Predictive performance of two types of urinary biomarkers for renal non-recovery in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Renal non-recovery is known to have negative prognostic implications in patients suffering from acute kidney injury (AKI). Nevertheless, the identification of biomarkers for predicting renal non-recovery in sepsis-associated AKI (SA-AKI) within clinical settings remains unresolved. This study aims to evaluate and compare the predictive ability for renal non-recovery, use of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and 30-day mortality after SA-AKI by two urinary biomarkers, namely C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7]. METHODS: We prospectively screened adult patients who met the criteria for AKI stage 2-3 and Sepsis-3.0 in two ICUs from January 2019 to May 2022. Patients who developed new-onset SA-AKI after ICU admission were enrolled and urinary biomarkers including [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 were detected at the time of SA-AKI diagnosis. The primary endpoint was non-recovery from SA-AKI within 7 days. The secondary endpoints were the use of KRT in the ICU and 30-day mortality after SA-AKI. The individual discriminative ability of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 to predict renal non-recovery were evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: 141 patients with stage 2-3 SA-AKI were finally included, among whom 54 (38.3%) experienced renal non-recovery. Urinary CCL14 exhibited a higher predictive capability for renal non-recovery compared to [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7], with CCL14 showing an AUC of 0.901, versus an AUC of 0.730 for [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] (P = 0.001). Urinary CCL14 and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] demonstrated a moderate predictive value for the need for KRT in ICU, with AUC values of 0.794 and 0.725, respectively; The AUC of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] combined with CCL14 reached up to 0.816. Urinary CCL14 and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] exhibited poor predictive power for 30-day mortality, with respective AUC values of 0.623 and 0.593. CONCLUSION: Urinary CCL14 had excellent predictive value for renal non-recovery in SA-AKI patients. For predicting the use of KRT in the ICU, the predictive capability of urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] or CCL14 was fair. However, a combination of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 showed good predictive ability for the use of KRT.

Attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Both sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are common severe diseases in the intensive care unit (ICU). There is no large-scale multicenter study to clarify the attributable mortality of ARDS among septic patients. This study aimed to evaluate the excess mortality of ARDS in critically ill patients with sepsis. METHODS: The data were obtained from a multicenter, prospective cohort study in 18 Chinese ICUs between January 2014 and August 2015. The study population was septic patients after ICU admission. The patients were categorized into two groups: those who developed ARDS (ARDS group) within seven days following a sepsis diagnosis and those who did not develop ARDS (non-ARDS group). Applying propensity score matching (PSM), patients were matched 1:1 as ARDS and non-ARDS groups. Mortality attributed to ARDS was calculated. Subsequently, we conducted a survival analysis to estimate the impact of ARDS on mortality. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality after sepsis diagnosis. RESULTS: 2323 septic patients were eligible, 67.8% developed ARDS. After PSM, 737 patients with ARDS were matched 1:1 with 737 non-ARDS patients. ARDS's overall 30-day attributable mortality was 11.9% (95% CI 7.5-16.3%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the 30-day attributable mortality of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS was 10.5% (95% CI 4.0-16.8%, p < 0.001), 11.6% (95% CI 4.7-18.4%, p < 0.001) and 18.1% (95% CI 4.5-30.9%, p = 0.006), respectively. ARDS was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.30 (95% CI 1.03-1.64, p = 0.027), 1.49 (95% CI 1.20-1.85, p < 0.001), and 1.95 (95% CI 1.51-2.52, p < 0.001) for mild, moderate, and severe ARDS, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The overall 30-day attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis was 11.9%. Compared with mild and moderate ARDS, severe ARDS contributed more to death. ARDS was significantly associated with an increase in the 30-day mortality.

Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury.

The lack of early renal function recovery among geriatric patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a commonly observed and acknowledged poor prognostic factor, especially for older adults. However, no reliable prognostic biomarker is available for identifying individuals at risk of renal non-recovery or mortality in older adults. In this prospective observational cohort study, we enrolled critically ill older adults (aged ≥ 60 years) with AKI from the ICU and followed their disease progression. The primary endpoint was renal non-recovery within seven days of follow-up, while the secondary endpoint was the determinants of 30-day mortality after AKI. We assessed the predictive accuracy using receiver operating characteristic curves and performed between-group comparisons using the log-rank test. Among 209 older adults, 117 (56.0%) experienced renal recovery. Multiple regression analysis revealed that urine levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) multiplied by insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) ([TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7]), AKI stages 2-3, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score were independently associated with renal non-recovery. The regression model incorporating [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] demonstrated a fair predictive value (AUC 0.774, p < 0.001), with the optimal threshold set at 0.81 (ng/mL)2/1000. When [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] was combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score, the AUC increased to 0.851. In conclusion, urine [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] is a reliable biomarker associated with renal non-recovery in critically ill older adults, and its predictive efficacy can be further enhanced when combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score.

Urinary cell cycle biomarkers for the prediction of renal non-recovery in patients with septic acute kidney injury: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Poor prognosis has been associated with the absence of renal recovery after acute kidney injury (AKI). This study aimed to investigate whether urinary biomarkers at 0 and 24 h could be used independently or in conjunction with a clinical model to predict renal non-recovery in septic AKI. METHODS: A prospective observational study was conducted to measure the urinary levels of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) at the time of AKI diagnosis (0 h) and 24 h later. Renal non-recovery within 7 days was defined as the outcome. The predictive value of urinary biomarkers for renal non-recovery in septic AKI was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 198 individuals with septic AKI were included in the final analysis. Among them, 38.9% (n = 77) did not experience renal recovery within 7 days. The combination of urinary IGFBP7 and TIMP-2 at the initial time point demonstrated prognostic value for non-recovery of renal function, with an AUC of 0.782. When [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] was measured at 0 h, the clinical prognostic model, incorporating AKI stage 2-3 and the non-renal sequential organ failure assessment score, showed an improved AUC of 0.822 (with a sensitivity of 88.3% and specificity of 59.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of urinary [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] at 0 h exhibited moderate predictive ability for renal non-recovery in cases of septic AKI. However, there is potential to enhance the prognostic capabilities of the [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7]-clinical prediction model.

Predictive Value of Perioperative Cardiac Troponin I in Patients Undergone Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Objective: To examine the change rule and clinical significance of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) in the perioperative period of liver transplantation in adults, as well as its association with 28-day mortality. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study: patients who underwent elective orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital between June 2015 and June 2020 were selected, and plasma cTnI values were collected through the electronic medical record system within 7 days after surgery. Furthermore, the baseline clinical data of these patients were collected, and the change curve of cTnI values following liver transplantation was plotted. Using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models, the relationship between the level of postoperative cTnI and short-term mortality was investigated. The primary study endpoint was mortality within 28 days after surgery. Results: We included 414 patients who had undergone liver transplantation in this study, 48 of whom died within 28 days after surgery. cTnI, a specific marker of myocardial injury, could predict that the postoperative cardiovascular complications were higher in the death group and significantly affect the short-term prognosis of patients; however, its prognostic cut-off value was approximately 0.545 ng/mL (13×URL), indicating that a minor elevation of cTnI after liver transplantation did not significantly affect the prognosis. Moreover, a comparison of the baseline data and postoperative ICU management scores of the two groups revealed that diabetes, maximum value of cTnI >0.545 ng/mL within 7 days, and the need for postoperative renal replacement therapy (RRT) were independent prognostic factors of death within 28 days after liver transplantation. Conclusion: Within 7 days after surgery, an increase in cTnI to the maximum value of 0.545 ng/mL (13×URL) could have a significant impact on the short-term prognosis of patients. Diabetes and postoperative RRT were two independent prognostic factors for liver transplantation perioperative mortality.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as a predictive marker for postoperative infectious complications: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Objective: Postoperative infection is a common but costly complication. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is a promising marker for the identification of postsurgical infectious events. We aimed to perform this meta-analysis to assessed the accuracy of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for the prediction of postsurgical infection. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library without language restriction from their inceptions to April 2022, and checked reference lists of included studies. Studies were included if they assessed predictive accuracy of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for postsurgical infection. We estimated its predictive value and explored the source of heterogeneity. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) tool was used to assess methodological quality and the Deeks' test to evaluate publication bias. The bivariate model and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curve were used for meta-analysis and generated a summary receiver operating characteristic space (ROC) curve. Results: Our search returned 379 reports, of which 12 fulfilled the inclusion criteria, accounting for 4375 cases. The bivariate analysis yielded a pooled sensitivity of 0.77 (95%C.I.: 0.65-0.85) and specificity of 0.78 (95%C.I.: 0.67-0.86). Pooled positive LR and negative LR were 3.48 (95%C.I.: 2.26-5.36) and 0.30 (95%C.I.: 0.20-0.46), respectively. A negative LR of 0.30 reduces the post-test probability to 2% for a negative test result. The area under of receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.84 (95%C.I.: 0.80-0.87). Subgroups comparisons revealed difference by study design, surgical site, presentence of implant, time of sampling, type of infection event and prevalence of infection. The Deeks' test showed no publication bias. The sensitivity analysis showed no study affected the robustness of combined results. Conclusions: Low-certainty evidence suggests that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is a helpful marker for predicting postoperative infectious complication. The negative predictive value of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio enables for reliable exclusion of postoperative infection.Trial registrationPROSPERO registration number CRD42022321197. Registered on 27 April 2022.

Analysis of urinary C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) and first-generation urinary biomarkers for predicting renal recovery from acute kidney injury: a prospective exploratory study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent syndrome in the intensive care unit (ICU). AKI patients with kidney function recovery have better short-term and long-term prognoses compared with those with non-recovery. Numerous studies focus on biomarkers to distinguish them. To better understand the predictive performance of urinary biomarkers of renal recovery in patients with AKI, we evaluated C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) and two first-generation biomarkers (cell cycle arrest biomarkers and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin) in two ICU settings. METHODS: We performed a prospective study to analyze urinary biomarkers for predicting renal recovery from AKI. Patients who developed AKI after ICU admission were enrolled and urinary biomarkers including tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2), insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7), CCL14, and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) were detected on the day of AKI diagnosis. The primary endpoint was non-recovery from AKI within 7 days. The individual discriminative ability of CCL14, [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] and NGAL to predict renal non-recovery were evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of 164 AKI patients, 64 (39.0%) failed to recover from AKI onset. CCL14 showed a fair prediction ability for renal non-recovery with an AUC of 0.71 (95% CI 0.63-0.77, p < 0.001). [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] showed the best prediction for renal non-recovery with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.84, p < 0.001). However, NGAL had no use in predicting non-recovery with an AUC of 0.53 (95% CI 0.45-0.60, p = 0.562). A two-parameter model (non-renal SOFA score and AKI stage) predicted renal non-recovery with an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.77-0.83, p = 0.004). When [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] was combined with the clinical factors, the AUC was significantly improved to 0.82 (95% CI 0.74-0.87, p = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: Urinary CCL14 and [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] were fair predictors of renal non-recovery from AKI. Combing urinary [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] with a clinical model consisting of non-renal SOFA score and AKI stage enhanced the predictive power for renal non-recovery. Urinary CCL14 showed no significant advantage in predicting renal non-recovery compared to [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7].

The attributable mortality of sepsis for acute kidney injury: a propensity-matched analysis based on multicenter prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Both sepsis and AKI are diseases of major concern in intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to evaluate the excess mortality attributable to sepsis for acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: A propensity score-matched analysis on a multicenter prospective cohort study in 18 Chinese ICUs was performed. Propensity score was sequentially conducted to match AKI patients with and without sepsis on day 1, day 2, and day 3-5. The primary outcome was hospital death of AKI patients. RESULTS: A total of 2008 AKI patients (40.9%) were eligible for the study. Of the 1010 AKI patients with sepsis, 619 (61.3%) were matched to 619 AKI patients in whom sepsis did not develop during the screening period of the study. The hospital mortality rate of matched AKI patients with sepsis was 205 of 619 (33.1%) compared with 150 of 619 (24.0%) for their matched AKI controls without sepsis (p = 0.001). The attributable mortality of total sepsis for AKI patients was 9.1% (95% CI: 4.8-13.3%). Of the matched patients with sepsis, 328 (53.0%) diagnosed septic shock. The attributable mortality of septic shock for AKI was 16.2% (95% CI: 11.3-20.8%, p < 0.001). Further, the attributable mortality of sepsis for AKI was 1.4% (95% CI: 4.1-5.9%, p = 0.825). CONCLUSIONS: The attributable hospital mortality of total sepsis for AKI were 9.1%. Septic shock contributes to major excess mortality rate for AKI than sepsis. REGISTRATION FOR THE MULTICENTER PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY: registration number ChiCTR-ECH-13003934.

Calprotectin as a diagnostic marker for sepsis: A meta-analysis.

Introduction: Sepsis is a life-threatening condition, and biomarkers are needed to diagnose sepsis fast and accurately. We aimed to perform this meta-analysis to investigate the diagnostic value of calprotectin on sepsis in critically ill patients. Methods: The investigators searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library. Studies were included if they assessed the diagnostic accuracy of serum calprotectin for sepsis in intensive care unit (ICU). We estimated its diagnostic value and explored the source of heterogeneity. The bivariate model and the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curve were used in the meta-analysis. Results: Six records assessing 821 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) were separately as 0.77, 0.85, 5.20, 0.27, respectively. The Fagan's nomogram showed post-test probabilities of 91% and 35% for positive and negative outcomes, respectively. Subgroup analysis indicated that sepsis definition could be a possible source of heterogeneity, but there's no sufficient data to investigate sepsis-3 definition. Sensitivity analysis suggested that two studies could affect the stability of pooled results. Conclusion: On the basis of our meta-analysis, calprotectin is a helpful marker for early diagnosis of sepsis on ICU admission.

Binimetinib ameliorates the severity of septic cardiomyopathy by downregulating inflammatory factors.

BACKGROUND: Septic cardiomyopathy (SCM) has a worse prognosis with mortality rates of up to 70%. Most existing treatment is useless and no specific drug or treatment has been found in patients with myocardial hypofunction. METHODS: We explored the efficacy of the target drugs (Binimetinib) in SCM model in vivo based on high throughput sequencing and bioinformatics analysis. Firstly, a stable SCM mice model was constructed. Secondly, the hub genes of SCM were clarified by high throughput sequencing and bioinformatics analysis. The related pathways and biological process were revealed by Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes (KEGG) and gene ontology (GO) enrichment analysis. Thirdly, the target drugs of the hub genes were investigated by network pharmacology analysis. Fourthly, the curative effects and hub genes regulatory effects of Binimetinib were demonstrated by SCM mice model. Finally, the regulatory mechanism of the target drugs on the hub genes were analyzed by molecular docking. RESULTS: 109 CFU/ml P. aeruginosa daubed in wound could establish a stable SCM mice model. Il-6, Il-1ß and Tnf were the hub genes of SCM. Immune system process and inflammatory response were the main biological process. Binimetinib was the target drug of IL-6, IL-1ß and TNF-α. JUN and NFKB1 were the transcription factor (TFs) of hub genes and Binimetinib had the lowest binding energy with NFKB1. CONCLUSIONS: A stable SCM model was established by wound P. aeruginosa infection. Tnf, Il-1ß, Il-6 were the key genes of SCM. Binimetinib might be a drug for the treatment of SCM by downregulating the hub genes. Its active mechanism might be related to NFKB1.

Postoperative serum myoglobin as a predictor of early allograft dysfunction after liver transplantation.

Background: Early allograft dysfunction (EAD) is a common postliver transplant complication that has been associated with graft failure and risk for poor prognosis. There are many risk factors for the incidence of EAD after liver transplantation (LT). This study investigated whether elevated postoperative myoglobin (Mb) increases the incidence of EAD in liver transplanted recipients. Methods: A total of 150 adult recipients who measured Mb within 3 days after liver transplantation between June 2019 and June 2021 were evaluated. Then, all patients were divided into two groups: the EAD group and the non-EAD group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed, and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) were constructed. Results: The incidence of EAD was 53 out of 150 patients (35.3%) in our study. Based on the multivariate logistic analysis, the risk of EAD increased with elevated postoperative Mb (OR = 1.001, 95% CI 1.000-1.001, P = 0.002). The Mb AUC was 0.657, and it was 0.695 when combined with PCT. When the subgroup analysis was conducted, the AUC of serum Mb prediction was better in patients whose preoperative model for end-stage liver disease score ≤ 15 or operative time ≥ 10 h (AUC = 0.751, 0.758, respectively, or 0.760, 0.800 when combined with PCT). Conclusion: Elevated Mb significantly increased the risk of postoperative EAD, suggesting that postoperative Mb may be a novel predictor of EAD after liver transplantation.The study was registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (Registration number: ChiCTR2100044257, URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn).

Soluble Programmed Cell Death Protein 1 and Its Ligand: Potential Biomarkers to Predict Acute Kidney Injury After Surgery in Critically Ill Patients.

Purpose: Programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) have been detected in injury kidney. However, their expressions are unclear in mice kidneys under renal ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI). In this study, we would observe the expressions of PD-1 and PD-L1 in kidney tissues and analyze the association between the concentrations of PD-1 and PD-L1 in mouse kidney homogenate and the corresponding concentrations of soluble PD-1 (sPD-1) and soluble PD-L1 (sPD-L1) in plasma after renal IRI. Further, we explored the predictive value of sPD-1 and sPD-L1 for acute kidney injury (AKI) in high-risk patients after surgery. Methods: This study established an AKI model induced by IRI in mice. Plasma, kidney samples, and homogenate were collected 0h, 24h, and 48h after surgery for immunohistochemistry and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Then, we continuously enrolled 88 AKI high-risk patients who underwent noncardiac surgery. The biomarkers, including sPD-1, sPD-L1, and urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2), insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7), were detected immediately after surgery. Results: Our data revealed the concentrations of PD-1 and PD-L1 in kidney homogenate, and sPD-1 and sPD-L1 in plasma significantly increased at 0h, 24h, and 48h after IRI. A positive association was found between PD-1 and sPD-1 (r = 0.774, p < 0.001), and between PD-L1 and sPD-L1 (r = 0.881, p < 0.001). Compared to NGAL, [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7], sPD-1 and sPD-L1 showed better predictive abilities for AKI with an area under the ROC curve of 0.856 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.825-0.958, p < 0.001) and 0.906 (95% CI: 0.764-0.921, p < 0.001). Conclusion: The increased expressions of PD-1 and PD-L1 in kidneys under IRI suggested they may play essential roles in AKI development. sPD-1 and sPD-L1 can indirectly reflect the expressions of PD-1 and PD-L1 in kidneys, respectively. sPD-1 and sPD-L1 showed excellent predictive ability for AKI in high-risk patients.

Cell cycle arrest biomarkers for predicting renal recovery from acute kidney injury: a prospective validation study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common disease in the intensive care unit (ICU). AKI patients with nonrecovery of renal function have a markedly increased risk of death compared with patients with recovery. The current study aimed to explore and validate the utility of urinary cell cycle arrest biomarkers for predicting nonrecovery in patients who developed AKI after ICU admission. METHODS: We prospectively and consecutively enrolled 379 critically ill patients who developed AKI after admission to the ICU, which were divided into a derivation cohort (194 AKI patients) and a validation cohort (185 AKI patients). The biomarkers of urinary tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) were detected at inclusion immediately after AKI diagnosis (day 0) and 24 h later (day 1). The optimal cut-off values of these biomarkers for predicting nonrecovery were estimated in the derivation cohort, and their predictive accuracy was assessed in the validation cohort. The primary endpoint was nonrecovery from AKI (within 7 days). RESULTS: Of 379 patients, 159 (41.9%) patients failed to recover from AKI onset, with 79 in the derivation cohort and 80 in the validation cohort. Urinary [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] on day 0 showed a better prediction ability for nonrecovery than TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 alone, with an area under the reciever operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.751 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.701-0.852, p < 0.001] and an optimal cut-off value of 1.05 ((ng/mL)2/1000). When [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] was combined with the clinical factors of AKI diagnosed by the urine output (UO) criteria, AKI stage 2-3 and nonrenal SOFA score for predicting nonrecovery, the AUC was significantly improved to 0.852 (95% CI 0.750-0.891, p < 0.001), which achieved a sensitivity and specificity of 88.8% (72.9, 98.7) and 92.6% (80.8, 100.0), respectively. However, urine [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7], TIMP-2 alone, and IGFBP7 alone on day 1 performed poorly for predicting AKI recovery. CONCLUSION: Urinary [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] on day 0 showed a fair performance for predicting nonrecovery from AKI. The predictive accuracy can be improved when urinary [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] is combined with the clinical factors of AKI diagnosed by the UO criteria, AKI stage 2-3 and nonrenal SOFA score.

The attributable mortality of new-onset acute kidney injury among critically ill patients: a propensity-matched analysis based on a multicentre prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the attributable mortality of new-onset acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: The data in the present study were derived from a multi-center, prospective cohort study in China that was performed at 18 Chinese ICUs. A propensity-matched analysis was performed between matched patients with and without AKI selected from all eligible patients to estimate the attributable mortality of new-onset AKI. RESULTS: A total of 2872 critically ill adult patients were eligible. The incidence of new-onset AKI was 29.1% (n = 837). After propensity score matching, 788 patients with AKI were matched 1:1 with 788 controls (patients without AKI). Thirty-day mortality was significantly higher among the patients with AKI than among their matched controls (25.5% versus 17.4%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis in terms of AKI classification showed that there was no significant difference (p = 0.509) in 30-day mortality between patients with stage 1 AKI and their matched controls. The attributable mortality values of stage 2 and stage 3 AKI were 12.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.6-21.8%, p = 0.013] and 16.1% (95% CI 8.2-23.8%, p < 0.001), respectively. The attributable mortality of persistent AKI was 15.7% (95% CI 8.8-22.4%, p = 0.001), while no observable difference in 30-day mortality was identified between transient AKI patients and their matched non-AKI controls (p = 0.229). CONCLUSION: The absolute excess 30-day mortality that is statistically attributable to new-onset AKI is substantial (8.1%) among general ICU patients. However, neither stage 1 AKI nor transient AKI increases 30-day mortality.

Melatonin relieves sepsis-induced myocardial injury via regulating JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway.

BACKGROUND: To study the effect of melatonin on myocardial injury of septic rats through regulating the Janus kinase 2/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (JAK2/STAT3) signaling pathway. METHODS: Healthy rats were selected as the samples and divided into blank group, sepsis group and sepsis + melatonin group. The difference in the myocardial tissue structure in the three groups of rats was observed via hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining, and the messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) expression levels of JAK2 and STAT3 in myocardium were compared among groups through fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Western blotting was applied to detect the protein expressions of JAK2, phosphorylated (p)-JAK2, STAT3 and p-STAT3, and terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end labeling (TUNEL) staining was utilized to determine the cell apoptosis in myocardial tissues. Moreover, the activity of superoxide dismutase (SOD) and content of malondialdehyde (MDA) in myocardial tissues as well as the activity of serum creatine kinase (CK) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were measured and compared. RESULTS: There were inflammatory cells in the myocardium in sepsis group, and the pathological changes were milder in sepsis + melatonin group. The mRNA expressions of JAK2 and STAT3 and the protein expressions of JAK2, STAT3, p-JAK2 and p-STAT3 were raised remarkably in sepsis group compared with those in blank group and sepsis + melatonin group. The apoptosis rate in tissues was significantly different among the three groups, and it was the highest in sepsis group, followed by that in sepsis + melatonin group and blank group. There were significant differences in SOD activity and MDA content in myocardial tissues among the three groups, of which the SOD activity was the strongest in blank group, followed by that in sepsis + melatonin group and sepsis group, and the MDA content was the highest in sepsis group, followed by that in sepsis + melatonin group and blank group. Sepsis group had extremely notably increased activity of CK and LDH compared with blank group, while sepsis + melatonin group exhibited evidently decreased activity of CK and LDH in comparison with sepsis group. CONCLUSIONS: The JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway is associated with sepsis-induced myocardial injury, and melatonin can relieve sepsis-induced myocardial injury by regulating the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway.

Development of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Citrate Accumulation in Liver Transplant Patients Undergoing Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy with Regional Citrate Anticoagulation.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with impaired citrate metabolism may experience citrate accumulation (CA), which causes life-threatening metabolic acidosis and hypocalcemia. CA poses a challenge for clinicians when deciding on the use of regional citrate anticoagulation (RCA) for patients with liver dysfunction. This study aimed to develop a prediction model integrating multiple clinical variables to assess the risk of CA in liver transplant patients. METHODS: This single-center prospective cohort study included postoperative liver transplant patients who underwent continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) with RCA. The study end point was CA. A prediction model was developed using a generalized linear mixed-effect model based on the Akaike information criterion. The predictive values were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve and bootstrap resampling (times = 500) to estimate the area under the curve (AUC) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). A nomogram was used to visualize the model. RESULTS: This study included 32 patients who underwent 133 CRRT sessions with RCA. CA occurred in 46 CRRT sessions. The model included lactate, norepinephrine >0.1 µg/kg/min, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and standard bicarbonate, which were tested before starting each CRRT session and body mass index, diabetes mellitus, and chronic kidney disease as predictors. The AUC of the model was 0.867 (95% CI 0.786-0.921), which was significantly higher than that of the single predictor (p < 0.05). A nomogram visualized the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction model integrating multiple clinical variables showed a good predictive value for CA. A nomogram visualized the model for easy application in clinical practice.

Risk factors, clinical features and outcome of new-onset acute kidney injury among critically ill patients: a database analysis based on prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) newly-emerged in intensive care unit (ICU), has not been thoroughly studied in previous researches, is likely to differ from AKI developed before ICU admission. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence, risk factors, clinical features and outcome of new-onset AKI in critically ill patients. METHODS: The data of present study derived from a multicenter, prospective cohort study in17 Chinese ICUs (January 2014 - August 2015). The incidence, risk factors, clinical features and survival analysis of new-onset AKI were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 3374 adult critically ill patients were eligible. The incidence of new-onset AKI was 30.0 % (n = 1012). Factors associated with a higher risk of new-onset AKI included coronary heart disease, hypertension, chronic liver disease, use of nephrotoxic drugs, sepsis, SOFA score, APACHEII score and use of vasopressors. The new-onset AKI was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.643; 95 % CI, 1.370-1.948; P < 0.001). 220 (21.7 %) patients received renal replacement therapy (RRT), 71 (32.3 %) of them were successfully weaning from RRT. More than half of the new-onset AKI were transient AKI (renal recovery within 48 h). There was no statistical relationship between transient AKI and 28-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.406; 95 % CI, 0.840-1.304; P = 0.686), while persistent AKI (non-renal recovery within 48 h) was strongly associated with 28-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.486; 95 % CI, 1.137-1.943; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: New-onset AKI is common in ICU patients and is associated with significantly higher 28-day mortality. Only persistent AKI, but not transient AKI is associated with significantly higher 28-day mortality.

Prognostic value of dynamic plasma endostatin for the prediction of mortality in acute kidney injury: A prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the current study was to evaluate the value of plasma endostatin for predicting 30-day mortality of patients with acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: Patients who underwent non-cardiac major surgery and developed AKI in the first 48 hours after admission to the intensive care unit were consecutively included. Concentrations of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), cystatin C (Cys C), and endostatin were measured at three time points: 0, 24, and 48 hours after the AKI diagnosis. Clinical patient characteristics were recorded after AKI was diagnosed. RESULTS: A total of 256 new-onset AKI patients were enrolled. Of these, 48 (18.7%) patients died within 30 days. The difference in plasma endostatin values between 0 and 24 hours (ΔEndostatin-24h) yielded the best area under the curve (AUC) of 0.747 for predicting 30-day mortality in AKI patients; NGAL and Cys C achieved AUC of 0.672 and 0.647, respectively. The predictive AUC increased to 0.833 when ΔEndostatin-24h was combined with sequential organ failure assessment score and AKI classification. CONCLUSION: Dynamic plasma endostatin is useful for predicting 30-day mortality in AKI patients. The predictive power of dynamic plasma endostatin can be significantly improved when it is combined with clinical patient data.

Effect of lung recruitment and titrated positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) versus low PEEP on patients with moderate-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Setting a positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) on patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) receiving mechanical ventilation has been an issue of great contention. Therefore, we aimed to determine effects of lung recruitment maneuver (RM) and titrated PEEP versus low PEEP on adult patients with moderate-severe ARDS. METHODS: Data sources and study selection proceeded as follows: PubMed, Ovid, EBSCO, and Cochrane Library databases were searched from 2003 to May 2018. Original clinical randomized controlled trials which met the eligibility criteria were included. To compare the prognosis between the titrated PEEP and low PEEP groups on patients with moderate-severe ARDS (PaO2/FiO2 < 200 mmHg). Heterogeneity was quantified through the I2 statistic. Egger's test and funnel plots were used to assess publication bias. RESULTS: No difference was found in 28-day mortality and ICU mortality (OR = 0.97, 95% CI (0.61-1.52), p = 0.88; OR = 1.14, 95% CI (0.91-1.43), p = 0.26, respectively). Only ventilator-free days, length of stay in the ICU, length of stay in hospital, and incidence of barotrauma could be systematically reviewed owing to bias and extensive heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: No difference was observed in the RM between the titrated PEEP and the low PEEP in 28-day mortality and ICU mortality on patients with moderate-severe ARDS.

Derivation and validation of plasma endostatin for predicting renal recovery from acute kidney injury: a prospective validation study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with high morbidity and mortality in surgical patients. Nonrecovery from AKI may increase mortality and early risk stratification seems key to improving clinical outcomes. The aim of the current study was to explore and validate the value of endostatin for predicting failure to recover from AKI. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 198 patients without known chronic kidney disease who underwent noncardiac major surgery and developed new-onset AKI in the first 48 h after admission to the ICU. The biomarkers of plasma endostatin, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and cystatin C were detected immediately after AKI diagnosis. The primary endpoint was nonrecovery from AKI (within 7 days). Cutoff values of the biomarkers for predicting nonrecovery were determined in a derivation cohort (105 AKI patients). Predictive accuracy was then analyzed in a validation cohort (93 AKI patients). RESULTS: Seventy-six of 198 (38.4%) patients failed to recover from AKI onset, with 41 in the derivation cohort and 35 in the validation cohort. Compared with NGAL and cystatin C, endostatin showed a better prediction for nonrecovery, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.776 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.654-0.892, p < 0.001) and an optimal cutoff value of 63.7 ng/ml. The predictive ability for nonrecovery was greatly improved by the prediction model combining endostatin with clinical risk factors of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and AKI classification, with an AUC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.766-0.958, p < 0.001). The value of the endostatin-clinical risk prediction model was superior to the NGAL-clinical risk and cystatin C-clinical risk prediction models in predicting failure to recover from AKI, which was supported by net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. Further, the endostatin-clinical risk prediction model achieved sensitivity and specificity of 94.6% (76.8-99.1) and 72.7% (57.2-85.0), respectively, when validated in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Plasma endostatin shows a useful value for predicting failure to recover from AKI. The predictive ability can be greatly improved when endostatin is combined with the SOFA score and AKI classification.