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1.
BMC Emerg Med ; 21(1): 149, 2021 11 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34844557

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) levels have previously been associated with readmission and mortality in acute medical patients in the ED. However, no specific cut-offs for suPAR have been tested in this population. METHODS: Prospective observational study of consecutively included acute medical patients. Follow-up of mortality and readmission was carried out for 30- and 90 days stratified into baseline suPAR < 4, 4-6 and > 6 ng/ml. suPAR levels were measured using suPARnostic® Turbilatex assay on a Cobas c501 (Roche Diagnostics Ltd) analyser. RESULTS: A total of 1747 acute medical patients in the ED were included. Median age was 70 (IQR: 57-79) and 51.4% were men. Adjusted linear regression analysis showed that suPAR, independently of age, sex and C-reactive protein levels, predicted 30- and 90-day mortality (Odds ratio for doubling in suPAR 1.96 (95% confidence intervals: 1.42-2.70) Among patients with suPAR below 4 ng/ml (N = 804, 46.0%), 8 (1.0%) died within 90-day follow-up, resulting in a negative predictive value of 99.0% and a sensitivity of 94.6%. Altogether 514 (29.4%) patients had suPAR of 4-6 ng/ml, of whom 43 (8.4%) died during 90-day follow-up. Among patients with suPAR above 6 ng/ml (N = 429, 24.6%), 87 patients (20.3%) died within 90-day follow-up, resulting in a positive predictive value of 20.1% and a specificity of 78.7%. CONCLUSIONS: suPAR cut-offs of below 4, between 4 and 6 and above 6 ng/ml can identify acute medical patients who have low, medium or high risk of 30- and 90-day mortality. The turbidimetric assay provides suPAR results within 30 min that may aid in the decision of discharge or admission of acute medical patients.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital , Receptors, Urokinase Plasminogen Activator , Aged , Biomarkers , Humans , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Prospective Studies
2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21257283

ABSTRACT

BackgroundIn a previous open-label trial, early anakinra treatment guided by elevated soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) prevented progression of COVID-19 pneumonia into respiratory failure. MethodsIn the SAVE-MORE multicenter trial, 594 hospitalized patients with moderate and severe COVID-19 pneumonia and plasma suPAR 6 ng/ml or more and receiving standard-of-care were 1:2 randomized to subcutaneous treatment with placebo or 100 mg anakinra once daily for 10 days. The primary endpoint was the overall clinical status of the 11-point World Health Organization ordinal Clinical Progression Scale (WHO-CPS) at day 28. The changes of the WHO-CPS and of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were the main secondary endpoints. ResultsAnakinra-treated patients were distributed to lower strata of WHO-CPS by day 28 (adjusted odds ratio-OR 0.36; 95%CI 0.26-0.50; P<0.001); anakinra protected from severe disease or death (6 or more points of WHO-CPS) (OR: 0.46; P: 0.010). The median absolute decrease of WHO-CPS in the placebo and anakinra groups from baseline was 3 and 4 points respectively at day 28 (OR 0.40; P<0.0001); and 2 and 3 points at day 14 (OR 0.63; P: 0.003); the absolute decrease of SOFA score was 0 and 1 points (OR 0.63; P: 0.004). 28-day mortality decreased (hazard ratio: 0.45; P: 0.045). Hospital stay was shorter. ConclusionsEarly start of anakinra treatment guided by suPAR provides 2.78 times better improvement of overall clinical status in moderate and severe COVID-19 pneumonia. (Sponsored by the Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT04680949)

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21255411

ABSTRACT

BackgroundAnakinra may represent an important therapy to improve the prognosis of COVID-19 patients. This meta-analysis using individual patient data was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of anakinra treatment in patients with COVID-19. MethodsBased on a pre-specified protocol (PROSPERO: CRD42020221491), a systematic literature search was performed in MEDLINE (PubMed), Cochrane, medRxiv.org, bioRxiv.org and clinicaltrials.gov databases for trials in COVID-19 comparing administration of anakinra with standard-of-care and/or placebo. Individual patient data from eligible trials were requested. The primary endpoint was the mortality rate and the secondary endpoint was safety. FindingsLiterature search yielded 209 articles, of which 178 articles fulfilled screening criteria and were full-text assessed. Aggregate data on 1185 patients from 9 studies were analyzed and individual patient data on 895 patients from 6 studies were collected. Most studies used historical controls. Mortality was significantly lower in anakinra-treated patients (38/342 [11{middle dot}1%]) as compared with 137/553 (24{middle dot}8%) observed in patients receiving standard-of-care and/or placebo on top of standard-of-care (137/553 [24{middle dot}8%]); adjusted odds ratio (OR), 0{middle dot}32; 95% CI, 0{middle dot}20 to 0{middle dot}51; p <0{middle dot}001. The mortality benefit was similar across subgroups regardless of diabetes mellitus, ferritin concentrations, or baseline P/F ratio. The effect was more profound in patients exhibiting CRP levels >100 mg/L (OR 0{middle dot}28,95%CI 0{middle dot}27-1{middle dot}47). Safety issues, such as increase of secondary infections, did not emerge. InterpretationAnakinra may be a safe anti-inflammatory treatment option in patients hospitalized with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 pneumonia to reduce mortality, especially in the presence of hyperinflammation signs such as CRP>100mg /L. FundingSobi. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSSince the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, numerous drugs have been tried in an effort to prevent major detrimental consequences, such as respiratory and multiorgan failure and death. Early during the pandemic, it was realized that drugs aiming to regulate the immune host reaction may play an important role in the treatment of COVID-19. Evidence from a small number of patients with moderate or severe COVID-19 treated with anakinra, and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, has suggested therapeutic efficacy. We systematically searched all available literature and aimed to present cumulative evidence of anakinra treatment in COVID-19 and the related effect on mortality. Added value of this studyThis is the first patient-level analysis on the effect of anakinra treatment in COVID-19 patients, which, on the one hand, suggests a significant benefit in the reduction of mortality and on the other hand, reassures safety of the treatment. Most importantly, the current study identifies a subgroup of patients with CRP>100mg/L, that may benefit most from treatment with anakinra. Confirmation of these effects in larger randomized clinical trials (RCTs) is urgently needed. Implications of all the available evidenceAnakinra may be an effective and safe immunomodulatory treatment in moderate-to-severe cases of pneumonia due to COVID-19 to prevent unfavorable outcomes. Anakinra may be helpful to avoid adverse events, such as breakthrough infections observed often with dexamethasone use, and may be considered an alternative in specific subgroups of patients e.g. diabetics. Larger trials, summarized in the Table, are ongoing and their results are urgently needed to investigate anakinras best place in the treatment of COVID-19. O_TBL View this table: org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@37134borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1d3ca11org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1774b08org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@df281borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@c2188d_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_TBL C_TBL

4.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21255190

ABSTRACT

BackgroundAcute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in COVID-19 has been associated with dysregulated immune responses leading to catastrophic inflammation. The activation pathways remain to be fully elucidated. We investigated the ability of circulating to induce dysregulated immune responses. Materials & MethodsCalprotectin and high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) were associated with ARDS in 60 COVID-19 patients. In a second cohort of 40 COVID-19 patients calprotectin at hospital admission was associated with serum levels of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR). A COVID-19 animal model was developed by intravenous injection of plasma from healthy volunteers or patients with COVID-19 ARDS into C57/BL6 mice once daily for 3 consecutive days. In separate experiments, mice were treated with a) the IL-1 receptor antagonist Anakinra or vehicle and b) Flo1-2a anti-murine anti-IL-1 monoclonal antibody or the specific anti-human IL-1 antibody XB2001, or isotype controls. Mice were sacrificed on day 4. Cytokines and myeloperoxidase (MPO) in tissues were measured. ResultsCalprotectin, but not HMGB1, was elevated ARDS. Higher suPAR readouts indicated higher calprotectin levels. CHallenge of mice with COVID-19 plasma led to inflammatory reactions in murine lung and intestines as evidenced by increased levels of TNF, IL-6, IFN{gamma} and MPO. Anakinra treatment brought these levels down. Similar decrease was found in mice treated with Flo1-2a but not with XB2001. ConclusionCirculating alarmins, specifically calprotectin, of critically ill COVID-19 patients induces tissue-specific inflammatory responses through an IL-1 mediated mechanism. This could be attenuated through inhibition of IL-1 receptor or specific inhibition of IL-1.

5.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21251848

ABSTRACT

RationaleThe progress of COVID-19 from moderate to severe may be precipitous, while the heterogenous characteristics of the disease pose challenges to the management of these patients. ObjectivesTo characterize the clinical course and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19 during two successive waves. MethodsWe leveraged the multi-center SuPAR in Adult Patients With COVID-19 (SPARCOL) study and collected data from consecutive patients requiring admission to the intensive care unit from April 1st to December 31st, 2020. Measurements and Main ResultsOf 252 patients, 81 (32%) required intubation and mechanical ventilation. Of them, 17 (20.9%) were intubated during the first wave, while 64 (79%) during the second wave. The most prominent difference between the two waves was the overall survival (first wave 58.9% vs. second wave 15.6%, adjusted p-value=0.006). This difference is reflected in the prolonged hospitalization during the first wave. The mean ICU length of stay (19.1 vs. 11.7 days, p=0.022), hospital length of stay (28.5 vs. 17.1 days, p=0.012), and days on ventilator (16.7 vs. 11.5, p=0.13) were higher during the first wave. A significant difference between the two waves was the development of bradycardia. In the first wave, 2 (11.7%) patients developed sinus bradycardia only after admission to the intensive care unit, while in the second wave, 63 (98.4%) patients developed sinus bradycardia during hospitalization. ConclusionsSurvival of critically ill patients with COVID-19 was significantly lower during the second wave. The majority of these patients developed sinus bradycardia during hospitalization.

6.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21250182

ABSTRACT

RationaleMacrophage activation syndrome (MAS) and complex immune dysregulation (CID) often underlie acute respiratory distress (ARDS) in COVID-19. ObjectiveTo investigate the outcome of personalized immunotherapy in critical COVID-19. MethodsIn this open-label prospective trial, 102 patients with SOFA (sequential organ failure assessment) score [≥]2 or ARDS by SARS-CoV-2 were screened for MAS (ferritin more than 4420 ng/ml) and CID (ferritin [≤]4420 ng/ml and low expression of HLA-DR on CD14-monocytes). Patients with MAS and CID with increased aminotransferases were assigned to intravenous anakinra; those with CID and normal aminotransferases to tocilizumab. The primary outcome was at least 25% decrease of SOFA score and/or 50% increase of respiratory ratio by day 8; 28-day mortality, change of SOFA score by day 28; serum biomarkers and cytokine production by mononuclear cells were secondary endpoints. Measurements and Main ResultsThe primary study endpoint was met in 58.3% of anakinra-treated patients and in 33.3% of tocilizumab-treated patients (odds ratio 3.11; 95% CIs 1.29-7.73; P: 0.011). No differences were found in mortality and in SOFA score changes. By day 4, ferritin was decreased among anakinra-treated patients; interleukin (IL)-6, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) and the expression of HLA-DR were increased among tocilizumab-treated patients. Anakinra increased capacity of mononuclear cells to produce IL-6. Survivors by day 28 who received anakinra were distributed to scales of the WHO clinical progression of lower severity. Greater incidence of secondary infections was found with tocilizumab treatment. ConclusionsBiomarkers may guide favourable anakinra responses in critically ill patients with COVID-19. Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04339712

7.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20217455

ABSTRACT

IntroductionThe management of pneumonia caused by SARS-CoV-2 should rely on early recognition of the risk for progression to severe respiratory failure (SRF) and its prevention. We investigated if early suPAR (soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor)-guided anakinra treatment could prevent COVID-19-assocated SRF. MethodsIn this open-label prospective trial, 130 patients admitted with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia SARS-CoV-2 and suPAR levels [≥]6 g/l were assigned to subcutaneous anakinra 100mg once daily for 10 days. The primary outcome was the incidence of SRF at day 14. Secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality, changes in sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, of cytokine-stimulation pattern and of circulating inflammatory mediators. Equal number of propensity score-matched comparators for comorbidities, severity on admission and standard-of care (SOC) were studied. ResultsThe incidence of SRF was 22.3% (95% CI, 16.0-30.2%) among anakinra-treated patients and 59.2% (95% CI, 50.6-67.3%; P: 4.6 x 10-8) among SOC comparators (hazard ratio, 0.30; 95%CI, 0.20-0.46). 30-day mortality was 11.5% (95% CI, 7.1-18.2%) and 22.3% (95% CI, 16.0-30.2%) respectively (hazard ratio 0.49; 95% CI 0.25-0.97%; P: 0.041). Anakinra treatment was associated with decrease in SOFA score and in circulating interleukin (IL)-6, sCD163 and sIL2-R; the serum IL-10/IL-6 ratio on day 7 was inversely associated with the change in SOFA score. Duration of stay at the intensive care unit and at hospital was shortened compared to the SOC group; the cost of hospitalization was decreased. ConclusionsEarly suPAR-guided anakinra treatment is associated with decrease of the risk for SRF and restoration of the pro- /anti-inflammatory balance. Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04357366

8.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20172080

ABSTRACT

IntroductionCoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). Fast, accurate and simple blood-based assays for quantification of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies are urgently needed to identify infected individuals and keep track of the spread of disease. MethodsThe study included 35 plasma samples from 22 individuals with confirmed COVID-19 by real time reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction and 40 non-COVID-19 plasma samples. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgM/lgA or IgG antibodies were detected by a microfluidic quantitative immunomagnetic assay (IMA) (ViroTrack Sero COVID IgM+lgA /IgG Ab, Blusense Diagnostics, Denmark) and by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay ((ELISA) (Eurolmmun Medizinische Labordiagnostika, Germany). ResultsOf the 35 plasma samples from the COVID-19 patients, 29 (82.9%) were positive for IgA/IgM or IgG by IMA and 29 samples (82.9%) were positive by ELISA. Sensitivity for only one sample per patient was 68% for IgA+IgM and 73% IgG by IMA and 73% by ELISA. For samples collected 14 days after symptom onset, the sensitivity of both IMA and ELISA was around 90%. Specificity of the IMA reached 100% compared to 95% for ELISA IgA and 97.5% for ELISA IgG. ConclusionIMA for COVID-19 is a rapid simple-to-use point of care test with sensitivity and specificity similar to a commercial ELISA.

9.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20114678

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVETo examine if baseline soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) can predict whether patients with COVID-19 symptoms will need mechanical ventilation during a 14-day follow-up. Furthermore, to examine differences in demographics, clinical signs, and biomarkers in patients tested either positive or negative for SARS-CoV-2. DESIGNProspective cohort study including patients presenting with symptoms of COVID-19. SETTINGCopenhagen University Hospital Amager and Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark. PARTICIPANTS407 patients presenting with symptoms of COVID-19 were included from the Emergency Department (ED). Patients were included from March 19 to April 3 and follow-up data was collected until April 17, 2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURESPrimary outcomes were respiratory failure in patients presenting with symptoms of COVID-19 and in those with a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test, respectively. Furthermore, we analysed differences between patients testing positive and negative for SARS-CoV-2, and disease severity outcomes in SARS-CoV-2 positive patients according to baseline suPAR. BACKGROUNDPatients admitted to ED with clinical signs or symptoms of COVID-19 infection need a safe and quick triage, in order to determine if an in-hospital stay is necessary or if the patient can safely be isolated in their own home with relevant precautions. suPAR is a biomarker previously shown to be associated with adverse outcomes in acute medical patients. We aimed to examine if suPAR at baseline presentation is predictive of respiratory failure in patients presenting with symptoms of COVID-19. Furthermore, we examined demographic, clinical, and biochemical differences between SARS-CoV-2-positive and negative patients. RESULTSAmong the 407 symptomatic patients, the median (interquartile range) age was 64 years (47-77), 58% were women, and median suPAR was 4.2 ng/ml (2.7-6.4). suPAR level below 4.75 ng/ml at admission ruled out respiratory failure during follow-up with an area under the curve (95% CI) of 0.89 (0.85-0.94) and a negative predictive value of 99.5%. Of the 407 symptomatic patients, 117 (28.8%) had a positive RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 and presented with significant differences in vital signs, cell counts, and biomarkers compared to SARS-CoV-2 negative patients. In SARS-CoV-2 positive patients eligible for mechanical ventilation (N=87), 26 (30%) developed respiratory failure. Best baseline predictors of respiratory failure were suPAR with an area under the curve (95% CI) of 0.88 (0.80-0.95), EWS 0.84 (0.75-0.93), lactate dehydrogenase 0.82 (0.71-0.93), and C-reactive protein 0.80 (0.70-0.89). CONCLUSIONSARS-CoV-2 affects several patient parameters underpinning the severe impact of the infection. A low suPAR level (<4.75 ng/ml) at baseline is a useful biomarker for aiding clinical decisions including discharge of patients presenting with symptoms of COVID-19.

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