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1.
Ann Phys Rehabil Med ; 65(5): 101621, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34896606

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The carriage of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) might lengthen the time to functional recovery (TTFR) for inpatients in post-acute care (PAC) units. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the impact of CPE carriage on TTFR in a PAC facility. METHODS: This 2-year retrospective cohort study included 20 CPE-positive patients and 54 CPE-negative patients admitted to 3 PAC units (general, orthopaedic and neurological rehabilitation units) in a teaching hospital from January 2017 to December 2019. Potential risk factors and demographic data were collected from patients' medical records, the French national hospital discharge database, and the hospital's CPE surveillance database. Functional recovery was defined as the median difference in functional independence measure (FIM) between admission and discharge from each unit. Survival analysis and multiple Cox regression models were used to predict the TTFR and identify factors associated with functional recovery. RESULTS: The overall median [interquartile range] TTFR was 50 days [36-66]. Longer median TTFR was associated with CPE carriage (63 vs 47 days in the CPE-negative group; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.35, 95% CI 0.13-0.97) and presence of a peripheral venous catheter (aHR 3.51, 1.45-8.46); shorter TTFR was associated with admission to an orthopaedic versus general rehabilitation unit (aHR 3.11, 1.24-7.82). CONCLUSIONS: CPE carriage in inpatient PAC facilities was associated with long TTFR. Further studies are needed to explore the mechanisms involved in these adverse events and to identify possible preventive measures.


Subject(s)
Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae , Enterobacteriaceae Infections , Bacterial Proteins , Enterobacteriaceae , Humans , Inpatients , Retrospective Studies , Subacute Care , beta-Lactamases
2.
Trop Med Int Health ; 24(4): 392-400, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30729627

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate potential risk factors for acquisition in seven countries of the meningitis belt. METHODS: Households were followed up every 2 weeks for 2 months, then monthly for a further 4 months. Pharyngeal swabs were collected from all available household members at each visit and questionnaires completed. Risks of acquisition over the whole study period and for each visit were analysed by a series of logistic regressions. RESULTS: Over the course of the study, acquisition was higher in: (i) 5-to 14-year olds, as compared with those 30 years or older (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4-9.9); (ii) smokers (OR 3.6, 95% CI 0.98-13); and (iii) those exposed to wood smoke at home (OR 2.6 95% CI 1.3-5.6). The risk of acquisition from one visit to the next was higher in those reporting a sore throat during the dry season (OR 3.7, 95% CI 2.0-6.7) and lower in those reporting antibiotic use (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.03-0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Acquisition of meningococcal carriage peaked in school age children. Recent symptoms of sore throat during the dry season, but not during the rainy season, were associated with a higher risk of acquisition. Upper respiratory tract infections may be an important driver of epidemics in the meningitis belt.


OBJECTIF: Investiguer les facteurs de risque potentiels d'acquisition dans sept pays de la ceinture de la méningite. MÉTHODES: Des ménages ont été suivis toutes les deux semaines pendant deux mois, puis tous les mois pendant quatre mois. Des prélèvements pharyngés sur écouvillons ont été collectés auprès de tous les membres disponibles du ménage à chaque visite et des questionnaires ont été remplis. Les risques d'acquisition sur l'ensemble de la période d'étude et pour chaque visite ont été analysés par une série de régressions logistiques. RÉSULTATS: Au cours de l'étude, l'acquisition a été plus élevée chez: (i) les 5-14 ans, par rapport à ceux âgés de 30 ans ou plus (OR = 3,6; IC95%: 1,4-9,9); (ii) les fumeurs (OR = 3,6; IC95%: 0,98-13); et (iii) les personnes exposées à la fumée de bois à la maison (OR = 2,6; IC95%: 1,3-5,6). Le risque d'acquisition d'une visite à l'autre était plus élevé chez les personnes signalant un mal de gorge pendant la saison sèche (OR = 3,7; IC95%: 2,0-6,7) et plus faible chez celles signalant une utilisation d'antibiotique (OR = 0,17; IC95%: 0,03-0,56). CONCLUSIONS: L'acquisition du portage du méningocoque a culminé chez les enfants d'âge scolaire. Les symptômes récents de maux de gorge pendant la saison sèche, mais pas pendant la saison des pluies, étaient associés à un risque d'acquisition plus élevé. Les infections des voies respiratoires supérieures pourraient être un facteur important d'épidémies dans la ceinture de la méningite.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/microbiology , Meningitis, Meningococcal/etiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/complications , Seasons , Adolescent , Adult , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Aged , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Logistic Models , Male , Meningitis, Meningococcal/microbiology , Middle Aged , Neisseria meningitidis, Serogroup A/growth & development , Pharyngitis , Risk Factors , Smoke/adverse effects , Smoking/adverse effects , Young Adult
3.
J Allergy Clin Immunol ; 139(3): 977-986.e2, 2017 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27523432

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Sahel region of West Africa has the highest bacterial meningitis attack and case fatality rate in the world. The effect of climatic factors on patterns of invasive respiratory bacterial disease is not well documented. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the link between climatic factors and occurrence of invasive respiratory bacterial disease in a Sahel region of Niger. METHODS: We conducted daily disease surveillance and climatic monitoring over an 8-year period between January 1, 2003, and December 31, 2010, in Niamey, Niger, to determine risk factors for bacterial meningitis and invasive bacterial disease. We investigated the mechanistic effects of these factors on Streptococcus pneumoniae infection in mice. RESULTS: High temperatures and low visibility (resulting from high concentrations of airborne dust) were identified as significant risk factors for bacterial meningitis. Dust inhalation or exposure to high temperatures promoted progression of stable asymptomatic pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage to pneumonia and invasive disease. Dust exposure significantly reduced phagocyte-mediated bacterial killing, and exposure to high temperatures increased release of the key pneumococcal toxin pneumolysin through increased bacterial autolysis. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that climatic factors can have a substantial influence on infectious disease patterns, altering density of pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage, reducing phagocytic killing, and resulting in increased inflammation and tissue damage and consequent invasiveness. Climatic surveillance should be used to forecast invasive bacterial disease epidemics, and simple control measures to reduce particulate inhalation might reduce the incidence of invasive bacterial disease in regions of the world exposed to high temperatures and increased airborne dust.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Dust , Meningitis, Bacterial/epidemiology , Adolescent , Animals , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Mice , Niger/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/immunology , Risk Factors , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Temperature
4.
PLoS One ; 11(9): e0163110, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27657530

ABSTRACT

To compare dynamics of localized meningitis epidemics (LE) by meningococcal (Nm) serogroup, we analyzed a surveillance database of suspected and laboratory-confirmed Nm cases from 373 health areas (HA) of three regions in Niger during 2002-2012 and one region concerned by NmC epidemics during 2015. We defined LE as HA weekly incidence rates of ≥20 suspected cases per 100,000 during ≥2 weeks and assigned the predominant serogroup based on polymerase chain reaction testing of cerebrospinal fluid. Among the 175 LE, median peak weekly incidence rate in LE due to NmA, W, X and C were 54, 39, 109 and 46 per 100,000, respectively. These differences impacted ability of the epidemic to be detected at the district level. While this analysis is limited by the small number of LE due to NmX (N = 4) and NmW (N = 5), further research should explore whether strategies for prevention and response to meningitis epidemics need to be adapted according to predominant meningococcal serogroups.

6.
PLoS One ; 11(2): e0147928, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26872255

ABSTRACT

The pattern of epidemic meningococcal disease in the African meningitis belt may be influenced by the background level of population immunity but this has been measured infrequently. A standardised enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for measuring meningococcal serogroup A IgG antibodies was established at five centres within the meningitis belt. Antibody concentrations were then measured in 3930 individuals stratified by age and residence from six countries. Seroprevalence by age was used in a catalytic model to determine the force of infection. Meningococcal serogroup A IgG antibody concentrations were high in each country but showed heterogeneity across the meningitis belt. The geometric mean concentration (GMC) was highest in Ghana (9.09 µg/mL [95% CI 8.29, 9.97]) and lowest in Ethiopia (1.43 µg/mL [95% CI 1.31, 1.57]) on the margins of the belt. The force of infection was lowest in Ethiopia (λ = 0.028). Variables associated with a concentration above the putative protective level of 2 µg/mL were age, urban residence and a history of recent vaccination with a meningococcal vaccine. Prior to vaccination with the serogroup A meningococcal conjugate vaccine, meningococcal serogroup A IgG antibody concentrations were high across the African meningitis belt and yet the region remained susceptible to epidemics.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Bacterial/blood , Epidemics , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Meningitis, Meningococcal/epidemiology , Meningitis, Meningococcal/prevention & control , Meningococcal Vaccines/administration & dosage , Adolescent , Adult , Africa/epidemiology , Aged , Carrier State , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Humans , Immunologic Memory , Infant , Male , Meningitis, Meningococcal/blood , Meningitis, Meningococcal/immunology , Middle Aged , Neisseria meningitidis/classification , Neisseria meningitidis/immunology , Neisseria meningitidis/pathogenicity , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Serogroup , Vaccination
7.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg ; 109(7): 477-80, 2015 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25934981

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Serotype 1 was the most prevalent pneumococcal meningitis serotype encountered in Niger over the period 2003-2011 (pre-vaccination era), accounting for 45.3% of infections. METHODS: Multiple locus VNTR analysis (MLVA) was used to create a genotypic snapshot of a representative subset of the pneumococcal population of serotype 1. RESULTS: MLVA using 16 markers revealed a homogeneous genetic background of pneumococci serotype 1 from Niger, which clustered with few serotype 1 pneumococci from some African countries, while other African countries displayed different clonal complexes. DNA from Niger and from other African countries were different from pneumococci serotype 1 from European countries. CONCLUSIONS: MLVA-typing revealed a low genetic diversity among pneumococci serotype 1 from meningitis cases in Niger in the pre-vaccination era.


Subject(s)
Meningitis/microbiology , Multilocus Sequence Typing/methods , Pneumococcal Infections/microbiology , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genetics , Genetic Variation , Genotype , Humans , Minisatellite Repeats/genetics , Niger/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/prevention & control , Pneumococcal Vaccines/therapeutic use , Prevalence , Serotyping , Streptococcus pneumoniae/classification , Streptococcus pneumoniae/isolation & purification
8.
PLoS One ; 9(7): e101129, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24988195

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To describe the variation in household crowding and social mixing patterns in the African meningitis belt and to assess any association with self-reported recent respiratory symptoms. METHODS: In 2010, the African Meningococcal Carriage Consortium (MenAfriCar) conducted cross-sectional surveys in urban and rural areas of seven countries. The number of household members, rooms per household, attendance at social gatherings and meeting places were recorded. Associations with self-reported recent respiratory symptoms were analysed by univariate and multivariate regression models. RESULTS: The geometric mean people per room ranged from 1.9 to 2.8 between Ghana and Ethiopia respectively. Attendance at different types of social gatherings was variable by country, ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 per week. Those who attended 3 or more different types of social gatherings a week (frequent mixers) were more likely to be older, male (OR 1.27, p<0.001) and live in urban areas (OR 1.45, p<0.001). Frequent mixing and young age, but not increased household crowding, were associated with higher odds of self-reported respiratory symptoms (aOR 2.2, p<0.001 and OR 2.8, p<0.001 respectively). A limitation is that we did not measure school and workplace attendance. CONCLUSION: There are substantial variations in household crowding and social mixing patterns across the African meningitis belt. This study finds a clear association between age, increased social mixing and respiratory symptoms. It lays the foundation for designing and implementing more detailed studies of social contact patterns in this region.


Subject(s)
Crowding , Family Characteristics , Meningitis , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/transmission , Rural Population , Urban Population , Adult , Africa/epidemiology , Age Factors , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Socioeconomic Factors
9.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 8(5): e2899, 2014 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24852960

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Epidemics of meningococcal meningitis (MM) recurrently strike the African Meningitis Belt. This study aimed at investigating factors, still poorly understood, that influence annual incidence of MM serogroup A, the main etiologic agent over 2004-2010, at a fine spatial scale in Niger. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To take into account data dependencies over space and time and control for unobserved confounding factors, we developed an explanatory Bayesian hierarchical model over 2004-2010 at the health centre catchment area (HCCA) level. The multivariate model revealed that both climatic and non-climatic factors were important for explaining spatio-temporal variations in incidence: mean relative humidity during November-June over the study region (posterior mean Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) = 0.656, 95% Credible Interval (CI) 0.405-0.949) and occurrence of early rains in March in a HCCA (IRR = 0.353, 95% CI 0.239-0.502) were protective factors; a higher risk was associated with the percentage of neighbouring HCCAs having at least one MM A case during the same year (IRR = 2.365, 95% CI 2.078-2.695), the presence of a road crossing the HCCA (IRR = 1.743, 95% CI 1.173-2.474) and the occurrence of cases before 31 December in a HCCA (IRR = 6.801, 95% CI 4.004-10.910). At the study region level, higher annual incidence correlated with greater geographic spread and, to a lesser extent, with higher intensity of localized outbreaks. CONCLUSIONS: Based on these findings, we hypothesize that spatio-temporal variability of MM A incidence between years and HCCAs result from variations in the intensity or duration of the dry season climatic effects on disease risk, and is further impacted by factors of spatial contacts, representing facilitated pathogen transmission. Additional unexplained factors may contribute to the observed incidence patterns and should be further investigated.


Subject(s)
Meningitis, Meningococcal/epidemiology , Bayes Theorem , Humans , Incidence , Niger/epidemiology , Public Health , Retrospective Studies , Spatio-Temporal Analysis
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 13: 576, 2013 Dec 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24313998

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the African 'meningitis belt' changes periodically. In order to design an effective vaccination strategy, we have examined the epidemiological and microbiological patterns of bacterial meningitis, and especially that of meningococcal meningitis, in Niger during the period 2008-2011. During this period a mass vaccination campaign with the newly developed meningococcal A conjugate vaccine (MenAfriVac®) was undertaken. METHOD: Cerebrospinal fluid samples were collected from health facilities throughout Niger and analysed by culture, seroagglutination and/or speciation polymerase chain reaction, followed by genogrouping PCR for Neisseria meningitidis infections. A sample of strains were analysed by multi-locus sequence typing. RESULTS: N. meningitidis serogroup A cases were prevalent in 2008 and 2009 [98.6% and 97.5% of all N. meningitidis cases respectively]. The prevalence of serogroup A declined in 2010 [26.4%], with the emergence of serogroup W Sequence Type (ST) 11 [72.2% of cases], and the serogroup A meningococcus finally disappeared in 2011. The geographical distribution of cases N. meningitidis serogroups A and W within Niger is described. CONCLUSION: The substantial decline of serogroup A cases that has been observed from 2010 onwards in Niger seems to be due to several factors including a major polysaccharide A/C vaccination campaign in 2009, the introduction of MenAfriVac® in 10 districts at risk in December 2010, the natural dynamics of meningococcal infection and the persistence of serogroup A sequence-type 7 for about 10 years. The emergence of serogroup W strains suggests that there may be a need for serogroup W containing vaccines in Niger in the coming years.


Subject(s)
Meningitis, Meningococcal/epidemiology , Meningitis, Meningococcal/prevention & control , Meningococcal Vaccines/administration & dosage , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Mass Vaccination , Meningitis, Meningococcal/immunology , Meningitis, Meningococcal/microbiology , Meningococcal Vaccines/immunology , Middle Aged , Multilocus Sequence Typing , Neisseria meningitidis/classification , Neisseria meningitidis/genetics , Neisseria meningitidis/immunology , Neisseria meningitidis/isolation & purification , Niger/epidemiology , Population Surveillance , Serotyping , Vaccines, Conjugate/administration & dosage , Vaccines, Conjugate/immunology , Young Adult
11.
PLoS One ; 8(10): e78336, 2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24194921

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Detection of meningococcal carriers is key to understanding the epidemiology of Neisseria meningitidis, yet no gold standard has been established. Here, we directly compare two methods for collecting pharyngeal swabs to identify meningococcal carriers. METHODS: We conducted cross-sectional surveys of schoolchildren at multiple sites in Africa to compare swabbing the posterior pharynx behind the uvula (U) to swabbing the posterior pharynx behind the uvula plus one tonsil (T). Swabs were cultured immediately and analyzed using molecular methods. RESULTS: One thousand and six paired swab samples collected from schoolchildren in four countries were analyzed. Prevalence of meningococcal carriage was 6.9% (95% CI: 5.4-8.6%) based on the results from both swabs, but the observed prevalence was lower based on one swab type alone. Prevalence based on the T swab or the U swab alone was similar (5.2% (95% CI: 3.8-6.7%) versus 4.9% (95% CI: 3.6-6.4%) respectively (p=0.6)). The concordance between the two methods was 96.3% and the kappa was 0.61 (95% CI: 0.50-0.73), indicating good agreement. CONCLUSIONS: These two commonly used methods for collecting pharyngeal swabs provide consistent estimates of the prevalence of carriage, but both methods misclassified carriers to some degree, leading to underestimates of the prevalence.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/epidemiology , Meningococcal Infections/epidemiology , Neisseria meningitidis/isolation & purification , Specimen Handling/methods , Adolescent , Africa, Western/epidemiology , Child , Cross-Sectional Studies , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Meningococcal Infections/transmission , Nasopharynx/microbiology , Palatine Tonsil/microbiology , Prevalence
12.
BMC Infect Dis ; 13: 228, 2013 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23687976

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Beside high mortality, acute bacterial meningitis may lead to a high frequency of neuropsychological sequelae. The Sahelian countries belonging to the meningitis belt experience approximately 50% of the meningitis cases occurring in the world. Studies in Africa have shown that N. meningitidis could cause hearing loss in up to 30% of the cases, exceeding sometimes measles. The situation is similar in Niger which experiences yearly meningitis epidemics and where rehabilitation wards are rare and hearing aids remain unaffordable. The aim of this study was to estimate the frequency of neuropsychological sequelae after acute bacterial meningitis in four of the eight regions of Niger. METHODS: Subjects exposed to acute bacterial meningitis were enrolled into a cohort with non exposed subjects matched on age and gender. Consenting subjects were interviewed during inclusion and at a control visit two months later. If clinical symptoms or psychological troubles persisted at both visits among the exposed subjects with a frequency significantly greater than that observed among the non exposed subjects, a sequelae was retained. The comparison of the frequency of sequelae between non exposed and exposed subjects to bacterial meningitis was also calculated using the Fisher exact test. RESULTS: Three persisting functional symptoms were registered: headaches, asthenia, and vertigo among 31.3, 36.9, and 22.4% respectively of the exposed subjects. A significant motor impairment was retrieved among 12.3% of the exposed versus 1.6% of the non exposed subjects. Hearing loss significantly disabled 31.3% of the exposed subjects and 10.4% exhibited a serious deafness. CONCLUSIONS: This study carried out in Niger confirms two serious neurological sequelae occurring at high frequencies after bacterial meningitis: severe and profound hearing loss and motor impairment. Cochlear implantation and hearing aids are too expensive for populations living in developing countries. Neurological sequelae occurring after meningitis should sensitize African public health authorities on the development of rehabilitation centers. All these challenges can be met through existing strategies and guidelines.


Subject(s)
Meningitis, Bacterial/epidemiology , Adult , Asthenia/epidemiology , Asthenia/microbiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Developing Countries , Female , Headache/epidemiology , Headache/microbiology , Hearing Loss/epidemiology , Hearing Loss/microbiology , Humans , Male , Meningitis, Bacterial/physiopathology , Middle Aged , Niger/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Vertigo/epidemiology , Vertigo/microbiology , Young Adult
13.
PLoS One ; 8(3): e60432, 2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23555971

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of pneumococcal meningitis in the African 'meningitis belt' is poorly studied. In order to ensure an effective vaccination strategy and post-vaccination surveillance, we examined the serotype distribution patterns of pneumococcal meningitis in Niger over the period 2003-2011. METHODS: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples were collected from different health facilities throughout Niger in the frame of the national microbiological surveillance of meningitis. Determination of the serotype of CSF positive for pneumococci was performed using a sequential multiplex PCR method (SM-PCR) adapted with a national algorithm in which 32 different serotypes were covered and grouped into eight consecutive PCR. RESULTS: The SM-PCR assay could predict the Sp serotype for 779 CSF (88.7%), 98 CSF (11.3%) were not-typeable in our national-adapted algorithm. In total, 26 different serotypes were identified. Serotype 1 (n = 393) was the most prevalent and accounted for 45.3% of infections, followed by serogroups/serotypes 12F/(12A)/(44)/(46) (7.3%), 6/(6A/6B/6C/6D) (5.4%), 14 (5.2%), 5 (4.6%), 23F (4.2%), 45 (3.6%), 2 (3.1%), 18/(18A/18B/18C/18F) (2.9%) and 17 others serotypes with a prevalence of less than 2%. The proportion of serotype 1 in infants(<2 years old) represented only 4.3% of the cases affected by this serotype. In contrast, serotypes 5, 6, 14, 19A and 23F were only detected in very young children. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of serotype 1 in the pneumococcal meningitis cases and the theoretical vaccine coverage across all age groups advocates for the introduction of a conjugate vaccine (PCV10 or 13) into the Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) in Niger. Post-vaccine introduction surveillance supported by molecular approaches will be essential to provide a comprehensive picture of the impact of the vaccine on the burden reduction of pneumococcal meningitis and on pneumococcal serotype distribution.


Subject(s)
Meningitis, Pneumococcal/microbiology , Meningitis, Pneumococcal/prevention & control , Pneumococcal Vaccines/therapeutic use , Streptococcus pneumoniae/classification , Vaccines, Conjugate/therapeutic use , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Meningitis, Pneumococcal/cerebrospinal fluid , Meningitis, Pneumococcal/epidemiology , Niger/epidemiology , Serotyping , Young Adult
14.
J Infect Dis ; 206 Suppl 1: S101-7, 2012 Dec 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23169954

ABSTRACT

To understand 2009 pandemic influenza A virus subtype H1N1 (A[H1N1]pdm09) circulation in West Africa, we collected influenza surveillance data from ministries of health and influenza laboratories in 10 countries, including Cameroon, from 4 May 2009 through 3 April 2010. A total of 10,203 respiratory specimens were tested, of which 25% were positive for influenza virus. Until the end of December 2009, only 14% of all detected strains were A(H1N1)pdm09, but the frequency increased to 89% from January through 3 April 2010. Five West African countries did not report their first A(H1N1)pdm09 case until 6 months after the emergence of the pandemic in North America, in April 2009. The time from first detection of A(H1N1)pdm09 in a country to the time of A(H1N1)pdm09 predominance varied from 0 to 37 weeks. Seven countries did not report A(H1N1)pdm09 predominance until 2010. Introduction and transmission of A(H1N1)pdm09 were delayed in this region.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Pandemics , Adult , Africa, Western/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Orthomyxoviridae , Time Factors
15.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 6(3): e1577, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22448297

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Meningococcal meningitis is a major health problem in the "African Meningitis Belt" where recurrent epidemics occur during the hot, dry season. In Niger, a central country belonging to the Meningitis Belt, reported meningitis cases varied between 1,000 and 13,000 from 2003 to 2009, with a case-fatality rate of 5-15%. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In order to gain insight in the epidemiology of meningococcal meningitis in Niger and to improve control strategies, the emergence of the epidemics and their diffusion patterns at a fine spatial scale have been investigated. A statistical analysis of the spatio-temporal distribution of confirmed meningococcal meningitis cases was performed between 2002 and 2009, based on health centre catchment areas (HCCAs) as spatial units. Anselin's local Moran's I test for spatial autocorrelation and Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic were used to identify spatial and spatio-temporal clusters of cases. Spatial clusters were detected every year and most frequently occurred within nine southern districts. Clusters most often encompassed few HCCAs within a district, without expanding to the entire district. Besides, strong intra-district heterogeneity and inter-annual variability in the spatio-temporal epidemic patterns were observed. To further investigate the benefit of using a finer spatial scale for surveillance and disease control, we compared timeliness of epidemic detection at the HCCA level versus district level and showed that a decision based on threshold estimated at the HCCA level may lead to earlier detection of outbreaks. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings provide an evidence-based approach to improve control of meningitis in sub-Saharan Africa. First, they can assist public health authorities in Niger to better adjust allocation of resources (antibiotics, rapid diagnostic tests and medical staff). Then, this spatio-temporal analysis showed that surveillance at a finer spatial scale (HCCA) would be more efficient for public health response: outbreaks would be detected earlier and reactive vaccination would be better targeted.


Subject(s)
Cluster Analysis , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Disease Outbreaks , Meningitis, Meningococcal/epidemiology , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Geography , Humans , Male , Niger/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Time Factors
16.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 6(2): 87-9, 2012 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21933356

ABSTRACT

This work aimed at studying the link between some climatic factors and the occurrence of influenza in Niamey, Niger. Patients with influenza like illness or severe acute respiratory illness were recruited through a sentinel network. A nasopharyngeal swab was sampled and tested for influenza viruses A and B by RT-PCR. Time series of daily counts of influenza cases and climatic factors were linked using a generalized additive model. Among the 320 patients recruited, 76 were confirmed positive for influenza. Influenza cases increased significantly with minimal temperatures and high visibility. This work brings some valuable explanation to the impact of low temperatures on influenza transmission.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/transmission , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Climate , Cold Temperature , Female , Humans , Infant , Influenza A virus/genetics , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Influenza B virus/genetics , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/virology , Male , Models, Statistical , Nasopharynx/virology , Niger/epidemiology , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Young Adult
17.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg ; 105(11): 637-43, 2011 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21925691

ABSTRACT

Epidemiological patterns of malaria are influenced by different kinds of climate. In Sahelian countries, the link between climatic factors and malaria is still insufficiently quantified. The aim of this work was to conduct a time-series study of rainfall to estimate the increased risk of malaria morbidity. Daily suspected malaria episodes among subjects of all ages were collected retrospectively in three health care facilities between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2003 at Magaria, Niger. These daily numbers were analysed with time-series methods, using generalized additive models with a negative binomial family. The impact of rainfall 40 days before occurrence of suspected malaria episodes was studied using a distributed lag model. More than 13 000 suspected malaria episodes were registered corresponding to an annual cumulative incidence rate of 7.4%. The overall excess risk of suspected malaria episodes for an increase of 1mm of rainfall after 40 days of exposure was estimated at 7.2%. This study allowed to specify the excess risk of rainfall on the occurrence of suspected malaria episodes in an intermediate rainfall area located in the Sahelian region in Niger. It was a first step to a health impact assessment.


Subject(s)
Malaria/epidemiology , Rain , Adolescent , Adult , Animals , Anopheles , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Malaria/transmission , Male , Niger/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Time Factors , Young Adult
18.
Bull Math Biol ; 73(7): 1413-42, 2011 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20811781

ABSTRACT

Nosocomial transmission of viral and bacterial infections is a major problem worldwide, affecting millions of patients (and causing hundreds of thousands of deaths) per year. Rotavirus infections affect most children worldwide at least once before age five. We present here deterministic and stochastic models for the transmission of rotavirus in a pediatric hospital ward and draw on published data to compare the efficacy of several possible control measures in reducing the number of infections during a 90-day outbreak, including cohorting, changes in healthcare worker-patient ratio, improving compliance with preventive hygiene measures, and vaccination. Although recently approved vaccines have potential to curtail most nosocomial rotavirus transmission in the future, even short-term improvement in preventive hygiene compliance following contact with symptomatic patients may significantly limit transmission as well, and remains an important control measure, especially where resources are limited.


Subject(s)
Cross Infection/transmission , Models, Biological , Rotavirus Infections/transmission , Rotavirus/growth & development , Child, Preschool , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Cross Infection/virology , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Hospitals, Pediatric , Humans , Infant , Infectious Disease Transmission, Professional-to-Patient/prevention & control , Rotavirus Infections/epidemiology , Rotavirus Infections/virology
20.
Sci Total Environ ; 387(1-3): 105-12, 2007 Nov 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17727917

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Short term associations between air pollution indicators and hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases have been suggested by epidemiological and clinical studies. The present study aims at estimating the association between particles with diameter <10 microm (PM(10)), nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)) and ozone and hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases in eight French cities during the 1998-2003 period. METHODS: The daily number of hospitalizations in each city was extracted from the French hospital information system (PMSI) for cardiovascular diseases, cardiac diseases, ischemic heart diseases and stroke. Excess relative risks (ERRs) of hospitalization associated with a 10 microg/m(3) increase in pollutant levels were estimated in each city by fitting a Poisson regression model, controlling for well-known confounding factors and temporal trends. City-specific results were then combined by inverse variance weighting. RESULTS: Daily number of hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases was associated with PM(10) levels (for a 10 microg/m(3) increase, ERR=0.8%, 95% CI: [0.2, 1.5]), with NO(2) (1.1%, [0.6, 1.6]) but not with ozone (0.1% [-0.2%, 0.5%]). Associations were stronger in people aged 65 years and over, and when only hospitalizations for ischemic heart diseases were considered. No association was found between strokes and air pollution levels. DISCUSSION: Our study suggests that the ambient levels of air pollutants currently experienced in the eight French cities, which are close to European air quality guidelines, are yet linked to a short term increase of hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases. These results are consistent with epidemiological and toxicological data on the cardiovascular effects of air pollution.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution/adverse effects , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Air Pollutants/toxicity , Cities , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , France/epidemiology , Humans , Nitrogen Dioxide/toxicity , Ozone/toxicity , Particulate Matter/toxicity , Risk
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