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2.
Value Health ; 27(3): 313-321, 2024 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38191024

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to measure the value of increasing lung cancer screening rates for high-risk individuals and its impact on health disparities. METHODS: The model estimated changes in health economic outcomes if low-dose computed tomography screening increased from current to 100% compliance, following clinical guidelines. Current low-dose computed tomography screening rates were estimated by income, education, and race, using 2017-2019 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data. The model contained a decision tree module to segment the population by screening outcomes and a Markov chain module to estimate cancer progression over time. Model parameters included information on survival, quality of life, and costs related to cancer diagnosis, treatment, and adverse events. Distributional cost-effectiveness analysis estimated the net monetary value from reduced health disparities-measured using quality-adjusted life expectancy-across income, education, and race groups. Outcomes were assessed over 30 years. RESULTS: Lung cancer screening eligibility using US Preventive Services Task Force guidelines was higher for individuals with income <$15 000 (47.2%) and without a high-school education (46.1%) than individuals with income >$50 000 (16.6%) and with a college degree (13.5%), respectively. Increasing lung cancer screening to 100% compliance was cost-effective ($64 654 per quality-adjusted life-year) and produced economic value by up to $560 per person ($182.1 billion for United States overall). Up to 32.2% of the value was due to reductions in health disparities. CONCLUSIONS: Significant value in increasing lung cancer screening rates derived from reducing health disparities. Policy makers and clinicians may not be appropriately prioritizing cancer screening if value from reducing health disparities is unconsidered.


Subject(s)
Early Detection of Cancer , Lung Neoplasms , Humans , United States , Quality of Life , Mass Screening , Lung Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Health Inequities
3.
J Am Coll Radiol ; 21(4): 546-547, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37302682
4.
Chest ; 2023 Dec 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38065405

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Standard treatment for early-stage or locoregionally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) includes surgical resection. Recurrence after surgery is commonly reported, but a summary estimate for postsurgical recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with NSCLC is lacking. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the RFS after surgery in patients with stage I-III NSCLC at different time points, and what factors are associated with RFS? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic search was performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases between January 2011 and June 2021. The primary outcome was RFS at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years postresection. Single-arm, random-effects meta-analyses were done to calculate effect estimates and 95% CIs. Analyses were stratified by stage/substage as per the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, and RFS was estimated (1) after pooling studies, using seventh or eighth edition staging criteria; and (2) among studies using only the eighth edition. Meta-regressions were performed to assess associations between RFS and patient demographic/clinical characteristics of interest. RESULTS: Data from 471 studies comprising 1,060 surgical study arms were extracted. RFS estimates from 60,695 patients staged with the seventh or eighth edition were analyzed. RFS ranged from 96% at 1 year postresection to 82% at 5 years for stage I, and from 68% at 1 year to 34% at 5 years for stage III. Estimates for patients staged using only eighth edition criteria were slightly higher. Older age, higher percentage of male patients, advancing stage, larger tumor size, and geographic region (North America/Europe vs Asia) were significantly associated with worse RFS. INTERPRETATION: This study presents a comprehensive assessment of reported RFS from published clinical literature, offering estimates at multiple postsurgical time points and by geographic region. Findings can inform treatment decisions, clinical trial design, and future research to improve outcomes among patients with NSCLC.

5.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(11): e2342681, 2023 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37948077

ABSTRACT

Importance: Interception therapy requires individuals to undergo treatment to prevent a future medical event, but little is known about preferences of individuals at high risk for lung cancer and whether they would be interested in this type of treatment. Objective: To explore preferences of individuals at high risk for lung cancer for potential interception therapies to reduce this risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey study used a discrete-choice experiment and included hypothetical lung cancer interception treatments with 4 attributes: reduction in lung cancer risk over 3 years, injection site reaction severity, nonfatal serious infection, and death from serious infection. Respondents were assigned to a baseline lung cancer risk of 6%, 10%, or 16% over 3 years. The discrete-choice experiment was administered online (July 13 to September 6, 2022) to US respondents eligible for lung cancer screening according to US Preventive Services Task Force guidelines. Participants included adults aged 50 to 80 years with at least a 20 pack-year smoking history. Statistical analysis was performed from September to December 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Attribute-level preference weights were estimated, and conditional relative attribute importance, maximum acceptable risks, and minimum acceptable benefits were calculated. Characteristics of respondents who always selected no treatment were also explored. Results: Of the 803 survey respondents, 495 (61.6%) were female, 138 (17.2%) were African American or Black, 55 (6.8%) were Alaska Native, American Indian, or Native American, 44 (5.5%) were Asian or Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, 104 (13.0%) were Hispanic, Latin American, or Latinx, and 462 (57.5%) were White, Middle Eastern or North African, or a race or ethnicity not listed; and mean (SD) age was 63.0 (7.5) years. Most respondents were willing to accept interception therapy and viewed reduction in lung cancer risk as the most important attribute. Respondents would accept a greater than or equal to a 12.0 percentage point increase in risk of nonfatal serious infection if lung cancer risk was reduced by at least 20.0 percentage points; and a greater than or equal to 1.2 percentage point increase in risk of fatal serious infection if lung cancer risk was reduced by at least 30.0 percentage points. Respondents would require at least a 15.4 (95% CI, 10.6-20.2) percentage point decrease in lung cancer risk to accept a 12.0 percentage point increase in risk of nonfatal serious infection; and at least a 23.1 (95% CI, 16.4-29.8) percentage point decrease in lung cancer risk to accept a 1.2 percentage point increase in risk of death from serious infection. Respondents who were unwilling to accept interception therapy in any question (129 [16.1%]) were more likely to be older and to currently smoke with no prior cessation attempt, and less likely to have been vaccinated against COVID-19 or examined for skin cancer. Conclusions and Relevance: In this survey study of individuals at high risk of lung cancer, most respondents were willing to consider interception therapy. These results suggest the importance of benefit-risk assessments for future lung cancer interception treatments.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Female , Male , Patient Preference , Early Detection of Cancer , Ethnicity , Surveys and Questionnaires
6.
Urology ; 180: 1-8, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37331485

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing microwave ablation (MWA) and cryoablation for renal cell carcinoma (RCC). METHODS: The systematic search was performed in MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases. Studies published in English from January 2006 to February 2022 that assessed adults with primary RCC who received MWA or cryoablation were included. Study arms from RCTs, comparative observational, and single-arm studies were eligible. The outcomes included local tumor recurrence (LTR), overall survival, disease-free survival, overall/major complications, procedure/ablation time, 1- to 3-month primary technique efficacy, and technical success. Single-arm meta-analyses were performed using the random effects model. Sensitivity analyses excluding low-quality studies assessed using the MINORs scale were performed. Univariable and multivariable examined the effects of prognostic factors. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar between groups and mean tumor size for MWA and cryoablation were 2.74 and 2.69 cm. Single-arm meta-analyses were similar for LTR and secondary outcomes between cryoablation and MWA. Ablation time was significantly shorter with MWA than with cryoablation (meta-regression weighted mean difference 24.55 minutes, 95% confidence interval -31.71, -17.38, P < .0001). One-year LTR was significantly lower with MWA than cryoablation (odds ratio 0.33, 95% confidence interval 0.10-0.93, P = .04). There were no significant differences for other outcomes. CONCLUSION: MWA provides significantly improved 1-year LTR and ablation time compared with cryoablation for patients with RCC. Other outcomes appeared similar or favorable for MWA; however, results were not statistically significant. MWA of primary RCC is as safe and effective as cryoablation, which should be confirmed with future comparative studies.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Renal Cell , Catheter Ablation , Cryosurgery , Kidney Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/surgery , Cryosurgery/methods , Microwaves/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , Kidney Neoplasms/surgery , Catheter Ablation/methods , Retrospective Studies
7.
Ann Am Thorac Soc ; 20(10): 1491-1498, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37311211

ABSTRACT

Rationale: Studies of bronchoscopy have reported diagnostic yield (DY) using different calculation methods, which has hindered comparisons across studies. Objectives: To quantify the effect of the variability of four methods on DY estimates of bronchoscopy. Methods: We performed a simulation-based analysis of patients undergoing bronchoscopy using variations around base case assumptions for cancer prevalence (60%), distribution of nonmalignant findings, and degree of follow-up information at a fixed sensitivity of bronchoscopy for malignancy (80%). We calculated DY, the rate of true positives and true negatives (TNs), using four methods. Method 1 considered malignant and specific benign findings at index bronchoscopy as true positives and TNs, respectively. Method 2 included nonspecific benign findings as TNs. Method 3 considered nonspecific benign findings cases as TNs only if follow-up confirmed benign disease. Method 4 counted all cases with a nonmalignant diagnosis as TNs if follow-up confirmed benign disease. A scenario analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were conducted to demonstrate the effect of parameter estimates on DY. A change in DY of >10% was considered clinically meaningful. Results: Across all pairwise comparisons of the four methods, a DY difference of >10% was observed in 76.7% of cases (45,992 of 60,000 comparisons). Method 4 resulted in DY estimates that were >10% higher than estimates made with other methods in >90% of scenarios. Variation in cancer prevalence had a large effect on DY. Conclusions: Across a wide range of clinical scenarios, the categorization of nonmalignant findings at index bronchoscopy and cancer prevalence had the largest impact on DY. The large variability in DY estimates across the four methods limits the interpretation of bronchoscopy studies and warrants standardization.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/diagnosis , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/pathology , Bronchoscopy/methods , Prevalence
8.
Lung Cancer ; 182: 107259, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37321074

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE: Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) is the standard of care for inoperable early stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Use of image guided thermal ablation (IGTA; including microwave ablation [MWA] and radiofrequency ablation [RFA]) has increased in NSCLC, however there are no studies comparing all three. OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy of IGTA (including MWA and RFA) and SBRT for the treatment of NSCLC. METHODS: Published literature databases were systematically searched for studies assessing MWA, RFA, or SBRT. Local tumor progression (LTP), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were assessed with single-arm pooled analyses and meta-regressions in NSCLC patients and a stage IA subgroup. Study quality was assessed with a modified methodological index for non-randomized studies (MINORS) tool. RESULTS: Forty IGTA study-arms (2,691 patients) and 215 SBRT study-arms (54,789 patients) were identified. LTP was lowest after SBRT at one and two years in single-arm pooled analyses (4% and 9% vs. 11% and 18%) and at one year in meta-regressions when compared to IGTA (OR = 0.2, 95%CI = 0.07-0.63). MWA patients had the highest DFS of all treatments in single-arm pooled analyses. In meta-regressions at two and three-years, DFS was significantly lower for RFA compared to MWA (OR = 0.26, 95%CI = 0.12-0.58; OR = 0.33, 95%CI = 0.16-0.66, respectively). OS was similar across modalities, timepoints, and analyses. Older age, male patients, larger tumors, retrospective studies, and non-Asian study region were also predictors of worse clinical outcomes. In high-quality studies (MINORS score ≥ 7), MWA patients had better clinical outcomes than the overall analysis. Stage IA MWA patients had lower LTP, higher OS, and generally lower DFS, compared to the main analysis of all NSCLC patients. CONCLUSIONS: NSCLC patients had comparable outcomes after SBRT and MWA, which were better than those with RFA.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Catheter Ablation , Liver Neoplasms , Lung Neoplasms , Radiosurgery , Humans , Male , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/radiotherapy , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/surgery , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Catheter Ablation/methods
9.
BMC Pulm Med ; 23(1): 161, 2023 May 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37161376

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Robot-assisted bronchoscopy (RAB) is among the newest bronchoscopic technologies, allowing improved visualization and access for small and hard-to-reach nodules. RAB studies have primarily been conducted at academic centers, limiting the generalizability of results to the broader real-world setting, while variability in diagnostic yield definitions has impaired the validity of cross-study comparisons. The objective of this study was to determine the diagnostic yield and sensitivity for malignancy of RAB in patients with pulmonary lesions in a community setting and explore the impact of different definitions on diagnostic yield estimates. METHODS: Data were collected retrospectively from medical records of patients ≥ 21 years who underwent bronchoscopy with the Monarch® Platform (Auris Health, Inc., Redwood City, CA) for biopsy of pulmonary lesions at three US community hospitals between January 2019 and March 2020. Diagnostic yield was calculated at the index RAB and using 12-month follow-up data. At index, all malignant and benign (specific and non-specific) diagnoses were considered diagnostic. After 12 months, benign non-specific cases were considered diagnostic only when follow-up data corroborated the benign result. An alternative definition at index classified benign non-specific results as non-diagnostic, while an alternative 12-month definition categorized index non-diagnostic cases as diagnostic if no malignancy was diagnosed during follow-up. RESULTS: The study included 264 patients. Median lesion size was 19.3 mm, 58.9% were peripherally located, and 30.1% had a bronchus sign. Samples were obtained via Monarch in 99.6% of patients. Pathology led to a malignant diagnosis in 115 patients (43.6%), a benign diagnosis in 110 (41.7%), and 39 (14.8%) non-diagnostic cases. Index diagnostic yield was 85.2% (95% CI: [80.9%, 89.5%]) and the 12-month diagnostic yield was 79.4% (95% CI: [74.4%, 84.3%]). Alternative definitions resulted in diagnostic yield estimates of 58.7% (95% CI: [52.8%, 64.7%]) at index and 89.0% (95% CI: [85.1%, 92.8%]) at 12 months. Sensitivity for malignancy was 79.3% (95% CI: [72.7%, 85.9%]) and cancer prevalence was 58.0% after 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: RAB demonstrated a high diagnostic yield in the largest study to date, despite representing a real-world community population with a relatively low prevalence of cancer. Alternative definitions had a considerable impact on diagnostic yield estimates.


Subject(s)
Bronchoscopy , Robotic Surgical Procedures , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Bronchi , Biopsy
10.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 32(3): 337-343, 2023 03 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36576991

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study used machine learning to develop a 3-year lung cancer risk prediction model with large real-world data in a mostly younger population. METHODS: Over 4.7 million individuals, aged 45 to 65 years with no history of any cancer or lung cancer screening, diagnostic, or treatment procedures, with an outpatient visit in 2013 were identified in Optum's de-identified Electronic Health Record (EHR) dataset. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was fit using all available data in the 365 days prior. Temporal validation was assessed with recent data. External validation was assessed with data from Mercy Health Systems EHR and Optum's de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database. Racial inequities in model discrimination were assessed with xAUCs. RESULTS: The model AUC was 0.76. Top predictors included age, smoking, race, ethnicity, and diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. The model identified a high-risk group with lung cancer incidence 9 times the average cohort incidence, representing 10% of patients with lung cancer. Model performed well temporally and externally, while performance was reduced for Asians and Hispanics. CONCLUSIONS: A high-dimensional model trained using big data identified a subset of patients with high lung cancer risk. The model demonstrated transportability to EHR and claims data, while underscoring the need to assess racial disparities when using machine learning methods. IMPACT: This internally and externally validated real-world data-based lung cancer prediction model is available on an open-source platform for broad sharing and application. Model integration into an EHR system could minimize physician burden by automating identification of high-risk patients.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Humans , Early Detection of Cancer , Incidence , Machine Learning , Electronic Health Records
11.
JMIR AI ; 2: e44537, 2023 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38875565

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ground-glass opacities (GGOs) appearing in computed tomography (CT) scans may indicate potential lung malignancy. Proper management of GGOs based on their features can prevent the development of lung cancer. Electronic health records are rich sources of information on GGO nodules and their granular features, but most of the valuable information is embedded in unstructured clinical notes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop, test, and validate a deep learning-based natural language processing (NLP) tool that automatically extracts GGO features to inform the longitudinal trajectory of GGO status from large-scale radiology notes. METHODS: We developed a bidirectional long short-term memory with a conditional random field-based deep-learning NLP pipeline to extract GGO and granular features of GGO retrospectively from radiology notes of 13,216 lung cancer patients. We evaluated the pipeline with quality assessments and analyzed cohort characterization of the distribution of nodule features longitudinally to assess changes in size and solidity over time. RESULTS: Our NLP pipeline built on the GGO ontology we developed achieved between 95% and 100% precision, 89% and 100% recall, and 92% and 100% F1-scores on different GGO features. We deployed this GGO NLP model to extract and structure comprehensive characteristics of GGOs from 29,496 radiology notes of 4521 lung cancer patients. Longitudinal analysis revealed that size increased in 16.8% (240/1424) of patients, decreased in 14.6% (208/1424), and remained unchanged in 68.5% (976/1424) in their last note compared to the first note. Among 1127 patients who had longitudinal radiology notes of GGO status, 815 (72.3%) were reported to have stable status, and 259 (23%) had increased/progressed status in the subsequent notes. CONCLUSIONS: Our deep learning-based NLP pipeline can automatically extract granular GGO features at scale from electronic health records when this information is documented in radiology notes and help inform the natural history of GGO. This will open the way for a new paradigm in lung cancer prevention and early detection.

12.
J Am Coll Radiol ; 19(10): 1121-1129, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35738412

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To provide recent population-based estimates of transthoracic needle biopsy (TTNB) complications and risk factors associated with these complications. METHODS: This retrospective cohort analysis included adults from a nationally representative longitudinal insurance claims data set who underwent TTNB in 2017 or 2018. Complications that were evaluated included pneumothorax, hemorrhage, and air embolism. Separate logistic regression models estimated the association of pneumothorax or hemorrhage with the setting of care (ie, inpatient or outpatient) and selected baseline patient demographic and clinical characteristics including age, gender, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diagnosis of pleural effusion, tobacco use, use of oral anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents, prior lung cancer screening, previous bronchoscopy within 1 year, and Elixhauser comorbidity index. RESULTS: Among 16,971 patients who underwent TTNB, 25.8% experienced a complication within 3 days of the procedure (pneumothorax 23.3%, hemorrhage 3.6%, and air embolism 0.02%). Among patients who experienced pneumothorax, 31.9% required chest tube drainage. Among patients undergoing an outpatient TTNB (n = 12,443), 6.9% were hospitalized within 7 days. Biopsy in an inpatient setting, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease diagnosis, and prior bronchoscopy were associated with higher rates of both pneumothorax and hemorrhage. Prior lung cancer screening was associated with an increased risk of pneumothorax, and prior use of oral anticoagulants or antiplatelets was associated with higher rates of hemorrhage. CONCLUSION: This contemporary population-based cohort study demonstrated that approximately one-quarter of patients undergoing TTNB experienced a complication. Pneumothorax was the most frequent complication, and hemorrhage and air embolism were rare. Among outpatients, complications from TTNB are an important cause of hospitalization.


Subject(s)
Embolism, Air , Lung Neoplasms , Multiple Pulmonary Nodules , Pneumothorax , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Adult , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Biopsy, Needle/adverse effects , Biopsy, Needle/methods , Cohort Studies , Early Detection of Cancer/adverse effects , Embolism, Air/complications , Embolism, Air/pathology , Hemorrhage/etiology , Hemorrhage/pathology , Humans , Image-Guided Biopsy/methods , Lung , Lung Neoplasms/pathology , Multiple Pulmonary Nodules/pathology , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/complications , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
14.
J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol ; 32(6): 1529-1537, 2021 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33760297

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) are commonly used for the treatment of newly diagnosed symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), however initial AAD choice, duration of therapy, rates of discontinuation, and factors associated with a durable response to therapy are poorly understood. This study assesses the initial choice and duration of antiarrhythmic drug therapy in the first 2 years after diagnosis of AF in a younger, commercially insured population. METHODS: A large nationally representative sample of patients age 20-64 was studied using the IBM MarketScan Database. Patients who started an AAD within 90 days of AF diagnosis with continuous enrollment for 1-year pre-index diagnosis and 2 years post-index were included. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine factors associated with AAD discontinuation. RESULTS: Flecainide was used most frequently (26.8%), followed by amiodarone (22.5%), dronedarone (18.3%), sotalol (15.8%), and propafenone (14.0%), with other AADs used less frequently. Twenty-two percent of patients who started on an AAD underwent ablation within 2 years, with 79% discontinuing the AAD after ablation. Ablation was the strongest predictor of AAD discontinuation (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.61-1.80), followed by the male gender (HR, 1.10; CI: 1.02-1.19). Older patients (HR, 0.76; CI: 0.72-0.80; reference age 18-49) and those with comorbidities, including cardiomyopathy (HR, 075; CI: 0.61-0.91), diabetes (HR, 0.83; CI: 0.75-0.91), and hypertension (HR, 0.87; CI: 0.81-0.94) were less likely to discontinue AADs. CONCLUSION: Only 31% of patients remained on the initial AAD at 2 years, with a mean duration of initial therapy 7.6 months before discontinuation.


Subject(s)
Amiodarone , Atrial Fibrillation , Catheter Ablation , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/adverse effects , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Flecainide/adverse effects , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Sotalol , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
15.
JAMIA Open ; 4(1): ooab017, 2021 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33733059

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To propose a visual display-the probability threshold plot (PTP)-that transparently communicates a predictive models' measures of discriminative accuracy along the range of model-based predicted probabilities (Pt). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We illustrate the PTP by replicating a previously-published and validated machine learning-based model to predict antihyperglycemic medication cessation within 1-2 years following metabolic surgery. The visual characteristics of the PTPs for each model were compared to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: A total of 18 887 patients were included for analysis. Whereas during testing each predictive model had nearly identical ROC curves and corresponding area under the curve values (0.672 and 0.673), the visual characteristics of the PTPs revealed substantive between-model differences in sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV across the range of Pt. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: The PTP provides improved visual display of a predictive model's discriminative accuracy, which can enhance the practical application of predictive models for medical decision making.

16.
Open Heart ; 7(2)2020 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32998979

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Radiofrequency catheter ablation is an effective treatment to alleviate symptoms and reduce recurrent implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD/CRT-D) shocks in patients with ventricular tachycardia (VT). OBJECTIVE: To assess the characteristics and outcomes (complications, inpatient readmissions) of commercially insured patients in the USA undergoing ablation for ischaemic or non-ischaemic VT. METHODS: Patients aged 18-64 years with a primary diagnosis of VT who underwent ablation between 2006 and 2015 were identified using the IBM MarketScan Commercial Database. The rate of complications including vascular complications, pericarditis, pulmonary embolism and pericardial tamponade over a 30-day post-ablation period (including index admission) was examined. Inpatient readmissions (VT-related, heart failure (HF)-related and non-VT arrhythmia-related) over the 12-month post-ablation period were examined. A Cox regression model was used to determine factors associated with inpatient readmissions. RESULTS: 5242 patients (488 with ischaemic and 4754 with non-ischaemic VT) met the study criteria. The majority of VT ablations occurred in an outpatient setting (57% for ischaemic and 66% for non-ischaemic VT). Among complications, vascular complications were most frequent (2.05% among ischaemic and 1.6% among non-ischaemic VT patients) over the 30-day post-ablation period. Among ischaemic VT patients, 17%, 7.6% and 4.7% had VT-related, HF-related and non-VT arrhythmia-related inpatient readmissions, respectively in the 12-month post-ablation period. For non-ischaemic VT patients, these numbers were 7.5%, 1.7% and 3.1%, respectively. Inpatient setting (vs outpatient), baseline ICD/CRT-D implantation, HF comorbidity and ≥2 prior hospitalisations were associated with a higher risk of post-ablation VT-related inpatient readmissions among ischaemic VT patients. Similar factors also were associated with a higher risk of post-ablation VT-related inpatient readmission among non-ischaemic VT patients. CONCLUSION: Setting of ablation and comorbidity status were found to influence readmission rates. Complication and readmission rates following VT ablation were low indicating towards the favourable safety profile of VT ablation.


Subject(s)
Catheter Ablation , Heart Rate , Tachycardia, Ventricular/surgery , Administrative Claims, Healthcare , Adolescent , Adult , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Comorbidity , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Readmission , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Tachycardia, Ventricular/diagnosis , Tachycardia, Ventricular/physiopathology , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States , Young Adult
17.
Surg Obes Relat Dis ; 16(11): 1661-1671, 2020 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32811709

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) is the most common type of bariatric surgery performed in the United States and may be performed on an outpatient basis. Limited literature exists comparing outcomes of outpatient and inpatient LSG, and study results are conflicting. OBJECTIVES: To compare safety and utilization outcomes of outpatient versus inpatient LSG. SETTINGS: Retrospective, multihospital database study (Optum Pan-Therapeutics Database). METHODS: Patients 18 years of age and older who underwent LSG between October 1, 2015, and December 31, 2018, were identified from the Optum Pan-Therapeutics Database and classified as having undergone outpatient or inpatient surgery. Nearest neighbor propensity score matching and generalized estimating equations accounting for procedural physician-level clustering were used to compare the following outcomes between outpatient and inpatient LSG: all-cause 30-day patient morbidity, hospital readmission, readmission length of stay, bariatric reoperation. and mortality. RESULTS: We identified 22,945 patients (outpatient: 1542; inpatient: 21,403) meeting the study inclusion criteria. After propensity score matching, the inpatient and outpatient groups contained 1542 and 13,903 patients, respectively. Bariatric reoperation (n = 13) and mortality (n = 5) were rare events occurring in <.1% of all cases. Compared with the inpatient group, the outpatient group had a statistically significant lower readmission length of stay (4.63 versus 3.23 days; P = .0057). Otherwise, there was no significant association between procedure setting and 30-day overall morbidity (4.8% versus 5.3%; P = .5775) or hospital readmission (2.6% versus 2.1%; P = .1841). CONCLUSIONS: Safety and utilization outcomes were similar between outpatient and inpatient LSG, and outpatient LSG was associated with shorter hospital readmission length of stay.


Subject(s)
Bariatric Surgery , Laparoscopy , Obesity, Morbid , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , Gastrectomy , Humans , Inpatients , Obesity, Morbid/surgery , Outpatients , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
18.
BMJ Open ; 10(8): e035499, 2020 08 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32759243

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare real-world clinical and economic outcomes among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergoing cardiac ablation with the contact force-sensing porous tip THERMOCOOL SMARTTOUCH SF (STSF) catheter versus the Arctic Front Advance Cryoballoon (AFA-CB) catheter. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational cohort study. SETTING: Premier Healthcare Database (PHD), between 1 September 2016 and 30 June 2018. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with AF (≥18 years) were included if they had an index ablation procedure performed using the STSF catheter or AFA-CB catheter at a US hospital that consistently provided inpatient and outpatient data to PHD in the 12-month preindex period. Using 1:1 propensity score matching, patient groups were matched on study covariates. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost, length of stay (LOS), readmissions, direct current cardioversion (DCCV) and reablation outcomes were compared between matched cohorts of STSF and AFA-CB patients. RESULTS: A total of 3015 patients with AF met the study criteria, of which 1720 had ablation using the STSF catheter and 1295 had ablation using the AFA-CB catheter. In the propensity-matched sample, patients receiving ablation with the STSF catheter had ~17% lower total costs (US$23 096 vs US$27 682, p≤0.0001) and ~27% lower supply costs (US$10 208 vs US$13 816, p≤0.0001) versus patients receiving ablation with the AFA-CB catheter. A significantly lower likelihood of 4-month to 6-month cardiovascular-related readmission (OR 0.460, 95% CI 0.220 to 0.959) was associated with the STSF catheter versus the AFA-CB catheter. No significant differences in LOS, room and board cost, 4-month to 6-month all-cause and AF-related readmissions, DCCV and reablation were observed among technologies. Sensitivity analysis restricting patient sample by provider ablation volume demonstrated similar results. CONCLUSION: Lower index ablation total and supply costs were observed among patients with AF undergoing cardiac catheter ablation using the STSF catheter versus the AFA-CB catheter.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Catheter Ablation , Adult , Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Catheters , Equipment Design , Humans , Porosity , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
19.
JACC Clin Electrophysiol ; 6(6): 636-645, 2020 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32553212

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study identified factors associated with risk for cardiac perforation in the setting of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation in contemporary clinical practice. BACKGROUND: Cardiac perforation is an uncommon but potentially fatal complication of AF ablation. An improved understanding of factors associated with cardiac perforation could facilitate improvements in procedural safety. METHODS: Logistic regression models were used to assess predictors of cardiac perforation among Medicare beneficiaries who underwent AF ablation from July 1, 2013 and December 31, 2017. Cardiac perforation was defined as a diagnosis of hemopericardium, cardiac tamponade, or pericardiocentesis, within 30 days of AF ablation. RESULTS: Of 102,398 patients who underwent AF ablation, 0.61% (n = 623) experienced cardiac perforation as a procedural complication. Rates of cardiac perforation decreased over time. In adjusted analyses of the overall population, female sex (odds ratio [OR]: 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14 to 1.58; p = 0.0004), obesity (OR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.68; p = 0.0050), and absence of intracardiac echocardiography (ICE) (OR: 4.85; 95% CI: 4.11 to 5.71; p < 0.0001) were associated with increased risk for cardiac perforation, whereas previous cardiac surgery (OR: 0.14; 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.26; p < 0.0001) was associated with a lower risk for perforation. Patient risk factors for cardiac perforation were identical in the subset of patients in whom ICE was used (n = 76,134). A risk score was generated with the following point assignments: female sex (1 point); obesity (1 point); nonuse of ICE (5 points); and previous cardiac surgery (-6 points). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac perforation is a rare complication of AF ablation; incidence has decreased over time. One of the strongest predictors of cardiac perforation in the contemporary era is a modifiable factor, use of intraprocedural ICE.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Catheter Ablation , Aged , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Female , Humans , Medicare , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
20.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 20(1): 161, 2020 04 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32252637

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation (CA) has emerged as an effective treatment for symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). However practice patterns and patient factors associated with referral for CA within the first 12 months after diagnosis are poorly characterized. This study examined overall procedural trends and factors predictive of catheter ablation for newly-diagnosed atrial fibrillation in a young, commercially-insured population. METHODS: A large nationally-representative sample of patients age 20 to 64 from years 2010 to 2016 was studied using the IBM MarketScan® Commercial Database. Patients were included with a new diagnosis of AF in the inpatient or outpatient setting with continuous enrollment for at least 1 year pre and post index visit. Patients were excluded if they had prior history of AF or had filled an anti-arrhythmic drug (AAD) in the pre-index period. RESULTS: Early CA increased from 5.0% in 2010 to 10.5% in 2016. Patients were less likely to undergo CA if they were located in the Northeast (OR: 0.80, CI: 0.73-0.88) or North Central (OR: 0.91, CI: 0.83-0.99) regions (compared with the West), had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores, or had Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score of 3 or greater (OR: 0.61; CI: 0.51-0.72). CONCLUSIONS: CA within 12 months for new-diagnosed AF increased significantly from 2010 to 2016, with most patients still trialed on an AAD prior to CA. Patients are less likely to be referred for early CA if they are located in the Northeast and North Central regions, have more comorbidities, or higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Catheter Ablation/trends , Healthcare Disparities/trends , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/trends , Time-to-Treatment/trends , Adult , Age Factors , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Residence Characteristics , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
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