Preeclampsia prediction model using demographic, clinical, and sonographic data in the second trimester of Japanese nulliparous women.

AIM: This study aimed to clarify the factors influencing preeclampsia (PE) development in nulliparous Japanese women and to develop a PE prediction model using second trimester sonographic and clinical data readily available to obstetricians. METHODS: This historical cohort study examined the obstetric records of nulliparous women who delivered at Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital from January 2019 to May 2023. A model was constructed to predict the PE development rate, with a focus on 796 nulliparous women. The assessed outcome was PE, excluding superimposed PE. Data on maternal age, assisted reproductive technology, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery notching, and umbilical artery resistance index were extracted. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted on these five factors. RESULTS: The incidence of PE was 4.3% (34/796). Multivariable analysis indicated significant odds ratios for the association of PE with mean arterial pressure (adjusted odds ratio: 1.06, 95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.10) and uterine artery notching (adjusted odds ratio: 6.28, 95% confidence interval: 2.82-14.0) in nulliparous women. The PE prediction formula was established as follows: Probability of PE development (%) = (odds/1 + odds) × 100, odds = ex and x = -11.3 + 0.039 × maternal age (years) + 0.91 × assisted reproductive technology + 0.061 × mean arterial pressure (mmHg) + 1.84 × uterine artery notching + 1.84 × umbilical artery resistance index. The sensitivity and specificity of this model were 58.8% and 84.5%, respectively (area under the curve: 0.79). CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to provide a prediction formula targeting the Japanese population. Our specialized model for nulliparous women could guide obstetricians to educate women regarding the precise prospect of PE development.

Utility of the angle between the cervical canal and the anatomical conjugate line for predicting pouch of Douglas obliteration in patients with posterior placenta previa.

AIM: Pouch of Douglas obliteration, which prevents exteriorization of the uterus, increases surgical morbidity in patients with placenta previa. We aimed to identify magnetic resonance imaging features that can predict pouch of Douglas obliteration preoperatively. METHODS: We retrospectively assessed 39 women with posterior placenta previa who underwent magnetic resonance imaging for the preoperative assessment of placenta accreta spectrum. We defined the angle formed by the anatomical conjugate line (based on pelvimetry) and the cervical canal as the cervical inclination angle, which was measured on sagittal T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging. Subsequently, we analyzed the correlation between the cervical inclination angle and pouch of Douglas obliteration. RESULTS: The median maternal age was 34 years (range, 22-44 years) and 26 (66.7%) women delivered at term. The median cervical inclination angle was 98° (range, 71-128). Pouch of Douglas obliteration was confirmed in six patients (15.4%). The cut-off value of the cervical inclination angle for the prediction of pouch of Douglas obliteration was 102° with a sensitivity of 66.7%, specificity of 78.8%, positive predictive value of 36.4%, and negative predictive value of 92.9% (area under the curve, 0.83). CONCLUSIONS: Measuring the cervical inclination angle may help in ruling out an obliteration of the pouch of Douglas. It may also be useful in the operative management of women with posterior placenta previa. However, caution should be exercised when generalizing the results of this study because of the small sample size, which makes the results prone to bias.

A modified transabdominal cervicoisthmic cerclage with the monofilament thread: Its efficacy and safety for women with extremely short cervix due to cervical conization.

AIM: The study aimed to examine the usefulness of modified transabdominal cervicoisthmic cerclage (TAC) using monofilament thread for the prevention of preterm delivery in women with an extremely short cervix after deep conization. METHODS: We devised a monofilament thread for picking up the seromuscular layer of the site that is slightly cephalad to the internal ostium to prevent injury of the vessels around the uterine cervix. From 2017 to 2020, we performed this modified operation in eight women (nine pregnancies) at 12-16 weeks of gestation with a history of deep cervical conization. RESULTS: A modified TAC was successfully performed in all patients. There was no measurable bleeding, and all patients were discharged without postoperative complications. Their pregnancy courses after the operation were uneventful. Of nine, one patient had premature uterine contractions and underwent cesarean section at 36 weeks (preterm delivery). In the other eight pregnancies, planned cesarean section was performed after 37 weeks of gestation. The median birth weight of the babies was 2996 g (range 2604-3374 g). All patients were discharged on the sixth postoperative day without complications. CONCLUSION: A modified TAC can be safely performed and may prolong pregnancy without adverse events in patients with an extremely short cervix.

Predictive value of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for preeclampsia in twin pregnancies: a retrospective study.

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the efficiency of the soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio in predicting preeclampsia (PE) within 4 weeks in twin pregnancies.Methods: Seventy-eight women with serum angiogenic markers measured at 28 + 0 to 30 + 6 weeks of gestation were enrolled. A receiver-operating characteristic curve was used to determine the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio threshold to predict PE.Results: A cutoff value for the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of 22.2 predicted PE presence within 4 weeks.Conclusion: An sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of ≤22.2 is potentially indicative of PE absence within 4 weeks in twin pregnancies.

Association between the high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 to placental growth factor ratio and adverse outcomes in asymptomatic women with early-onset fetal growth restriction.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio is associated with adverse outcomes (e.g., HELLP syndrome [hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, and low platelets], severe hypertension uncontrolled by medication, non-reassuring fetal status, placental abruption, pulmonary edema, growth arrest, maternal death, or fetal death) and a shorter duration to delivery in early-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR). METHODS: Thirty-four women with FGR diagnosed at <34.0 weeks were recruited. Serum angiogenic marker levels were estimated within 6 hours of a diagnosis of FGR. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the threshold of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio to predict adverse outcomes. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to examine the association between the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio and adverse outcomes. Finally, we used Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test to assess the probability of delay in delivery. RESULTS: Women who developed adverse outcomes within a week had a significantly higher sFlt-1/PlGF ratio than did those who did not develop complications. A cutoff value of 86.2 for the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio predicted adverse outcomes, with a sensitivity and specificity of 77.8% and 80.0%, respectively. Moreover, 58.4% of women with an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio ≥86.2 versus 9.1% of those with an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio <86.2 delivered within a week of presentation (p < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio ≥86.2 (adjusted odds ratio 9.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-72.8) was associated with adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. CONCLUSION: A high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio was associated with adverse outcomes and a shorter duration to delivery in early-onset FGR.