TNM stage in the Nordic Cancer Registries 2004-2016: Registration and availability.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Stage at cancer diagnosis is an important predictor of cancer survival. TNM stage is constructed for anatomic solid cancer diagnoses from tumor size (T), nodal spread (N) and distant metastasis (M) and categorized in groups 0-I, II, II and IV. TNM stage is imperative in cancer diagnosis, management and control, and of high value in cancer surveillance, for example, monitoring of stage distributions. This study yields an overview of TNM availability and trends in stage distribution in the Nordic countries for future use in monitoring and epidemiologic studies. MATERIAL AND METHODS: TNM information was acquired from the cancer registries in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and Iceland during 2004-2016 for 26 cancer sites in the three former countries and four in Iceland. We studied availability, comparability, and distribution of TNM stage in three periods: 2004-2008, 2009-2013, and 2014-2016, applying a previously validated algorithm of 'N0M0 for NXMX'. For cancers of colon, rectum, lung, breast, and kidney, we examined TNM stage-specific 1-year relative survival to evaluate the quality in registration of TNM between countries. RESULTS: Denmark, Sweden, and Iceland exhibited available TNM stage proportions of 75-95% while proportions were lower in Norway. Proportions increased in Sweden over time but decreased in Denmark. One-year relative survival differed substantially more between TNM stages than between countries emphasizing that TNM stage is an important predictor for survival and that stage recording is performed similarly in the Nordic countries. INTERPRETATION: Assessment and registration of TNM stage is an imperative tool in evaluations of trends in cancer survival between the Nordic countries.

Prediction of clinically significant recurrence after partial nephrectomy. Data from the Cancer Registry of Norway with more than five years of follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: To determine recurrence incidence after partial nephrectomy (PN) for renal cell carcinoma and identify predictors for local recurrence (LR) and metastasis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated a cohort of 524 patients from the Cancer Registry of Norway, who underwent PN between January 2014 and December 2015 and were followed-up for >6 years. Patient demographics and pathological characteristics were correlated with recurrence and progression-free survival using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Median patient age was 64 years, and the median tumour size was 2.6 cm. A positive surgical margin (PSM) was observed in 11% of the cases, while the LR and metastasis rates were 3.4% and 3.2%, respectively. PSM (hazard ratio [HR], 55.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 12.55-244.6), tumour number (HR, 45.4; 95% CI, 6.5-316.1) and stage (HR, 33.5; 95% CI, 5.4-205.3) were independent predictors for LR. Undetermined margin status was also a risk factor for LR. Tumour stage (HR, 41.05; 95% CI, 8.52-197.76), tumour necrosis (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.4-4.31) and age (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14) were predictors for metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: Both local and distant recurrences after PN were rare, and the pT stage was a common predictor. PSM or indeterminate surgical margin and tumour number were LR predictors, while age at surgery and the presence of tumour necrosis predicted metastasis.

Influence of various assumptions for the individual TNM components on the TNM stage using Nordic cancer registry data.

BACKGROUND: The stage at diagnosis is one of the most important predictors for cancer survival. TNM stage is constructed from T (tumor size), N (nodal spread), and M (distant metastasis) components. In many notifications to cancer registries, TNM information is incomplete with unknown N and/or M. We aimed to evaluate the influence of various assumptions for recoding missing N (NX) and M (MX) as N0 and M0 on the proportion with available TNM stage, stage-distribution, and stage-specific relative survival. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We identified 140,201 patients diagnosed with incident cancer of the colon, rectum, lung, breast, or kidney during 2014-2016 in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, or Iceland. Information on TNM were obtained from cancer registry records used for an update of the Nordic cancer statistics database NORDCAN. Patients were followed for death or emigration through 2017. We calculated proportions of available TNM stage, stage distribution, and stage-specific relative survival under different approaches for each cancer site and country. RESULTS: Application of the assumptions yielded higher numbers of cases with available TNM stage for stages 0-I, II, and III. We observed only minor differences in stage-specific one-year relative survival when applying N0M0 for missing N and M, especially for high completeness of TNM registrations, whereas relative survival for remaining cases with missing TNM stage declined substantially. CONCLUSION: We found no major changes in stage-specific one-year relative survival applying N0M0 for NXMX. We conclude that complete TNM information is preferable to making assumptions, but it seems reasonable to consider assuming N0M0 for missing N and M in future studies based on the Nordic cancer registries. An automatic algorithm, though, is not recommended without considering potential area-specific reasons for frequent use of NX and MX. Clinicians should be urged to report complete TNM information to improve surveillance of the TNM stage.

Survival trends of patients with non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma in the US and European countries: the impact of decreasing resection rates.

BACKGROUND: We previously observed decreasing resection rates of non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma (GaC) in the US and some European countries. If and to what extent these trends affect the trends in overall survival (OS) of patients with non-metastatic GaC at the population level remain unclear. This large international population-based cohort study aimed to assess the impact of the previously observed decreasing resection rates on multivariable-adjusted trends in the long-term OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC. METHODS: Individual-level data of patients with non-metastatic GaC were obtained from the national cancer registries of the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, and Slovenia, and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We analyzed data for each country separately. Associations between year of diagnosis and OS were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression model with adjustment for multiple prognostic variables, with and without including resection and chemotherapy as potential explanatory variables. RESULTS: A total of 66,398 non-metastatic GaC patients diagnosed in 2003-2016 were analyzed, with an accumulated follow-up of 172,357 person-years. Without adjustment for resection, OS was improved only slightly in the US [hazard ratio (HR)per year = 0.99; HR≥vs.<2010 = 0.96], and no improvement was observed in the investigated European countries, with OS even worsening in Sweden (HRper year = 1.03; HR≥vs.<2010 = 1.17). After adjusting for resection, the increasing OS trend became stronger in the US (HRper year = 0.98; HR≥vs.<2010 = 0.88), and the temporal trend became insignificant in Sweden. In Slovenia (HRper year = 0.99; HR≥vs.<2010 = 0.92) and Norway (HRper year = 0.97; HR≥vs.<2010 = 0.86), improved OS over time emerged after resection adjustment. Improved OS in patients undergoing resection was observed in the US, the Netherlands, and Norway. Adjustment for chemotherapy did not alter the observed associations. Stratified analyses by tumor location showed mostly similar results with the findings in all patients with non-metastatic GaCs regarding the associations between year of diagnosis and survival. CONCLUSIONS: OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC mostly did not improve in selected European countries and was even worsened in Sweden, while it was slightly increased in the US in the early 21st century. Progress in OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC seems to have been impeded to a large extent by decreasing rates of resection.

Survival trends in patients diagnosed with colon and rectal cancer in the nordic countries 1990-2016: The NORDCAN survival studies.

BACKGROUND: Survival of patients with colon and rectal cancer has improved in all Nordic countries during the past decades. The aim of this study was to further assess survival trends in patients with colon and rectal cancer in the Nordic countries by age at diagnosis and to present additional survival measures. METHODS: Data on colon and rectal cancer cases diagnosed in the Nordic countries between 1990 and 2016 were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Relative survival was estimated using flexible parametric models. Both age-standardized and age-specific measures for women and men were estimated from the models, as well as reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. RESULTS: The five-year age-standardized relative survival of colon and rectal cancer patients continued to improve for women and men in all Nordic countries, from around 50% in 1990 to about 70% at the end of the study period. In general, survival was similar across age and sex. The largest improvement was seen for Danish men and women with rectal cancer, from 41% to 69% and from 43% to 71%, respectively. The age-standardized and reference-adjusted five-year crude probability of death in colon cancer ranged from 30% to 36% across countries, and for rectal cancer from 20% to 33%. The average number of age-standardized and reference-adjusted life-years lost ranged between six and nine years. CONCLUSION: There were substantial improvements in colon and rectal cancer survival in all Nordic countries 1990-2016. Of special note is that the previously observed survival disadvantage in Denmark is no longer present.

Risk of multiple myeloma and other malignancies among first- and second-degree relatives of patients with multiple myeloma: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: We conducted a population-based study to assess the risk for multiple myeloma (MM) and other cancers in first- and second-degree relatives of MM patients, and to investigate whether evidence of anticipation is present in familial MM. METHODS: We retrieved 24 845 first-degree relatives and 41 008 second-degree relatives of 7847 MM patients, and 86 984 first-degree relatives, and 138 660 second-degree relatives of 26 511 matched controls. A Cox model was used to assess the risk for MM and other cancers in relatives of MM patients. Anticipation was assessed by a Cox model, where all parents and offspring of MM patients were included in the risk set. RESULTS: In second-degree relatives of MM patients, no overall significant association with an MM diagnosis was observed (HR 1.99; 95%CI:0.86-4.57). In parents and offspring of MM patients, we found no significant difference in the ages at onset of MM (HR 1.28;95% CI:0.50-3.28). In affected parent-offspring pairs, we observed no statistically significant difference in overall survival between the generations (HR 0.74; 95%CI:0.20-2.69). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, second-degree relatives of MM patients were not associated with an increased risk for MM. Our study supports that genetic anticipation is not present in familial MM.

The impact of body mass index and height on risk for primary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves in 1.7 million norwegian women and men: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Primary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves comprise a heterogenous group of pathology, dominantly represented by meningioma, nerve sheath tumours (NST) and glioma. Body height and body mass index (BMI) are risk factors for certain brain tumour subgroups, but no other study has specifically assessed height and BMI in relation to primary tumours of the spine and peripheral nerves in women and men. METHODS: In this prospective population-based cohort study height and weight were measured in 1.7 million adult Norwegian women and men at baseline. Incident cases of primary tumours arising from the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves during follow-up were identified by linkage to the National Cancer Registry. Tumour risk was assessed by Cox regression analyses in relation to height and BMI. RESULTS: During 49 million person-years of follow-up, 857 primary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves were identified. Overweight and obesity were not associated with risk for all tumours or any tumour subgroup. Height was positively associated with risk for all tumours (HR per 10 cm increase: 1.30, 95% CI 1.16-1.46). The association between height and tumour risk varied between tumour subgroups: while height was not significantly associated with NST, height increased the risk for meningioma (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.13-1.78) and glioma (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.06-2.28). The strongest association between height and tumour risk was found for the glioma subgroup of ependymoma in women (HR 3.38, 95% CI 1.64-6.94). CONCLUSION: This study could not identify overweight and obesity as risk factors for primary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves in women or men. Increasing body height was associated with increased tumour risk overall, but not universal for all tumour subgroups.Importance of the studyPrimary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves have received little focus in epidemiologic studies, although the incidence and histo-pathological tumour subgroups differ significantly from primary brain tumours. Risk factors for these tumours have hardly been assessed in previous studies. Height, overweight and obesity are known risk factors for several cancers, including certain brain tumour subgroups, such as meningioma.This is the first study to report the association between height, overweight and obesity and primary tumours of the spinal cord, spinal meninges, spinal and peripheral nerves. This includes tumour subgroups of meningioma, nerve sheath tumour, glioma and the most common spinal glioma subgroup of ependymoma. While overweight and obesity were not associated with either of the tumour subgroups, an association between increasing body height and risk for spinal meningioma and glioma, including ependymoma, was found. Nerve sheath tumour risk was not associated with increasing body height.

Largely varying patterns and trends of primary cancer-directed resection for gastric carcinoma with synchronous distant metastasis in Europe and the US: a population-based study calling for further standardization of care.

AIMS: The role of resection remains debated in cases of metastatic gastric carcinoma (mGC). Some mGCs are technically resectable. At the population level, the real-world application of resection for mGC remains largely unclear in most Western countries. This large, population-based international investigation aimed to reveal the resection patterns and trends for mGC and the treatment-associated factors in Europe and the US. METHODS: Data on cases with microscopically-confirmed primary invasive stomach carcinoma with distant metastasis were obtained from the nationwide cancer registries of the Netherlands, Belgium, Norway, Sweden, Estonia, and Slovenia and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-18 database. We calculated age-standardized rates of primary cancer-directed resection and assessed resection trends using linear regression. We investigated associations of treatment with patient and cancer factors using multivariable-adjusted log-binomial regression. RESULTS: Among 133,321 patients with gastric cancer, overall, 40,215 cases with mGC diagnosed between 2003-2017 were investigated. Age-standardized resection rates significantly declined over time in the US, Belgium, Sweden, and Norway (by 5-14%). Resection rates greatly differed from 5% to 16% in 2013-2014. Cases with older ages, cardia tumors, or tumors involving adjacent structures were significantly less often operated across most countries. Sex was not significantly associated with resection. Across countries the association patterns and strengths differed largely. With multivariable adjustment, resection rates decreased significantly in all countries except Slovenia and Estonia (prevalence ratio per year = 0.90-0.98), and the decreasing trends were consistently observed in various stratifications by age and location. CONCLUSION: In Europe and the US, resection patterns and trends largely varied across countries for mGCs, which were mostly less often resected in the early 21st century. Various resection-associated factors were shown, with greatly varying association patterns and strengths. Our report could aid to identify discrepancies in clinical practice and highlight the great need for further clarifying the role of resection in mGCs to enhance standardization of care.

Patterns of previous and secondary malignancies in patients with multiple myeloma.

OBJECTIVES: In contrast to secondary primary malignancies (SPM) following multiple myeloma (MM), less is known about previous malignancies. We therefore conducted a population-based study to assess the patterns of previous malignancies in MM patients as well as the risk for SPM. METHODS: Using data from the Cancer Registry of Norway, we included 9574 MM patients and 37 810 matched control subjects. The association between previous malignancies and a subsequent diagnosis of MM was analysed by a logistic regression model and the risk for SPM by a Cox model. RESULTS: A previous diagnosis of myeloproliferative neoplasia (MPN) (OR 3.57; 95% CI:1.45-8.80) and Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) (OR 3.66; 95% CI: 1.40-9.55) was associated with the subsequent development of MM. For MPN, the association with MM was explained by an excess of primary myelofibrosis (PMF) in the MM group. The overall incidence of a previous malignancy was not different between MM patients and the control subjects (OR 0.93; 95% CI: 0.87-1.00). MM patients had an increased risk for secondary acute myelogenous leukaemia/myelodysplastic syndromes (HR 6.1, 95% CI: 3.9-9.5). CONCLUSIONS: A previous diagnosis of HL and PMF was associated with a subsequent diagnosis of MM, whereas the overall incidence of previous cancers was not increased for MM patients.

Metformin use and lung cancer survival: a population-based study in Norway.

BACKGROUND: We assessed associations between metformin use and survival in a nationwide Norwegian cohort of lung cancer (LC) patients. METHODS: The study linked 22,324 LC patients from the Cancer Registry of Norway diagnosed 2005-2014 with the Norwegian Prescription Database. We estimated associations of pre- and post-diagnostic metformin use with overall survival (OS) and LC-specific survival (LCSS) using multivariable time-fixed and time-dependent Cox regression. RESULTS: Pre-diagnostic metformin use was not associated with improved survival in all patients. Nevertheless, pre-diagnostic metformin use was associated with better LCSS in squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) patients (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.79; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62-0.99) and in patients with regional stage SCC (HR = 0.67; 95%CI 0.47-0.95). Post-diagnostic metformin use was associated with improved LCSS in all patients (HR = 0.83; 95%CI 0.73-0.95), in patients with SCC (HR = 0.75; 95%CI 0.57-0.98), regional stage LC (HR = 0.74; 95%CI 0.59-0.94), and regional stage SCC (HR = 0.57; 95%CI 0.38-0.86). OS showed similar results. Analyses of cumulative use showed a dose-response relationship in all patients, patients with adenocarcinoma and SCC, and with regional and metastatic LC. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin use was associated with improved survival, especially LCSS in patients with regional stage SCC. Further prospective studies are required to clarify the role of metformin in LC treatment.

Decreasing resection rates for nonmetastatic gastric cancer in Europe and the United States.

BACKGROUND: Resection is the cornerstone of curative treatment for many nonmetastatic gastric cancers (GCs), but the population treatment patterns remains largely unknown. This large international population-based study aimed at investigating the treatment patterns and trends for nonmetastatic GC in Europe and the United States and at exploring factors associated with resection. METHODS: Data of patients with microscopically confirmed primary invasive GC without distant metastasis from the national cancer registries of the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, Slovenia, and Estonia and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-18 Program were retrieved. Age-standardized treatment rates were computed and trends were evaluated using linear regression. Associations of resection with patient and tumor characteristics were analyzed using multivariable-adjusted log-binomial regression. Analysis was performed in each country respectively without pooling. RESULTS: Together 65 707 nonmetastatic GC patients diagnosed in 2003-2016 were analyzed. Age-standardized resection rates significantly decreased over years in all countries (by 4-24%). In 2013-2014, rates varied greatly from 54 to 75%. Patients with increasing ages, cardia cancers, or cancers invading adjacent structure were significantly less frequently resected. Resection was further associated with sex, performance status, comorbidities, tumor histology, tumor size, hospital type, and hospital volume. Association patterns and strengths varied across countries. After multivariable adjustment, resection rates remained decreasing (prevalence ratio = 0.97-0.995 per year), with decreasing trends consistently seen in various subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Nonmetastatic GCs were less frequently resected in Europe and the United States in the early 21st century. Resection rates varied greatly across countries and appeared not to be optimal. Various factors associated with resection were revealed. Our findings can help to identify differences and possibly modifiable places in clinical practice and provide important novel references for designing effective population-based GC management strategies. In Europe and the United States, nonmetastatic gastric cancers were less frequently resected in the early 21st century. Resection rates varied greatly across countries and appeared not optimal. Various factors associated with resection were revealed. Our findings identify differences and possibly modifiable places in clinical practice and provide important novel references for designing effective population-based management strategies.

Incidence and survival of multiple myeloma: a population-based study of 10 524 patients diagnosed 1982-2017.

Population-based studies from high-quality nationwide cancer registries provide an important alternative to clinical trials in the assessment of the impact of modern myeloma treatment. Based on data from the Cancer Registry of Norway, we investigated trends in incidence and relative survival (RS) for 10 524 patients in three age groups diagnosed between 1982 and 2017. Nationwide myeloma drug consumption statistics were obtained from the Norwegian Institute of Public Health. Patients aged <65 years had a steady increase in both 5- and 10-year RS across all calendar periods from 1982. For patients aged 65-79 years, RS was stable until the calendar period 1998-2002, followed by an improvement in both 5- and 10-year RS. The 5-year RS for patients aged ≥80 years also increased significantly between the first and the last calendar period. In conclusion, we demonstrate a significant improvement in 5-year RS in all age groups. Improved RS in patients aged ≥80 years at the time of diagnosis is only rarely described in other population-based studies. For patients aged ≥65 years, the improvement in RS coincides with the introduction of modern drugs, whereas patients aged <65 years had an ongoing improvement before the introduction of autologous stem-cell transplant.

Treatment and Survival of Elderly Patients with Stage I-II Pancreatic Cancer: A Report of the EURECCA Pancreas Consortium.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with pancreatic cancer are underrepresented in clinical trials, resulting in a lack of evidence. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare treatment and overall survival (OS) of patients aged ≥ 70 years with stage I-II pancreatic cancer in the EURECCA Pancreas Consortium. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study of the Belgian (BE), Dutch (NL), and Norwegian (NOR) cancer registries. The primary outcome was OS, while secondary outcomes were resection, 90-day mortality after resection, and (neo)adjuvant and palliative chemotherapy. RESULTS: In total, 3624 patients were included. Resection (BE: 50.2%; NL: 36.2%; NOR: 41.3%; p < 0.001), use of (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy (BE: 55.9%; NL: 41.9%; NOR: 13.8%; p < 0.001), palliative chemotherapy (BE: 39.5%; NL: 6.0%; NOR: 15.7%; p < 0.001), and 90-day mortality differed (BE: 11.7%; NL: 8.0%; NOR: 5.2%; p < 0.001). Furthermore, median OS in patients with (BE: 17.4; NL: 15.9; NOR: 25.4 months; p < 0.001) and without resection (BE: 7.0; NL: 3.9; NOR: 6.5 months; p < 0.001) also differed. CONCLUSIONS: Differences were observed in treatment and OS in patients aged ≥ 70 years with stage I-II pancreatic cancer, between the population-based cancer registries. Future studies should focus on selection criteria for (non)surgical treatment in older patients so that clinicians can tailor treatment.

Survival after cancer in children, adolescents and young adults in the Nordic countries from 1980 to 2013.

BACKGROUND: The present study aimed to assess whether the widespread concern of inferior cancer survival in adolescents and young adults (AYAs) compared with children and adults holds true in a Nordic setting with important differences in healthcare organisation compared with the United States (e.g. free access to healthcare) and the United Kingdom (e.g. young teenagers are treated in paediatric departments). METHODS: Five-year relative survival was calculated for 17 diagnostic groups in patients diagnosed in 2000-2013 in three diagnostic age categories: children (0-14 years), AYAs (15-24 years) and adults (25-34 years). RESULTS: For 13 out of 17 diagnostic groups examined, there was no difference in survival between AYAs and neighbouring age categories. For acute lymphoblastic leukaemias, astrocytomas, rhabdomyosarcomas and non-rhabdomyosarcoma soft tissue sarcomas we found survival in children to be superior to that in AYAs. For these four diagnostic groups, the rate of survival improvement over three calendar periods (1980-1989, 1990-1999 and 2000-2013) was not particularly low in AYAs compared with neighbouring age categories. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that in an affluent setting with free access to healthcare, meaningful differences in survival between AYA patients and either childhood or adult patients are a phenomenon of the past for most AYA cancer diagnostic groups.

Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict the prognosis of patients who underwent chemotherapy and resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a large international population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer (PaC) remains extremely lethal worldwide even after resection. PaC resection rates are low, making prognostic studies in resected PaC difficult. This large international population-based study aimed at exploring factors associated with survival in patients with resected TNM stage I-II PaC receiving chemotherapy and at developing and internationally validating a survival-predicting model. METHODS: Data of stage I-II PaC patients resected and receiving chemotherapy in 2003-2014 were obtained from the national cancer registries of Belgium, the Netherlands, Slovenia, and Norway, and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-18 Program. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to investigate the associations of patient and tumor characteristics with overall survival, and analysis was performed in each country respectively without pooling. Prognostic factors remaining after backward selection in SEER-18 were used to build a nomogram, which was subjected to bootstrap internal validation and external validation using the European datasets. RESULTS: A total of 11,837 resected PaC patients were analyzed, with median survival time of 18-23 months and 3-year survival rates of 21-31%. In the main analysis, patient age, tumor T stage, N stage, and differentiation were associated with survival across most countries, with country-specific association patterns and strengths. However, tumor location was mostly not significantly associated with survival. Resection margin, hospital type, tumor size, positive and harvested lymph node number, lymph node ratio, and comorbidity number were associated with survival in certain countries where the information was available. A median survival time- and 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year survival probability-predictive nomogram incorporating the backward-selected variables in the main analysis was established. It fits each European national cohort similarly well. Calibration curves showed very good agreement between nomogram-prediction and actual observation. The concordance index of the nomogram (0.60) was significantly higher than that of the T and N stage-based model (0.56) for predicting survival. CONCLUSIONS: In these large international population-based cohorts, patients with resected PaC receiving chemotherapy have distinct characteristics independently associated with survival, with country-specific patterns and strengths. A robust benchmark population-based survival-predicting model is established and internationally validated. Like previous models predicting survival in resected PaC, our nomogram performs modestly.

Inheritance of Susceptibility to Malignant Blood Disorders.

Malignant blood disorders depend on heritable susceptibility genes and occur in familial aggregations. We suggest a model of transgenerational segregation of the susceptibility genes based on the study of malignant blood disorders in Norwegian and Danish families with unrelated parents, and in the inbred Faroese population with related parents. This model, consisting of parental genomic imprinting and mother-son microchimerism, can explain the male predominance in most of the diseases, the predominance of affected parent-offspring when parents are not related, and the different modes of segregation in males and females. The model displays a specific pattern in the distribution of affected relatives for each diagnosis, viz. a characteristic distribution in the pedigrees of family members with malignant blood disorder related to the proband. Three such patterns, each reflecting a specific transgenerational passage, were identified: (1) alterations in the number of affected relatives in paternal lines alone, e.g. in patterns for probands with multiple myeloma; (2) alterations in the number of affected relatives in both paternal and maternal lines for probands with chronic lymphocytic leukemia; and (3) no alterations in the numbers of male and female affected relatives in the parental lines, e.g. for probands with some types of malignant lymphoma.

Impact of variation in cancer registration practice on observed international cancer survival differences between International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership (ICBP) jurisdictions.

BACKGROUND: International cancer survival comparisons use cancer registration data to report cancer survival, which informs the development of cancer policy and practice. Studies like the International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership (ICBP) have a duty to understand how registration differences impact on survival prior to drawing conclusions. METHODS: Key informants reported differences in registration practice for capturing incidence date, death certificate case handling and registration of multiple primary tumours. Sensitivity analyses estimated their impact on one-year survival using baseline and supplementary cancer registration data from England and Sweden. RESULTS: Variations in registration practice accounted for up to a 7.3 percentage point difference between unadjusted (estimates from previous ICBP survival data) and adjusted (estimates recalculated accounting for registration differences) one-year survival, depending on tumour site and jurisdiction. One-year survival estimates for four jurisdictions were affected by adjustment: New South Wales, Norway, Ontario, Sweden. Sweden and Ontario's survival reduced after adjustment, yet they remained the jurisdictions with the highest survival for breast and ovarian cancer respectively. Sweden had the highest unadjusted lung cancer survival of 43.6% which was adjusted to 39.0% leaving Victoria and Manitoba with the highest estimate at 42.7%. For colorectal cancer, Victoria's highest survival of 85.1% remained unchanged after adjustment. CONCLUSION: Population-based cancer survival comparisons can be subject to registration biases that may impact the reported 'survival gap' between populations. Efforts should be made to apply consistent registration practices internationally. In the meantime, survival comparison studies should provide acknowledgement of or adjustment for the registration biases that may affect their conclusions.

Resection of pancreatic cancer in Europe and USA: an international large-scale study highlighting large variations.

OBJECTIVE: Resection can potentially cure resectable pancreatic cancer (PaC) and significantly prolong survival in some patients. This large-scale international study aimed to investigate variations in resection for PaC in Europe and USA and determinants for its utilisation. DESIGN: Data from six European population-based cancer registries and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database during 2003-2016 were analysed. Age-standardised resection rates for overall and stage I-II PaCs were computed. Associations between resection and demographic and clinical parameters were assessed using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: A total of 153 698 records were analysed. In population-based registries in 2012-2014, resection rates ranged from 13.2% (Estonia) to 21.2% (Slovenia) overall and from 34.8% (Norway) to 68.7% (Denmark) for stage I-II tumours, with great international variations. During 2003-2014, resection rates only increased in USA, the Netherlands and Denmark. Resection was significantly less frequently performed with more advanced tumour stage (ORs for stage III and IV versus stage I-II tumours: 0.05-0.18 and 0.01-0.06 across countries) and increasing age (ORs for patients 70-79 and ≥80 versus those <60 years: 0.37-0.63 and 0.03-0.16 across countries). Patients with advanced-stage tumours (stage III-IV: 63.8%-81.2%) and at older ages (≥70 years: 52.6%-59.5%) receiving less frequently resection comprised the majority of diagnosed cases. Patient performance status, tumour location and size were also associated with resection application. CONCLUSION: Rates of PaC resection remain low in Europe and USA with great international variations. Further studies are warranted to explore reasons for these variations.

Stratified survival of resected and overall pancreatic cancer patients in Europe and the USA in the early twenty-first century: a large, international population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of pancreatic cancer (PaC) strongly varies across different stages and age groups, which has unfortunately not been well recorded in the literature. This international population-based study aimed to provide tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage- and age-specific survival estimates and trends in resected and overall (resected and unresected) PaC in the early twenty-first century. METHODS: Using data from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-18 Program and the national cancer registries of the Netherlands, Belgium, Norway, and Slovenia, short-term and long-term overall survival results stratified by TNM stage and age in resected and overall primary PaC, irrespective of being microscopically confirmed or not, in 2003-2014 were computed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The temporal survival trends over three predefined periods (2003-2005, 2006-2008, and 2009-2011) were further examined using the log-rank test. RESULTS: In total, data for 125,183 patients were analyzed. Overall, age-stratified 3-year survival was 20-34% (< 60 years), 14-25% (60-69 years), and 9-13% (≥ 70 years) in stages I-II PaC; and 2-5% (< 60 years), 1-2% (60-69 years), and < 1-1% (≥ 70 years) in stages III-IV cancer. Patients who underwent operation had higher 3-year survival in each stage and age group (stages I-II: 23-39% (< 60 years), 16-31% (60-69 years), and 17-30% (≥ 70 years); stages III-IV: 5-19% (< 70 years) and 2-14% (≥ 70 years)). Perioperative survival also decreased with advancing stage and older age (stages I-II: 98-100% (< 60 years), 97-99% (60-69 years), and 94-99% (≥ 70 years); stages III-IV: 94-99% (< 70 years) and 81-96% (≥ 70 years)). Between 2003 and 2005 and 2009-2011, for overall PaC, both short-term and long-term survival improvements were observed in all countries except Belgium; for resected disease, short-term improvements were present only in the USA and Slovenia, but long-term improvements were observed in all countries except Slovenia, with stage-specific variations. CONCLUSIONS: Our large international study provides TNM stage- and age-specific population-based survival in overall and resected PaC that will facilitate clinical counseling. While the survival expectations for patients with resected PaC are substantially higher than the widely available and known dismal survival predictions for overall patients, conclusions on the benefits of resection cannot be made from this observational study. Patients with advanced-stage disease and/or older age should undergo careful risk assessment before treatment. Limited but inspiring improvement in survival is observed.

Nonsurgical therapies for resected and unresected pancreatic cancer in Europe and USA in 2003-2014: a large international population-based study.

The role of chemotherapy in the treatment of pancreatic cancer (PaC) has been well-established, while radiation plays ambiguous roles. This international large-scale population-based study aimed to investigate the real-world application of chemotherapy and radiotherapy for resected and unresected PaC in Europe and USA. Population-based data from multiple European national cancer registries and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-18 database during 2003-2014 were analyzed. Temporal trends and geographical variations in the application rates of chemotherapy and radiotherapy were quantified using age standardization. Associations of treatment with demographic and clinical characteristics were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. A total of 141,533 PaC patients were analyzed. From 2003-2005 to 2012-2014, chemotherapy administration rates increased in most countries and more strongly among resected patients, while radiation rates were generally low with a slight decline or no obvious trend. In 2012-2014, 12.5% (Estonia) to 61.7% (Belgium) of resected and 17.1% (Slovenia) to 56.9% (Belgium) of unresected patients received chemotherapy. Radiation was administered in 2.6% (Netherlands) to 32.6% (USA) of resected and 1.0% (USA) to 6.0% (Belgium) of unresected patients. Strong temporal and geographical variations were observed. Patterns and strengths of associations of treatment administration with various demographic and clinical factors differed substantially between resected and unresected cancers and varied greatly across countries. Conclusively, administration of chemotherapy but not radiotherapy for PaC increased during the last decade in Europe and USA. Treatment rates were low and the uptake strongly varied across countries, highlighting the need for standardization in PaC treatment to improve patient care.