Zoonotic infections by avian influenza virus: changing global epidemiology, investigation, and control.

Avian influenza virus continues to pose zoonotic, epizootic, and pandemic threats worldwide, as exemplified by the 2020-23 epizootics of re-emerging H5 genotype avian influenza viruses among birds and mammals and the fatal jump to humans of emerging A(H3N8) in early 2023. Future influenza pandemic threats are driven by extensive mutations and reassortments of avian influenza viruses rooted in frequent interspecies transmission and genetic mixing and underscore the urgent need for more effective actions. We examine the changing global epidemiology of human infections caused by avian influenza viruses over the past decade, including dramatic increases in both the number of reported infections in humans and the spectrum of avian influenza virus subtypes that have jumped to humans. We also discuss the use of advanced surveillance, diagnostic technologies, and state-of-the-art analysis methods for tracking emerging avian influenza viruses. We outline an avian influenza virus-specific application of the One Health approach, integrating enhanced surveillance, tightened biosecurity, targeted vaccination, timely precautions, and timely clinical management, and fostering global collaboration to control the threats of avian influenza viruses.

Precise lymph node biopsy for endometrial cancer confined to the uterus: Analysis of 43 clinical cases.

OBJECTIVE: To explore a precise association between tumor location and lymph node (LN) biopsy algorithm in uterine confined endometrial cancer (EC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with EC treated in the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, South Branch of Fujian Provincial Hospital were included in this observational retrospective study. Based on the procedure of treatment, patients were separated to stage I (2015.07-2019.09) and stage II (2019.09-2021.9). In each stage, patients were separated to high and low-risk group by the predicted results. Patients in the high-risk group received systematic lymphadenectomy in stage I and sentinel lymph node (SLN) dissection in stage II. The efficiency of lymph node metastasis (LNM) detection rates was compared between stage I and stage II cases. Precise lymph node biopsy algorithm was also constructed based on the outcomes of stage II. RESULTS: Overall, 43 patients, 28 in stage I and 15 in stage II, were included in the study. No recurrence or death cases had been found within follow-up terms. Based on the difference in the detection efficiency of LNM (p > 0.05), there was no difference between two stages. Thus, systematic lymphadenectomy and SLN biopsy provided similar success rates. The location of tumor site was also important for deciding whether pelvic or para-aortic SLN should be sampled for LNM. CONCLUSIONS: Precise SLN biopsy for EC confined to the uterus showed comparable LNM detection rate as systematic lymphadenectomy. EC location may be used to determine whether pelvic or para-aortic SLN sampling should be conducted for treatment.

Using the CLSI rAST breakpoints of Enterobacterales in positive blood cultures.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to provide the clinic with rapid and accurate results of antimicrobial susceptibility testing for the treatment of patients with bloodstream infections. To achieve this, we applied the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI) blood culture direct rapid antimicrobial susceptibility test (rAST) to assess the susceptibility of the most common Enterobacterales found in blood cultures. METHODS: In this study, we utilized the CLSI blood culture direct rapid antimicrobial susceptibility test to assess the susceptibility (rAST) of the most common Enterobacterales present in blood cultures. We chose this method for its simplicity in analysis, and our aim was to predict minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) using the rAST. As a benchmark, we assumed that Broth Macrodilution method (BMD) results were 100% accurate. For data evaluation, we employed the terms categorical agreement (CA), very major errors (VME), and major errors (ME). RESULTS: Our findings demonstrate that the CLSI rAST method is reliable for rapidly determining the in vitro susceptibility of Enterobacterales to common antimicrobial drugs in bloodstream infections. We achieved a concordance rate of 90% in classification within a 10-hour timeframe. We identified a total of 112 carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) strains, and there was no significant difference in the detection rate of CRE at 6, 10, and 16 hours. This suggests that CRE can be identified as early as 6 hours. CONCLUSION: The CLSI rAST is a valuable tool that can be utilized in clinical practice to quickly determine the susceptibility of Enterobacterales to antimicrobial drugs within 10 hours. This capability can greatly assist in the clinical management of patients with bloodstream infections.

[Carbapenemase Genes, Virulence Genes, and Molecular Epidemiology of Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae Derived From Bloodstream Infections]. / è¡€æµæ„ŸæŸ“ç¢³é’éœ‰çƒ¯è€è¯è‚ºç‚Žå ‹é›·ä¼¯èŒçš„è€è¯åŸºå› å’Œæ¯’åŠ›åŸºå› åŠåˆ†å­æµè¡Œç— å­¦ç ”ç©¶.

Objective: To investigate the clinical characteristics and molecular epidemiology of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) isolated from patients with bloodstream infections in a large tertiary-care general hospital in Southwest China. Methods: A total of 131 strains of non-repeating CRKP were collected from the blood cultures of patients who had bloodstream infections in 2015-2019. The strains were identified by VITEK-2, a fully automated microbial analyzer, and matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization-time of flight (MALDI-TOF) mass spectrometry. The minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) was determined by microbroth dilution method. The common carbapenemase resistant genes and virulence factors were identified by PCR. Homology analysis was performed by multilocus sequencing typing. Whole genome sequencing was performed to analyze the genomic characteristics of CRKP without carbapenemase. Results: The 131 strains of CRKP showed resistance to common antibiotics, except for polymyxin B (1.6% resistance rate) and tigacycline (8.0% resistance rate). A total of 105 (80.2%) CRKP strains carried the Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC) resistance gene, 15 (11.4%) strains carried the New Delhi Metallo-ß-lactamase (NDM) gene, and 4 (3.1%) isolates carried both KPC and NDM genes. Sequence typing (ST) 11 (74.0%) was the dominant sequence type. High detection rates for mrkD (96.2%), fimH (98.5%), entB (100%), and other virulence genes were reported. One hypervirulent CRKP strain was detected. The seven strains of CRKP that did not produce carbapenemase were shown to carry ESBL or AmpC genes and had anomalies in membrane porins OMPK35 and OMPK36, according to whole genome sequencing. Conclusion: In a large-scale tertiary-care general hospital, CRKP mainly carries the KPC gene, has a high drug resistance rate to a variety of antibiotics, and possesses multiple virulence genes. Attention should be paid to CRKP strains with high virulence.

Diagnostic Efficacy of a Novel Rotating Brush for Endoscopic Sampling of Malignant Biliary Strictures: A Multicenter Prospective Study.

INTRODUCTION: Although cytologic examination of biliary stricture brushings obtained by endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography is commonly used for diagnosing malignant biliary strictures (MBSs), it has low sensitivity. Several new brushes have capabilities that are still being debated. We have developed a novel brush working from conventional back-and-forth movement to rotation in situ (RIS) that may be more efficient for MBS sampling. We aimed to compare the MBS detection sensitivity of our RIS brush with that of the conventional brush. METHODS: In this multicenter prospective study, we enrolled patients who underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for suspected MBSs involving biliary stricture brushings obtained using our RIS brush. The historical control group consisted of the 30-brushing arm of our previous randomized trial (patient inclusion, 2018-2020) that used the study design in the same centers and with the same endoscopists as were used in this study. The primary outcome was to compare the sensitivity and specificity of detecting MBSs by cytologic evaluation of biliary stricture brushings between the 2 groups. RESULTS: We enrolled 155 patients in the intent-to-treat analysis. Using the same number of brushing cycles, the RIS brush showed a higher sensitivity than the conventional brush (0.73 vs 0.56, P = 0.003). In per-protocol population, the sensitivity was also higher in the RIS brush group than in the conventional brush group (0.75 vs 0.57, P = 0.002). Multivariate analysis revealed that the RIS brush was the only predictive factor for MBS detection. No significant differences were observed in procedure-related complications between the 2 groups. DISCUSSION: The RIS brush was a promising tool for effective and safe MBS sampling and diagnosis. Further randomized studies are warranted to confirm our results (Chictr.org.cn, identifier: ChiCTR2100047270).

Immune Regulatory Networks and Therapy of γδ T Cells in Liver Cancer: Recent Trends and Advancements.

The roles of γδ T cells in liver cancer, especially in the potential function of immunotherapy due to their direct cytotoxic effects on tumor cells and secretion of important cytokines and chemokines, have aroused research interest. This review briefly describes the basic characteristics of γδ T cells, focusing on their diverse effects on liver cancer. In particular, different subtypes of γδ T cells have diverse or even opposite effects on liver cancer. We provide a detailed description of the immune regulatory network of γδ T cells in liver cancer from two aspects: immune components and nonimmune components. The interactions between various components in this immune regulatory network are dynamic and pluralistic, ultimately determining the biological effects of γδ T cells in liver cancer. We also integrate the current knowledge of γδ T-cell immunotherapy for liver cancer treatment, emphasizing the potential of these cells in liver cancer immunotherapy.

Sevelamer reverses liver fibrosis by deactivation of hepatic stellate cells.

Liver fibrosis is a chronic liver disease characterized by a progressive wound healing response caused by chronic liver injury. Currently, there are no approved clinical treatments for liver fibrosis. Sevelamer is used clinically to treat hyperphosphatemia and has shown potential therapeutic effects on liver diseases. However, there have been few studies evaluating the therapeutic effects of sevelamer on liver fibrosis, and the specific mechanisms are still unclear. In this study, we investigated the antifibrotic effects of sevelamer-induced low inorganic phosphate (Pi) stress in vitro and in vivo and analyzed the detailed mechanisms. We found that low Pi stress could inhibit the proliferation of activated hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) by promoting apoptosis, effectively suppressing the migration and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) of hepatic stellate cells. Additionally, low Pi stress significantly increased the antioxidant stress response. It is worth noting that low Pi stress indirectly inhibited the activation and migration of HSCs by suppressing transforming growth factor ß (TGF-ß) expression in macrophages. In a rat model of liver fibrosis, oral administration of sevelamer significantly decreased blood phosphorus levels, improved liver function, reduced liver inflammation, and increased the antioxidant stress response in the liver. Our study revealed that the key mechanism by which sevelamer inhibited liver fibrosis involved binding to gastrointestinal phosphate, resulting in a decrease in blood phosphorus levels, the downregulation of TGF-ß expression in macrophages, and the inhibition of HSC migration and fibrosis-related protein expression. Therefore, our results suggest that sevelamer-induced low Pi stress can attenuate hepatic stellate cell activation and inhibit the progression of liver fibrosis, making it a potential option for the treatment of liver fibrosis and other refractory chronic liver diseases.

Assisted reproductive technology treatment failure and the detection of intrauterine HPV through spent embryo transfer media sample.

Cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is believed to increase the risks of pregnancy failure and abortion, however, whether the uterine cavity HPV infection reduces pregnancy rate or increases miscarriage rate remains unclarified in infertile women undergoing assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment. Therefore, we aimed to assess ART outcomes in the presence of intrauterine HPV. This was a hospital-based multicenter (five reproductive medicine centers) matched cohort study. This study involved 4153 infertile women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection treatment in five reproductive medicine centers between October 2018 and 2020. The spent embryo transfer media sample with endometrium tissue were collected and performed with flow-through hybridization and gene chips to detect HPV DNA. According to basic characteristics, HPV-positive and negative patients were matched in a ratio of 1:4 by age, body mass index transfer timing, transfer type, and number of embryos transferred. The primary outcome was pregnancy and clinical miscarriage rates in the transfer cycle underwent HPV detection. 92 HPV-positive and 368 HPV-negative patients were screened and analyzed statistically. Univariate analysis showed uterine cavity HPV infection resulted in lower rates of ongoing pregnancy (31.5% vs. 44.6%; p = 0.023), implantation (32.3% vs. 43.1%; p = 0.026), biochemical pregnancy (47.8% vs. 62.5%; p = 0.010), and clinical pregnancy (40.2% vs. 54.3%; p = 0.015) compared with HPV negative group. The infertile female with positive HPV also had a slightly higher frequency of biochemical miscarriage (15.9% vs. 13.0%; p = 0.610) and clinical miscarriage (24.3% vs. 15.5%; p = 0.188). These findings suggest that HPV infection in the uterine cavity is a high risk for ART failure. HPV screening is recommended before ART treatment, which may be benefit to improving pregnancy outcome.

The effects of economic status on metabolic control in type 2 diabetes mellitus at 10 metabolic management centers in China.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated the association of economic status with metabolic index control in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. METHODS: In total, 37 454 T2DM patients from 10 National Metabolic Management Centers in China were recruited and categorized into two groups: a high-gross domestic product (GDP) group (n = 23 993) and a low-GDP group (n = 13 461). Sociodemographic characteristics, medical histories, and lifestyle factors were recorded. Logistic regression and interaction analysis were performed to evaluate the association of economic status and healthy lifestyle with metabolic control. RESULTS: Compared to the low-GDP group, there were fewer patients with glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels ≥7% in the high-GDP group. Fewer patients with a high GDP had an abnormal metabolic state (HbA1c ≥ 7%, blood pressure [BP] ≥130/80 mm Hg, total cholesterol [TCH] ≥4.5 mmol/L or body mass index [BMI] ≥24 kg/m2 ). The risks of developing HbA1c ≥ 7% (odds ratios [OR] = 0.545 [95% CI: 0.515-0.577], p < .001), BP ≥ 130/80 mm Hg (OR = 0.808 [95% CI: 0.770-0.849], p < .001), BMI ≥ 24 kg/m2 (OR = 0.840 [95% CI: 0.799-0.884], p < .001), and an abnormal metabolic state (OR = 0.533 [95% CI: 0.444-0.636], p < .001) were significantly lower in the high-GDP group even after adjustment for confounding factors. Younger participants; those with a family history of diabetes, normal weight, and a physical activity level up to standard; and those who did not drink alcohol in the high-GDP group were predisposed to better glycemic levels. CONCLUSIONS: T2DM patients in economically developed regions had better metabolic control, especially glycemic control. A healthy lifestyle had an additive effect on achieving glycemic goals, even among high-GDP patients.

Risk assessment of SARS-CoV-2 replicating and evolving in animals.

The retransmissions of SARS-CoV-2 from several mammals - primarily mink and white-tailed deer - to humans have raised concerns for the emergence of a new animal-derived SARS-CoV-2 variant to worsen the pandemic. Here, we discuss animal species that are susceptible to natural or experimental infection with SARS-CoV-2 and can transmit the virus to mates or humans. We describe cutting-edge techniques to assess the impact of a mutation in the viral spike (S) protein on its receptor and on antibody binding. Our review of spike sequences of animal-derived viruses identified nine unique amino acid exchanges in the receptor-binding domain (RBD) that are not present in any variant of concern (VOC). These mutations are present in SARS-CoV-2 found in companion animals such as dogs and cats, and they exhibit a higher frequency in SARS-CoV-2 found in mink and white-tailed deer, suggesting that sustained transmissions may contribute to maintaining novel mutations. Four of these exchanges, such as Leu452Met, could undermine acquired immune protection in humans while maintaining high affinity for the human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor. Finally, we discuss important avenues of future research into animal-derived viruses with public health risks.

Impact of the hybridization form of the coordinated nitrogen atom on the electrocatalytic water oxidation performance of copper complexes with pentadentate amine-pyridine ligands.

The field of molecular catalysts places a strong emphasis on the connection between the ligand structure and its catalytic performance. Herein, we changed the type of coordinated nitrogen atom in pentadentate amine-pyridine ligands to explore the impact of its hybridization form on the water oxidation performance of copper complexes. In the electrochemical tests, the copper complex bearing dipyridine-triamine displayed an apparently higher rate constant of 4.97 s-1, while the copper complex with tripyridine-diamine demonstrated overpotential reduction by 56 mV and better long-term electrolytic stability.

Multi-characteristic tannic acid-reinforced polyacrylamide/sodium carboxymethyl cellulose ionic hydrogel strain sensor for human-machine interaction.

Big data and cloud computing are propelling research in human-computer interface within academia. However, the potential of wearable human-machine interaction (HMI) devices utilizing multiperformance ionic hydrogels remains largely unexplored. Here, we present a motion recognition-based HMI system that enhances movement training. We engineered dual-network PAM/CMC/TA (PCT) hydrogels by reinforcing polyacrylamide (PAM) and sodium carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) polymers with tannic acid (TA). These hydrogels possess exceptional transparency, adhesion, and remodelling features. By combining an elastic PAM backbone with tunable amounts of CMC and TA, the PCT hydrogels achieve optimal electromechanical performance. As strain sensors, they demonstrate higher sensitivity (GF = 4.03), low detection limit (0.5 %), and good linearity (0.997). Furthermore, we developed a highly accurate (97.85 %) motion recognition system using machine learning and hydrogel-based wearable sensors. This system enables contactless real-time training monitoring and wireless control of trolley operations. Our research underscores the effectiveness of PCT hydrogels for real-time HMI, thus advancing next-generation HMI systems.

Risk factors for postoperative recurrence of pT2-3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and patterns of its recurrence.

This study aimed to explore the patterns of postoperative recurrence in patients with pT2-3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and to identify the risk factors for the recurrence. Patients with pT2-3N0M0 ESCC who were treated at our hospital from January 2010 to August 2019 were divided into three categories: those with anastomotic recurrence, those with lymph node recurrence, and those with hematogenous metastasis. The sites of initial recurrence and metastasis were counted and potential risk factors were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression. Four hundred and eighty-five patients with pT2-3N0M0 ESCC were ultimately included, 176 (36.29%) of whom experienced tumor recurrence or metastasis. Cox multivariate analysis revealed that the postoperative T-stage, procedure, tumor location, and degree of differentiation were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence (P < 0.05). The median time of recurrence was 38 months, and the most common site of recurrence was the lymph nodes in 126 patients (71.59%), followed by hematogenous metastasis in 73 patients (41.47%), and anastomotic recurrence in 21 patients (11.93%). 119 patients (67.61%) experienced recurrence within 36 months, with a probability of recurrence of 84.09% within 5 years, and recurrence remained relatively unchanged after 5 years. The proportion of postoperative lymph node recurrence and hematogenous metastasis in patients with pT3N0M0 ESCC was significantly higher than that in patients with pT2N0M0 ESCC (P < 0.05). At higher tumor locations in the body, the proportion of lymph node recurrence increased (P < 0.05). In conclusion, postoperative T-stage, procedure, tumor location, and degree of differentiation were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in pT2-3N0M0 ESCC, with regional lymph node recurrence being the most common pattern, emphasizing the importance of regional lymph nodes in this context.

Microsatellite markers for genotyping of Kodamaea ohmeri: Demonstrating outbreaks based on a multicenter surveillance study in China.

Kodamaea ohmeri, an emerging human pathogen, caused both sporadic and nosocomial infections among immunocompromised people with high mortality. However, there is limited research on the molecular epidemiology of K. ohmeri. A total of fifty microsatellite loci were designed based on K. ohmeri type strain NRRL Y-1932 and three loci were finally selected for microsatellite analysis. Non-duplicated K. ohmeri isolates and strains of other species were collected across China as a part of CHIF-NET program for sensitivity and specificity verification. Antifungal susceptibility was determined using Sensititre YeastOne TM YO10. The three loci (P10, P11 and P26), with a cumulative discriminatory power of 0.98, exhibited a prospective specificity and reproducibility in the PCR of 92 K. ohmeri strains from different hospitals. A total of 54 microsatellite types (MT) were identified and most of them distributed sporadically. However, six strains of MT12 clustered in HZ hospital and were isolated in the same department within two months, indicating a potential outbreak. Of seven isolates exhibited MIC values of >8 mg/L for fluconazole, three isolates from LR hospital shared the same genotype of MT44. Herein, we established a set of microsatellite loci for K. ohmeri, as a rapid and specific tool for genotyping K. ohmeri, and identified several potential clusters. This study will help us better understand the molecular epidemiology of the emerging pathogen K. ohmeri.

Tandem gene duplications contributed to high-level azole resistance in a rapidly expanding Candida tropicalis population.

Invasive diseases caused by the globally distributed commensal yeast Candida tropicalis are associated with mortality rates of greater than 50%. Notable increases of azole resistance have been observed in this species, particularly within Asia-Pacific regions. Here, we carried out a genetic population study on 1571 global C. tropicalis isolates using multilocus sequence typing (MLST). In addition, whole-genome sequencing (WGS) analysis was conducted on 629 of these strains, comprising 448 clinical invasive strains obtained in this study and 181 genomes sourced from public databases. We found that MLST clade 4 is the predominant azole-resistant clone. WGS analyses demonstrated that dramatically increasing rates of azole resistance are associated with a rapid expansion of cluster AZR, a sublineage of clade 4. Cluster AZR isolates exhibited a distinct high-level azole resistance, which was induced by tandem duplications of the ERG11A395T gene allele. Ty3/gypsy-like retrotransposons were found to be highly enriched in this population. The alarming expansion of C. tropicalis cluster AZR population underscores the urgent need for strategies against growing threats of antifungal resistance.

Rare presentation of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma with rectal metastasis: A case report.

Esophageal cancer is usually diagnosed at an advanced stage, resulting in poor survival. The common sites of distant metastasis include lung, liver and bones. The present study reports a rare case of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) with rectal metastasis. A 65-year-old man was diagnosed with middle thoracic esophageal SCC with multiple lymph node metastasis. The patient achieved good response after chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy. During following up, the computed tomography and magnetic resonance scans showed a mass in front of the rectum with intact mucosa. Biopsies were performed and histopathological findings showed SCC, consistent with metastasis from primary esophageal SCC. The patient subsequently received palliative chemoradiotherapy to the rectal tumour and survived for 5 months. To the best of our knowledge, the present case is the first report of metastatic rectal SCC from the esophagus. It is important to take a biopsy of this unexpected lesion for histological analysis, which can help to discriminate metastatic from primary cancer. The goal of treatment is palliative therapy to improve quality of life and survival for this metastatic disease.

Effect of weight loss on proteinuria in adults with type 2 diabetes: A real-world study.

AIMS: To assess the impact of weight loss on proteinuria in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in real-world settings. METHODS: A total of 1054 participants were categorized based on weight change from baseline to one-year follow-up: weight gain (≥3%), stable weight, or weight loss (≥3%). Proteinuria outcomes were defined as urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) progression (≥30 % increase), UACR regression (≥30 % reduction), or UACR stable. Ordered logistic regression analysis evaluated the relationship between weight loss and UACR regression. RESULTS: Of the 1054 participants, 44.5 % were overweight, and 24.1 % were obese. Patients with obesity were at higher risk of developing proteinuria (OR, 1.783; 95 %CI, 1.195 to 2.659). Weight loss was associated with an 83.3 % increase in UACR regression compared to weight gain (OR, 1.833; 95 % CI, 1.262 to 2.663; P = 0.001). This association remained consistent across most subgroups and stronger in males (P for interaction = 0.023), with a 6 % UACR regression for every 1 kg weight loss (OR, 1.06; 95 % CI, 1.02 to 1.10; P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Our real-world study reveals that weight reduction is associated with UACR regression in patients with T2DM, regardless of the approach used for weight management, and the association was much stronger in males.

Camrelizumab combined with apatinib in the treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a real-world assessment.

Although a phase II clinical trial confirmed that camrelizumab combined with apatinib is effective in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we generally lack data on the results of this regimen in real-world clinical practice. In this study, the efficacy and safety of camrelizumab combined with apatinib in the treatment of patients with HCC were re-evaluated. Data from 86 patients with HCC were collected and combinatorically treated with camrelizumab and apatinib at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China. The objective remission rate and disease control rate were 25.6% and 72.1%, respectively. The median progression-free survival was 5 months (95% CI 3.7-6.3 months), and the median overall survival time was 19.0 months (95% CI 16.9-21.1 months). The 12- and 18-month survival rates were 70.9% and 54.2%, respectively. The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were hypertension (24.4%), thrombocytopenia (16.3%), and hyperbilirubinemia (9.3%). Multivariate regression analysis showed that operation history was an independent risk factor for overall survival.

A predictive model for patients with local-regionally advanced oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated after cervical lymph node dissection.

PURPOSE: To develop a nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival of patients with local-regionally advanced oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma after cervical lymph node dissection. METHODS: The clinical variables of patients confirmed as having oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma between 2008 and 2015 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed, followed by the construction of nomograms for CSS. Nomogram' accuracy was evaluated through the concordance index, calibration curves and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1994 oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients who underwent surgery were included in this study. Sex, T-stage, American Joint Committee on Cancer-stage, positive lymph nodes, positive lymph node ratio, log odds of positive lymph nodes, and postoperative radiotherapy were selected to establish the nomogram for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.747 (95% CI 0.714-0.780) in the training calibration cohort and 0.735 (95% CI 0.68-0.789) in the validationcohort and the time-dependent Area under the curve (> 0.7) indicated satisfactory discriminative ability of the nomogram. The calibration plot shows that there is a good consistency between the predictions of the nomogram and the actual observations in the training and validation cohorts. In addition, decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram was clinically useful and had a better ability to recognize patients at high risk than the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis staging. CONCLUSION: The predictive model has the potential to provide valuable guidance to clinicians in the treatment of patients with locoregionally advanced OPSCC confined to the cervical lymph nodes.