The MELD Score Is Superior to the Maddrey Discriminant Function Score to Predict Short-Term Mortality in Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis: A Global Study.

INTRODUCTION: Several scoring systems predict mortality in alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH), including the Maddrey discriminant function (mDF) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score developed in the United States, Glasgow alcoholic hepatitis score in the United Kingdom, and age, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine score in Spain. To date, no global studies have examined the utility of these scores, nor has the MELD-sodium been evaluated for outcome prediction in AH. In this study, we assessed the accuracy of different scores to predict short-term mortality in AH and investigated additional factors to improve mortality prediction. METHODS: Patients admitted to hospital with a definite or probable AH were recruited by 85 tertiary centers in 11 countries and across 3 continents. Baseline demographic and laboratory variables were obtained. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 28 and 90 days. RESULTS: In total, 3,101 patients were eligible for inclusion. After exclusions (n = 520), 2,581 patients were enrolled (74.4% male, median age 48 years, interquartile range 40.9-55.0 years). The median MELD score was 23.5 (interquartile range 20.5-27.8). Mortality at 28 and 90 days was 20% and 30.9%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 28-day mortality ranged from 0.776 for MELD-sodium to 0.701 for mDF, and for 90-day mortality, it ranged from 0.773 for MELD to 0.709 for mDF. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for mDF to predict death was significantly lower than all other scores. Age added to MELD obtained only a small improvement of AUC. DISCUSSION: These results suggest that the mDF score should no longer be used to assess AH's prognosis. The MELD score has the best performance in predicting short-term mortality.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: the association between hepatitis E seroprevalence and haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection appears to be more common than previously thought. HEV seroprevalence in patients on maintenance haemodialysis (HD) is unclear with a range from 0% to 44%. In addition, risk factors of transmission of HEV in patients on haemodialysis are unknown. AIM: To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of HEV seroprevalence in HD patients compared with controls. METHODS: A systematic search of several databases identified all observational studies with comparative arms. Two reviewers extracted data and assessed the methodological quality. A random-effects model was used for pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of positive anti-HEV IgG in both groups. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed with appropriate tests. RESULTS: We identified 31 studies from 17 countries between 1994 and 2016. Sixteen studies were judged to have adequate quality and 15 to have moderate limitations. HEV infection was more prevalent in patients on haemodialysis compared with controls (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.79-3.40, I2 = 75.2%, P < .01). We conducted several subgroup analyses without difference in results. Egger regression test did not suggest publication bias (P = .83). Specific risk factors of HEV transmission in patients on haemodialysis were not clearly identified. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis E virus infection is more prevalent in patients on haemodialysis compared with non-haemodialysis control groups. Further studies are needed to determine risk factors of acquisition, impact on health, and risk for chronic HEV especially among those patients going to receive organ transplantation.

Acute Kidney Injury in Cirrhosis: Baseline Serum Creatinine Predicts Patient Outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: The International Ascites Club (IAC) recently defined Stage 1 acute kidney injury (AKI) for cirrhosis as an acute increase in serum creatinine (SCr) by ≥0.3 mg/dl or by ≥50% in <48 h from a stable value within 3 months. The baseline SCr may influence AKI risk and patient outcomes. The objective of this study is to determine in cirrhosis whether the baseline SCr has any effect on the in-hospital AKI course and patient survival. METHODS: North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease is a consortium of tertiary-care hepatology centers prospectively enroling non-elective cirrhotic inpatients. Patients with different baseline SCr levels (≤0.5, 0.51-1.0, 1.01-1.5, >1.5 mg/dl) were evaluated for the development of AKI, and compared for AKI outcomes and 30-day survival. RESULTS: 653 hospitalized cirrhotics (56.7±10years, 64% men, 30% with infection) were included. The incidence of AKI was 47% of enrolled patients. Patients with higher baseline SCr were more likely to develop AKI, with significantly higher delta and peak SCr (P<0.001) than the other groups, more likely to have a progressive AKI course (P<0.0001), associated with a significantly reduced 30-day survival (P<0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression showed that the delta SCr during an AKI episode to be the strongest factor impacting AKI outcomes and survival (P<0.001), with a delta SCr of 0.70 mg/dl having a 68% sensitivity and 80% specificity for predicting 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Admitted cirrhotic patients with higher baseline SCr are at higher risk for in-hospital development of AKI, and more likely to have AKI progression with reduced survival. Therefore, such patients should be closely monitored and treated promptly for their AKI.

Prevalence and in-hospital mortality trends of infections among patients with cirrhosis: a nationwide study of hospitalised patients in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Data on bacterial infections in hospitalised patients in the US with cirrhosis are derived largely from single centre data. Countrywide data in this population are lacking. AIM: To assess prevalence of infections among hospitalised patients in the US and examine their impact on in-hospital mortality and health care resources utilisation. METHODS: Nationwide Inpatient Sample (1998-2007) was queried for hospitalisations with cirrhosis and examined for infections including spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), urinary tract infection (UTI), skin and soft tissue infections, pneumonia and Clostridium difficile infections (CDI). In-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS) and total charges were analysed. RESULTS: Of 742,391 admissions with cirrhosis, 168,654 (23%) had discharge diagnosis of any infection. Between 1998 and 2007, there was a trend towards increasing prevalence of infections (21-25%). Higher rates of infection were associated with ascites (22-25%) and renal insufficiency (RI) (38-43%). Infection with RI increased from 13% in 1998 to 27% in 2007. UTI was the most common infection (9-12%) followed by subcutaneous tissue infections (5-6%) and SBP (2-3%, around 12% in patients with ascites). Infection rate was similar among teaching and nonteaching hospitals with CDI and SBP being more common in teaching hospitals. In-hospital mortality was about 5%, over fivefold higher in infected cirrhotics, and associated with higher LOS and charges. Sepsis (38-42%), pneumonia (23-30%), SBP (16-23%) and CDI (11-16%) contributed most to in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of infections among hospitalised patients with cirrhosis in the US is increasing and is associated with in-hospital mortality, renal insufficiency and costs.

Randomised clinical trial: the safety and efficacy of long-acting octreotide in patients with portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether a long-acting preparation of octreotide (Sandostatin LAR) can be safely used for portal hypertension in patients with compensated cirrhosis. AIM: To determine the safety and efficacy of LAR among patients with Child Pugh Class A or B cirrhosis and small oesophageal varices. METHODS: A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled study was conducted in 39 patients with cirrhosis and small oesophageal varices. Safety was based on frequency and severity of adverse events. Efficacy was determined by hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) measured at baseline and day 84 following administration of LAR 10 mg (n = 15), 30 mg (n = 10) or saline (n = 14). Fasting and postprandial portal blood flow (PBF), superior mesenteric artery pulsatility index (SMA-PI), glucagon and octreotide levels were measured. An intention-to-treat analysis was performed. RESULTS: Four patients in the LAR 30 group (40%) withdrew from the study due to serious adverse events. No patient in the LAR 10 or control group had serious adverse events. There was no statistically significant decrease between HVPG at day 84 and baseline with LAR 30 mg (11.8 ± 2.3 mmHg vs. 14.1 ± 3.2), LAR 10 mg (15.3 ± 4.8 mmHg vs. 15.1 ± 3.8), or saline (13.3 ± 3.8 mmHg vs. 15.1 ± 4.3) (P = 0.26). Neither PBF, SMA-PI nor plasma glucagon levels were significantly decreased from baseline (P = 0.56). CONCLUSIONS: The absence of significant haemodynamic benefit, as well as the high frequency of severe adverse events associated with use of LAR, do not support the use of this agent in the treatment of portal hypertension.

Secondary and tertiary structure modeling reveals effects of novel mutations in polycystic liver disease genes PRKCSH and SEC63.

Polycystic liver disease (PCLD) is characterized by intralobular bile duct cysts in the liver. It is caused by mutations in PRKCSH, encoding hepatocystin, and SEC63, encoding Sec63p. The main goals of this study were to screen for novel mutations and to analyze mutations for effects on protein structure and function. We screened 464 subjects including 76 probands by direct sequencing or conformation-sensitive capillary electrophoresis. We analyzed the effects of all known and novel mutations using a combination of splice site recognition, evolutionary conservation, secondary and tertiary structure predictions, PolyPhen, and pMut and sift. We identified a total of 26 novel mutations in PRKCSH (n = 14) and SEC63 (n = 12), including four splice site mutations, eight insertions/ deletions, six non-sense mutations, and eight missense mutations. Out of 48 PCLD mutations, 13 were predicted to affect splicing. Most mutations were located in highly conserved regions and homology modeling for two domains of Sec63p showed severe effects of the residue substitutions. In conclusion, we identified 26 novel mutations associated with PCLD and we provide in silico analysis in order to delineate the role of these mutations.

Predictors of early re-bleeding and mortality after acute variceal haemorrhage in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk factors for mortality and re-bleeding following acute variceal haemorrhage (AVH) are incompletely understood. The aim of this study was to determine risk factors for 6-week mortality, and re-bleeding within 5 days in patients with cirrhosis and AVH. METHODS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to determine risk factors among 256 patients with AVH entered into a randomised, prospective trial. RESULTS: Thirty-five patients (14%) died within 6 weeks of AVH; 14 deaths (40%) occurred within 5 days. Only the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and units of packed red blood cells (PRBCs) transfused in the first 24 h were associated with 6-week mortality univariately (HR 1.11, p < 0.001; HR 1.22, p < 0.001) and bivariately (HR MELD = 1.10, p < 0.001; HR per unit of PRBCs transfused = 1.15, p = 0.005). Re-bleeding within 5 days occurred in 37 patients (15%); MELD score (p = 0.01) and a clot on a varix (p = 0.05) predicted re-bleeding. Patients with a MELD score > or = 18; both MELD score > or = 18 and > or = 4 units of PRBCs transfused; both MELD score > or = 18 and active bleeding at index endoscopy; and variceal re-bleeding had increased risk of death 6 weeks post-AVH (HR = 7.4, p < 0.001; 11.3, p < 0.001; 9.9, p < 0.001; 10.2, p < 0.001 respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with AVH and MELD score > or = 18, requiring > or = 4 units of PRBCs within the first 24 h or with active bleeding at endoscopy are at increased risk of dying within 6 weeks. MELD score > or = 18 is also a strong predictor of variceal re-bleeding within the first 5 days.

Charcoal hemofiltration for hepatic veno-occlusive disease after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Hepatic veno-occlusive disease (HVOD) after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) results in considerable morbidity and mortality. No therapy has been shown to be uniformly effective. Several studies have highlighted the pivotal role of endothelial injury and the hemostatic system in the pathogenesis of HVOD. Charcoal hemofiltration has been shown to be effective for adsorbing circulating bilirubin and other protein-bound toxins and for supporting patients in hepatic failure. We describe two adult patients with severe, biopsy-proven HVOD (peak bilirubin levels, more than 50 mg/dl in both cases) after HSCT who were successfully treated with charcoal hemofiltration after other treatments failed (including defibrotide in one patient). Both patients were heavily treated before they underwent either autologous (melphalan and total body irradiation conditioning) or allogeneic (cyclophosphamide and total body irradiation conditioning) HSCT. Additional studies are warranted to confirm this preliminary observation and investigate the mechanism of action.

Regional and systemic hemodynamic disturbances in cirrhosis.

In cirrhosis of the liver there is an imbalance between factors mediating vasodilatation such as nitric oxide and factors mediating vasoconstriction such as endothelins. These imbalances result in portal hypertension, hepatorenal syndrome, portopulmonary hypertension, hepatopulmonary syndrome, as well as alterations in cerebral blood flow.

A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease.

A recent mandate emphasizes severity of liver disease to determine priorities in allocating organs for liver transplantation and necessitates a disease severity index based on generalizable, verifiable, and easily obtained variables. The aim of the study was to examine the generalizability of a model previously created to estimate survival of patients undergoing the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure in patient groups with a broader range of disease severity and etiology. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) consists of serum bilirubin and creatinine levels, International Normalized Ratio (INR) for prothrombin time, and etiology of liver disease. The model's validity was tested in 4 independent data sets, including (1) patients hospitalized for hepatic decompensation (referred to as "hospitalized" patients), (2) ambulatory patients with noncholestatic cirrhosis, (3) patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), and (4) unselected patients from the 1980s with cirrhosis (referred to as "historical" patients). In these patients, the model's ability to classify patients according to their risk of death was examined using the concordance (c)-statistic. The MELD scale performed well in predicting death within 3 months with a c-statistic of (1) 0.87 for hospitalized patients, (2) 0.80 for noncholestatic ambulatory patients, (3) 0.87 for PBC patients, and (4) 0.78 for historical cirrhotic patients. Individual complications of portal hypertension had minimal impact on the model's prediction (range of improvement in c-statistic: <.01 for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and variceal hemorrhage to ascites: 0.01-0.03). The MELD scale is a reliable measure of mortality risk in patients with end-stage liver disease and suitable for use as a disease severity index to determine organ allocation priorities.