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1.
Mult Scler J Exp Transl Clin ; 10(2): 20552173241247182, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38800132

ABSTRACT

Background: The use of non-specific immunosuppressants (NSIS) to treat multiple sclerosis (MS) remains prevalent in certain geographies despite safety concerns, likely due to resource limitations. Objective: To use MSBase registry data to compare real-world outcomes in adults with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) treated with dimethyl fumarate (DMF) or NSIS (azathioprine, cyclosporine, cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, mitoxantrone or mycophenolate mofetil) between January 1, 2014 and April 1, 2022. Methods: Treatment outcomes were compared using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) Cox regression. Outcomes were annualized relapse rates (ARRs), time to discontinuation, time to first relapse (TTFR) and time to 24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP) or 24-week confirmed disability improvement (CDI; in patients with baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score ≥2). Results: After IPTW, ARR was similar for DMF (0.13) and NSIS (0.16; p = 0.29). There was no difference in TTFR between cohorts (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.98; p = 0.84). The DMF cohort experienced longer times to discontinuation (HR: 0.75; p = 0.001) and CDP (HR: 0.53; p = 0.001), and shorter time to CDI (HR: 1.99; p < 0.008), versus the NSIS cohort. Conclusion: This analysis supports the use of DMF to treat patients with relapsing forms of MS, and may have implications for MS practices in countries where NSIS are commonly used to treat RRMS.

2.
Neurology ; 102(7): e208114, 2024 Apr 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38447093

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Patients with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) typically experience higher levels of inflammation with more frequent relapses, and though patients with POMS usually recover from relapses better than adults, patients with POMS reach irreversible disability at a younger age than adult-onset patients. There have been few randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trials of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in patients with POMS, and most available data are based on observational studies of off-label use of DMTs approved for adults. We assessed the effectiveness of natalizumab compared with fingolimod using injectable platform therapies as a reference in pediatric patients in the global MSBase registry. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with POMS who initiated treatment with an injectable DMT, natalizumab, or fingolimod between January 1, 2006, and May 3, 2021. Patients were matched using inverse probability treatment weighting. The primary outcome was time to first relapse from index therapy initiation. Secondary study outcomes included annualized relapse rate; proportions of relapse-free patients at 1, 2, and 5 years; time to treatment discontinuation; and times to 24-week confirmed disability worsening and confirmed disability improvement. RESULTS: A total of 1,218 patients with POMS were included in this analysis. Patients treated with fingolimod had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated with injectable DMTs (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29-0.83; p = 0.008). After adjustment for prior DMT experience in the unmatched sample, patients treated with natalizumab had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated either with injectable DMTs (HR, 0.15; 95% CI 0.07-0.31; p < 0.001) or fingolimod (HR, 0.37; 95% CI 0.14-1.00; p = 0.049). The adjusted secondary study outcomes were generally consistent with the primary outcome or with previous observations. The findings in the inverse probability treatment weighting-adjusted patient populations were confirmed in multiple sensitivity analyses. DISCUSSION: Our analyses of relapse risk suggest that natalizumab is more effective than fingolimod in the control of relapses in this population with high rates of new inflammatory activity, consistent with previous studies of natalizumab and fingolimod in adult-onset patients and POMS. In addition, both fingolimod and natalizumab were more effective than first-line injectable therapies. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that patients with POMS treated with natalizumab had a lower risk of relapse than those with fingolimod.


Subject(s)
Fingolimod Hydrochloride , Multiple Sclerosis , Adult , Humans , Child , Natalizumab/therapeutic use , Fingolimod Hydrochloride/therapeutic use , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies , Registries , Recurrence
3.
J Dairy Sci ; 2024 Feb 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38310963

ABSTRACT

Currently, the dairy industry is facing many challenges that could affect its sustainability, including climate change and public perception of the industry. As a result, interest is increasing in the concept of identifying resilient animals, those with a long productive lifespan, good reproductive performance and milk yield. There is much evidence that events in utero, i.e., the Developmental Origins of Health and Disease (DOHaD), alter life-course health of offspring and we hypothesized that these could alter resilience in calves, where resilience is identified using lifetime data. The aim of this study was to quantify lifetime resilience scores (LRS) using an existing scoring system based on longevity with secondary corrections for age at first calving and calving interval and to quantify the effects of in-utero events on the LRS using 2 data sets. The first was a large data set of cattle in 83 farms in Great Britain born from 2006 to 2015 and the second was a smaller, more granular data set of cattle born between 2003 and 2015 in the Langhill research herd at Scotland's Rural College. Events during dam's pregnancy included health events (lameness, mastitis, use of an antibiotic or anti-inflammatory medication), the impact of heat stress as measured by temperature-humidity index and perturbations in milk yield and quality (somatic cell count, percentage fat, percentage protein and fat:protein ratio). Daughters born to dams that experienced higher temperature-humidity indexes while they were in-utero during the first and third trimesters of pregnancy had lower LRS. Daughter LRS scores were also lower where milk yields or median fat percentages in the first trimester were low, and when milk yields were high in the third trimester. Dam LRS was positively associated with LRS of their offspring, however, as parity of the dam increased, LRS of their calves decreased. Similarly, in the Langhill herd, dams of a higher parity produced calves with lower LRS. Additionally, dams which recorded a high max locomotion score in the third trimester of pregnancy were negatively associated with lower calf LRS in the Langhill herd. Our results suggest that events that occur during pregnancy have lifelong consequences for the calf's lifetime performance. However, experience of higher temperature-humidity indexes, higher dam LRS scores and mothers in higher parities explained a relatively small proportion of variation in offspring LRS, which suggests that other factors play a substantial role in determining calf LRS scores. While 'big data' can contain a considerable amount of noise, similar findings between the 2 data sets indicate it is likely these findings are real.

4.
Ther Adv Neurol Disord ; 17: 17562864231221331, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38414723

ABSTRACT

Background: Aggressive disease control soon after multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis may prevent irreversible neurological damage, and therefore early initiation of a high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy (DMT) is of clinical relevance. Objectives: Evaluate long-term clinical outcomes in patients with MS who initiated treatment with either natalizumab or a BRACETD therapy (interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, or dimethyl fumarate). Design: This retrospective analysis utilized data from MSBase to create a matched population allowing comparison of first-line natalizumab to first-line BRACETD. Methods: This study included patients who initiated treatment either with natalizumab or a BRACETD DMT within 1 year of MS diagnosis and continued treatment for ⩾6 months, after which patients could switch DMTs or discontinue treatment. Patients had a minimum follow-up time of ⩾60 months from initiation. A subgroup analysis compared the natalizumab group to patients in the BRACETD group who escalated therapy after 6 months. Outcomes included unadjusted annualized relapse rates (ARRs), time-to-first relapse, time-to-first confirmed disability improvement (CDI), and time-to-first confirmed disability worsening (CDW). Results: After 1:1 propensity score matching, 355 BRACETD patients were matched to 355 natalizumab patients. Patients initiating natalizumab were less likely to experience a relapse over the duration of follow-up, with ARRs [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 0.080 (0.070-0.092) for natalizumab patients and 0.191 (0.178-0.205) for BRACETD patients (p < 0.0001). A Cox regression model of time-to-first relapse showed a reduced risk of relapse for natalizumab patients [hazard ratio (95% CI) of 0.52 (0.42-0.65); p < 0.001] and a more favorable time-to-first CDI. The risk of CDW was similar between groups. The subgroup analysis showed an increased relapse risk as well as a significantly higher risk of CDW for BRACETD patients. Conclusion: Early initiation of natalizumab produced long-term benefits in relapse outcomes in comparison with BRACETD, regardless of a subsequent escalation in therapy.

5.
Eur J Neurol ; 31(1): e16046, 2024 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37584176

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The validity, reliability, and longitudinal performance of the Patient-Determined Disease Steps (PDDS) scale is unknown in people with multiple sclerosis (MS) with mild to moderate disability. We aimed to examine the psychometric properties and longitudinal performance of the PDDS. METHODS: We included relapsing-remitting MS patients with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of less than 4. Validity and test-retest reliability was examined. Longitudinal data were analysed with mixed-effect modelling and Cohen's kappa for concordance in confirmed disability progression (CDP). RESULTS: We recruited a total of 1093 participants, of whom 904 had complete baseline data. The baseline correlation between PDDS and EDSS was weak (ρ = 0.45, p < 0.001). PDDS had stronger correlations with patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Conversely, EDSS had stronger correlations with age, disease duration, Kurtzke's functional systems and processing speed test. PDDS test-retest reliability was good to excellent (concordance correlation coefficient = 0.73-0.89). Longitudinally, PDDS was associated with EDSS, age and depression. A higher EDSS score was associated with greater PDSS progression. The magnitude of these associations was small. There was no concordance in CDP as assessed by PDDS and EDSS. CONCLUSION: The PDDS has greater correlation with other PROs but less correlation with other MS-related outcome measures compared to the EDSS. There was little correlation between PDDS and EDSS longitudinally. Our findings suggest that the PDDS scale is not interchangeable with the EDSS.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/diagnosis , Reproducibility of Results , Disability Evaluation , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnosis , Outcome Assessment, Health Care
6.
Front Vet Sci ; 10: 1297750, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38144465

ABSTRACT

Udder health remains a priority for the global dairy industry to reduce pain, economic losses, and antibiotic usage. The dry period is a critical time for the prevention of new intra-mammary infections and it provides a point for curing existing intra-mammary infections. Given the wealth of udder health data commonly generated through routine milk recording and the importance of udder health to the productivity and longevity of individual cows, an opportunity exists to extract greater value from cow-level data to undertake risk-based decision-making. The aim of this research was to construct a machine learning model, using routinely collected farm data, to make probabilistic predictions at drying off for an individual cow's risk of a raised somatic cell count (hence intra-mammary infection) post-calving. Anonymized data were obtained as a large convenience sample from 108 UK dairy herds that undertook regular milk recording. The outcome measure evaluated was the presence of a raised somatic cell count in the 30 days post-calving in this observational study. Using a 56-farm training dataset, machine learning analysis was performed using the extreme gradient boosting decision tree algorithm, XGBoost. External validation was undertaken on a separate 28-farm test dataset. Statistical assessment to evaluate model performance using the external dataset returned calibration plots, a Scaled Brier Score of 0.095, and a Mean Absolute Calibration Error of 0.009. Test dataset model calibration performance indicated that the probability of a raised somatic cell count post-calving was well differentiated across probabilities to allow an end user to apply group-level risk decisions. Herd-level new intra-mammary infection rate during the dry period was a key driver of the probability that a cow had a raised SCC post-calving, highlighting the importance of optimizing environmental hygiene conditions. In conclusion, this research has determined that probabilistic classification of the risk of a raised SCC in the 30 days post-calving is achievable with a high degree of certainty, using routinely collected data. These predicted probabilities provide the opportunity for farmers to undertake risk decision-making by grouping cows based on their probabilities and optimizing management strategies for individual cows immediately after calving, according to their likelihood of intra-mammary infection.

7.
J Antimicrob Chemother ; 78(10): 2496-2504, 2023 10 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37584148

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurate surveillance of livestock antibiotic usage (ABU) at the farm level is an increasingly important part of national antibiotic stewardship initiatives. Numerous ABU indicators or metrics have been developed in Europe and North America but the comparability of these metrics is poorly understood. For policymakers, understanding the relationship between metrics is important when considering the risks posed by ABU and how to regulate them, at the national level, and regulate international trade access in livestock products between countries who use different ABU metrics. OBJECTIVES: To quantify the patterns of ABU among beef (cattle) and lamb (sheep) production systems. To explore ABU variation between farm types across seven ABU metrics developed in Europe and North America using a common dataset of sheep and beef farms' antibiotic purchases from the UK. METHODS: A dataset of >16 200 antibiotic sales events to 686 farm enterprises of different types underwent quantitative analysis. Correlation matrixes were generated for seven international ABU metrics. RESULTS: ABU was significantly higher among calf-rearers. Across all farm types, tetracyclines and ß-lactams were the predominant groups by mass, but represent a similar dose equivalent to macrolides across most farm types. Good agreement (>0.9) was observed between metrics. CONCLUSIONS: Reliable metrics to accurately benchmark farms are crucial for maintaining confidence of farmers in the fairness of any surveillance system, especially when the ranking of any given system may be linked to financial subsidies or penalties and also when negotiating import and export access for livestock products between countries.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents , Benchmarking , Sheep , Cattle , Animals , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Commerce , Internationality , Farms , United Kingdom
8.
J Dairy Sci ; 106(10): 7033-7042, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37500436

ABSTRACT

Lameness in dairy cattle is a highly prevalent condition that impacts on the health and welfare of dairy cows. Prompt detection and implementation of effective treatment is important for managing lameness. However, major limitations are associated with visual assessment of lameness, which is the most commonly used method to detect lameness. The aims of this study were to investigate the use of metabolomics and machine learning to develop novel methods to detect lameness. Untargeted metabolomics using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) alongside machine learning models and a stability selection method were utilized to evaluate the predictive accuracy of differences in the metabolomics profile of first-lactation dairy cows before (during the transition period) and at the time of lameness (based on visual assessment using the 0-3 scale of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board). Urine samples were collected from 2 cohorts of dairy heifers and stored at -86°C before analysis using LC-MS. Cohort 1 (n = 90) cows were recruited as current first-lactation cows with weekly mobility scores recorded over a 4-mo timeframe, from which newly lame and nonlame cows were identified. Cohort 2 (n = 30) cows were recruited within 3 wk before calving, and lameness events (based on mobility score) were recorded through lactation until a minimum of 70 d in milk (DIM). All cows were matched paired by DIM ± 14 d. The median DIM at lameness identification was 187.5 and 28.5 for cohort 1 and 2, respectively. The best performing machine learning models predicted lameness at the time of lameness with an accuracy of between 81 and 82%. Using stability selection, the prediction accuracy at the time of lameness was 80 to 81%. For samples collected before and after calving, the best performing machine learning model predicted lameness with an accuracy of 71 and 75%, respectively. The findings from this study demonstrate that untargeted LC-MS profiling combined with machine learning methods can be used to predict lameness as early as before calving and before observable changes in gait in first-lactation dairy cows. The methods also provide accuracies for detecting lameness at the time of observable changes in gait of up to 82%. The findings demonstrate that these methods could provide substantial advancements in the early prediction and prevention of lameness risk. Further external validation work is required to confirm these findings are generalizable; however, this study provides the basis from which future work can be conducted.


Subject(s)
Cattle Diseases , Lameness, Animal , Cattle , Animals , Female , Humans , Lameness, Animal/diagnosis , Lactation , Gait , Milk , Cattle Diseases/diagnosis , Metabolomics
9.
J Dairy Sci ; 106(4): 2667-2684, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36870845

ABSTRACT

Sole hemorrhage and sole ulcers, referred to as sole lesions, are important causes of lameness in dairy cattle. We aimed to compare the serum metabolome of dairy cows that developed sole lesions in early lactation with that of cows that remained unaffected. We prospectively enrolled a cohort of 1,169 Holstein dairy cows from a single dairy herd and assessed animals at 4 time points: before calving, immediately after calving, early lactation, and late lactation. Sole lesions were recorded by veterinary surgeons at each time point, and serum samples were collected at the first 3 time points. Cases were defined by the presence of sole lesions in early lactation and further subdivided by whether sole lesions had been previously recorded; unaffected controls were randomly selected to match cases. Serum samples from a case-control subset of 228 animals were analyzed with proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Spectral signals, corresponding to 34 provisionally annotated metabolites and 51 unlabeled metabolites, were analyzed in subsets relating to time point, parity cohort, and sole lesion outcome. We used 3 analytic methods (partial least squares discriminant analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and random forest) to determine the predictive capacity of the serum metabolome and identify informative metabolites. We applied bootstrapped selection stability, triangulation, and permutation to support the inference of variable selection. The average balanced accuracy of class prediction ranged from 50 to 62% depending on the subset. Across all 17 subsets, 20 variables had a high probability of being informative; those with the strongest evidence of being associated with sole lesions corresponded to phenylalanine and 4 unlabeled metabolites. We conclude that the serum metabolome, as characterized by proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy, does not appear able to predict sole lesion presence or future development of lesions. A small number of metabolites may be associated with sole lesions although, given the poor prediction accuracies, these metabolites are likely to explain only a small proportion of the differences between affected and unaffected animals. Future metabolomic studies may reveal underlying metabolic mechanisms of sole lesion etiopathogenesis in dairy cows; however, the experimental design and analysis need to effectively control for interanimal and extraneous sources of spectral variation.


Subject(s)
Cattle Diseases , Foot Diseases , Hoof and Claw , Animals , Cattle , Female , Pregnancy , Cattle Diseases/etiology , Foot Diseases/veterinary , Lactation , Lameness, Animal/etiology , Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy , Metabolomics , Protons , Case-Control Studies
10.
Vet Rec ; 193(2): e2786, 2023 Jul 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36938988

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to describe the longitudinal dynamics of antimicrobial use (AMU) on sheep farms and explore associations between AMU and management factors, vaccination strategies, reproductive performance and prevalence of lameness. METHODS: Antimicrobial supply data were collected for 272 British sheep farms for 3-6 consecutive years between 2015 and 2021. These data were obtained from the farms' veterinary practices. RESULTS: Annual median AMU ranged from 8.1 to 11.8 mg/kg population corrected unit. AMU was skewed in each year with a small proportion of very high users. AMU within farms varied substantially between years. High AMU farms in 1 year were not necessarily high in other years. No associations between AMU and either vaccine usage or lameness prevalence were found. LIMITATIONS: The study design requires veterinarians and farmers to volunteer their data. This unavoidably introduces the potential for a participation bias. CONCLUSIONS: AMU on sheep farms is generally low, with a small number of farms being responsible for high usage. Targeting antimicrobial stewardship effort towards the small minority of persistently high users may be more appropriate than a focus on generic, industry-wide attempts to reduce overall AMU.


Subject(s)
Anti-Infective Agents , Sheep Diseases , Animals , Sheep , Longitudinal Studies , Prevalence , Lameness, Animal , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Farms , Vaccination/veterinary , Sheep Diseases/epidemiology , Sheep Diseases/prevention & control
11.
Doc Ophthalmol ; 146(2): 191-197, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36763215

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Medication-induced ocular toxicity is an important consideration in the differential diagnosis of unexplained visual disturbance. We present a case of visual disturbance after starting treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (Mavyret), a therapy for Hepatitis C virus approved by the FDA in 2017. METHODS: A 50-year-old male with no significant ocular history experienced bilateral visual disturbance, including visual field and acuity loss, shortly after initiating treatment with Mavyret for Hepatitis C. Examination of the anterior and posterior segments was unremarkable, and no abnormalities could be identified on multimodal imaging of the eye and brain, including MRI, SD-OCT, and fundus autofluorescence. Extensive testing for inflammatory, infectious, nutritional, and genetic etiologies for optic neuropathy and retinopathy was negative. RESULTS: Electrophysiology testing was pursued to narrow the broad differential diagnosis. Full-field electroretinography and multi-focal electroretinography detected deficiencies in the rod and cone visual pathways and attenuated electrophysiologic responses in the fovea. Pattern electroretinography and visually-evoked potentials demonstrated macula dysfunction. Taken together, electrophysiologic data suggested diffuse retinal dysfunction, which was most pronounced in the macula. CONCLUSIONS: Given the temporal relationship between Mavyret administration and vision loss in our patient, and the absence of an underlying cause after extensive evaluation, we propose that Mavyret may be associated with a toxic occult retinopathy characterized by panretinal dysfunction without clinically apparent structural findings.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis C , Retinal Diseases , Male , Humans , Middle Aged , Hepacivirus/genetics , Electroretinography/methods , Retinal Diseases/chemically induced , Retinal Diseases/diagnosis , Vision Disorders , Tomography, Optical Coherence/methods , Fluorescein Angiography
12.
Am J Ophthalmol ; 245: 115-125, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36216160

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To describe the prevalence, clinical and imaging characteristics, and surgical utility of large internal limiting membrane (ILM) tears in eyes with epiretinal membrane (ERM). DESIGN: Retrospective interventional case series. METHODS: This was a single-institution study including 71 eyes of 70 consecutive patients that underwent ERM peeling by a single vitreoretinal surgeon between 2016 and 2019. Demographic and clinical data were collected from the medical record. ERMs and large ILM tears were identified and analyzed on multimodal imaging. The main outcome measures were the prevalence and characteristics of large ILM tears in eyes undergoing ERM peeling. RESULTS: Large ILM tears were present in 23 of 71 eyes (32.4%) with ERM that underwent surgical management. A review of patients with ERM during the same period who did not undergo surgical management found large ILM tears in 8 of 100 eyes (8.0%). Large ILM tears were commonly associated with other signs of ERM-induced retinal traction, including retinal nerve fiber layer schisis in 20 of 23 eyes (87.0%), inner retinal dimpling in 8 of 23 eyes (34.8%), and discrete paravascular red lesions in 16 of 19 eyes (84.2%). In all eyes stained with brilliant blue G, the preoperative diagnosis of large ILM tear was confirmed and the scrolled ILM edge was used successfully to initiate ILM peeling. CONCLUSIONS: Large ILM tears are often present in eyes undergoing surgery for ERM and are likely caused by ERM contracture. Careful preoperative identification of these tears is helpful for surgical planning because the scrolled flap of ILM provides a convenient and safe "handle" for initiating membrane peeling.


Subject(s)
Epiretinal Membrane , Vitrectomy , Humans , Vitrectomy/methods , Basement Membrane/surgery , Basement Membrane/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Prevalence , Visual Acuity , Tomography, Optical Coherence/methods , Epiretinal Membrane/diagnosis , Epiretinal Membrane/epidemiology , Epiretinal Membrane/surgery
13.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry ; 94(1): 23-30, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36171104

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over the decades, several natural history studies on patients with primary (PPMS) or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) were reported from international registries. In PPMS, a consistent heterogeneity on long-term disability trajectories was demonstrated. The aim of this study was to identify subgroups of patients with SPMS with similar longitudinal trajectories of disability over time. METHODS: All patients with MS collected within Big MS registries who received an SPMS diagnosis from physicians (cohort 1) or satisfied the Lorscheider criteria (cohort 2) were considered. Longitudinal Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores were modelled by a latent class growth analysis (LCGA), using a non-linear function of time from the first EDSS visit in the range 3-4. RESULTS: A total of 3613 patients with SPMS were included in the cohort 1. LCGA detected three different subgroups of patients with a mild (n=1297; 35.9%), a moderate (n=1936; 53.6%) and a severe (n=380; 10.5%) disability trajectory. Median time to EDSS 6 was 12.1, 5.0 and 1.7 years, for the three groups, respectively; the probability to reach EDSS 6 at 8 years was 14.4%, 78.4% and 98.3%, respectively. Similar results were found among 7613 patients satisfying the Lorscheider criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to previous interpretations, patients with SPMS progress at greatly different rates. Our identification of distinct trajectories can guide better patient selection in future phase 3 SPMS clinical trials. Additionally, distinct trajectories could reflect heterogeneous pathological mechanisms of progression.


Subject(s)
Disabled Persons , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , Latent Class Analysis , Disease Progression , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/drug therapy , Registries , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy
14.
Front Neurol ; 14: 1274194, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38187157

ABSTRACT

Background: Treatment switching is a common challenge and opportunity in real-world clinical practice. Increasing diversity in disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) has generated interest in the identification of reliable and robust predictors of treatment switching across different countries, DMTs, and time periods. Objective: The objective of this retrospective, observational study was to identify independent predictors of treatment switching in a population of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients in the Big Multiple Sclerosis Data Network of national clinical registries, including the Italian MS registry, the OFSEP of France, the Danish MS registry, the Swedish national MS registry, and the international MSBase Registry. Methods: In this cohort study, we merged information on 269,822 treatment episodes in 110,326 patients from 1997 to 2018 from five clinical registries. Patients were included in the final pooled analysis set if they had initiated at least one DMT during the relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) stage. Patients not diagnosed with RRMS or RRMS patients not initiating DMT therapy during the RRMS phase were excluded from the analysis. The primary study outcome was treatment switching. A multilevel mixed-effects shared frailty time-to-event model was used to identify independent predictors of treatment switching. The contributing MS registry was included in the pooled analysis as a random effect. Results: Every one-point increase in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score at treatment start was associated with 1.08 times the rate of subsequent switching, adjusting for age, sex, and calendar year (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.08; 95% CI 1.07-1.08). Women were associated with 1.11 times the rate of switching relative to men (95% CI 1.08-1.14), whilst older age was also associated with an increased rate of treatment switching. DMTs started between 2007 and 2012 were associated with 2.48 times the rate of switching relative to DMTs that began between 1996 and 2006 (aHR 2.48; 95% CI 2.48-2.56). DMTs started from 2013 onwards were more likely to switch relative to the earlier treatment epoch (aHR 8.09; 95% CI 7.79-8.41; reference = 1996-2006). Conclusion: Switching between DMTs is associated with female sex, age, and disability at baseline and has increased in frequency considerably in recent years as more treatment options have become available. Consideration of a patient's individual risk and tolerance profile needs to be taken into account when selecting the most appropriate switch therapy from an expanding array of treatment choices.

15.
Ophthalmic Surg Lasers Imaging Retina ; 53(12): 692-696, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36547964

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To characterize rod-pathway function across the visual field using 2-color dark-adapted perimetry (2cDAP) implemented with conventional Octopus 900 Pro perimeters. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eighteen visually normal individuals and two retinitis pigmentosa (RP) patients participated. Thresholds were measured under dark-adapted conditions at 15 locations along the horizontal meridian using short (450 nm) and long (610 nm) wavelength stimuli. Threshold differences between the two wavelengths were used to determine rod- vs cone-mediated function. RESULTS: Among controls, peripheral and perifoveal thresholds for the short-wavelength stimulus were approximately 2 log units lower than for the long-wavelength stimulus. Foveal thresholds for the two wavelengths were similar. RP threshold profiles differed considerably from the controls, with normal foveal thresholds and high peripheral thresholds for both wavelengths. CONCLUSIONS: 2cDAP can be performed with an unmodified Octopus perimeter to evaluate rod function across the visual field and obtain information that is not available with standard automated perimetry. [Ophthalmic Surg Lasers Imaging Retina 2022;53:692-696.].


Subject(s)
Retinitis Pigmentosa , Visual Field Tests , Humans , Visual Field Tests/methods , Dark Adaptation , Visual Fields
16.
Analyst ; 147(23): 5537-5545, 2022 Nov 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36341756

ABSTRACT

Lameness is a major challenge in the dairy cattle industry in terms of animal welfare and economic implications. Better understanding of metabolic alteration associated with lameness could lead to early diagnosis and effective treatment, there-fore reducing its prevalence. To determine whether metabolic signatures associated with lameness could be discovered with untargeted metabolomics, we developed a novel workflow using direct infusion-tandem mass spectrometry to rapidly analyse (2 min per sample) dried milk spots (DMS) that were stored on commercially available Whatman® FTA® DMPK cards for a prolonged period (8 and 16 days). An orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) method validated by triangulation of multiple machine learning (ML) models and stability selection was employed to reliably identify important discriminative metabolites. With this approach, we were able to differentiate between lame and healthy cows based on a set of lipid molecules and several small metabolites. Among the discriminative molecules, we identified phosphatidylglycerol (PG 35:4) as the strongest and most sensitive lameness indicator based on stability selection. Overall, this untargeted metabolomics workflow is found to be a fast, robust, and discriminating method for determining lameness in DMS samples. The DMS cards can be potentially used as a convenient and cost-effective sample matrix for larger scale research and future routine screening for lameness.


Subject(s)
Cattle Diseases , Lameness, Animal , Female , Cattle , Animals , Lameness, Animal/diagnosis , Lameness, Animal/epidemiology , Lameness, Animal/metabolism , Milk/chemistry , Lactation , Cattle Diseases/diagnosis , Tandem Mass Spectrometry , Dairying/methods , Metabolomics , Machine Learning
17.
Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci ; 63(9): 22, 2022 08 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35984651

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To evaluate spatial and temporal integration across the visual field in individuals with juvenile X-linked retinoschisis (XLRS). Methods: Nine subjects with XLRS and 10 visually normal individuals participated. Luminance thresholds were measured at 15 locations along the horizontal visual field meridian. Locations were grouped into four regions for analysis: foveal, parafoveal (2°), perifoveal (5°-10°), and peripheral (10°-60°). For spatial integration measurements, stimulus duration was 100 ms, and size ranged from 0.01 to 2.32 deg2 (Goldmann I-V). For temporal integration measurements, stimulus size was 0.15 deg2 (Goldmann III), and duration ranged from 12 to 800 ms. The effect of stimulus size and duration on the subjects' threshold was described using integration models. Results: Luminance thresholds for the XLRS group were more elevated for small targets (2.0×-12.6×) than for large targets (1.25×-3.2×) compared to controls for all locations. Likewise, thresholds for the XLRS group were more elevated for short durations (6.3×) than for long durations (4.0×) in the fovea and parafovea but were similarly elevated at all durations (2.0×-2.5×) in the perifovea and periphery. For both the size and duration experiments, thresholds measured in the fovea, parafovea, and perifovea of XLRS subjects were highly similar to those measured from the peripheral field of the controls. Conclusions: Spatial and temporal integration characteristics of the XLRS fovea, parafovea, and perifovea are similar to those of the normal periphery. The results also indicate that scaling stimulus size equates thresholds for the XLRS and control subjects throughout the visual field, but scaling duration does not.


Subject(s)
Retinoschisis , Fovea Centralis , Humans , Retinoschisis/diagnosis , Retinoschisis/genetics , Visual Fields
18.
Prev Vet Med ; 206: 105714, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35843027

ABSTRACT

Covariate selection when the number of available variables is large relative to the number of observations is problematic in epidemiology and remains the focus of continued research. Whilst a variety of statistical methods have been developed to attempt to overcome this issue, at present very few methods are available for wide data that include a clustered outcome. The purpose of this research was to make an empirical evaluation of a new method for covariate selection in wide data settings when the dependent variable is clustered. We used 3300 simulated datasets with a variety of defined structures and known sets of true predictor variables to conduct an empirical evaluation of a mixed model stability selection procedure. Comparison was made with an alternative method based on regularisation using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) penalty. Model performance was assessed using several metrics including the true positive rate (proportion of true covariates selected in a final model) and false discovery rate (proportion of variables selected in a final model that were non-true (false) variables). For stability selection, the false discovery rate was consistently low, generally remaining ≤ 0.02 indicating that on average fewer than 1 in 50 of the variables selected in a final model were false variables. This was in contrast to the Lasso-based method in which the false discovery rate was between 0.59 and 0.72, indicating that generally more than 60% of variables selected in a final model were false variables. In contrast however, the Lasso method attained higher true positive rates than stability selection, although both methods achieved good results. For the Lasso method, true positive rates remained ≥ 0.93 whereas for stability selection the true positive rate was 0.73-0.97. Our results suggest both methods may be of value for covariate selection with high dimensional data with a clustered outcome. When high specificity is needed for identification of true covariates, stability selection appeared to offer the better solution, although with a slight loss of sensitivity. Conversely when high sensitivity is needed, the Lasso approach may be useful, even if accompanied by a substantial loss of specificity. Overall, the results indicated the loss of sensitivity when employing stability selection is relatively small compared to the loss of specificity when using the Lasso and therefore stability selection may provide the better option for the analyst when evaluating data of this type.


Subject(s)
Computer Simulation , Animals
20.
Mult Scler J Exp Transl Clin ; 8(2): 20552173221099181, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35530174

ABSTRACT

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has reinforced the importance of research for the health of our society and highlighted the need for stakeholders of the health research and care continuum to form a collaborative and interdependent ecosystem. Objective: With the world still reeling from waves of the COVID-19 pandemic and adapting to the vaccine rollout at widely different rates, the International Progressive MS Alliance (hereafter Alliance) organized a meeting (April 2021) to consider how the Covid-19 pandemic impacts the health and well-being of people with progressive Multiple Sclerosis (MS). Methods: We invited the Alliance stakeholders and experts to present what they have learned about SARS-CoV-2 infection and progressive MS and to define future scientific priorities. Results: The meeting highlighted three priorities for additional focus: (1) the impact of Disease Modifying Therapies (DMTs) on the risk of COVID-19 and on the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines in people with progressive MS; (2) the long-term impact of COVID-19 and COVID-19 vaccines on the biology of progressive MS; and (3) the impact on well-being of people with progressive MS. Conclusion: This paper's calls to action could represent a path toward a shared research agenda. Multi-stakeholder and long-term investigations will be required to drive and evolve such an agenda.

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