Increased Belief Instability in Psychotic Disorders Predicts Treatment Response to Metacognitive Training.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: In a complex world, gathering information and adjusting our beliefs about the world is of paramount importance. The literature suggests that patients with psychotic disorders display a tendency to draw early conclusions based on limited evidence, referred to as the jumping-to-conclusions bias, but few studies have examined the computational mechanisms underlying this and related belief-updating biases. Here, we employ a computational approach to understand the relationship between jumping-to-conclusions, psychotic disorders, and delusions. STUDY DESIGN: We modeled probabilistic reasoning of 261 patients with psychotic disorders and 56 healthy controls during an information sampling task-the fish task-with the Hierarchical Gaussian Filter. Subsequently, we examined the clinical utility of this computational approach by testing whether computational parameters, obtained from fitting the model to each individual's behavior, could predict treatment response to Metacognitive Training using machine learning. STUDY RESULTS: We observed differences in probabilistic reasoning between patients with psychotic disorders and healthy controls, participants with and without jumping-to-conclusions bias, but not between patients with low and high current delusions. The computational analysis suggested that belief instability was increased in patients with psychotic disorders. Jumping-to-conclusions was associated with both increased belief instability and greater prior uncertainty. Lastly, belief instability predicted treatment response to Metacognitive Training at the individual level. CONCLUSIONS: Our results point towards increased belief instability as a key computational mechanism underlying probabilistic reasoning in psychotic disorders. We provide a proof-of-concept that this computational approach may be useful to help identify suitable treatments for individual patients with psychotic disorders.

Combining latent class analysis labeling with multiclass approach for fetal heart rate categorization.

The most common approach to assess fetal well-being during delivery is monitoring of fetal heart rate and uterine contractions-the cardiotocogram (CTG). Nevertheless, 40 years since the introduction of CTG to clinical practice, its evaluation is still challenging with high inter- and intra-observer variability. Therefore the development of more objective methods has become an issue of major importance in the field. Unlike the usually proposed approaches to assign classes for classification methods that rely either on biochemical parameters (e.g. pH value) or a simple aggregation of expert judgment, this work investigates the use of an alternative labeling system using latent class analysis (LCA) along with an ordinal classification scheme. The study is performed on a well-documented open-access database, where nine expert obstetricians provided CTG annotations. The LCA is proposed here to produce more objective class labels while the ordinal classification aims to explore the natural ordering, and representation of increased severity, for obtaining the final results. The results are promising suggesting that more effort should be put into this proposed approach.

Enhancement of the classification of multichannel chromosome images using support vector machines.

Color chromosome classification (karyotyping) allows simultaneous analysis of numerical and structural chromosome abnormalities. The success of the technique largely depends on the accuracy of pixel classification. In this paper we present a method for multichannel chromosome image classification based on support vector machines. First, the image is segmented using a multichannel watershed segmentation method. Classification of the pixels of the segmented regions using support vector machines is then employed. The method has been tested on images from normal cells, showing the improvement in classification accuracy by 10.16% when compared to a Bayesian classifier. The increased classification improves the reliability of the M-FISH imaging technique in identifying subtle and cryptic chromosomal abnormalities for cancer diagnosis and genetic disorders research.

A multichannel watershed-based segmentation method for multispectral chromosome classification.

Multiplex fluorescent in situ hybridization (M-FISH) is a recently developed chromosome imaging technique where each chromosome class appears to have a distinct color. This technique not only facilitates the detection of subtle chromosomal aberrations but also makes the analysis of chromosome images easier; both for human inspection and computerized analysis. In this paper, a novel method for segmentation and classification of M-FISH chromosome images is presented. The segmentation is based on the multichannel watershed transform in order to define regions of similar spatial and spectral characteristics. Then, a Bayes classifier, task-specific on region classification, is applied. Our method consists of four basic steps: 1) computation of the gradient magnitude of the image, 2) application of the watershed transform to decompose the image into a set of homogenous regions, 3) classification of each region, and 4) merging of similar adjacent regions. The method is evaluated using a publicly available chromosome image database and the obtained overall accuracy is 82.4%. By introducing the classification of each watershed region, the proposed method achieves substantially better results compared to other methods at a lower computational cost. The combination of the multichannel segmentation and the region-based classification is found to improve the overall classification accuracy compared to pixel-by-pixel approaches.

A method for classification of transient events in EEG recordings: application to epilepsy diagnosis.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the paper is to analyze transient events in inter-ictal EEG recordings, and classify epileptic activity into focal or generalized epilepsy using an automated method. METHODS: A two-stage approach is proposed. In the first stage the observed transient events of a single channel are classified into four categories: epileptic spike (ES), muscle activity (EMG), eye blinking activity (EOG), and sharp alpha activity (SAA). The process is based on an artificial neural network. Different artificial neural network architectures have been tried and the network having the lowest error has been selected using the hold out approach. In the second stage a knowledge-based system is used to produce diagnosis for focal or generalized epileptic activity. RESULTS: The classification of transient events reported high overall accuracy (84.48%), while the knowledge-based system for epilepsy diagnosis correctly classified nine out of ten cases. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method is advantageous since it effectively detects and classifies the undesirable activity into appropriate categories and produces a final outcome related to the existence of epilepsy.