[The Swecrit Biobank, associated clinical registries, and machine learning (artificial intelligence) improve critical care knowledge]. / Provsamlingen Swecrit och AI ger ny kunskap vid intensivvård.

The unique Swecrit Biobank and its associated clinical registries for sepsis, ARDS, cardiac arrest, trauma, and COVID-19 include more than 150,000 blood samples and descriptions of critically ill patients. These assets provide a unique opportunity to research and improve the care of the most seriously ill patients through biomarker analyses, proteomic studies, and genetic and epigenetic studies using modern machine learning techniques (artificial intelligence). Interested researchers are invited to submit their proposals and participate.

A simple mortality prediction model for sepsis patients in intensive care.

Background: Sepsis is common in the intensive care unit (ICU). Two of the ICU's most widely used mortality prediction models are the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS-3) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. We aimed to assess the mortality prediction performance of SAPS-3 and SOFA upon ICU admission for sepsis and find a simpler mortality prediction model for these patients to be used in clinical practice and when conducting studies. Methods: A retrospective study of adult patients fulfilling the Sepsis-3 criteria admitted to four general ICUs was performed. A simple prognostic model was created using backward stepwise multivariate logistic regression. The area under the curve (AUC) of SAPS-3, SOFA and the simple model was assessed. Results: One thousand nine hundred eighty four admissions were included. A simple six-parameter model consisting of age, immunosuppression, Glasgow Coma Scale, body temperature, C-reactive protein and bilirubin had an AUC of 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.75) for 30-day mortality, which was non-inferior to SAPS-3 (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.72-0.77) (p = 0.071). SOFA had an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.64-0.70) and was inferior to SAPS-3 (p < 0.001) and our simple model (p = 0.0019). Conclusion: SAPS-3 has a lower prognostic value in sepsis than in the general ICU population. SOFA performs less well than SAPS-3. Our simple six-parameter model predicts mortality just as well as SAPS-3 upon ICU admission for sepsis, allowing the design of simple studies and performance monitoring.

Plasma bioactive adrenomedullin on intensive care unit admission is associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) is a vasoactive peptide with a key role in reducing vascular hyperpermeability and improving endothelial stability during infection, but it also has vasodilatory properties. Bioactive ADM has not been studied in conjunction with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), but it has recently been shown to correlate with outcomes after severe COVID-19. Therefore, this study investigated the association between circulating bio-ADM on intensive care unit (ICU) admission and ARDS. The secondary aim was the association between bio-ADM and ARDS mortality. METHODS: We analysed bio-ADM levels and assessed the presence of ARDS in adult patients admitted to two general intensive care units in southern Sweden. Medical records were manually screened for the ARDS Berlin criteria. The association between bio-ADM levels and ARDS and mortality in ARDS patients was analysed using logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristics analysis. The primary outcome was an ARDS diagnosis within 72 h of ICU admission, and the secondary outcome was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Out of 1224 admissions, 11% (n = 132) developed ARDS within 72 h. We found that elevated admission bio-ADM level was associated with ARDS independently of sepsis status and of organ dysfunction as measured by the Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score. Both lower levels (< 38 pg/L) and high (> 90 pg/L) levels of bio-ADM were independently (of the Simplified acute physiology score, SAPS-3) predictive of mortality. Patients with indirect mechanisms of lung injury had higher bio-ADM levels than those with a direct mechanism of injury, and bio-ADM increased with increasing ARDS severity. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of bio-ADM on admission are associated with ARDS, and bio-ADM levels significantly differ depending on the injury mechanism. In contrast, both high and low levels of bio-ADM are associated with mortality, possibly due to the dual action of bio-ADM in stabilising the endothelial barrier and causing vasodilation. These findings could lead to improved diagnostic accuracy of ARDS and potentially lead to new therapeutic strategies.

Intensive care unit burden is associated with increased mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: Traditional models to predict intensive care outcomes do not perform well in COVID-19. We undertook a comprehensive study of factors affecting mortality and functional outcome after severe COVID-19. METHODS: In this prospective multicentre cohort study, we enrolled laboratory-confirmed, critically ill COVID-19 patients at six ICUs in the Skåne Region, Sweden, between May 11, 2020, and May 10, 2021. Demographics and clinical data were collected. ICU burden was defined as the total number of ICU-treated COVID-19 patients in the region on admission. Surviving patients had a follow-up at 90 days for assessment of functional outcome using the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE), an ordinal scale (1-8) with GOSE ≥5 representing a favourable outcome. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality; the secondary outcome was functional outcome at 90 days. RESULTS: Among 498 included patients, 74% were male with a median age of 66 years and a median body mass index (BMI) of 30 kg/m2 . Invasive mechanical ventilation was employed in 72%. Mortality in the ICU, in-hospital and at 90 days was 30%, 38% and 39%, respectively. Mortality increased markedly at age 60 and older. Increasing ICU burden was independently associated with a two-fold increase in mortality. Higher BMI was not associated with increased mortality. Besides age and ICU burden, smoking status, cortisone use, Pa CO2 >7 kPa, and inflammatory markers on admission were independent factors of 90-day mortality. Lower GOSE at 90 days was associated with a longer stay in the ICU. CONCLUSION: In critically ill COVID-19 patients, the 90-day mortality was 39% and increased considerably at age 60 or older. The ICU burden was associated with mortality, whereas a high BMI was not. A longer stay in the ICU was associated with unfavourable functional outcomes at 90 days.

Identification of myocardial injury using perioperative troponin surveillance in major noncardiac surgery and net benefit over the Revised Cardiac Risk Index.

BACKGROUND: Patients with perioperative myocardial injury are at risk of death and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The primary aim of this study was to determine optimal thresholds of preoperative and perioperative changes in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) to predict MACCE and mortality. METHODS: Prospective, observational, cohort study in patients ≥50 yr of age undergoing elective major noncardiac surgery at seven hospitals in Sweden. The exposures were hs-cTnT measured before and days 0-3 after surgery. Two previously published thresholds for myocardial injury and two thresholds identified using receiver operating characteristic analyses were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models and externally validated. The weighted comparison net benefit method was applied to determine the additional value of hs-cTnT thresholds when compared with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI). The primary outcome was a composite of 30-day all-cause mortality and MACCE. RESULTS: We included 1291 patients between April 2017 and December 2020. The primary outcome occurred in 124 patients (9.6%). Perioperative increase in hs-cTnT ≥14 ng L-1 above preoperative values provided statistically optimal model performance and was associated with the highest risk for the primary outcome (adjusted odds ratio 2.9, 95% confidence interval 1.8-4.7). Validation in an independent, external cohort confirmed these findings. A net benefit over RCRI was demonstrated across a range of clinical thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Perioperative increases in hsTnT ≥14 ng L-1 above baseline values identifies acute perioperative myocardial injury and provides a net prognostic benefit when added to RCRI for the identification of patients at high risk of death and MACCE. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03436238.

Plasma proenkephalin A 119-159 on intensive care unit admission is a predictor of organ failure and 30-day mortality.

BACKGROUND: Proenkephalin A 119-159 (penKid) has been suggested as a marker of renal failure and poor outcome. We aimed to investigate the association of penKid on ICU admission with organ dysfunction and mortality in a mixed ICU population. In this retrospective, observational study, admission penKid levels from prospectively collected blood samples of consecutive patients admitted to four Swedish ICUs were analysed. The association of penKid with day-two sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores and 30-day mortality was investigated using (ordinal) logistic regression. The predictive power of penKid for 30-day mortality and dialysis was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of 1978 included patients, 632 fulfilled the sepsis 3-criteria, 190 had a cardiac arrest, and 157 had experienced trauma. Admission penKid was positively associated with 30-day mortality with an odds ratio of 1.95 (95% confidence interval 1.75-2.18, p < 0.001), and predicted 30-day mortality in the entire ICU population with an AUC of 0.71 (95% confidence interval 0.68-0.73) as well as in the sepsis, cardiac arrest and trauma subgroups (AUCs of 0.61-0.84). Correction for admission plasma creatinine revealed that penKid correlated with neurological dysfunction. CONCLUSION: Plasma penKid on ICU admission is associated with day-two organ dysfunction and predictive of 30-day mortality in a mixed ICU-population, as well as in sepsis, cardiac arrest and trauma subgroups. In addition to being a marker of renal dysfunction, plasma penKid is associated with neurologic dysfunction in the entire ICU population, and cardiovascular dysfunction in sepsis.