Evaluation of Madras Diabetes Research Foundation-Indian Diabetes Risk Score in detecting undiagnosed diabetes in the Indian population: Results from the Indian Council of Medical Research-INdia DIABetes population-based study (INDIAB-15).

Background & objectives: Screening of individuals for early detection and identification of undiagnosed diabetes can help in reducing the burden of diabetic complications. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of Madras Diabetes Research Foundation (MDRF)-Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) to screen for undiagnosed type 2 diabetes in a large representative population in India. Methods: Data were acquired from the Indian Council of Medical Research-INdia DIABetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study, a large national survey that included both urban and rural populations from 30 states/union territories in India. Stratified multistage design was followed to obtain a sample of 113,043 individuals (94.2% response rate). MDRF-IDRS used four simple parameters, viz. age, waist circumference, family history of diabetes and physical activity to detect undiagnosed diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) with area under the curve (AUC) was used to assess the performance of MDRF-IDRS. Results: We identified that 32.4, 52.7 and 14.9 per cent of the general population were under high-, moderate- and low-risk category of diabetes. Among the newly diagnosed individuals with diabetes [diagnosed by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)], 60.2, 35.9 and 3.9 per cent were identified under high-, moderate- and low-risk categories of IDRS. The ROC-AUC for the identification of diabetes was 0.697 (95% confidence interval: 0.684-0.709) for urban population and 0.694 (0.684-0.704) for rural, as well as 0.693 (0.682-0.705) for males and 0.707 (0.697-0.718) for females. MDRF-IDRS performed well when the population were sub-categorized by state or by regions. Interpretation & conclusions: Performance of MDRF-IDRS is evaluated across the nation and is found to be suitable for easy and effective screening of diabetes in Asian Indians.

Uncovering the Unusual: A Case of Mixed Connective Tissue Disease With Rare Presentation, Atypical Complications, and Therapeutic Dilemmas.

Mixed connective tissue disease (MCTD) is an overlap syndrome characterized by features of systemic lupus erythematosus, scleroderma, and polymyositis, along with the presence of the U1RNP antibody. A 46-year-old female patient presented with severe anemia, cough, and breathlessness, and was diagnosed with cold agglutinin disease, a type of autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA). Autoimmune workup revealed MCTD by positive antinuclear and U1RNP antibodies. She had bilateral miliary mottling on X-ray and a tree-in-bud appearance on high-resolution computed tomography of the thorax, which were suggestive of pulmonary tuberculosis. Standard therapy with steroids was not advisable. She was subsequently started on anti-tuberculosis treatment (anti-Koch's therapy), followed by steroid therapy and immunosuppressive therapy after three weeks. The patient responded well to treatment, but after two months, she developed cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis. Adult-onset CMV disease may occur as a result of primary infection, reinfection, or activation of a latent infection. Although not directly related, it can occur as an atypical association in the setting of immunosuppressive therapy. Morbidity and mortality are significantly increased in this population secondary to infectious potentiation: immunosuppression causes infections, and infections cause AIHA. The management of MCTD and secondary AIHA and immunosuppression poses a therapeutic challenge.

Association of vitamin D with the severity of disease and mortality in COVID-19: Prospective study in central India.

Background: Many factors have been proposed to be associated with the severity of disease and mortality in COVID-19. Vitamin D had recently been reviewed as one of these factors. Aim and Objectives: To evaluate the association between Vitamin D and the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19. Materials and Methods: After approval from Institutional Ethics Committee, this prospective cohort study was carried out in selected tertiary care teaching medical institutes of Central India. Participants were COVID-19 patients of the age group of 18 years and above admitted during the study period. They were categorized into four groups as asymptomatic (Group A), mild (Group B), moderate (Group C), and severe (Group D) based on clinical symptoms, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and chest imaging. Serum level of Vitamin 25(OH) D was measured using chemiluminescent immunoassay. The outcome of the disease was classified as recovery and death during hospitalization. The association of sociodemographic and medical characteristics with treatment outcome was studied using an appropriate statistical test. A full logistic regression model was built for the assessment of the relationship between treatment outcomes with Vitamin D level. Further, one receiver operating characteristic curve was developed to examine the prognostic significance of Vitamin D levels in COVID-19 patients. Results: Out of 748 enrolled patients, 44 (5.88%), had severe disease (Group D). A total of 721 cases (96.39%) recovered and were discharged, whereas 27 (3.61%) died during hospitalization. Mean Vitamin D level was found to be significantly different in discharged patients compared to those who were deceased. Increasing age-adjusted odds ratio (AOR) (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.07 [1.02-1.12]), known hypertension AOR (95%CI) = 3.38 (1.13-10.08), and diabetes mellitus AOR (95%CI) =28.5 (6.04-134.13) were found to be significant predictors of death among COVID-19 patients. Increasing Vitamin D level was found to be protective against COVID-19-related death (AOR (95% CI = 0.87 [0.80-0.94]). Conclusion: Vitamin D was significantly associated with the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19.

Résumé Contexte: Il a été proposé que de nombreux facteurs soient associés à la gravité de la maladie et de la mortalité dans le Covid - 19. La vitamine D avait récemment été examinée comme l'un de ces facteurs. Objectif et objectifs: évaluer l'association entre la vitamine D et la gravité de la maladie et la mortalité dans le Covid-19. Matériel et méthodes: Après l'approbation du comité d'éthique institutionnel, cette étude de cohorte prospective a été réalisée dans des instituts médicaux d'enseignement des soins tertiaires de l'Inde centrale. Les participants étaient des patients Covid-19 du groupe d'âge de 18 ans et plus admis au cours de la période d'étude. Ils ont été classés en quatre groupes comme asymptomatiques (groupe A), légers (groupe B), modérés (groupe C) et sévères (groupe D) sur la base des symptômes cliniques, de la fréquence respiratoire, de la saturation en oxygène et de l'imagerie thoracique. Niveau sérique de la vitamine 25 (OH) DWAS mesuré en utilisant l'immunodosage chimioluminescent. L'issue de la maladie a été classée comme récupération et décès pendant l'hospitalisation. L'association des caractéristiques sociodémographiques et médicales avec les résultats du traitement a été étudiée à l'aide d'un test statistique approprié. Un modèle de régression logistique complet a été construit pour l'évaluation de la relation entre les résultats du traitement au niveau de la vitamine D. De plus, une courbe caractéristique de fonctionnement du récepteur a été développée pour examiner la signification pronostique des niveaux de vitamine D chez les patients COVID-19. Résultats: Sur 748 patients inscrits, 44 (5,88%), avaient une maladie grave (groupe D). Un total de 721 cas (96,39%) ont récupéré et ont été libérés, tandis que 27 (3,61%) sont décédés pendant l'hospitalisation. Le niveau moyen de la vitamine D s'est révélé significativement différent chez les patients libérés par rapport à ceux qui ont été décédés. Augmentation du rapport de cotes ajusté à l'âge (AOR) (intervalle de confiance à 95% [IC] = 1,07 [1,02­1,12]), hypertension connue AOR (IC à 95%) = 3,38 (1,13­10,08) et diabète mellite aor (IC 95% ) = 28,5 (6,04­134.13) se sont révélés être des prédicteurs significatifs de la mort chez les patients COVID-19. L'augmentation du niveau de vitamine D s'est avérée protectrice contre la mort liée au Covid - 19 (AOR (IC à 95% = 0,87 [0,80­0,94]). Conclusion: La vitamine D était significativement associée à la gravité de la maladie et à la mortalité dans le Covid - 19. Mots clés: Covid - 19, tempête de cytokines, mortalité, gravité, vitamine D.

Tracing, Tracking and Treating COVID-19 Associated Rhino-Orbito Cerebral Mucormycosis (ROCM).

Surge in the number of mucormycosis cases following second wave of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) infection posed several diagnostic and prognostic challenges. This study was aimed to describe clinical, diagnostic features and survival outcomes among patients of mucormycosis in post COVID-19 context. Retrospective chart review. This study included 44 COVID-19 positive screened cases who presented with clinical features suggestive of mucormycosis. Demography, clinical profile, diagnostic findings, and the treatment outcome are studied. Medical and surgical outcomes are summarised as frequencies and percentages. The reliability of microbiological, and radiological findings against the pathological findings was analyzed using Kappa statistics (k). Based on constellation of microbiological, pathological and radiological findings 28 cases (63%) confirmed with mucormycosis infection. The mean (SD) age was 54.9 (12.9) years and two-third were males. The majority (90%) of cases presented with the feature of facial swelling, headache nasal blockade. Inpatient care for treatment of COVID-19 was recorded in 33 (75%). Diabetes mellitus was the commonest comorbidity in 27 (61.4%), 38 (86.4%) cases were treated by steroids and 30 (68.2%) were given oxygen therapy. There is a strong agreement (k = 0.83) between pathological and microbiological investigations. In thirty-eight cases (86.3%) remission was achieved when assessed after 8 weeks. Of the 44 cases, four patients died. The results of the current study suggest that the disease residues and/or recurrences in critical areas are frequent in mucormycosis. However, using the strategy of screening at risk patients, diagnosing, treating them with combination of antifungals, surgical debridement, and timely follow up may help in improving outcomes as compared to pre COVID-19 era.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of Disease Severity and Mortality in Coronavirus Disease 2019: Prospective Study From Central India.

BACKGROUND: Clinical presentation of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) varies from an asymptomatic state to severe disease characterized by acute respiratory distress syndrome, respiratory failure, thrombosis, and multi-organ dysfunction syndrome. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reviewed as one of the laboratory factors that have been proposed to predict the severity of disease and mortality in COVID-19 pandemic. AIM AND OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between NLR and the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS: After approval from Institutional Ethics Committee, this prospective cohort study was carried out in a tertiary-care teaching medical institute of Central India. COVID-19 patients of the age group 18 years and above admitted during the study period were included. Cases were categorized into four groups as asymptomatic (Group A), mild (Group B), moderate (Group C), and severe (Group D) based on clinical symptoms, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and chest imaging. NLR was calculated by doing a complete blood count at the time of hospitalization by the Mindray BC-6000 auto hematology analyzer. The outcome of the disease was classified as recovery and death during hospitalization. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the ability of NLR at admission to predict severe COVID-19 or mortality. Ordinal regression analysis was used to assess the impact of NLR on disease severity and mortality. RESULTS: Mean NLR was significantly higher in the severe COVID-19 group as compared to the mild/moderate group and in deceased as compared to discharged cases. ROC curve analysis revealed NLR to be an excellent predictor of disease severity as well as a prognostic parameter for risk of death. NLR was found to be a significant independent positive predictor for contracting the severe disease (Odd's ratio 1.396, 95% CI=1.112-1.753, p=0.004) and mortality (Odd's ratio 1.276, 95% CI=1.085-1.499, p=0.003). CONCLUSION: High NLR was significantly associated with the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19.

The Development of Ecchymosis after Administration of Convalescent Serum in a Patient with COVID-19 Associated with Thrombocytosis.

COVID-19 can have an unpredictable and severe course, leading to many hypotheses regarding its pathophysiology and clinical manifestations. Haematological manifestations are a significant predictor of disease severity. The most common observation is lymphopenia with an increased neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio. Platelets have been implicated in thrombogenic events, but the most frequently reported abnormality is mild thrombocytopenia. Here we present an interesting case of a patient with moderate COVID-19 who presented with cutaneous ecchymoses and thrombocytosis, and discuss this paradox. LEARNING POINTS: Bleeding manifestations such as ecchymoses can occur as an idiosyncratic reaction to the administration of convalescent plasma therapy in COVID-19.Thrombocytosis can occur in COVID-19 and could be a contributory factor to disease vasculopathy.

Ossifying fibromyxoid tumor: Fine-needle aspiration cytology findings of a rare soft tissue neoplasm.

Ossifying fibromyxoid tumors (OFMTs) are rare tumors of uncertain origin and intermediate (rarely metastasizing) biologic potential, with characteristic morphology of an encapsulated tumor containing polygonal cells in an abundant fibromyxoid matrix surrounded by a peripheral layer of metaplastic lamellar bone. FNA cytology of OFMT has not been sufficiently reported and till date cytological features of only seven cases have been reported so far. We report another case of OFMT in a 55-year-old female presenting with longstanding swelling in thigh. On fine-needle aspiration, a tumor with moderate cellularity and myxoid areas was seen; coupled with compatible radiological findings, a diagnosis of OFMT was suggested. Establishing a correct diagnosis is important as although OFMT is benign in nature, local recurrences or rarely distant metastasis have been seen of this tumor. Hence, a high degree of suspicion with radiological correlation is of utmost importance for identification of this entity.

Primary anaplastic lymphoma kinase-negative anaplastic large cell lymphoma of cervical spine presenting with quadriplegia: A case report and literature review.

BACKGROUND: An anaplastic large cell lymphoma (ALCL) involving the cervical spine and leading to quadriplegia is very rare. CASE DESCRIPTION: A 48-year-old immunocompetent male presented with quadriplegia that warranted an anterior cervical corpectomy/fusion. He was previously being presumptively treated for cervical disease attributed to tuberculosis. The histopathology and immunohistochemistry revealed an ALCL that was anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) negative. The patient had a favorable response to surgery followed by CHOEP (cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, etoposide, and prednisolone) chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: ALK-negative ALCL presenting with quadriplegia due to primary involvement of cervical spine is extremely rare, but must be diagnosed and appropriately managed.

Retroperitoneal and mediastinal follicular dendritic cell sarcoma: report of 3 cases with review of literature.

Follicular dendritic cell sarcoma (FDCS) is a rare malignant histiocytic proliferation of antigen presenting follicular dendritic cell. It is an uncommon primary malignancy first described by Monda et al. in 1986. Most commonly reported cases are lymph nodal. Occasional cases occur in extra nodal sites. Here, we describe the clinicopathological features, histomorphology and outcome of three patients with extranodal FDCS along with a concise review of literature on the topic. All three patients were adult females. Two patients were in third decade, and one had age of 50 years. Among the three cases, two cases are presented as retroperitoneal mass and one as mediastinal mass. CT scans revealed heterogeneously enhancing masses. All the cases showed ovoid to spindle neoplastic cells arranged predominantly in whorling, fascicular and storiform patterns with inflammatory infiltrate. Immunohistochemically, the tumor cells are positive for CD21, CD23, CD35 and Clustrin. In view of rarity and variable clinical presentation in FDCS, accurate diagnosis is necessary. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Prevalence of generalized & abdominal obesity in urban & rural India--the ICMR-INDIAB Study (Phase-I) [ICMR- NDIAB-3].

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Overweight and obesity are rapidly increasing in countries like India. This study was aimed at determining the prevalence of generalized, abdominal and combined obesity in urban and rural India. METHODS: Phase I of the ICMR-INDIAB study was conducted in a representative population of three States [Tamil Nadu (TN), Maharashtra (MH) and Jharkhand (JH)] and one Union Territory (UT)[Chandigarh (CH)] of India. A stratified multi-stage sampling design was adopted and individuals ≥ 20 yr of age were included. WHO Asia Pacific guidelines were used to define overweight [body mass index (BMI) ≥ 23 kg/m [2] but < 25 kg/m [2]], generalized obesity (GO, BMI ≥ 25 kg/m [2], abdominal obesity (AO, waist circumference ≥ 90 cm for men and ≥ 80 cm for women) and combined obesity (CO, GO plus AO). Of the 14,277 participants, 13,800 subjects (response rate, 96.7%) were included for the analysis (urban: n = 4,063; rural: n = 9737). RESULTS: The prevalence of GO was 24.6, 16.6, 11.8 and 31.3 per cent among residents of TN, MH, JH and CH, while the prevalence of AO was 26.6, 18.7, 16.9 and 36.1 per cent, respectively. CO was present in 19.3, 13.0, 9.8 and 26.6 per cent of the TN, MH, JH and CH population. The prevalence of GO, AO and CO were significantly higher among urban residents compared to rural residents in all the four regions studied. The prevalence of overweight was 15.2, 11.3, 7.8 and 15.9 per cent among residents of TN, MH, JH and CH, respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that female gender, hypertension, diabetes, higher socio-economic status, physical inactivity and urban residence were significantly associated with GO, AO and CO in all the four regions studied. Age was significantly associated with AO and CO, but not with GO. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of AO as well as of GO were high in India. Extrapolated to the whole country, 135, 153 and 107 million individuals will have GO, AO and CO, respectively. However, these figures have been estimated from three States and one UT of India and the results may be viewed in this light.

Risk factors for acute myocardial infarction in central India: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Atherosclerosis is a multi-factorial disease involving the interplay of genetic and environmental factors. Studies highlighting the public health importance of risk factors like chronic infections causing acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the Indian context are scarce. This study was undertaken to study the association of socio-demographic and life-style factors with acute myocardial infarction in central India. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cases and controls were group-matched for age, gender, and socio-economic status. A blinded research associate administered the study questionnaire. We performed an unconditional multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The case-control study included 265 cases of AMI and 265 controls. The results of final model of logistic regression analysis for risk factors of AMI included 11 risk factors at α = 0.05. They were waist hip ratio, body mass index, stress at home in last 1 year, hypertension, family history of CHD, past history of gingival sepsis, tobacco smoking, raised total serum cholesterol, Chlamydia pneumoniae, Helicobacter pylori and raised C-reactive protein. CONCLUSION: The findings confirm the role of conventional risk factors for cardiac disease and highlight need for research into the association between chronic infections with AMI.

Glycemic control among individuals with self-reported diabetes in India--the ICMR-INDIAB Study.

AIMS: This study estimated the levels of glycemic control among subjects with self-reported diabetes in urban and rural areas of four regions in India. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Phase I of the Indian Council of Medical Research-India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) Study was conducted in a representative population of three states of India (Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, and Jharkhand) and one Union Territory (Chandigarh) and covering a population of 213 million people. Using a stratified multistage sampling design, individuals ≥20 years of age were recruited. Glycemic control among subjects with self-reported diabetes was assessed by measurement of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), estimated by the Variant™ II Turbo method (Bio-Rad, Hercules, CA). RESULTS: Among the 14,277 participants in Phase I of INDIAB, there were 480 subjects with self-reported diabetes (254 urban and 226 rural). The mean HbA1c levels were highest in Chandigarh (9.1±2.3%), followed by Tamil Nadu (8.2±2.0%), Jharkhand (8.2±2.4%), and Maharashtra (8.0±2.1%). Good glycemic control (HbA1c <7%) was observed only in 31.1% of urban and 30.8% of rural subjects. Only 22.4% of urban and 15.4% of rural subjects had reported having checked their HbA1c in the past year. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed younger age, duration of diabetes, insulin use, and high triglyceride levels to be significantly associated with poor glycemic control. CONCLUSIONS: The level of glycemic control among subjects with self-reported diabetes in India is poor. Urgent action is needed to remedy the situation.

Prevalence of dyslipidemia in urban and rural India: the ICMR-INDIAB study.

AIM: To study the pattern and prevalence of dyslipidemia in a large representative sample of four selected regions in India. METHODS: Phase I of the Indian Council of Medical Research-India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study was conducted in a representative population of three states of India [Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Jharkhand] and one Union Territory [Chandigarh], and covered a population of 213 million people using stratified multistage sampling design to recruit individuals ≥20 years of age. All the study subjects (n = 16,607) underwent anthropometric measurements and oral glucose tolerance tests were done using capillary blood (except in self-reported diabetes). In addition, in every 5th subject (n = 2042), a fasting venous sample was collected and assayed for lipids. Dyslipidemia was diagnosed using National Cholesterol Education Programme (NCEP) guidelines. RESULTS: Of the subjects studied, 13.9% had hypercholesterolemia, 29.5% had hypertriglyceridemia, 72.3% had low HDL-C, 11.8% had high LDL-C levels and 79% had abnormalities in one of the lipid parameters. Regional disparity exists with the highest rates of hypercholesterolemia observed in Tamilnadu (18.3%), highest rates of hypertriglyceridemia in Chandigarh (38.6%), highest rates of low HDL-C in Jharkhand (76.8%) and highest rates of high LDL-C in Tamilnadu (15.8%). Except for low HDL-C and in the state of Maharashtra, in all other states, urban residents had the highest prevalence of lipid abnormalities compared to rural residents. Low HDL-C was the most common lipid abnormality (72.3%) in all the four regions studied; in 44.9% of subjects, it was present as an isolated abnormality. Common significant risk factors for dyslipidemia included obesity, diabetes, and dysglycemia. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of dyslipidemia is very high in India, which calls for urgent lifestyle intervention strategies to prevent and manage this important cardiovascular risk factor.

Physical activity and inactivity patterns in India - results from the ICMR-INDIAB study (Phase-1) [ICMR-INDIAB-5].

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence of diabetes and obesity in India can be attributed, at least in part, to increasing levels of physical inactivity. However, there has been no nationwide survey in India on physical activity levels involving both the urban and rural areas in whole states of India. The aim of the present study was to assess physical activity patterns across India - as part of the Indian Council of Medical Research-India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study. METHODS: Phase 1 of the ICMR-INDIAB study was conducted in four regions of India (Tamilnadu, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Chandigarh representing the south, west, east and north of India respectively) with a combined population of 213 million people. Physical activity was assessed using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ) in 14227 individuals aged ≥ 20 years [urban- 4,173; rural- 10,054], selected from the above regions using a stratified multistage design. RESULTS: Of the 14227 individuals studied, 54.4% (n=7737) were inactive (males: 41.7%), while 31.9% (n=4537) (males: 58.3%) were active and 13.7% (n=1953) (males: 61.3%) were highly active. Subjects were more inactive in urban, compared to rural, areas (65.0% vs. 50.0%; p<0.001). Males were significantly more active than females (p<0.001). Subjects in all four regions spent more active minutes at work than in the commuting and recreation domains. Absence of recreational activity was reported by 88.4%, 94.8%, 91.3% and 93.1% of the subjects in Chandigarh, Jharkhand, Maharashtra and Tamilnadu respectively. The percentage of individuals with no recreational activity increased with age (Trend χ(2): 199.1, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The study shows that a large percentage of people in India are inactive with fewer than 10% engaging in recreational physical activity. Therefore, urgent steps need to be initiated to promote physical activity to stem the twin epidemics of diabetes and obesity in India.

Distribution of 10-year and lifetime predicted risk for cardiovascular disease in the Indian Sentinel Surveillance Study population (cross-sectional survey results).

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention guidelines recommend lifetime risk stratification for primary prevention of CVD, but no such risk stratification has been performed in India to date. METHODS: The authors estimated short-term and lifetime predicted CVD risk among 10,054 disease-free, adult Indians in the 20-69-year age group who participated in a nationwide risk factor surveillance study. The study population was then stratified into high short-term (≥ 10% 10-year risk or diabetes), low short-term (<10%)/high lifetime and low short-term/low lifetime CVD risk groups. RESULTS: The mean age (SD) of the study population (men=63%) was 40.8 ± 10.9 years. High short-term risk for coronary heart disease was prevalent in more than one-fifth of the population (23.5%, 95% CI 22.7 to 24.4). Nearly half of individuals with low short-term predicted risk (48.2%, 95% CI 47.1 to 49.3) had a high predicted lifetime risk for CVD. While the proportion of individuals with all optimal risk factors was 15.3% (95% CI 14.6% to 16.0%), it was 20.6% (95% CI 18.7% to 22.6%) and 8.8% (95% CI 7.7% to 10.5%) in the highest and lowest educational groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: Approximately one in two men and three in four women in India had low short-term predicted risks for CVD in this national study, based on aggregate risk factor burden. However, two in three men and one in two women had high lifetime predicted risks for CVD, highlighting a key limitation of short-term risk stratification.