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1.
Math Biosci Eng ; 19(5): 4526-4546, 2022 03 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35430826

ABSTRACT

Predicting slope stability is critical for identifying terrain that is prone to landslides and mitigating the damage caused by landslides. The relationships between factors that determine slope instability are complicated and multi-factorial, so it is sometimes difficult to mathematically characterize slope stability. In this paper, new Tree Augmented Naive-Bayes (TAN) model was developed to predict slope stability subjected to circular failures based on six input factors: cohesion, internal friction angle, pore pressure ratio, slope angle, unit weight, and slope angle. A total 87 slope stability case records obtained from published literature was used to train and test the proposed TAN model. According to the results of the performance indices-accuracy, precision, recall, F-score and Matthews correlation coefficient, the established TAN model was proven to be better at predicting slope stability with acceptable accuracy than other formerly developed empirical models in the literature. Furthermore, the slope height was revealed as the most sensitive factor in a sensitivity analysis.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem
2.
Materials (Basel) ; 15(5)2022 Feb 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35268965

ABSTRACT

The mechanical behavior of the rockfill materials (RFMs) used in a dam's shell must be evaluated for the safe and cost-effective design of embankment dams. However, the characterization of RFMs with specific reference to shear strength is challenging and costly, as the materials may contain particles larger than 500 mm in diameter. This study explores the potential of various kernel function-based Gaussian process regression (GPR) models to predict the shear strength of RFMs. A total of 165 datasets compiled from the literature were selected to train and test the proposed models. Comparing the developed models based on the GPR method shows that the superlative model was the Pearson universal kernel (PUK) model with an R-squared (R2) of 0.9806, a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.9903, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0646 MPa, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0965 MPa, a relative absolute error (RAE) of 13.0776%, and a root relative squared error (RRSE) of 14.6311% in the training phase, while it performed equally well in the testing phase, with R2 = 0.9455, r = 0.9724, MAE = 0.1048 MPa, RMSE = 0.1443 MPa, RAE = 21.8554%, and RRSE = 23.6865%. The prediction results of the GPR-PUK model are found to be more accurate and are in good agreement with the actual shear strength of RFMs, thus verifying the feasibility and effectiveness of the model.

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