ABSTRACT
BackgroundAs of March 2021, three SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) have been identified (B.1.1.7, B.1.351 and P.1) and been detected in over 111 countries. Despite their widespread circulation, little is known about their transmission characteristics. There is a need to understand current evidence on VOCs before practice and policy decisions can be made. This study aimed to map the evidence related to the transmission characteristics of three VOCs. MethodsA rapid scoping review approach was used. Seven databases were searched on February 21, 2021 for terms related to VOCs, transmission, public health and health systems. A grey literature search was conducted on February 26, 2021. Title/abstracts were screened independently by one reviewer, while full texts were screened in duplicate. Data were extracted using a standardized form which was co-developed with infectious disease experts. A second data extractor verified the results. Studies were included if they reported on at least one of the VOCs and transmissibility. Animal studies and modeling studies were excluded. The final report was reviewed by content experts. ResultsOf the 1796 articles and 67 grey literature sources retrieved, 16 papers and 7 grey sources were included. Included studies used a wide range of designs and methods. The majority (n=20) reported on B.1.1.7. Risk of transmission, reported in 15 studies, was 45-71% higher for B.1.1.7 compared to non-VOCs, while R0 was 75-78% higher and the reported Rt ranged from 1.1-2.8. There was insufficient evidence on the transmission risk of B.1.35.1 and P.1. Twelve studies discussed the mechanism of transmission of VOCs. Evidence suggests an increase in viral load among VOCs based on cycle threshold values, and possible immune evasion due to increased ACE2 binding capacity of VOCs. However, findings should be interpreted with caution due to the variability in study designs and methods. ConclusionVOCs appear to be more transmissible than non-VOCs, however the mechanism of transmission is unclear. With majority of studies focusing on the B.1.1.7 VOC, more research is needed to build upon these preliminary findings. It is recommended that decision-makers continue to monitor VOCs and emerging evidence on this topic to inform public health policy.
