A phase IIb randomized placebo-controlled trial testing the effect of MAG-EPA long-chain omega-3 fatty acid dietary supplement on prostate cancer proliferation.

BACKGROUND: High prostate eicosapentaenoic fatty acid (EPA) levels were associated with a significant reduction of upgrading to grade group (GG) ≥ 2 prostate cancer in men under active surveillance. We aimed to evaluate the effect of MAG-EPA long-chain omega-3 fatty acid dietary supplement on prostate cancer proliferation. METHODS: A phase II double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial was conducted in 130 men diagnosed with GG ≥ 2 prostate cancer and undergoing radical prostatectomy between 2015-2017 (Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT02333435). Participants were randomized to receive 3 g daily of either MAG-EPA (n = 65) or placebo (n = 65) for 7 weeks (range 4-10) prior to radical prostatectomy. The primary outcome was the cancer proliferation index quantified by automated image analysis of tumor nuclear Ki-67 expression using standardized prostatectomy tissue microarrays. Additional planned outcomes at surgery are reported including plasma levels of 27 inflammatory cytokines and fatty acid profiles in circulating red blood cells membranes and prostate tissue. RESULTS: Cancer proliferation index measured by Ki-67 expression was not statistically different between the intervention (3.10%) and placebo (2.85%) groups (p = 0.64). In the per protocol analyses, the adjusted estimated effect of MAG-EPA was greater but remained non-significant. Secondary outcome was the changes in plasma levels of 27 cytokines, of which only IL-7 was higher in MAG-EPA group compared to placebo (p = 0.026). Men randomized to MAG-EPA prior to surgery had four-fold higher EPA levels in prostate tissue compared to those on placebo. CONCLUSIONS: This MAG-EPA intervention did not affect the primary outcome of prostate cancer proliferation according to nuclear Ki-67 expression. More studies are needed to decipher the effects of long-chain omega-3 fatty acid dietary supplementation in men with prostate cancer.

It is thought that our diet can impact our risk of cancer and affect outcomes in patients with cancer. Omega-3 fatty acids, mostly found in fatty fish, might be beneficial by protecting against prostate cancer and its adverse outcomes. We conducted a clinical trial to test the effects of an omega-3 dietary supplement (MAG-EPA) in men with prostate cancer. We randomly allocated 130 men to receive either MAG-EPA or a placebo for 7 weeks before their prostate cancer surgery. We measured a marker of how much tumor cells were proliferating (or growing in number) at the point of surgery, which might indicate how aggressive their disease was. However, the supplement did not affect tumor cell proliferation. The supplement was therefore not beneficial in this group of patients and further studies  are needed to test and confirm the effects of MAG-EPA on prostate cancer cells.

Single nucleotide polymorphism genes and mitochondrial DNA haplogroups as biomarkers for early prediction of knee osteoarthritis structural progressors: use of supervised machine learning classifiers.

BACKGROUND: Knee osteoarthritis is the most prevalent chronic musculoskeletal debilitating disease. Current treatments are only symptomatic, and to improve this, we need a robust prediction model to stratify patients at an early stage according to the risk of joint structure disease progression. Some genetic factors, including single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genes and mitochondrial (mt)DNA haplogroups/clusters, have been linked to this disease. For the first time, we aim to determine, by using machine learning, whether some SNP genes and mtDNA haplogroups/clusters alone or combined could predict early knee osteoarthritis structural progressors. METHODS: Participants (901) were first classified for the probability of being structural progressors. Genotyping included SNP genes TP63, FTO, GNL3, DUS4L, GDF5, SUPT3H, MCF2L, and TGFA; mtDNA haplogroups H, J, T, Uk, and others; and clusters HV, TJ, KU, and C-others. They were considered for prediction with major risk factors of osteoarthritis, namely, age and body mass index (BMI). Seven supervised machine learning methodologies were evaluated. The support vector machine was used to generate gender-based models. The best input combination was assessed using sensitivity and synergy analyses. Validation was performed using tenfold cross-validation and an external cohort (TASOAC). RESULTS: From 277 models, two were defined. Both used age and BMI in addition for the first one of the SNP genes TP63, DUS4L, GDF5, and FTO with an accuracy of 85.0%; the second profits from the association of mtDNA haplogroups and SNP genes FTO and SUPT3H with 82.5% accuracy. The highest impact was associated with the haplogroup H, the presence of CT alleles for rs8044769 at FTO, and the absence of AA for rs10948172 at SUPT3H. Validation accuracy with the cross-validation (about 95%) and the external cohort (90.5%, 85.7%, respectively) was excellent for both models. CONCLUSIONS: This study introduces a novel source of decision support in precision medicine in which, for the first time, two models were developed consisting of (i) age, BMI, TP63, DUS4L, GDF5, and FTO and (ii) the optimum one as it has one less variable: age, BMI, mtDNA haplogroup, FTO, and SUPT3H. Such a framework is translational and would benefit patients at risk of structural progressive knee osteoarthritis.

Prioritization of patients access to outpatient augmentative and alternative communication services in Quebec: a decision tool.

PURPOSE: A large number of people living with a chronic disability wait a long time to access publicly funded rehabilitation services such as Augmentative and Alternative Communication (AAC) services, and there is no standardized tool to prioritize these patients. We aimed to develop a prioritization tool to improve the organization and access to the care for this population. METHODS: In this sequential mixed methods study, we began with a qualitative phase in which we conducted semi-structured interviews with 14 stakeholders including patients, their caregivers, and AAC service providers in Quebec City, Canada to gather their ideas about prioritization criteria. Then, during a half-day consensus group meeting with stakeholders, using a consensus-seeking technique (i.e. Technique for Research of Information by Animation of a Group of Experts), we reached consensus on the most important prioritization criteria. These criteria informed the quantitative phase in which used an electronic questionnaire to collect stakeholders' views regarding the relative weights for each of the selected criteria. We analyzed these data using a hybrid quantitative method called group based fuzzy analytical hierarchy process, to obtain the importance weights of the selected eight criteria. RESULTS: Analyses of the interviews revealed 48 criteria. Collectively, the stakeholders reached consensus on eight criteria, and through the electronic questionnaire they defined the selected criteria's importance weights. The selected eight prioritization criteria and their importance weights are: person's safety (weight: 0.274), risks development potential (weight: 0.144), psychological well-being (weight: 0.140), physical well-being (weight: 0.124), life prognosis (weight: 0.106), possible impact on social environment (weight: 0.085), interpersonal relationships (weight: 0.073), and responsibilities and social role (weight: 0.054). CONCLUSION: In this study, we co-developed a prioritization decision tool with the key stakeholders for prioritization of patients who are referred to AAC services in rehabilitation settings.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILIATIONStudies in Canada have shown that people in Canada with a need for rehabilitation services are not receiving publicly available services in a timely manner.There is no standardized tool for the prioritization of AAC patients.In this mixed methods study, we co-developed a prioritization tool with key stakeholders for prioritization of patients who are referred to AAC services in a rehabilitation center in Quebec, Canada.

A warning machine learning algorithm for early knee osteoarthritis structural progressor patient screening.

AIM: In osteoarthritis (OA) there is a need for automated screening systems for early detection of structural progressors. We built a comprehensive machine learning (ML) model that bridges major OA risk factors and serum levels of adipokines/related inflammatory factors at baseline for early prediction of at-risk knee OA patient structural progressors over time. METHODS: The patient- and gender-based model development used baseline serum levels of six adipokines, three related inflammatory factors and their ratios (36), as well as major OA risk factors [age and bone mass index (BMI)]. Subjects (677) were selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) progression subcohort. The probability values of being structural progressors (PVBSP) were generated using our previously published prediction model, including five baseline structural features of the knee, i.e. two X-rays and three magnetic resonance imaging variables. To identify the most important variables amongst the 47 studied in relation to PVBSP, we employed the ML feature classification methodology. Among five supervised ML algorithms, the support vector machine (SVM) demonstrated the best accuracy and use for gender-based classifiers development. Performance and sensitivity of the models were assessed. A reproducibility analysis was performed with clinical trial OA patients. RESULTS: Feature selections revealed that the combination of age, BMI, and the ratios CRP/MCP-1 and leptin/CRP are the most important variables in predicting OA structural progressors in both genders. Classification accuracies for both genders in the testing stage (OAI) were >80%, with the highest sensitivity of CRP/MCP-1. Reproducibility analysis showed an accuracy ⩾92%; the ratio CRP/MCP-1 demonstrated the highest sensitivity in women and leptin/CRP in men. CONCLUSION: This is the first time that such a framework was built for predicting knee OA structural progressors. Using this automated ML patient- and gender-based model, early prediction of knee structural OA progression can be performed with high accuracy using only three baseline serum biomarkers and two risk factors. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Machine learning model for early knee osteoarthritis structural progression Knee osteoarthritis is a well-known debilitating disease leading to reduced mobility and quality of life - the main causes of chronic invalidity. Disease evolution can be slow and span many years; however, for some individuals, the progression/evolution can be fast. Current treatments are only symptomatic and conventional diagnosis of osteoarthritis is not very effective in early identification of patients who will progress rapidly. To improve therapeutic approaches, we need a robust prediction model to stratify osteoarthritis patients at an early stage according to risk of joint structure disease progression.We hypothesize that a prediction model using a machine learning system would enable such an early identification of individuals for whom osteoarthritis knee structure will degrade rapidly. Data were from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, a National Institute of Health (United States) databank, and the robustness and generalizability of the developed model was further evaluated using osteoarthritis patients from an external cohort. Using the supervised machine learning system (support vector machine), we developed an automated patient- and gender-based model enabling an early clinical prognosis for individuals at high risk of structural progressive osteoarthritis. In brief, this model employed at baseline (when the subject sees a physician) easily obtained features consisting of the two main osteoarthritis risk factors, age and bone mass index (BMI), in addition to the serum levels of three molecules. Two of these molecules belong to a family of factors names adipokines and one to a related inflammatory factor. In brief, the model comprising a combination of age, BMI, and the ratios CRP/MCP-1 and leptin/CRP were found very robust for both genders, and the high accuracy persists when tested with an external cohort conferring the gender-based model generalizability. This study offers a new automated system for identifying early knee osteoarthritis structural progressors, which will significantly improve clinical prognosis with real time patient monitoring.

Machine Learning-Based Individualized Survival Prediction Model for Total Knee Replacement in Osteoarthritis: Data From the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: By using machine learning, our study aimed to build a model to predict risk and time to total knee replacement (TKR) of an osteoarthritic knee. METHODS: Features were from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) cohort at baseline. Using the lasso method for variable selection in the Cox regression model, we identified the 10 most important characteristics among 1,107 features. The prognostic power of the selected features was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method and applied to 7 machine learning methods: Cox, DeepSurv, random forests algorithm, linear/kernel support vector machine (SVM), and linear/neural multi-task logistic regression models. As some of the 10 first-found features included similar radiographic measurements, we further looked at using the least number of features without compromising the accuracy of the model. Prediction performance was assessed by the concordance index, Brier score, and time-dependent area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: Ten features were identified and included radiographs, bone marrow lesions of the medial condyle on magnetic resonance imaging, hyaluronic acid injection, performance measure, medical history, and knee-related symptoms. The methodologies Cox, DeepSurv, and linear SVM demonstrated the highest accuracy (concordance index scores of 0.85, Brier score of 0.02, and an AUC of 0.87). DeepSurv was chosen to build the prediction model to estimate the time to TKR for a given knee. Moreover, we were able to decrease the features to only 3 and maintain the high accuracy (concordance index of 0.85, Brier score of 0.02, and AUC of 0.86), which included bone marrow lesions, Kellgren/Lawrence grade, and knee-related symptoms, to predict risk and time of a TKR event. CONCLUSION: For the first time, we developed a model using the OAI cohort to predict with high accuracy if a given osteoarthritic knee would require TKR, when a TKR would be required, and who would likely progress fast toward this event.

Identification of the most important features of knee osteoarthritis structural progressors using machine learning methods.

OBJECTIVES: The aim was to identify the most important features of structural knee osteoarthritis (OA) progressors and classification using machine learning methods. METHODS: Participants, features and outcomes were from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. Features were from baseline (1107), including articular knee tissues (135) assessed by quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). OA progressors were ascertained by four outcomes: cartilage volume loss in medial plateau at 48 and 96 months (Prop_CV_48M, 96M), Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade ⩾ 2 and medial joint space narrowing (JSN) ⩾ 1 at 48 months. Six feature selection models were used to identify the common features in each outcome. Six classification methods were applied to measure the accuracy of the selected features in classifying the subjects into progressors and non-progressors. Classification of the best features was done using an automatic machine learning interface and the area under the curve (AUC). To prioritize the top five features, sparse partial least square (sPLS) method was used. RESULTS: For the classification of the best common features in each outcome, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) achieved the highest AUC in Prop_CV_96M, KL and JSN (0.80, 0.88, 0.95), and Gradient Boosting Machine for Prop_CV_48M (0.70). sPLS showed the baseline top five features to predict knee OA progressors are the joint space width, mean cartilage thickness of the medial tibial plateau and sub-regions and JSN. CONCLUSION: In this comprehensive study using a large number of features (n = 1107) and MRI outcomes in addition to radiological outcomes, we identified the best features and classification methods for knee OA structural progressors. Data revealed baseline X-ray and MRI-based features could predict early OA knee progressors and that MLP is the best classification method.

Machine-learning-based patient-specific prediction models for knee osteoarthritis.

Osteoarthritis (OA) is an extremely common musculoskeletal disease. However, current guidelines are not well suited for diagnosing patients in the early stages of disease and do not discriminate patients for whom the disease might progress rapidly. The most important hurdle in OA management is identifying and classifying patients who will benefit most from treatment. Further efforts are needed in patient subgrouping and developing prediction models. Conventional statistical modelling approaches exist; however, these models are limited in the amount of information they can adequately process. Comprehensive patient-specific prediction models need to be developed. Approaches such as data mining and machine learning should aid in the development of such models. Although a challenging task, technology is now available that should enable subgrouping of patients with OA and lead to improved clinical decision-making and precision medicine.