Clinical associations with a polygenic predisposition to benign lower white blood cell counts.

Polygenic variation unrelated to disease contributes to interindividual variation in baseline white blood cell (WBC) counts, but its clinical significance is uncharacterized. We investigated the clinical consequences of a genetic predisposition toward lower WBC counts among 89,559 biobank participants from tertiary care centers using a polygenic score for WBC count (PGSWBC) comprising single nucleotide polymorphisms not associated with disease. A predisposition to lower WBC counts was associated with a decreased risk of identifying pathology on a bone marrow biopsy performed for a low WBC count (odds-ratio = 0.55 per standard deviation increase in PGSWBC [95%CI, 0.30-0.94], p = 0.04), an increased risk of leukopenia (a low WBC count) when treated with a chemotherapeutic (n = 1724, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78 [0.69-0.88], p = 4.0 × 10-5) or immunosuppressant (n = 354, HR = 0.61 [0.38-0.99], p = 0.04). A predisposition to benign lower WBC counts was associated with an increased risk of discontinuing azathioprine treatment (n = 1,466, HR = 0.62 [0.44-0.87], p = 0.006). Collectively, these findings suggest that there are genetically predisposed individuals who are susceptible to escalations or alterations in clinical care that may be harmful or of little benefit.

Clinical consequences of a polygenic predisposition to benign lower white blood cell counts: Consequences of benign WBC count genetics.

Polygenic variation unrelated to disease contributes to interindividual variation in baseline white blood cell (WBC) counts, but its clinical significance is undefined. We investigated the clinical consequences of a genetic predisposition toward lower WBC counts among 89,559 biobank participants from tertiary care centers using a polygenic score for WBC count (PGSWBC) comprising single nucleotide polymorphisms not associated with disease. A predisposition to lower WBC counts was associated with a decreased risk of identifying pathology on a bone marrow biopsy performed for a low WBC count (odds-ratio=0.55 per standard deviation increase in PGSWBC [95%CI, 0.30 - 0.94], p=0.04), an increased risk of leukopenia (a low WBC count) when treated with a chemotherapeutic (n=1,724, hazard ratio [HR]=0.78 [0.69 - 0.88], p=4.0×10-5) or immunosuppressant (n=354, HR=0.61 [0.38 - 0.99], p=0.04). A predisposition to benign lower WBC counts was associated with an increased risk of discontinuing azathioprine treatment (n=1,466, HR=0.62 [0.44 - 0.87], p=0.006). Collectively, these findings suggest that a WBC count polygenic score identifies individuals who are susceptible to escalations or alterations in clinical care that may be harmful or of little benefit.

Clinical diagnoses associated with a positive antinuclear antibody test in patients with and without autoimmune disease.

BACKGROUND: Antinuclear antibodies (ANA) are antibodies present in several autoimmune disorders. However, a large proportion of the general population (20%) also have a positive test; very few of these individuals will develop an autoimmune disease, and the clinical impact of a positive ANA in them is not known. Thus, we test the hypothesis that ANA + test reflects a state of immune dysregulation that alters risk for some clinical disorders in individuals without an autoimmune disease. METHODS: We performed high throughput association analyses in a case-control study using real world data from the de-identified electronic health record (EHR) system from Vanderbilt University Medical Center. The study population included individuals with an ANA titer ≥ 1:80 at any time (ANA +) and those with negative results (ANA-). The cohort was stratified into sub-cohorts of individuals with and without an autoimmune disease. A phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) adjusted by sex, year of birth, race, and length of follow-up was performed in the study cohort and in the sub-cohorts. As secondary analyses, only clinical diagnoses after ANA testing were included in the analyses. RESULTS: The cohort included 70,043 individuals: 49,546 without and 20,497 with an autoimmune disease, 26,579 were ANA + and 43,464 ANA-. In the study cohort and the sub-cohort with autoimmune disease, ANA + was associated (P ≤ 5 × 10-5) with 88 and 136 clinical diagnoses respectively, including lupus (OR ≥ 5.4, P ≤ 7.8 × 10-202) and other autoimmune diseases and complications. In the sub-cohort without autoimmune diseases, ANA + was associated with increased risk of Raynaud's syndrome (OR ≥ 2.1) and alveolar/perialveolar-related pneumopathies (OR ≥ 1.4) and decreased risk of hepatitis C, tobacco use disorders, mood disorders, convulsions, fever of unknown origin, and substance abuse disorders (OR ≤ 0.8). Analyses including only diagnoses after ANA testing yielded similar results. CONCLUSION: A positive ANA test, in addition to known associations with autoimmune diseases, Raynaud's phenomenon, and idiopathic fibrosing alveolitis related disorders, is associated with decreased prevalence of several non-autoimmune diseases.

Genetic susceptibility for autoimmune diseases and white blood cell count.

Some autoimmune (AI) conditions affect white blood cell (WBC) counts. Whether a genetic predisposition to AI disease associates with WBC counts in populations expected to have low numbers of AI cases is not known. We developed genetic instruments for 7 AI diseases using genome-wide association study summary statistics. Two-sample inverse variance weighted regression (IVWR) was used to determine associations between each instrument and WBC counts. Effect size represents change in transformed WBC counts per change in log odds-ratio of the disease. For AI diseases with significant associations by IVWR, polygenic risk scores (PRS) were used to test for associations with measured WBC counts in individuals of European ancestry in a community-based (ARIC, n = 8926), and a medical-center derived cohort (BioVU, n = 40,461). The IVWR analyses revealed significant associations between 3 AI diseases and WBC counts: systemic lupus erythematous (Beta = - 0.05 [95% CI, - 0.06, - 0.03]), multiple sclerosis (Beta = - 0.06 [- 0.10, - 0.03]), and rheumatoid arthritis (Beta = 0.02 [0.01, 0.03]). PRS for these diseases showed associations with measured WBC counts in ARIC and BioVU. Effect sizes tended to be larger among females, consistent with the known higher prevalence of these diseases among this group. This study shows that genetic predisposition to systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, and multiple sclerosis was associated with WBC counts, even in populations expected to have very low numbers of disease cases.

APOL1 and the risk of adverse renal outcomes in patients of African ancestry with systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) disproportionately affects individuals of African ancestry (AA) compared to European ancestry (EA). In the general population, high risk (HR) variants in the apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1) gene increase the risk of renal and hypertensive disorders in individuals of AA. Since SLE is characterized by an interferon signature and APOL1 expression is driven by interferon, we examined the hypothesis that APOL1 HR genotypes predominantly drive higher rates of renal and hypertensive-related comorbidities observed in SLE patients of AA versus those of EA. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with SLE of EA and AA using a genetic biobank linked to de-identified electronic health records. APOL1 HR genotypes were defined as G1/G1, G2/G2, or G1/G2 and low risk (LR) genotypes as 1 or 0 copies of the G1 and G2 alleles. To identify renal and hypertensive-related disorders that differed in prevalence by ancestry, we used a phenome-wide association approach. We then used logistic regression to compare the prevalence of renal and hypertensive-related disorders in EA and AA patients, both including and excluding patients with the APOL1 HR genotype. In a sensitivity analysis, we examined the association of end stage renal disease secondary to lupus nephritis (LN-related ESRD) with ancestry and the APOL1 genotype. RESULTS: We studied 784 patients with SLE; 195 (24.9%) were of AA, of whom 27 (13.8%) had APOL1 HR genotypes. Eighteen renal and hypertensive-related phenotypes were more common in AA than EA patients (p-value ≤ 1.4E-4). All phenotypes remained significantly different after exclusion of patients with APOL1 HR genotypes, and most point odds ratios (ORs) decreased only slightly. Even among ORs with the greatest decrease, risk for AA patients without the APOL1 HR genotype remained significantly elevated compared to EA patients. In the sensitivity analysis, LN-related ESRD was more prevalent in SLE patients of AA versus EA and AA patients with the APOL1 HR genotype versus LR (p-value < .05 for both). CONCLUSION: The higher prevalence of renal and hypertensive disorders in SLE patients of AA compared to those of EA is not fully explained by the presence of APOL1 high risk variants.

Predicted expression of genes involved in the thiopurine metabolic pathway and azathioprine discontinuation due to myelotoxicity.

TPMT and NUDT15 variants explain less than 25% of azathioprine-associated myelotoxicity. There are 25 additional genes in the thiopurine pathway that could also contribute to azathioprine myelotoxicity. We hypothesized that among TPMT and NUDT15 normal metabolizers, a score combining the genetically predicted expression of other proteins in the thiopurine pathway would be associated with a higher risk for azathioprine discontinuation due to myelotoxicity. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of new users of azathioprine who were normal TPMT and NUDT15 metabolizers. In 1201 White patients receiving azathioprine for an inflammatory disease, we used relaxed Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression to select genes that built a score for discontinuing azathioprine due to myelotoxicity. The score incorporated the predicted expression of AOX1 and NME1. Patients in the highest score tertile had a higher risk of discontinuing azathioprine compared to those in the lowest tertile (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11-4.19, p = 0.024). Results remained significant after adjusting for a propensity score, including sex, tertile of calendar year at initial dose, initial dose, age at baseline, indication, prior TPMT testing, and the first 10 principal components of the genetic data (HR = 2.11, 95% CI = 1.08-4.13, p = 0.030). We validated the results in a cohort (N = 517 non-White patients and those receiving azathioprine to prevent transplant rejection) that included all other patients receiving azathioprine (HR = 2.00, (95% CI = 1.09-3.65, p = 0.024). In conclusion, among patients who were TPMT and NUDT15 normal metabolizers, a score combining the predicted expression of AOX1 and NME1 was associated with an increased risk for discontinuing azathioprine due to myelotoxicity.

Identifying Potential Therapeutic Applications and Diagnostic Harms of Increased Bilirubin Concentrations: A Clinical and Genetic Approach.

Bilirubin has antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties in vitro and in animal studies and protects against inflammatory, cardiovascular, and other diseases in observational studies; therefore, bilirubin has potential as a therapeutic agent. However, observational studies could be confounded by many factors. We used a genetic (n = 61,281) and clinical (n = 234,670) approach to define the association between bilirubin and 19 conditions with a putative protective signal in observational studies. We also tested if individuals with genetically higher bilirubin levels underwent more diagnostic tests. We used a common variant in UGT1A1 (rs6742078) associated with an 26% increase in bilirubin levels in the genetic studies. Carriers of the variant had higher bilirubin levels (P = 2.2 × 10-16 ) but there was no significant association with any of the 19 conditions. In a phenome-wide association study (pheWAS) to seek undiscovered genetic associations, the only significant finding was increased risk of "jaundice-not of newborn." Carriers of the variant allele were more likely to undergo an abdominal ultrasound (odds ratio = 1.04, [1.00-1.08], P = 0.03). In contrast, clinically measured bilirubin levels were significantly associated with 15 of the 19 conditions (P < 0.003) and with 431 clinical diagnoses in the pheWAS (P < 1 × 10-5 adjusted for sex, age, and follow-up). With additional adjustment for smoking and body mass index, 7 of 19 conditions and 260 pheWAS diagnoses remained significantly associated with bilirubin levels. In conclusion, bilirubin does not protect against inflammatory or other diseases using a genetic approach; the many putative beneficial associations reported clinically are likely due to confounding.

Pleiotropy of systemic lupus erythematosus risk alleles and cardiometabolic disorders: A phenome-wide association study and inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that genetic predisposition to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) increases the risk of cardiometabolic disorders. METHODS: Using 41 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with SLE, we calculated a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) for SLE. In a large biobank we tested the association between this wGRS and 9 cardiometabolic phenotypes previously associated with SLE: atrial fibrillation, ischemic stroke, coronary artery disease, type 1 and type 2 diabetes, obesity, chronic kidney disease, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia. Additionally, we performed a phenome-wide association analysis (pheWAS) to discover novel clinical associations with a genetic predisposition to SLE. Findings were replicated in the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) Network. To further define the association between SLE-related risk alleles and the selected cardiometabolic phenotypes, we performed an inverse variance weighted regression (IVWR) meta-analysis. RESULTS: The wGRS for SLE was calculated in 74,759 individuals of European ancestry. Among the pre-selected phenotypes, the wGRS was significantly associated with type 1 diabetes (OR [95%CI] =1.11 [1.06, 1.17], P-value = 1.05x10-5). In the PheWAS, the wGRS was associated with several autoimmune phenotypes, kidney disorders, and skin neoplasm; but only the associations with autoimmune phenotypes were replicated. In the IVWR meta-analysis, SLE-related risk alleles were nominally associated with type 1 diabetes (P = 0.048) but the associations were heterogeneous and did not meet the adjusted significance threshold. CONCLUSION: A weighted GRS for SLE was associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune-related phenotypes including type I diabetes but not with cardiometabolic disorders.

Pharmacogenetics of hypoglycemia associated with sulfonylurea therapy in usual clinical care.

Hypoglycemia is a common complication among type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients receiving sulfonylurea therapy. The aim of this study was to determine if genetic contributions to sulfonylurea pharmacokinetics or pharmacodynamics substantially affect the risk of hypoglycemia in these patients. In a retrospective case-control study in European American patients with T2DM, we examined the potential association between CYP2C9 reduced-function variants and sulfonylurea-related hypoglycemia. We also explored the relationship between sulfonylurea-related hypoglycemia and several candidate genetic variants previously reported to alter the response to sulfonylureas. We detected no evidence of association between CYP2C9 reduced-function alleles or any of the candidate genetic variants and sulfonylurea-related hypoglycemia. In conclusion, we identified no clinically significant predictors of hypoglycemia among genes associated with sulfonylurea pharmacokinetics or pharmacodynamics.

Pleiotropy in the Genetic Predisposition to Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Phenome-Wide Association Study and Inverse Variance-Weighted Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to investigate the hypothesis that a genetic predisposition toward rheumatoid arthritis (RA) increases the risk of 10 cardiometabolic and autoimmune disorders previously associated with RA in epidemiologic studies, and to define new genetic pleiotropy present in RA. METHODS: Two approaches were used to test our hypothesis. First, we constructed a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) and then examined its association with 10 prespecified disorders. Additionally, a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) was carried out to identify potential new associations. Second, inverse variance-weighted regression (IVWR) meta-analysis was used to characterize the association between genetic susceptibility to RA and the prespecified disorders, with the results expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: The wGRS for RA was significantly associated with type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR 1.10 [95% CI 1.04-1.16]; P = 9.82 × 10-4 ) and multiple sclerosis (OR 0.82 [95% CI 0.77-0.88]; P = 1.73 × 10-8 ), but not with other cardiometabolic phenotypes. In the PheWAS, wGRS was also associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune phenotypes including RA, thyroiditis, and systemic sclerosis, and with a decreased risk of demyelinating disorders. In the IVWR meta-analyses, RA was significantly associated with an increased risk of type 1 DM (P = 1.15 × 10-14 ), with evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (Mendelian Randomization-Egger intercept estimate P = 0.001) likely driven by rs2476601, a PTPN22 variant. The association between type 1 DM and RA remained significant (P = 9.53 × 10-9 ) after excluding rs2476601, with no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (intercept estimate P = 0.939). RA was also significantly associated with type 2 DM and C-reactive protein levels. These associations were driven by variation in the major histocompatibility complex region. CONCLUSION: This study presents evidence of pleiotropy between the genetic predisposition to RA and associated phenotypes found in other autoimmune and cardiometabolic disorders, including type 1 DM.

Combining clinical and candidate gene data into a risk score for azathioprine-associated leukopenia in routine clinical practice.

Leukopenia is a serious, frequent side effect associated with azathioprine use. Currently, we use thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) testing to predict leukopenia in patients taking azathioprine. We hypothesized that a risk score incorporating additional clinical and genetic variables would improve the prediction of azathioprine-associated leukopenia. In the discovery phase, we developed four risk score models: (1) age, sex, and TPMT metabolizer status; (2) model 1 plus additional clinical variables; (3) sixty candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms; and (4) model 2 plus model 3. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of the risk scores was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.54-0.64), 0.75 (0.71-0.80), 0.66 (0.61-0.71), and 0.78 (0.74-0.82) for models 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. During the replication phase, models 2 and 4 (AUC = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59-0.70 and AUC = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.58-0.69, respectively) were significant in an independent group. Compared with TPMT testing alone, additional genetic and clinical variables improve the prediction of azathioprine-associated leukopenia.

Genetic Factors Influencing Warfarin Dose in Black-African Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Warfarin is the most commonly used oral anticoagulant in sub-Saharan Africa. Dosing is challenging due to a narrow therapeutic index and high interindividual variability in dose requirements. To evaluate the genetic factors affecting warfarin dosing in black-Africans, we performed a meta-analysis of 48 studies (2,336 patients). Significant predictors for CYP2C9 and stable dose included rs1799853 (CYP2C9*2), rs1057910 (CYP2C9*3), rs28371686 (CYP2C9*5), rs9332131 (CYP2C9*6), and rs28371685 (CYP2C9*11) reducing dose by 6.8, 12.5, 13.4, 8.1, and 5.3 mg/week, respectively. VKORC1 variants rs9923231 (-1639G>A), rs9934438 (1173C>T), rs2359612 (2255C>T), rs8050894 (1542G>C), and rs2884737 (497T>G) decreased dose by 18.1, 21.6, 17.3, 11.7, and 19.6 mg/week, respectively, whereas rs7294 (3730G>A) increased dose by 6.9 mg/week. Finally, rs12777823 (CYP2C gene cluster) was associated with a dose reduction of 12.7 mg/week. Few studies were conducted in Africa, and patient numbers were small, highlighting the need for further work in black-Africans to evaluate genetic factors determining warfarin response.

Variants in BMI-Associated Genes and Adrenergic Genes are not Associated with Gestational Weight Trajectory.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to define the association between a genetic risk score (GRS) that combined the effect of multiple BMI-associated variants and gestational weight trajectory. Because pregnancy is a state of sympathetic activation, the association between gestational weight trajectory and variants in adrenergic pathways previously associated with weight was examined. METHODS: In a previously defined cohort of pregnant women with (n = 1,504) and without gestational diabetes (GDM) (n = 435), weight trajectory was calculated using all weights during pregnancy. A GRS for BMI (GRSBMI ) was calculated using 31 common variants associated with BMI, and 10 variants in the adrenergic pathways were genotyped. Clinical and genetic factors were studied using generalized linear models. RESULTS: Prepregnancy BMI was associated with the GRSBMI (P = 9.3 × 10-11 ) and parity (P = 4.54 × 10-17 ). The GRSBMI was associated with gestational weight trajectory in women with and without GDM (P = 0.041 and P < 0.0001, respectively); however, when prepregnancy BMI was included in the models, the associations disappeared (P > 0.05). Variants in adrenergic genes were not associated with gestational weight trajectory. CONCLUSIONS: A GRS for BMI was associated with prepregnancy BMI but was not independently associated with gestational weight trajectory in women with and without GDM. Selected variants in adrenergic genes were not associated with gestational weight trajectory.

Variation in the α2A-adrenergic receptor gene and risk of gestational diabetes.

AIM: Sympathetic activation suppresses insulin secretion via pancreatic ADRA2A.  Because sympathetic activity and insulin demand increase during pregnancy, we tested the hypothesis  that ADRA2A variants are associated with gestational diabetes (GDM). PATIENTS & METHODS: Among Caucasian pregnant women without pre-existing diabetes, we genotyped 458 who had GDM and 1537 without GDM for seven ADRA2A variants. RESULTS: rs1800038 (OR: 2.34; p = 0.020) and rs3750625 (OR: 1.56; p = 0.010) increased the risk of GDM, and rs11195418 decreased it (OR: 0.62; p = 0.025). The associations remained significant after adjustment for maternal age, maternal BMI, parity and a genetic risk score that included variants previously associated with Type 2 diabetes mellitus and GDM. CONCLUSION: ADRA2A genetic variation contributes independently to the risk of GDM in Caucasian women.

Genetic determinants of variability in warfarin response after the dose-titration phase.

OBJECTIVES: Genetic factors contribute considerably toward variability in warfarin dose requirements and are important in the dose-titration phase; their effects on the stability of anticoagulation later in therapy are not known. METHODS: Using deidentified electronic medical records linked to a DNA-biobank, we studied 140 African-Americans and 943 European-Americans after the warfarin dose-titration phase. We genotyped 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms in genes (CYP2C9, VKORC1, CYP4F2, GGCX, EPHX1, CALU) associated with altered warfarin dose requirements and tested their associations with international normalized ratio variability (INRVAR) and percent time in therapeutic range in European-Americans and African-Americans. RESULTS: One allele copy of rs2108622 in CYP4F2 was associated with a 15% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1-26, P=0.03] decrease in the median INRVAR in European-Americans. In African-Americans, GGCX variants rs11676382 and rs699664 were associated with 4.16-fold (95% CI: 1.45-11.97, P=0.009) and 1.50-fold (95% CI: 1.07-2.08, P=0.02) changes in the median INRVAR per variant allele copy, respectively; rs11676382 was also significantly associated with a 23.19% (95% CI: 5.89-40.48, P=0.01) decrease in time in therapeutic range. The total variation in INRVAR explained by both clinical factors and rs2108622 was 5.2% for European-Americans. In African-Americans, the inclusion of GGCX variants rs11676382 and rs699664, and the CYP2C9*8 variant rs7900194 explained ∼29% of the variation in INRVAR. CONCLUSION: The stability of anticoagulation after the warfarin dose-titration phase is differentially affected by variants in CYP4F2 in European-Americans and GGCX loci in African-Americans.

Genetics of serum concentration of IL-6 and TNFα in systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis: a candidate gene analysis.

Elevated concentrations of inflammatory mediators are characteristic of autoimmune disease accompanied by chronic or recurrent inflammation. We examined the hypothesis that mediators of inflammation known to be elevated in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are associated with genetic polymorphism previously identified in studies of inflammatory disease. Serum interleukin 6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) concentrations in patients with SLE (n = 117) or RA (n = 164) and in inflammatory disease-free control subjects (n = 172) were measured by multiplex ELISA. Candidate genes were chosen from studies of autoimmune and inflammatory disease. Genotypes were determined for 345 SNP markers in 75 genes. Association between serum analytes and single alleles was tested by linear regression. Polymorphisms in several genes were associated with IL-6 levels (including IL10, TYK2, and CD40L in SLE and DRB1, NOD2, and CSF1 in RA) or with TNFα levels (including TNFSF4 and CSF2 in SLE and PTPN2, DRB1, and NOD2 in RA). Some associations were shared between disease and control groups or between IL-6 and TNFα within a group. In conclusion, variation in genes implicated in disease pathology is associated with serum IL-6 or TNFα concentration. Some genetic associations are more apparent in healthy controls than in SLE or RA, suggesting dysregulation of the principal mediators of chronic inflammation in disease. Susceptibility genes may affect inflammatory response with variable effect on disease etiology.

The ability of the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association cardiovascular risk score to identify rheumatoid arthritis patients with high coronary artery calcification scores.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease that is underestimated by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS). We undertook this study to test the hypothesis that the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) 10-year risk score would perform better than the FRS and the Reynolds Risk Score (RRS) in identifying RA patients known to have elevated cardiovascular risk based on high coronary artery calcification (CAC) scores. METHODS: Among 98 RA patients eligible for risk stratification using the ACC/AHA risk score, we identified 34 patients with high CAC (defined as ≥300 Agatston units or ≥75th percentile of expected coronary artery calcium for age, sex, and ethnicity) and compared the ability of the 10-year FRS, RRS, and ACC/AHA risk scores to correctly assign these patients to an elevated risk category. RESULTS: All 3 risk scores were higher in patients with high CAC (P < 0.05). The percentage of patients with high CAC correctly assigned to the elevated risk category was similar among the 3 scores (FRS 32%, RRS 32%, ACC/AHA risk score 41%) (P = 0.223). The C statistics for the FRS, RRS, and ACC/AHA risk score predicting the presence of high CAC were 0.65, 0.66, and 0.65, respectively. CONCLUSION: The ACC/AHA 10-year risk score does not offer any advantage compared to the traditional FRS and RRS in the identification of RA patients with elevated risk as determined by high CAC. The ACC/AHA risk score assigned almost 60% of patients with high CAC to a low risk category. Risk scores and standard risk prediction models used in the general population do not adequately identify many RA patients with elevated cardiovascular risk.

Genotype and risk of major bleeding during warfarin treatment.

AIM: To determine whether genetic variants associated with warfarin dose variability were associated with increased risk of major bleeding during warfarin therapy. MATERIALS & METHODS: Using Vanderbilt's DNA biobank we compared the prevalence of CYP2C9, VKORC1 and CYP4F2 variants in 250 cases with major bleeding and 259 controls during warfarin therapy. RESULTS: CYP2C9*3 was the only allele that differed significantly among cases (14.2%) and controls (7.8%; p = 0.022). In the 214 (85.6%) cases with a major bleed 30 or more days after warfarin initiation, CYP2C9*3 was the only variant associated with bleeding (adjusted odds ratio: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.04, 4.04). CONCLUSION: The CYP2C9*3 allele may double the risk of major bleeding among patients taking warfarin for 30 or more days.

Suboptimal inhibition of platelet cyclooxygenase 1 by aspirin in systemic lupus erythematosus: association with metabolic syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: Low-dose aspirin prevents platelet aggregation by suppressing thromboxane A2 (TXA2 ) synthesis. However, in some individuals TXA2 suppression by aspirin is impaired, indicating suboptimal inhibition of platelet cyclooxygenase 1 (COX-1) by aspirin. Because patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have increased risk of thrombotic events, many receive aspirin; however, the efficacy of aspirin in SLE has not been determined. We examined the hypothesis that aspirin response is impaired in SLE. METHODS: We assessed the effect of aspirin by measuring concentrations of the stable metabolite of TXA2 , serum thromboxane B2 (sTXB2 ), before and after treatment with daily aspirin (81 mg) for 7 days in 34 patients with SLE and 36 control subjects. The inability to suppress sTXB2 synthesis to <10 ng/ml represents suboptimal inhibition of platelet COX-1 by aspirin. RESULTS: Aspirin almost completely suppressed sTXB2 in control subjects to median 1.5 ng/ml (interquartile range [IQR] 0.8-2.7) but had less effect in patients with SLE (median 3.1 ng/ml [IQR 2.2-5.3]) (P = 0.002). A suboptimal effect of aspirin was present in 15% (5 of 34) of the patients with SLE but not in control subjects (0 of 36) (P = 0.023). Incomplete responders were more likely to have metabolic syndrome (P = 0.048), obesity (P = 0.048), and higher concentrations of C-reactive protein (CRP) (P = 0.018). CONCLUSION: The pharmacologic effect of aspirin is suboptimal in 15% of patients with SLE but in none of the control subjects, and the suboptimal response was associated with metabolic syndrome, obesity, and higher CRP concentrations.

Initiation of tumor necrosis factor α antagonists and risk of fractures in patients with selected rheumatic and autoimmune diseases.

OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that initiation of tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα) antagonists reduced the risk of fractures compared to nonbiologic comparators in patients with autoimmune diseases. METHODS: Using 4 large administrative databases, we assembled retrospective cohorts of patients with autoimmune diseases who initiated either a TNFα antagonist or a nonbiologic medication. We identified 3 mutually exclusive disease groups: rheumatoid arthritis (RA), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), and a combined group: psoriasis (PsO), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), or ankylosing spondylitis (AS). We used baseline covariate data to calculate propensity scores (PS) for each disease group and used Cox regression to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). We compared the risk of combined hip, radius/ulna, humerus, or pelvic fractures between PS-matched cohorts of new users of TNFα antagonists and nonbiologic comparators. RESULTS: We identified 9,020, 2,014, and 2,663 new PS-matched episodes of TNFα antagonist and nonbiologic comparator use in RA, IBD, and PsO-PsA-AS cohorts, respectively. The risk of combined fractures was similar between new users of TNFα antagonists and nonbiologic comparators for each disease (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.91-1.51; HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.72-3.11; and HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.47-1.82 for RA, IBD, and PsO-PsA-AS, respectively). In RA, the risk of combined fractures was associated with an average daily dosage of prednisone equivalents >10 mg/day at baseline compared with no glucocorticoid (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.03-2.30). CONCLUSION: The risk of fractures did not differ between initiators of a biologic agent and a nonbiologic comparator for any disease studied. Among RA patients, use of >10 mg/day of prednisone equivalents at baseline increased the fracture risk.