Validity of the updated GRACE risk predictor (version 2.0) in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: A new version of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score (version 2.0) has been released recently. The purpose of the present study was to assess the validity of GRACE 2.0 for in-hospital and 1-year mortality in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients. METHODS: The prospective cohort comprised 396 consecutive NSTE-ACS patients admitted to a tertiary hospital between May 2012 and January 2013. The main outcome measure was the discrimination and calibration performance of GRACE 2.0, which were evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, respectively. RESULTS: In-hospital and 1-year mortality were 2% (8/396) and 12.4% (48/388), respectively. The discrimination performance was inadequate (AUC=0.62) for predicting in-hospital mortality for the overall cohort. Also, the calibration performance for in-hospital mortality could not be evaluated due to the low number of patients who died. At one year, the Hosmer-Lemeshow p-values for all subgroups were >0.05, suggesting a good model fit, and the discrimination performance was good (AUC=0.77) for the overall cohort, driven mainly by better accuracy for low-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: In a contemporary cohort of NSTE-ACS patients, GRACE 2.0 was valid for 1-year mortality assessment. Its value for in-hospital mortality requires validation in a larger cohort.

Jet length/velocity ratio: a new index for echocardiographic evaluation of chronic aortic regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Management of aortic regurgitation depends on the assessment for severity. Echocardiography remains as the most widely available tool for evaluation of aortic regurgitation. In this manuscript, we describe a novel parameter, jet length/velocity ratio, for the diagnosis of severe aortic regurgitation. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 30 patients with aortic regurgitation were included to this study. Severity of aortic regurgitation was assessed with an aortic regurgitation index incorporating five echocardiographic parameters. Jet length/velocity ratio is calculated as the ratio of maximum jet penetrance to mean velocity of regurgitant flow. Jet length/velocity ratio was significantly higher in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (2.03 ± 0.53) compared to patients with less than severe aortic regurgitation (1.24 ± 0.32, P < 0.001). Correlation of jet length/velocity ratio with aortic regurgitation index was very good (r(2) = 0.86) and correlation coefficient was higher for jet length/velocity ratio compared to vena contracta, jet width/LVOT ratio and pressure half time. For a cutoff value of 1.61, jet length/velocity ratio had a sensitivity of 92% and specificity of 88%, with an AUC value of 0.955. CONCLUSIONS: Jet length/velocity ratio is a novel parameter that can be used to assess severity of chronic aortic regurgitation. Main limitation for usage of this novel parameter is jet impringement to left ventricular wall.

The relationship between fragmentation on electrocardiography and in-hospital prognosis of patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: In patients with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), QRS fragmentation was determined as one of the indicators of mortality and morbidity. The development of fragmented QRS (fQRS) is related to defects in the ventricular conduction system and is linked to myocardial scar and fibrosis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 355 consecutive patients hospitalized in the coronary intensive care unit of our hospital with STEMI between the years 2010 and 2012 and their electrocardiographic features and the frequency of in-hospital cardiac events were evaluated. RESULTS: There were 217 cases in the fQRS group and 118 cases in the control group. QRS fragmentation was found to be a predictor for major cardiac events. In the fragmented QRS group, the frequency of in-hospital major cardiac events (MACE) and death were higher (MACE p<0.001; death p<0.003). In the fragmented QRS group, the cardiac enzymes (Troponin-I, CK-MB) were significantly higher than in the control group (p<0.001). In subgroup analyses, apart from the presence of fragmentation, the presence of more than 1 type of fragmentation and the number of fragmented deviations were also found to be related with MACE. A significant negative correlation was observed with the ejection fraction and, in particular, the number of fragmented deviations. CONCLUSIONS: Fragmented QRS has emerged as a practical and easily identifiable diagnostic tool for predicting in-hospital cardiac events in acute coronary syndromes. Patients who present with a fragmented QRS demonstrate increased rates of major cardiac events, death risk, and low ejection fraction. In patients with STEMI, the presence of fQRS on the ECG and number of fQRS derivations are a significant predictor of in-hospital major cardiac events.

The relationship between red blood cell distribution width and the clinical outcomes in non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina pectoris: a 3-year follow-up.

OBJECTIVES: Red blood cell distribution width (RDW), a marker of variation in the size of the circulating red blood cells, was evaluated in patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and unstable angina pectoris (UAP). BACKGROUND: Higher RDW is associated with mortality in the general population, particularly in those with symptomatic cardiovascular disease, and heart failure. We hypothesized that admission RDW might be predictive of adverse clinical outcomes for patients with NSTEMI and UAP. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 310 patients with NSTEMI and UAP (mean age 59.3±11.9 years; 236 men, 74 women) in this study. Admission RDW was measured and the study population was classified on the basis of RDW tertiles. A high RDW (n=95) was defined as a value in the upper third tertile (>14%) and a low RDW (n=215) was defined as any value in the lower two tertiles (≤14%). The patients were followed up for clinical outcomes for up to 3 years after discharge. RESULTS: In the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the 3-year mortality rate was 19% in the high RDW group versus 5.6% in the low RDW group (P<0.001). In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, an RDW value of more than 14% yielded a sensitivity of 60% and a specificity of 72.5%. A significant association was found between a high admission RDW level and the adjusted risk of cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio: 3.2, 95% confidence interval: 1.3-7.78, P=0.01). CONCLUSION: RDW is a readily available clinical laboratory value associated with long-term cardiovascular mortality in NSTEMI and UAP.