The efficacy and safety of pegylated interferon α-2b-based immunotherapy for inactive hepatitis B surface antigen carriers.

OBJECTIVES: Pegylated interferon α-2b (PegIFNα-2b) therapy can help inactive hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) carriers (IHCs) achieve clinical cure. To explore and compare the efficacy, safety, and relevant influential factors of PegIFNα-2b monotherapy and PegIFNα-2b-based immunotherapy for IHCs. METHODS: This exploratory, prospective, single-center, randomized controlled trial enrolled 40 IHCs who were randomized into group A (PegIFNα-2b treatment for 68 weeks) and group B (two cycles of PegIFNα-2b treatment with a lead-in period of GM-CSF and vaccine treatment before each cycle). The primary endpoint was 68-week HBsAg loss rate. RESULTS: At week 68, the HBsAg loss rates were 45.45% [full analysis set (FAS)] and 46.67% [per-protocol set (PPS)]. There was no statistically significant difference in HBsAg loss rate between groups A and B ( P  > 0.05). Univariate analysis revealed that age ≤40 years old, baseline HBsAg <200 IU/ml, and 24-week HBsAg decline ≥2 log 10 IU/ml were significantly associated with HBsAg loss in FAS population ( P  < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that only 24-week HBsAg decline ≥2 log 10 IU/ml was the independent influencing factor in both FAS and PPS populations ( P  < 0.05). The adverse events were common and mild, and the therapies were well-tolerated. CONCLUSION: Treatment of IHCs with PegIFNα-2b-based therapy could result in a high HBsAg loss rate. The HBsAg loss rate of combined immunotherapy was similar to that of PegIFNα-2b monotherapy, and the safety was good. CLINICALTRIALSGOV ID: NCT05451420.

Adverse Effect of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease on the Therapeutic Response in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.

Background and Aims: The impact of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on the treatment outcome of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is undefined and deserves an in-depth investigation. Methods: Histologically-proven CHB receiving first-line antiviral regimens as initial therapy was enrolled and grouped by the concurrence of NAFLD, and followed up at six monthly intervals. Therapeutic response related data were recorded and compared at multiple time points. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were utilized to estimate the impact of NAFLD on complete virological response (CVR). Results: We enrolled 267 patients (CHB: 164; CHB with NAFLD: 103) with comparable follow-up durations. They were also comparable in baseline HBV DNA levels and HBeAg positivity. Patients with concomitant NAFLD showed less significant decline in HBV DNA, qHBsAg, pgRNA, and liver enzyme levels over time; moreover, their cumulative incidences of CVR were significantly lower and that of low-level viremia (LLV) were significantly higher at 6, 12, 18, 24 months. First CVR of CHB was delayed with the presence NAFLD (11.0 vs. 7.0 months, p<0.001) and further prolonged with higher grade of liver steatosis (Grade 2-3 vs. 1: 13.0 vs. 9.0 months). On multivariate analysis, HBeAg positivity (HR: 0.650, p=0.036), grade of steatosis (G2 [HR: 0.447, p=0.004]; G3 [HR: 0.085, p=0.002]) and HBV DNA (log10 IU/mL) (HR: 0.687, p<0.001) were significantly associated with delayed CVR, whereas grade of necroinflammation (HR: 1. 758, p<0.001) accelerated the CVR. Conclusions: In CHB patients receiving initial antiviral therapy, NAFLD was associated with higher levels of HBV DNA, pgRNA, and liver enzymes, and higher incidence of LLV and delayed CVR.

Spatial Accessibility Assessment of Prehospital EMS with a Focus on the Elderly Population: A Case Study in Ningbo, China.

The spatial accessibility of prehospital EMS is particularly important for the elderly population's physiological functions. Due to the recent expansion of aging populations all over the globe, elderly people's spatial accessibility to prehospital EMS presents a serious challenge. An efficient strategy to address this issue involves using geographic information systems (GIS)-based tools to evaluate the spatial accessibility in conjunction with the spatial distribution of aging people, available road networks, and prehospital EMS facilities. This study employed gravity model and empirical Bayesian Kriging (EBK) interpolation analysis to evaluate the elderly's spatial access to prehospital EMS in Ningbo, China. In our study, we aimed to solve the following specific research questions: In the study area, "what are the characteristics of the prehospital EMS demand of the elderly?" "Do the elderly have equal and convenient spatial access to prehospital EMS?" and "How can we satisfy the prehospital EMS demand of an aging population, improve their spatial access to prehospital EMS, and then ensure their quality of life?" The results showed that 37.44% of patients admitted to prehospital EMS in 2020 were 65 years and older. The rate of utilization of ambulance services by the elderly was 27.39 per 1000 elderly residents. Ambulance use by the elderly was the highest in the winter months and the lowest in the spring months (25.90% vs. 22.38%). As for the disease spectrum, the main disease was found to be trauma and intoxication (23.70%). The mean accessibility score was only 1.43 and nearly 70% of demand points had scored lower than 1. The elderly's spatial accessibility to prehospital EMS had a central-outward gradient decreasing trend from the central region to the southeast and southwest of the study area. Our proposed methodology and its spatial equilibrium results could be taken as a benchmark of prehospital care capacity and help inform authorities' efforts to develop efficient, aging-focused spatial accessibility plans.

Prevalence of 16S rRNA Methylation Enzyme Gene armA in Salmonella From Outpatients and Food.

Salmonella is the primary cause of community-acquired foodborne infections, so its resistance to antimicrobials, such as aminoglycosides, is a public health issue. Of concern, aminoglycoside resistance in Salmonella is increasing rapidly. Here, we performed a retrospective study evaluating the prevalence of Salmonella harboring armA-mediated aminoglycoside resistance in community-acquired infections and in food or environmental sources. The prevalence rates of armA-harboring Salmonella strains were 1.1/1,000 (13/12,095) and 8.7/1,000 (32/3,687) in outpatient and food/environmental isolates, respectively. All the armA-harboring Salmonella strains were resistant to multiple drugs, including fluoroquinolone and/or extended-spectrum cephalosporins, and most (34/45) belonged to serovar Indiana. The armA gene of these strains were all carried on plasmids, which spanned five replicon types with IncHI2 being the dominant plasmid type. All the armA-carrying plasmids were transferable into Escherichia coli and Acinetobacter baumannii recipients. The conjugation experiment results revealed that the armA-harboring S. Indiana strains had a relatively higher ability to acquire armA-carrying plasmids. The low similarity of their pulsed field gel electrophoresis patterns indicates that the armA-harboring Salmonella strains were unlikely to have originated from a single epidemic clone, suggesting broad armA spread. Furthermore, the genetic backgrounds of armA-harboring Salmonella strains isolated from outpatients exhibited higher similarity to those isolated from poultry than to those isolated from swine, suggesting that poultry consumption maybe an infection source. These findings highlight an urgent need to monitor the prevalence and transmission of armA-harboring Salmonella, especially S. Indiana, to better understand the potential public health threat and prevent the further spread of these strains.

Epidemiologic and genomic insights on mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella from diarrhoeal outpatients in Shanghai, China, 2006-2016.

BACKGROUND: Colistin resistance mediated by mcr-1-harbouring plasmids is an emerging threat in Enterobacteriaceae, like Salmonella. Based on its major contribution to the diarrhoea burden, the epidemic state and threat of mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella in community-acquired infections should be estimated. METHODS: This retrospective study analysed the mcr-1 gene incidence in Salmonella strains collected from a surveillance on diarrhoeal outpatients in Shanghai Municipality, China, 2006-2016. Molecular characteristics of the mcr-1-positive strains and their plasmids were determined by genome sequencing. The transfer abilities of these plasmids were measured with various conjugation strains, species, and serotypes. FINDINGS: Among the 12,053 Salmonella isolates, 37 mcr-1-harbouring strains, in which 35 were serovar Typhimurium, were detected first in 2012 and with increasing frequency after 2015. Most patients infected with mcr-1-harbouring strains were aged <5 years. All strains, including fluoroquinolone-resistant and/or extended-spectrum ß-lactamase-producing strains, were multi-drug resistant. S. Typhimurium had higher mcr-1 plasmid acquisition ability compared with other common serovars. Phylogeny based on the genomes combined with complete plasmid sequences revealed some clusters, suggesting the presence of mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella outbreaks in the community. Most mcr-1-positive strains were clustered together with the pork strains, strongly suggesting pork consumption as a main infection source. INTERPRETATION: The mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella prevalence in community-acquired diarrhoea displays a rapid increase trend, and the ESBL-mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella poses a threat for children. These findings highlight the necessary and significance of prohibiting colistin use in animals and continuous monitoring of mcr-1-harbouring Salmonella.

Turtles as a Possible Reservoir of Nontyphoidal Salmonella in Shanghai, China.

Terrapins and turtles are known to transmit Salmonella to humans. However, little was known about the occurrence of this pathogen in soft-shelled terrapin that is a popular delicacy in Chinese and other East Asian cuisines. We isolated and characterized 82 (24.4%) isolates of Salmonella from 336 fecal samples of soft-shelled terrapins (51 of 172; 29.7%) and pet turtles (31 of 164; 18.9%) in Shanghai. Salmonella Thompson was the most common serotype (17.1%) among others. Many isolates (84.1%) were resistant to multiple antimicrobials (≥3). Molecular analysis of Salmonella Thompson and Salmonella Typhimurium using pulsed-field gel electrophoresis unveiled a close genetic relationship between several human and terrapin isolates. Our results highlight the risk associated with the handling and consumption of turtles and their role in the spread of Salmonella in the human salmonellosis.

The clinical diagnosis and management options for intracranial juvenile xanthogranuloma in children: based on four cases and another 39 patients in the literature.

BACKGROUND: Juvenile xanthogranulomas (JXGs) are uncommon non-Langerhans cell histiocytic proliferations which occur most often in children. Rare cases of intracranial JXGs in children have been reported. The precise treatment strategy for intracranial JXG with high fatality is still unclear. METHOD: We present four cases of intracranial JXG with 2-6 years of follow-up. Review of the previous literature since 1980 revealed another 39 pediatric intracranial JXGs. RESULTS: Their clinical characteristics varied significantly. Most intracranial JXGs presented in young children (88 %). Males (72 %) were affected more often than females. The differential diagnosis included two important components: the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) characteristics and the pathohistiocytic markers. Statistical analysis suggested that there were no significant association between resection of intracranial lesions, multiple intracranial lesions, systematic lesions and clinic outcome (p = 0.12, p = 0.13, p = 0.60 respectively). Also, the manifestation with multiple intracranial lesions did not have a significant association with systematic JXG (p = 0.26). CONCLUSIONS: We found no significant associations between clinic characteristics, surgical resection and outcome. When feasible, total surgical resection of intracranial lesion may be curative.

Antimicrobial susceptibility, virulence gene profiles and molecular subtypes of Salmonella Newport isolated from humans and other sources.

Salmonella Newport (S. Newport) is a major serotype associated with human salmonellosis. A total of 79 S. Newport recovered from humans and other sources in China were characterized for antimicrobial susceptibility, virulence gene profiles and molecular subtypes using pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Approximately 63.3% of the isolates were susceptible to all of 16 antimicrobials tested. Nearly one third of the isolates (31.6%) were resistant to sulfisoxazole, 20.3% to tetracycline and 13.9% to nalidixic acid. Twelve isolates (15.2%) were resistant to three or more antimicrobials. Among 10 virulence genes detected, Salmonella pathogenicity island genes avrA, ssaQ, mgtC, siiD, and sopB and fimbrial gene bcfC were present in most of the isolates (93.7% to 100%). Overall, we observed nine distinct virulence gene profiles, three of which (VP1, VP2 and VP3) were most common (86.1%). A total of 56 PFGE patterns were identified and mainly grouped into seven clusters (A to G) with 80% pattern similarity. Isolates from aquatic product shared a high similarity with those from humans in several clusters, highlighting a potential risk of aquatic product as a source of S. Newport that infect humans. Furthermore, there was a strong association between certain PFGE clusters and virulence gene profiles, suggesting virulence subtyping can be a useful epidemiological tool to discriminate S. Newport isolates.

Whole-Genome Sequences of 12 Clinical Strains of Listeria monocytogenes.

Listeria monocytogenes is a foodborne pathogen of global concern due to the high mortality rate among immunocompromised patients. Whole-genome sequences of 12 strains of L. monocytogenes from humans were reported. The availability of these genomes should provide useful information on the evolutionary history and genetic diversity of L. monocytogenes.

[Surveillance for diarrheagenic Escherichia coli in Shanghai, 2012-2013].

OBJECTIVE: To understand the distribution of diarrheagenic Escherichia (E.) coli in population in Shanghai and discuss the practice model of cooperation in enteric infectious disease prevention and control between public health institution and hospital. METHODS: Sentinel hospitals were assigned, standard detection and identification of diarrheagenic E. coli were conducted, incidence curve of diarrheagenic E. coli infection was drawn and epidemiologic survey and laboratory detection were conducted for suspect diarrheagenic E. coli infection outbreaks. RESULTS: A total of 7 204 stool specimens were collected from diarrhea patients in 4 hospitals during 2012-2013, in which 712 (9.9% ) were diarrheagenic E. coli positive, including 351 enteropathogenic E. coli (EPEC) strains, 292 enterotoxigenic E. coli (ETEC) strains, 32 enteroinvasive E. coli(EIEC) strains and 6 Shiga toxin-producing E. coli (STEC/EHEC) strains, as well as 31 mixed strains. EPEC infection mainly occurred in children aged 1-5 years; and all of these infections were caused by aEPEC. The incidence peak of ETEC infection was during August, the positive rate was >20%. The ETEC infection mainly occurred in infants aged 1-28 days in 2012 and in people aged 20-60 years in 2013 (P<0.05). ST was the major type (59.6%), followed by LT (27.8%) and ST/LT (12.6%). EIEC infection increased in children obviously in 2013 (P<0.01). No EHEC O157:H7 case was detected, but two EHEC O26:H11 (eae-hlyA-stx1a) cases in children were reported for the first time in Shanghai. The survey result indicated that the multidrug-resistant ETEC (STh-CS21-CFA/I-ClyA-EatA-ST2332-SHNL0005) strain causing outbreak in 15 newborns in Shanghai in 2012 was in the same clone as the strain detected in Zigong in Sichuan province. CONCLUSION: Significant change has occurred in diarrheagenic E. coli distribution in Shanghai in recent years, ETEC has potential risk to cause outbreak of hospital acquired infection in neonates and food borne infection. The active surveillance on ETEC and other enteric pathogens by both public health institutions and hospitals need to be improved.

Molecular analysis and antimicrobial susceptibility of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli from diarrheal patients.

A total of 123 enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) isolates from diarrheal patients from June to December 2012 in Shanghai, China, were examined to determine their genetic relatedness using multilocus sequence typing and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) and for the presence of virulence genes and antimicrobial susceptibility. Twenty-nine sequence types (STs) and 63 PFGE patterns were identified, and results from the 2 subtyping methods correlated well. The 12 isolates of PFGE cluster B all belonged to ST-2332 and were associated with nosocomial neonatal diarrhea. Isolates of a cluster usually had the same set of virulence factors, whereas isolates of different PFGE clusters carried diverse combinations of virulence determinants. Isolates belonging to ST-2332 and ST-182 (n=9) were resistant to at least 6 antimicrobials. Our findings highlighted the need of active surveillance programs for infectious diseases collecting data at both epidemiological and genetic levels that can detect high-risk lineages of pathogens in order to rapidly identify disease outbreaks.

Antimicrobial susceptibility and molecular typing of salmonella agona isolated from humans and other sources.

Salmonella enterica serotype Agona (Salmonella Agona) has been among the top 10 serotypes that cause human diarrheal diseases in China. A total of 95 Salmonella Agona (67 from humans, and 28 from animals, food of animal origins, and environmental sources) recovered in Shanghai, China from 2005 to 2011 were subjected to antimicrobial susceptibility testing and molecular subtyping using pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Approximately 68.4% of the Salmonella Agona isolates were pansusceptible to 15 antimicrobial agents tested, and 4 isolates (4.21%) were resistant to at least 3 antimicrobials. PFGE analysis resulted in 41 unique patterns, of which 4 major PFGE patterns (X3, X4, X5, and X6) were grouped together at 96.1% similarity. Isolates of the four patterns included those from food (pork, beef, and chicken) and humans. Our findings showed that the same clones of Salmonella Agona were recovered from human patients and food, and that food of animal origin was potentially a major vehicle of Salmonella Agona in human salmonellosis in Shanghai.

[Study on the molecular epidemiology and antibiotic resistance of Salmonella enterica serovar Pomona].

OBJECTIVE: To study the epidemiological characteristics and antibiotic resistance of Salmonella enterica serovar Pomona (S. Pomona). METHODS: Antimicrobial susceptible testing (AST) and pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) methods were used to analyze on S. Pomona strains that were isolated from diarrhea cases through the diarrhea network monitoring program, environment and food samples in Shanghai as well as from reptiles in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. RESULTS: 4 553 clinic Salmonella (S.) strains were isolated from the Shanghai network laboratories from 2005 to 2012. The top 10 serotypes would include 20 serotypes all belonged to A-F groups, while S. Pomona was next to S. Wandsworth, according to the non- A-F groups. Young children seemed to be susceptible to S. Pomona, and might cause bloody stools and super-infection. The top 10 serotypes from 1 805 foodborne Salmonella strains were significantly more extensive than those from the human S. Pomona strains, followed by those rare serotypes which were mostly isolated from turtle, sea-shellfish and reptiles. Antibiotic resistance of S. Pomona strains from other sources were significantly more severe than those from human samples, and belonged to A and B clones by means of PFGE. Clone A strains were non-epidemic strains which showed multi-drug resistance (MDR) to antimicrobials. Clone B was the main epidemic-causing strain that not resistant to drugs, which consisting B- I from young-age-groups and B-II were from the seniors. B-I strains were homologous to those from shellfish, tortoises and lizards, while B-II strains only showing homology to those from shellfish. One S. Pomona strain-MDR, isolated from human was homologous to 8 antimicrobials. CONCLUSION: S. Pomona was a quite common serotype among those rare serotypes, which showed higher pathogenicity to infants while genetic evolution might take place when comparing them with the strains isolated from the clinics in 2005. Surveillance programs should be intensified along with the early warnings systems on infections which were from seafood and reptiles.

Antimicrobial resistance of Shigella spp. from humans in Shanghai, China, 2004-2011.

A retrospective study conducted on patients with diarrhea in Shanghai, China from 2004-2011, indicated that of 77,600 samples collected, 1,635 (2.1%) tested positive for Shigella. Species isolated included S. sonnei (1,066, 65.1%), S. flexneri (569, 34.7%), and S. boydii (3, 0.2%). Most of the Shigella isolates were found to be resistant to streptomycin (98.7%), trimethoprim (98.0%), ampicillin (92.1%), and nalidixic acid (91.7%). Additionally, many isolates were resistant to tetracycline (86.9%), trimethoprim + sulfamethoxazole (80.1%), sulfisoxazole (76.8%) and gentamicin (55.5%). Approximately 80% of the isolates were resistant to at least eight antimicrobial agents, 14% to at least ten antimicrobials tested and 10 isolates to fourteen antimicrobials, including sulfonamides, fluoroquinolones, tetracyclines, aminoglycosides and ß-lactamases. Importantly, co-resistance to fluoroquinolones and the third- and fourth-generation cephalosporins was also identified. The high levels of resistance to antimicrobial agents commonly used in clinical medicine presents a great challenge to treating patients with shigellosis.

[Assessment and application of a molecular diagnostic method on the detection of four types of diarrheagenic Escherichia coli].

OBJECTIVE: To establish and evaluate a molecular diagnostic method for routine monitoring of four types of diarrheagenic Escherichia (E.) coli (DEC)and to study the distribution of four types of DEC isolated from diarrheal patients in Shanghai. METHODS: DEC-PCR standard operation procedure(SOP)had been developed for DEC detection and isolation, using the Statens Serum Institute (SSI) DEC PCR kits with multiplex PCR technique after verification tests on reference strains. Diarrhea specimens from 3 clinical hospitals in Shanghai were tested from June to September, 2012. RESULTS: Specificity of the PCR kit was 100% by verification on the 26 DEC reference strains. A total number of 218 DEC isolates, including 181 fermented lactose and 37 unfermented lactose were identified from the 1887 stool specimens of diarrhea patients, with positive rate as 11.6%. The most common pathogen(54.1%, 118/218)was enteropathogenic E. coli(EPEC), followed by enterotoxigenic E. coli(ETEC, 41.3%, 90/218), enteroinvasive E. coli (EIEC, 4.1%, 9/ 218) and Shigatoxin-producing E. coli(STEC, 0.5%, 1/218)in addition to 18 Shigella isolates. ETEC dominated in diarrhea patients with foreign residency, as well as 1/3 were perinatal stage of neonatal ETEC of all diarrhea cases under the age of 5, while EPEC dominated in the Chinese diarrhea patients especially among young kids under the age of 2. CONCLUSION: Data was reliable after assessment on this molecular diagnostics and seperation procedures used for the routine monitoring on four types of DEC, while the diagnosis and reference ability of DEC regarding the laboratories net-working on food-borne pathogens need to be built up and improved.

Multidrug-resistant atypical variants of Shigella flexneri in China.

We identified 3 atypical Shigella flexneri varieties in China, including 92 strains with multidrug resistance, distinct pulse types, and a novel sequence type. Atypical varieties were prevalent mainly in developed regions, and 1 variant has become the dominant Shigella spp. serotype in China. Improved surveillance will help guide the prevention and control of shigellosis.

Whole-Genome Sequences of Four Salmonella enterica Serotype Newport Strains from Humans.

Salmonellosis contributes significantly to the public health burden globally. Salmonella enterica serotype Newport is among Salmonella serotypes most associated with food-borne illness in the United States and China. It was thought to be polyphyletic and to contain different lineages. We report draft genomes of four S. Newport strains isolated from humans in China.

[The fundamental role of stage control technology on the detectability for Salmonella networking laboratory].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluated the fundamental role of stage control technology (SCT) on the detectability for Salmonella networking laboratories. METHODS: Appropriate Salmonella detection methods after key point control being evaluated, were establishment and optimized. Our training and evaluation networking laboratories participated in the World Health Organization-Global Salmonella Surveillance Project (WHO-GSS) and China-U.S. Collaborative Program on Emerging and Re-emerging infectious diseases Project (GFN) in Shanghai. Staff members from the Yunnan Yuxi city Center for Disease Control and Prevention were trained on Salmonella isolation from diarrhea specimens. Data on annual Salmonella positive rates was collected from the provincial-level monitoring sites to be part of the GSS and GFN projects from 2006 to 2012. RESULTS: The methodology was designed based on the conventional detection procedure of Salmonella which involved the processes as enrichment, isolation, species identification and sero-typing. These methods were simultaneously used to satisfy the sensitivity requirements on non-typhoid Salmonella detection for networking laboratories. Public Health Laboratories in Shanghai had developed from 5 in 2006 to 9 in 2011, and Clinical laboratories from 8 to 22. Number of clinical isolates, including typhoid and non-typhoid Salmonella increased from 196 in 2006 to 1442 in 2011. The positive rate of Salmonella isolated from the clinical diarrhea cases was 2.4% in Yuxi county, in 2012. At present, three other provincial monitoring sites were using the SBG technique as selectivity enrichment broth for Salmonella isolation, with Shanghai having the most stable positive baseline. CONCLUSION: The method of SCT was proved the premise of the network laboratory construction. Based on this, the improvement of precise phenotypic identification and molecular typing capabilities could reach the level equivalent to the national networking laboratory.

[Preliminary application of Back-Propagation artificial neural network model on the prediction of infectious diarrhea incidence in Shanghai].

OBJECTIVE: To establish BP artificial neural network predicting model regarding the daily cases of infectious diarrhea in Shanghai. METHODS: Data regarding both the incidence of infectious diarrhea from 2005 to 2008 in Shanghai and meteorological factors including temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, atmospheric pressure, duration of sunshine and wind speed within the same periods were collected and analyzed with the MatLab R2012b software. Meteorological factors that were correlated with infectious diarrhea were screened by Spearman correlation analysis. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to remove the multi-colinearities between meteorological factors. Back-Propagation (BP) neural network was employed to establish related prediction models regarding the daily infectious diarrhea incidence, using artificial neural networks toolbox. The established models were evaluated through the fitting, predicting and forecasting processes. RESULTS: Data from Spearman correlation analysis indicated that the incidence of infectious diarrhea had a highly positive correlation with factors as daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, minimum relative humidity and average relative humidity in the previous two days (P < 0.01), and a relatively high negative correlation with the daily average air pressure in the previous two days (P < 0.01). Factors as mean absolute error, root mean square error, correlation coefficient(r), and the coefficient of determination (r(2)) of BP neural network model were established under the input of 4 meteorological principal components, extracted by PCA and used for training and prediction. Then appeared to be 4.7811, 6.8921,0.7918,0.8418 and 5.8163, 7.8062,0.7202,0.8180, respectively. The rate on mean error regarding the predictive value to actual incidence in 2008 was 5.30% and the forecasting precision reached 95.63% . CONCLUSION: Temperature and air pressure showed important impact on the incidence of infectious diarrhea. The BP neural network model had the advantages of low simulation forecasting errors and high forecasting hit rate that could ideally predict and forecast the effects on the incidence of infectious diarrhea.

Infantile intracranial aggressive fibromatosis: report of two cases with a review of the literature.

Aggressive fibromatosis (AF) is characterized by a nonmetastatic fibroblastic proliferative lesion that is histologically benign with infiltrative growth and frequent recurrence. To our knowledge, infantile AF is rarely reported. There are no clear guidelines regarding the management and treatment strategies for intracranial infantile AF because of its rarity. In China, there are few reports in the clinical literature concerning intracranial infantile AF. We describe 2 cases of intracranial infantile AF and review the relevant literature to better understand the pathological features, differential diagnosis and treatment of this condition.