Use of programme budgeting and marginal analysis as a framework for resource reallocation in respiratory care in North Wales, UK.

BACKGROUND: Since the global financial crisis, UK NHS spending has reduced considerably. Respiratory care is a large cost driver for Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board, the largest health board in Wales. Under the remit of 'prudent healthcare' championed by the Welsh Health Minister, a Programme Budgeting Marginal Analysis (PBMA) of the North Wales respiratory care pathway was conducted. METHODS: A PBMA panel of directors of medicines management, therapies finance, planning, public health and healthcare professionals used electronic voting to establish criteria for decision-making and vote on candidate interventions in which to disinvest and invest. RESULTS: A sum of £86.9 million was spent on respiratory care in 2012-13. Following extensive discussion of 13 proposed candidate interventions facilitated by a chairperson, 4 candidates received recommendations to disinvest, 7 to invest and 2 to maintain current activity. Marginal analysis prioritized mucolytics and high antibiotic prescribing as areas for disinvestment, and medicines waste management and pulmonary rehabilitation for investment. CONCLUSIONS: This exercise demonstrates the potential for health boards to use evidence-based approaches to reach potentially controversial disinvestment and investment decisions. Initial progress has begun with communication from the Medical Director in relation to the disinvestment in mucolytics prescribing and possible redirection of funding options being explored.

Type 1 diabetes and pregnancy: trends in birth weight over 40 years at a single clinic.

OBJECTIVE: To examine changes in perinatal mortality and birth weight of babies born to mothers with pregestational type 1 diabetes over 40 years in a single teaching hospital clinic. METHODS: This was a retrospective survey of cases from the combined diabetes and obstetrics antenatal clinic at the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh and Simpson Memorial Maternity Pavilion, Edinburgh, Scotland. Birth weight, standardized birth weight, and perinatal mortality were obtained from 643 singleton babies born after 28 weeks of gestation to mothers with pregestational type 1 diabetes between 1960 and 1999. RESULTS: There was a dramatic improvement in perinatal mortality rate, falling from 225 (per 1,000 total births after 28 weeks of gestation) in the 1960s to 102 in the 1970s, 21 in the 1980s, and 10 in the 1990s (P < .001 for effect of birth year). In contrast, standardized birth weight (adjusted for sex, gestational age, and parity), which was significantly higher than the background population (+1.41 standard deviations above the population norm, P < .001) showed no significant change over time. CONCLUSION: Changes in diabetic management and obstetric practice over the 40 years of our survey have resulted in enormous improvements in the outlook for offspring of mothers with diabetes. Somewhat surprisingly this has not been associated with a reduction in overgrowth of the fetus. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2.

The relation of insulin, leptin and IGF-1 to birthweight in offspring of women with type 1 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Maternal diabetes is associated with excess foetal growth. We have assessed the influence of maternal diabetes on hormones associated with foetal growth and the relationship of these hormones to birthweight. DESIGN: Case-control study. PATIENTS: Singleton offspring of mothers with type 1 diabetes (ODM, n = 140) and control mothers (Control, n = 49). MEASUREMENTS: Birthweight, cord blood insulin, proinsulin, 32-33 split proinsulin, leptin, IGF-1, IGFBP-3, cortisol. RESULTS: Maternal diabetes was associated with higher birthweight (ODM 3.80 +/- 0.69 kg; Control; 3.56 +/- 0.52 kg, P = 0.02) and marked increases in insulin (median [interquartile range]: ODM 110 [60-217] pmol/l; Control 22 [15-37] pmol/l; P < 0.0001) and leptin (ODM 32 [15-60] ng/ml; Control 9 [4-17] ng/ml; P < 0.0001) but no absolute difference in IGF-1 (ODM 7.9 [6.2-9.8] nmol/l, Control 7.5 [6.2-9.8] nmol/l, P = 0.24) or its principle binding protein IGFBP-3 (ODM 1.63 +/- 0.38 micro g/ml, Control 1.63 +/- 0.28 micro g/ml; P = 0.12). Individually, insulin, insulin propeptides, leptin, IGF-1 and IGFBP-3 were significantly (P < 0.05) correlated with birthweight (in ODM and Control). IGF-1 and leptin were positively related to birthweight independently of each other and insulin in both ODM and Control. By contrast, insulin showed independent relationships to birthweight in ODM (P < 0.0001) but not in Control (P = 0.4). CONCLUSIONS: Maternal diabetes is associated with marked elevation of insulin and leptin in cord blood of their offspring. Hormonal correlates of birthweight differ between ODM and Control with an independent relationship of insulin to birthweight observed only in ODM.

Type 1 diabetes-related antibodies in the fetal circulation: prevalence and influence on cord insulin and birth weight in offspring of mothers with type 1 diabetes.

During pregnancy, maternal type 1 diabetes-associated autoantibodies may cross the placenta. It is proposed that insulin antibodies (IA) allow transfer of insulin across the placenta, contributing to fetal hyperinsulinemia and macrosomia. We assessed the prevalence of IA, the tyrosine phosphatase IA-2, and glutamic acid decarboxylase (GADA) in cord blood from offspring of mothers with type 1 diabetes (ODM, n = 138) and control mothers (control, n = 47) and further assessed cross-sectional relationships of antibody titers to birth weight and fetal insulin. In ODM, antibodies were frequently present in cord blood; 124 ODM (95%) were positive for IA, 82 (59%) were positive for GADA antibodies, and 61 (44%) were positive for IA-2 antibodies. In controls, GADA and IA-2 antibodies were absent, whereas seven controls (15%) were positive for IA at low titers (P < 0.0001 ODM vs. controls for all).ODM with IA (IA positive) or without IA (IA negative) had similar birth weights (mean +/- sd: IA positive, 3.8 +/- 0.7 kg; IA negative, 4.0 +/- 0.6 kg; P = 0.31) and cord insulin concentrations (IA positive: median, 112 pmol/liter; interquartile range, 62-219 pmol/liter; IA negative: median, 114 pmol/liter; interquartile range, 59-194 pmol/liter; P = 0.96). Similarly, the presence of GADA and/or IA-2 autoantibodies (n = 103) was not associated with differences in birth weight or insulin concentrations. Antibody titers were not associated with birth weight or insulin as continuous variables in either controls or ODM. Islet autoantibodies and IA are a common finding in cord blood of ODM, but we found no evidence that they influence offspring insulin concentrations or weight at birth.

Insulin and insulin propeptides at birth in offspring of diabetic mothers.

Maternal diabetes during pregnancy is associated with excess fetal growth and increased fetal insulin production. We hypothesized that insulin propeptides (proinsulin and 32-33 split proinsulin) might be more robust indicators of chronic fetal overproduction of insulin. We examined insulin-like molecules in cord blood (ILM) (insulin, proinsulin, and 32-33 split proinsulin) in relation to birth weight, maternal glycemia, and cord glucose in 140 offspring of mothers with type 1 diabetes (ODM) and 49 offspring of mothers who did not have diabetes (CONTROL) as well as degradation of ILM in response to sampling conditions at birth. Insulin propeptides were abundant in cord blood, comprising 50% of ILM in CONTROL and 36% in ODM (P < 0.0001) and more resistant to degradation than insulin (P < 0.05). Concentrations of all three ILM were highly intercorrelated with median values 2- to 5-fold higher in ODM than CONTROL [e.g. median (range): insulin ODM 110 (60-217) pmol/liter; CONTROL 22 (15-37) pmol/liter; P < 0.0001]. In ODM, 32-33 split proinsulin and proinsulin were more closely related to birth weight (Spearman r for ILM: r(32-33 split)= 0.54; r(PROINSULIN): r = 0.54; r(INSULIN) = 0.40: r(32-33 split) and r(PROINSULIN) > r(INSULIN)P < 0.05) and fetal leptin (r(32-33 split)= 0.55; r(PROINSULIN); r = 0.54; r(INSULIN) = 0.22: r(32-33 split) and r(PROINSULIN) > r(INSULIN)P < 0.05) than insulin). By contrast, insulin was more closely related to cord glucose (r(32-33 split) = 0.15; r(PROINSULIN): r = 0.10; r(INSULIN) = 0.42: r(INSULIN) > r(32-33 split) and r(PROINSULIN)P < 0.05). In CONTROL, 32-33 split proinsulin was also more closely related to fetal leptin r(32-33 split)= 0.61; r(PROINSULIN): r = 0.29; r(INSULIN) = 0.33: r(32-33 split) > r(INSULIN)P < 0.05). In ODM, 32-33 split proinsulin and proinsulin have closer relationships to fetal growth and leptin concentrations at birth than insulin. Measurement of insulin propeptides may be advantageous in assessment of the influence of maternal hyperglycemia on the newborn.

Local surveillance of influenza in the United Kingdom: from sentinel general practices to sentinel cities?

Surveillance of influenza in England and Wales utilises a disparate geographical network of general practices to provide clinical data in the form of weekly consultation rates for influenza and 'influenza-like illness'. This network accurately detects and monitors seasonal influenza activity at national and supra-regional levels. Localised regional and sub-regional epidemics are less easily detected. We describe a localised epidemic of influenza affecting a deprived urban community in the North West of England that was detected by a close knit network of general practices participating in the surveillance of communicable diseases as part of a primary care health needs assessment initiative.

Managing sewer solids for the reduction of foul flush effects--Forfar WTP.

In times of high sewer flow, conditions can exist which enable previously deposited material to be re-entrained back into the body of the flow column. Pulses of this highly polluted flow have been recorded in many instances at the recently constructed wastewater treatment plant (WTP) in Forfar, Scotland. Investigations have been undertaken to characterise the incoming flows and to suggest remedial measures to manage the quality fluctuations. Initial visits to the works and incoming pipes indicated a high degree of sediment deposition in the two inlet pipes. Analyses were carried out and consequently, changes to the hydraulic regime were made. Measurements of sediment level, sediment quality, wall slime and bulk water quality were monitored in the period following the remedial works to observe any improvements. Dramatic alterations in each of the determinands measured were recorded. Analyses were then undertaken to determine long term sediment behaviour and to assess the future usefulness of existing upstream sediment traps. It was concluded that with proper maintenance of the traps, the new hydraulic regime is sufficient to prevent further significant build up of sediment deposits and reduce impacts on the WTP. Further investigations made by North of Scotland Water Authority highlighted trade inputs to the system which may also have contributed to the now managed foul flush problem.

Side effects of influenza vaccination in healthy older people: a randomised single-blind placebo-controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the frequency of side effects following influenza vaccination in healthy participants aged 65-74 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A single-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial was performed in general practices in central Liverpool on 729 healthy individuals (341 females and 388 males) aged 65-74 (median age 68.9) years, of whom 552 received influenza vaccine and 177 received placebo. The main outcome measures were analysed from adverse reactions reported by the subjects on a postal questionnaire 3 days after vaccination. RESULTS: 724 (99.3%) questionnaires were returned. 62 (11.3%) participants who received influenza vaccination complained of local symptoms compared with 9 (5.1%) participants who received placebo (difference 6.2%; 95% CI 1.3 to 10.0%; p = 0.02). 192 (35.1%) individuals who received influenza vaccine complained of one or more systemic side effects compared with 75 (42.4%) who received placebo (difference -7.3%; 95% CI -15.6 to 0.9%; p = 0.10). CONCLUSION: Healthy people belonging to this age group can be reassured that, when compared with placebo, influenza vaccination causes few, if any, systemic side effects and only a low incidence of local side effects.

Dealing with doubt. How patients account for non-specific chronic low back pain.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the ways that persons with long standing chronic low back pain respond to the problem of medical doubt about the presence of organic pathology. METHOD: Qualitative analysis of accounts provided by 12 persons attending a back pain rehabilitation clinic in NW England. RESULTS: Subjects rejected the notion that they were culpable for their pain. They were not culpable for the onset of their pain. They argued that despite their cooperation, no sensible explanation of their pain was forthcoming from health professionals. Finally, they asserted that medical scepticism had been damaging and dispiriting. CONCLUSION: Patients dealt with clinical doubt by stressing their own expertise. They constituted their beliefs about the cause and trajectory of their pain and disability as accurate accounts of their disability. They resisted the suggestion that there might be psychological factors involved in their ill-health by locating culpability among clinicians, who were confused or uncertain about diagnosis and treatment.

Factors affecting fetal weight distribution in women with type I diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors independently affecting fetal weight in women with type I diabetes. DESIGN: Prospectively recorded data in consecutive women with type I diabetes, between 1975-1992. SETTING: Simpson Memorial Maternity Hospital, Edinburgh. Population Three hundred and two pregnancies with type I diabetes identified before pregnancy, with antenatal care and delivery in the Simpson Memorial Maternity Hospital, a singleton pregnancy, and the same diabetic physician. METHODS: Normal ranges for birthweight were established for the total hospital population. All cases and the total population had pregnancy dating by ultrasound. The relation between standardised birthweight and explanatory variables was investigated using correlation analysis, t tests and chi2 tests as appropriate, and subsequently using multiple linear regression. RESULTS: Standardised birthweight in cases, compared with the reference population, showed a unimodal, approximately normal distribution, markedly shifted to the right (mean + 1.26 SD). The most predictive variable was glycated haemoglobin concentration at 27-33 weeks, which explained 6.3% of the birthweight variance, while smoking explained 2.7% and maternal weight 2.0%. There was a trend towards a negative relationship with glycated haemoglobin concentration at 6-12 weeks. Smoking and glycated haemoglobin concentration were strongly intercorrelated. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the variance in standardised birthweight remains unexplained, but glycated haemoglobin concentration at 27-33 weeks is the most powerful explanatory variable. Possible reasons why there is not a stronger relationship between markers of maternal glycaemia and birthweight are discussed.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in a finger felon.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus is an increasingly prevalent nosocomial pathogen that presents therapeutic challenges. We report an incidence of methicillin-resistant S aureus in a felon. The biochemical and clinical characteristics of methicillin-resistant S aureus are reviewed. The alarming increase of this organism in various types of infections demands the attention of all surgeons and emphasizes the importance of early surgical drainage and culture of pus in all cases of infection. (J Hand Surg 2000; 25A:173-175.

What do pregnant women think about the HIV test? A qualitative study.

Before any new antenatal screening test is introduced, the opinions of pregnant women should be considered. This is particularly relevant with HIV testing. This qualitative study reports the views of 29 women attending an antenatal clinic in a large maternity hospital in Scotland where a trial of different ways of offering HIV testing on a universal, voluntary basis occurred. Women were in favour of a test offer, although they did not necessarily wish to accept testing for themselves. Generally they were more worried about having an unhealthy baby. There was a commonly held view that routine testing would cause less anxiety because it would eliminate the stigma of saying yes to testing. A move towards the HIV test being recommended to pregnant women as opposed to merely offered is likely to be acceptable, would probably increase uptake rates and should therefore be assessed.