these models and saltmarsh distributions, future risk maps for malaria in the UK were produced based on UKCIP02 climate change scenarios. RESULTS: The process-based model of climate suitability showed good correspondence with historical records of malaria cases. An analysis of the statistical models showed that mean temperature of the warmest month of the year was the major factor explaining the distribution of malaria, further supporting the use of the temperature-driven processed-based model. The risk maps indicate that large areas of central and southern England could support malaria transmission today and could increase in extent in the future. Confidence in these predictions is increased by the concordance between the processed-based and statistical models. CONCLUSION: Although the future climate in the UK is favourable for the transmission of vivax malaria, the future risk of locally transmitted malaria is considered low because of low vector biting rates and the low probability of vectors feeding on a malaria-infected person.

Perceived nuisance of mosquitoes on the Isle of Sheppey, Kent, UK.

Little is known about the biting nuisance of mosquitoes in the UK, despite the high numbers found in some locations. A telephone questionnaire survey was used to determine the perceived nuisance of biting insects on the Isle of Sheppey, Kent, a place notorious for mosquitoes. Two hundred randomly selected individuals were interviewed and asked if they suffered from mosquito bites. If they answered yes, they were asked to describe where and when they were bitten, and what measures they took against mosquitoes. Forty-six percent of respondents completed the questionnaire. Of those, 50% reported being bitten by mosquitoes, mostly outside during the summer. Seventy percent said that most biting occurred during the evening and night. Of those respondents who protected themselves against biting (27), most used repellents (70%), with the remainder changing their behaviour to avoid mosquitoes, including closing or screening windows (33%), wearing thicker clothes (7%) and spraying insecticide (4%). One person slept under a bednet in summer (4%). This study provides evidence that on the Isle of Sheppey mosquitoes are considered a major nuisance by a sizeable proportion of the population. Since there is growing interest in the threat posed by new and emerging diseases in the UK, health authorities will need to make substantial efforts to inform and reassure the public about the threats posed by mosquitoes in areas where they are common.

Pupal mass and wing length as indicators of fecundity in Aedes albopictus and Aedes geniculatus (Diptera: Culicidae).

Many studies investigating the ecology and evolution of mosquitoes rely on morphometric measurements related to body size to estimate fecundity. Determining the most reliable estimators of fecundity is therefore an important methodological consideration. We compared the relative accuracy of pupal mass and wing length in predicting the fecundity (number of mature stage IV follicles of the first gonotrophic cycle) for (1) Aedes albopictus (Skuse) reared in the laboratory, (2) Aedes geniculatus (Oliver) reared in the laboratory, and (3) A. geniculatus that completed their larval development in water-filled tree holes (their natural habitat) in the field. In all cases, pupal weight and wing length provided highly significant and equally accurate indicators of fecundity. Furthermore, the measurement error (1 - repeatability) for both traits was < or = 1%. Our results indicate that either pupal mass or wing length can be used with confidence to predict fecundity in these two aedine mosquitoes.