Improving Survival Prognostication in Patients With Metastatic Cancer Through Clinical Judgment.

BACKGROUND/AIM: NEAT is a validated prognostic model that calculates survival estimates based on the number of active tumors, ECOG performance status, albumin, and primary tumor site. Since models are imperfect, we hypothesized that experienced clinicians could predict the survival of patients with metastatic cancer better than a validated prognostic model alone, thereby quantifying the previously unmeasured value of clinical judgment. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This prospective, single-institution cohort study conducted at a large community hospital recruited 73 patients with metastatic cancer referred to radiation oncology between October 2016 and December 2017. The consulting nurse and physician were prospectively surveyed on whether the patient would survive a longer or shorter duration than the calculated NEAT survival estimates. The accuracy of predictions between groups was assessed using the McNemar's chi-squared test. RESULTS: The median survival for enrolled patients was 9.2 months. Nursing and physician predictions were similarly accurate (61.6% vs. 60.3%, p=0.85). The accuracy of confident clinical predictions was similar to less confident predictions (64.2% vs. 58.2%, p=0.46). Radiation dose intensity was informed by predicted survival, and median survival was significantly higher in patients receiving an EQD2≥40 (17 months vs. 2 months, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Experienced clinicians, both nurses and oncologists, have insight that modestly supplements the accuracy of a validated model to predict survival in patients with advanced cancer.

Atypical ductal hyperplasia on core needle biopsy: Surgical outcomes of 200 consecutive cases from a high-volume breast program.

Atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) is an indication for excisional biopsy to rule out occult breast cancer. We analyzed pathological findings on excisional biopsy for ADH diagnosed in a high volume breast center equipped with digital tomosynthesis. Two hundred consecutive patients were diagnosed with ADH on core biopsy with radiographic concordance followed by excisional biopsy. On excisional biopsy, 33 patients (16.5%) were diagnosed with DCIS or invasive breast cancer. Patients with a concurrent diagnosis of papilloma had a higher risk of upstaging on both univariate and multivariate analysis (41.7% vs. 14.9%, p=0.015). No other statistically significant predictors of upgrading were identified (p>0.05).

Multiparametric prostate MRI-based intensity-modulated radiation therapy guided by prostatic calcifications.

OBJECTIVES: The optimal technique to administer image-guided radiation therapy for prostate cancer remains poorly defined. This study assessed outcomes after multiparametric prostate MRI-based planning was delivered with image-guided radiation therapy using prostatic calculi observed on cone beam CT (CBCT). METHODS: Between January 2015 and December 2017, 94 consecutive patients were treated with CBCT-based image-guided radiation therapy (IGRT) without fiducial markers. MRI was routinely incorporated for target delineation and intraprostatic tumor nodules were boosted to allow reduced doses to normal appearing prostate. The primary endpoint was the prevalence of prostatic calcifications while toxicity and biochemical control were secondary endpoints. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 39.7 months with 82% NCCN intermediate to very high risk. Intraprostatic calculi were noted in 68% of patients. The 3-year biochemical control, late grade ≥2 rectal toxicity and late grade ≥2 urinary toxicity rates were 96%, 3 and 7%, respectively. Biochemical control and toxicity were not significantly impacted by the presence of prostatic calculi. CONCLUSION: Prostatic calcifications can serve as natural fiducial markers to allow for non-invasive IGRT for prostate cancer with promising early disease control and toxicity outcomes. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: Prostate calcification-guided IGRT is technically feasible.

Prognostic role of baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in metastatic solid tumors.

High baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been associated with poor survival in a number of solid tumors, but has not been extensively investigated in the context of radiation oncology. Developing more robust models to predict survival would inform patient care for patients with metastatic solid tumors. The present study was undertaken to evaluate the effect of baseline NLR (using 4 as a cutoff) on survival in 320 consecutive patients with metastatic cancer who were referred to a single radiation oncologist between 2012 and 2015, with a median follow-up of 20.6 months. The median NLR was 4.4 (interquartile range, 2.8-7.2). Patients with a baseline NLR ≤4 had a median survival of 9.3 months compared to 4.1 months for NLR >4 (P<0.001). The number of active tumors, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score, baseline albumin, primary tumor site, liver metastases and baseline NLR predicted overall survival on both univariate and multivariate analysis (P<0.05 for all). After adjusting for known prognostic factors for advanced solid tumors, baseline NLR >4 independently predicted adverse survival in this cohort.

Atypical lobular hyperplasia on core needle biopsy: contemporary results from a large community hospital breast program.

PURPOSE: The management of biopsy proven atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH) is controversial. Although upgrade rates are low, excisional biopsy is often performed to rule out occult breast cancer. METHODS: In this study, we analyzed our experience with excisional biopsy for ALH diagnosed in the digital tomosynthesis era with radiographic concordance in the community hospital setting. This study included 93 consecutive patients diagnosed with pure ALH on core biopsy from January 2013-December 2017 who underwent subsequent excisional biopsy. Potential clinical, radiographic and pathologic predictors of upgrading were analyzed. RESULTS: At the time of excisional biopsy, five patients (5.4%) were upgraded to DCIS or invasive breast cancer. There was also a trend towards higher upgrade rates in patients with contralateral breast cancer (p = 0.06), biopsy performed by ultrasound or MRI (p = 0.07) and extensive ALH (p = 0.10). Other clinical, radiographic and pathologic variables were not predictive of upgrade rate (p > 0.1 for all). CONCLUSION: Patients with pure ALH with radiographic concordance have a low risk of pathologic upgrading on excisional biopsy. Potential predictors of upgrade rate warrant further analysis in a larger dataset.