Impact of the ARRIVE Trial in Nulliparous Individuals with Morbid Obesity: Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to examine rates of induction of labor at 39 weeks and cesarean delivery before and after the ARRIVE (A Randomized Trial of Induction Versus Expectant Management) trial stratified by body mass index (BMI; kg/m2) category. STUDY DESIGN: This was a repeated cross-sectional analysis of publicly available U.S. birth certificate data from 2015 to 2021. We limited analyses to nulliparous individuals with a singleton pregnancy, cephalic presentation, without chronic hypertension, diabetes (gestational or pregestational), and fetal anomaly who delivered between 39 and 42 weeks' gestation. The pre-ARRIVE period spanned from August 2016 to July 2018 and the post-ARRIVE period spanned from January 2019 to December 2020. The dissemination period of the ARRIVE trial was from August 2018 to December 2018. Our co-primary outcomes were induction at 39 weeks and cesarean delivery. Our secondary outcomes were overall induction of labor and preeclampsia. We conducted an interrupted time series analysis after stratifying by prepregnancy BMI (<40 or ≥40). Negative binomial regression was used to calculate adjusted incident rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Of 2,122,267 individuals that were included, 2,051,050 had BMI <40 and 71,217 had BMI ≥40. In individuals with BMI <40, the post-ARRIVE period compared to the pre-ARRIVE period was associated with an increased rate of induction of labor at 39 weeks, a decreased rate of cesarean delivery, and an increased rate of overall induction of labor. In individuals with BMI ≥40, the post-ARRIVE period compared to the pre-ARRIVE period was associated with an increased rate of induction of labor at 39 weeks, an increased rate of overall induction of labor and a decreased rate of preeclampsia; however, the decrease in the rate of cesarean delivery was not significant. CONCLUSION: An increase in induction of labor at 39 weeks' gestation in individuals with BMI ≥40 was not associated with a decrease in the cesarean delivery rate. KEY POINTS: · The ARRIVE trial increased 39-week labor inductions in BMI <40 and ≥40.. · BMI <40 had fewer cesareans; BMI ≥40 showed no significant decrease.. · Offering labor induction is reasonable as cesarean rates didn't increase..

Factors associated with refractory severe hypertension in patients with preeclampsia.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with refractory severe hypertension that does not resolve after an initial dose of antihypertensive medication in patients with preeclampsia. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective study of all pregnant and postpartum individuals with a diagnosis of preeclampsia, superimposed preeclampsia, HELLP (hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, low platelet) syndrome, or eclampsia who delivered at 22 weeks or greater at a single academic institution from 2010 to 2020. Inclusion criteria were patients with preeclampsia who developed severe hypertension (systolic pressure 160 mmHg or more or diastolic pressure 110 mmHg or more) and received antihypertensive medications for acute severe hypertension. We defined refractory severe hypertension as a systolic blood pressure of 160 mmHg or greater or a diastolic blood pressure of 110 mmHg or greater that did not improve after receiving the initial treatment. To evaluate for factors associated with refractory severe hypertension, we developed multivariable modified Poisson regression using all variables with p-value < 0.1 on bivariable analysis and calculated adjusted relative risks (aRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). RESULTS: Of 850, 386 (45.4%) had refractory severe hypertension and 464 (54.6%) responded to the initial antihypertensive medications. Factors associated with refractory severe hypertension included higher body mass index (BMI), chronic hypertension, and higher systolic pressure. Every 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 7% increased risk of refractory severe hypertension (aRR 1.07; 95%CI 1.02-1.12). Every 10 mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure was associated with a 10% increased risk of refractory severe hypertension (aRR 1.10; 95%CI 1.04-1.17). Chronic hypertension was associated with a 25% increased risk of refractory severe hypertension (aRR 1.25; 95%CI 1.01-1.56) in the diastolic pressure model. CONCLUSION: Refractory severe hypertension was associated with elevated BMI, chronic hypertension, and higher systolic blood pressure.

Modeling human observer detection for varying data acquisition in undersampled MRI for two-alternative forced choice (2-AFC) and forced localization tasks.

Undersampling in the frequency domain (k-space) in MRI enables faster data acquisition. In this study, we used a fixed 1D undersampling factor of 5x with only 20% of the k-space collected. The fraction of fully acquired low k-space frequencies were varied from 0% (all aliasing) to 20% (all blurring). The images were reconstructed using a multi-coil SENSE algorithm. We used two-alternative forced choice (2-AFC) and the forced localization tasks with a subtle signal to estimate the human observer performance. The 2-AFC average human observer performance remained fairly constant across all imaging conditions. The forced localization task performance improved from the 0% condition to the 2.5% condition and remained fairly constant for the remaining conditions, suggesting that there was a decrease in task performance only in the pure aliasing situation. We modeled the average human performance using a sparse-difference of Gaussians (SDOG) Hotelling observer model. Because the blurring in the undersampling direction makes the mean signal asymmetric, we explored an adaptation for irregular signals that made the SDOG template asymmetric. To improve the observer performance, we also varied the number of SDOG channels from 3 to 4. We found that despite the asymmetry in the mean signal, both the symmetric and asymmetric models reasonably predicted the human performance in the 2-AFC experiments. However, the symmetric model performed slightly better. We also found that a symmetric SDOG model with 4 channels implemented using a spatial domain convolution and constrained to the possible signal locations reasonably modeled the forced localization human observer results.

Buccal Versus Vaginal Misoprostol Combined with a Foley Catheter among Individuals with Obesity Undergoing Induction.

BACKGROUND: Combining pharmacologic agents with mechanical ripening achieves the shortest labor duration, yet there is no clear evidence on route of drug administration in obese individuals. The use of buccal misoprostol has shown greater patient acceptance but remains understudied. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate the difference in time to delivery of buccal compared with vaginal misoprostol in combination with a Foley catheter (FC) for induction of labor (IOL) in the obese population. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial comparing identical dosages (25 µg) of buccal and vaginal misoprostol in combination with a FC. The parent trial was an institutional review board-approved, randomized clinical trial conducted from June 2019 through January 2020. Labor management was standardized among participants. Women undergoing IOL at ≥37 weeks with a singleton gestation and cervical dilation ≤2 cm were included. Body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) was stratified. The primary outcome was time to delivery. RESULTS: A total of 215 participants were included. Demographic characteristics were similar between the three groups. Vaginal drug administration achieved a faster median time to delivery than the buccal route among patients with a body mass index greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2 (vaginal misoprostol-FC: 21.3 hours vs. buccal misoprostol-FC: 25.2 hours, p = 0.006). There was no difference in the cesarean delivery rate between the two groups. Furthermore, patients with a BMI greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2 receiving vaginal misoprostol delivered 1.2 times faster than women who received buccal misoprostol after censoring for cesarean delivery and adjusting for parity (hazard ratio: 1.2, 95% confidence interval: 1.1-1.7). There were no significant differences in maternal and neonatal outcomes. CONCLUSION: We found that vaginal misoprostol was superior to buccal misoprostol when combined with a FC among individuals with a BMI greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2. Vaginal misoprostol should be the preferred route of drug administration for term IOL in this population. KEY POINTS: · Vaginal misoprostol was superior to buccal route among patients with obesity.. · There was no difference in the cesarean delivery rate between the two groups.. · Vaginal misoprostol should be the preferred route of administration among patients with obesity..

Prediction of metabolic syndrome following a first pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of metabolic syndrome is rapidly increasing in the United States. We hypothesized that prediction models using data obtained during pregnancy can accurately predict the future development of metabolic syndrome. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop machine learning models to predict the development of metabolic syndrome using factors ascertained in nulliparous pregnant individuals. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study (Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be Heart Health Study [nuMoM2b-HHS]). Data were collected from October 2010 to October 2020, and analyzed from July 2023 to October 2023. Participants had in-person visits 2 to 7 years after their first delivery. The primary outcome was metabolic syndrome, defined by the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria, which was measured within 2 to 7 years after delivery. A total of 127 variables that were obtained during pregnancy were evaluated. The data set was randomly split into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%). We developed a random forest model and a lasso regression model using variables obtained during pregnancy. We compared the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for both models. Using the model with the better area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, we developed models that included fewer variables based on SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values and compared them with the original model. The final model chosen would have fewer variables and noninferior areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: A total of 4225 individuals met the inclusion criteria; the mean (standard deviation) age was 27.0 (5.6) years. Of these, 754 (17.8%) developed metabolic syndrome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the random forest model was 0.878 (95% confidence interval, 0.846-0.909), which was higher than the 0.850 of the lasso model (95% confidence interval, 0.811-0.888; P<.001). Therefore, random forest models using fewer variables were developed. The random forest model with the top 3 variables (high-density lipoprotein, insulin, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) was chosen as the final model because it had the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.867 (95% confidence interval, 0.839-0.895), which was not inferior to the original model (P=.08). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the final model in the test set was 0.847 (95% confidence interval, 0.821-0.873). An online application of the final model was developed (https://kawakita.shinyapps.io/metabolic/). CONCLUSION: We developed a model that can accurately predict the development of metabolic syndrome in 2 to 7 years after delivery.

Trial of Labor versus Repeat Cesarean Delivery in Individuals with Morbid Obesity after Previous Cesarean Delivery.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare adverse neonatal outcomes associated with the trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC) at term in pregnancies according to maternal prepregnancy body mass index (BMI; kg/m2) and the presence of previous vaginal delivery (VD). STUDY DESIGN: This was a repeated cross-sectional analysis of individuals with singleton, cephalic, and term deliveries with a history of one or two cesarean deliveries in the Linked Birth/Infant Death data from 2011 to 2020. Outcomes were examined according to the BMI category including BMI <30, 30 to 39.9, and 40 to 69.9 kg/m2. The primary outcome was a composite neonatal outcome, defined as any presence of neonatal death, neonatal intensive care unit admission, assisted ventilation, surfactant therapy, or seizures. Outcomes were compared between TOLAC and elective repeat cesarean delivery (eRCD) after stratifying by BMI category and previous VD. Log-binomial regression was performed to obtain adjusted relative risk (aRR) with 99% confidence intervals, controlling for covariates. RESULTS: Of 4,055,440 individuals, 2,627,131 had BMI <30 kg/m2, 1,108,278 had BMI 30 to 39.9 kg/m2, and 320,031 had BMI 40 to 69.9 kg/m2. In individuals with no previous VD, VD rates after TOLAC were 66.7, 57.2, and 48.1%, respectively. In individuals with previous VD, VD rates after TOLAC were 81.4, 74.7, and 67.3%, respectively. In individuals without previous VD, compared with those who had an eRCD, those who had TOLAC were more likely to experience composite neonatal outcomes in individuals with BMI < 30 kg/m2 (5.0 vs. 6.5%; aRR 1.33 [1.30-1.36]), BMI 30 to 39.9 kg/m2 (6.1 vs. 7.8%; aRR 1.29 [1.24-1.34]), and BMI 40 to 69.9 kg/m2 (8.2 vs. 9.0%; aRR 1.15 [1.07-1.23]). In individuals with previous VD, there was no difference in the composite neonatal outcomes in BMI < 30 kg/m2 (6.2 vs. 5.8%; aRR 0.98 [0.96-1.00]), BMI 30 to 39.9 kg/m2 (7.4 vs. 7.1%; aRR 0.99 [0.95-1.02]), and BMI 40 to 69.9 kg/m2 (9.4 vs. 8.7%; aRR 0.96 [0.91-1.02]). CONCLUSION: TOLAC among obese individuals could be offered in selected cases. KEY POINTS: · TOLAC among obese individuals could be offered selectively, despite their reduced likelihood of attempting or succeeding at it.. · Higher BMI individuals show decreased rates of both attempting and achieving successful TOLAC.. · Despite these trends, attempting TOLAC after a previous vaginal delivery does not heighten neonatal complications..

Temporal Trend in Maternal Morbidity and Comorbidity.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the temporal trends of severe maternal morbidity (SMM) in the U.S. population in relation to trends in maternal comorbidity. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a repeated cross-sectional analysis of data from individuals at 20 weeks' gestation or greater using U.S. birth certificate data from 2011 to 2021. Our primary outcome was SMM defined as the occurrence of intensive care unit admission, eclampsia, hysterectomy, uterine rupture, and blood product transfusion. We also examined the proportions of maternal comorbidity. Outcomes of the adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) with 99% confidence intervals (99% CIs) for 2021 m12 compared with 2011 m1 were calculated using negative binomial regression, controlling for predefined confounders. RESULTS: There were 42,504,125 births included in the analysis. From 2011 m1 to 2021 m12, there was a significant increase in the prevalence of advanced maternal age (35-39 [45%], 40-44 [29%], and ≥45 [43%] years), morbid obesity (body mass index 40-49.9 [66%], 50-59.9 [91%], and 60-69.9 [98%]), previous cesarean delivery (14%), chronic hypertension (104%), pregestational diabetes (64%), pregnancy-associated hypertension (240%), gestational diabetes (74%), and preterm delivery at 34 to 36 weeks (12%). There was a significant decrease in the incidence of multiple gestation (9%), preterm delivery at 22 to 27 weeks (9%), and preterm delivery at 20 to 21 weeks (22%). From 2011 m1 to 2021 m12, the incidence of SMM increased from 0.7 to 1.0% (crude IRR 1.60 [99% CI 1.54-1.66]). However, the trend was no longer statistically significant after controlling for confounders (adjusted IRR 1.01 [95% CI 0.81-1.27]). The main comorbidity that was associated with the increase in SMM was pregnancy-associated hypertension. CONCLUSION: The rise in the prevalence of comorbidity in pregnancy seems to fuel the rise in SMM. Interventions to prevent SMM should include the management and prevention of pregnancy-associated hypertension. KEY POINTS: · The rise in maternal mortality is related to morbidity.. · Pregnancy-associated hypertension increases morbidity.. · There were increasing trends in age, body mass index, and medical conditions..

Point-of-Care Ultrasound in Critical Care Obstetrics: A Scoping Review of the Current Evidence.

OBJECTIVES: To synthesize the current evidence of maternal point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) in obstetrics. A scoping review was conducted using PubMed, Clinicaltrials.gov, and the Cochrane library from inception through October 2023. METHODS: Studies were eligible for inclusion if they described the use of POCUS among obstetric or postpartum patients. Two authors independently screened all abstracts. Quantitative, qualitative, and mixed-methods studies were eligible for inclusion. Case reports of single cases, review articles, and expert opinion articles were excluded. Studies describing detailed maternal nonobstetric sonograms or maternal first trimester sonograms to confirm viability and rule out ectopic pregnancy were also excluded. Data were tabulated using Microsoft Excel and summarized using a narrative review and descriptive statistics. RESULTS: A total of 689 publications were identified through the search strategy and 12 studies met the inclusion criteria. Nine studies evaluated the use of lung POCUS in obstetrics in different clinical scenarios. Lung ultrasound (LUS) findings in preeclampsia showed an excellent ability to detect pulmonary edema (area under the receiver operating characteristic 0.961) and findings were correlated with clinical evidence of respiratory distress (21 of 57 [37%] versus 14 of 109 [13%]; P = .001). Three studies evaluated abdominal POCUS, two of the inferior vena cava (IVC) to predict postspinal anesthesia hypotension (PSAH) and fluid receptivity and one to assess the rate of ascites in patients with preeclampsia. Patients with PSAH had higher IVC collapsibility (area under the curve = 0.950, P < .001) and, in patients with severe preeclampsia, there is a high rate of ascites (52%) associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes. There were no studies on the use of subjective cardiac POCUS. CONCLUSION: POCUS use in the management of high-risk obstetrics has increased. LUS has been the most studied modality and appears to have a potential role in the setting of preeclampsia complicated by pulmonary edema. Cardiac and abdominal POCUS have not been well studied. Trials are needed to evaluate its clinical applicability, reliability, and technique standardization before widespread use.

Neonatal Outcomes among Fetuses with an Abdominal Circumference <3rd %ile and Estimated Fetal Weight 3rd to 9th %ile Compared to Fetuses with an EFW <3rd %ile.

OBJECTIVE: Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is defined as an estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) <10th percentile (%ile) for gestational age (GA). An EFW <3rd %ile for GA is considered severe FGR (sFGR). It remains unknown if fetuses with isolated AC <3rd %ile should be considered sFGR. Our primary objective was to assess composite neonatal outcomes in fetuses with an AC <3rd %ile and overall EFW 3rd to 9th %ile compared with those with an EFW <3rd %ile. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study was undertaken at a tertiary academic center from January 2016 to December 2021. Inclusion criteria were singleton fetuses with an EFW <3rd %ile (Group 1) or AC <3rd %ile with EFW 3rd to 9th %ile (Group 2) at 28 weeks' gestation or greater. Exclusion criteria were multiple gestations, presence of a major fetal anomaly, resolution of FGR, genetic syndrome, or infection. Composite neonatal outcome was defined by any of the following: neonatal intensive care unit admission >48 hours, necrotizing enterocolitis, sepsis, respiratory distress syndrome, mechanical ventilation, retinopathy of prematurity, seizures, intraventricular hemorrhage, stillbirth, or death before discharge. Small for gestational age (SGA) was defined as birth weight <10th %ile for GA. RESULTS: A total of 743 patients fulfilled our study criteria, with 489 in Group 1 and 254 in Group 2. The composite neonatal outcome occurred in 281 (57.5%) neonates in Group 1 and 53 (20.9%) in Group 2 (p < 0.01). The rates of SGA at birth were 94.9 and 75.6% for Group 1 and Group 2, respectively (OR 5.99, 95% confidence interval 3.65-9.82). CONCLUSION: Although AC <3rd %ile with EFW 3rd to 9th %ile is associated with a lower frequency of SGA and neonatal morbidity than EFW <3 %ile, fetuses with AC <3 %ile still exhibited moderate rates of these adverse perinatal outcomes. Consideration should be given to inclusion of an AC <3rd %ile with EFW 3rd to 9th %ile as a criterion for sFGR. However, prospective studies comparing delivery at 37 versus 38 to 39 weeks' gestation are needed to ensure improved outcomes before widespread adaptation in clinical practice. KEY POINTS: · The composite neonatal outcome occurred in 57.5% of fetuses with an overall EFW <3rd %ile and 20.9% of fetuses with an AC <3rd %ile but EFW 3rd to 9th %ile.. · Both groups demonstrated a high positive predictive value for SGA birth weight.. · Consideration should be given to inclusion of an AC <3rd %ile as a criterion for sFGR..

ChatGPT in maternal-fetal medicine practice: a primer for clinicians.

ChatGPT (Generative Pre-trained Transformer), a language model that was developed by OpenAI and launched in November 2022, generates human-like responses to prompts using deep-learning technology. The integration of large language processing models into healthcare has the potential to improve the accessibility of medical information for both patients and health professionals alike. In this commentary, we demonstrated the ability of ChatGPT to produce patient information sheets. Four board-certified, maternal-fetal medicine attending physicians rated the accuracy and humanness of the information according to 2 predefined scales of accuracy and completeness. The median score for accuracy of information was rated 4.8 on a 6-point scale and the median score for completeness of information was 2.2 on a 3-point scale for the 5 patient information leaflets generated by ChatGPT. Concerns raised included the omission of clinically important information for patient counseling in some patient information leaflets and the inability to verify the source of information because ChatGPT does not provide references. ChatGPT is a powerful tool that has the potential to enhance patient care, but such a tool requires extensive validation and is perhaps best considered as an adjunct to clinical practice rather than as a tool to be used freely by the public for healthcare information.

Infant Mortality Categorized by Birth Weight Percentiles for Deliveries Between 22 and 28 Weeks of Gestation.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to describe infant mortality within 1 year of life according to gestational age and birth weight percentile in infants delivered between 22 and 28 weeks of gestation. STUDY DESIGN: This study was a retrospective cohort study based on publicly available U.S. birth certificate data linked to infant death data between 2014 and 2020. Maternal-neonate pairs of singleton live births between 220/7 and 286/7 weeks' gestation (vaginal or cesarean) were evaluated. We excluded infants with major fetal anomalies, chromosomal disorders, and birth weight outliers. Our primary outcome was infant mortality within 1 year of life. Individuals were categorized into eight sex-specific birth weight percentiles categories: less than the 3rd, 3rd-less than the 10th, 10th-less than the 25th, 25th-to less than the 50th, 50th-less than the 75th, 75th-to less than the 90th, 90th-less than the 97th, and 97th or higher. RESULTS: Of 27,014,444 individuals with live births from January 2014 to December 2020, 151,677 individuals who gave birth at 22 to 28 weeks of gestation were included in the study population. The mortality rate ranged from 4.2% for the 50th-less than the 75th percentiles at 28 weeks to 80.3% for the 3rd-less than the 10th percentile at 22 weeks. Using the 50th-less than the 75th birth weight percentile at each gestational age as a reference group, birth weight less than the 50th percentile was associated with increased mortality at all gestational ages in a dose-dependent manner. From 22 to 25 weeks of gestation, higher birth weight percentiles were associated with lower mortality, while the 97th or higher birth weight percentile was associated with increased mortality compared with the 50th-less than the 75th birth weight percentile at 26 to 28 weeks of gestation. CONCLUSION: The lower birth weight percentiles were associated with higher mortality across all gestational ages, but the association between higher birth weight percentiles and infant mortality exhibited an opposite pattern at 22 to 25 weeks as compared to later gestational age. KEY POINTS: · Birth weight ≥97th percentile was associated with increased infant mortality at 26 to 28 weeks.. · Higher birth weight percentiles were associated with a lower risk of mortality at 22 to 25 weeks.. · Lower birth weight percentiles were associated with a higher risk of mortality at 22 to 28 weeks..

Rate of deterioration of umbilical artery Doppler indices in fetuses with severe early-onset fetal growth restriction.

BACKGROUND: Incorporation of umbilical artery Doppler in the surveillance of fetal growth restriction has been shown to reduce the risk of perinatal deaths. Systole/Diastole ratio, Pulsatility Index and Resistance Index are obtained upon Doppler interrogation of the umbilical artery however it is unknown which index predicts more advanced stages of placental deterioration. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine risk factors for the development of absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity and the time intervals of deterioration from normal umbilical artery end-diastolic velocity (indicated by systole/diastole ratio, pulsatility index, or resistance index) to decreased and absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity in fetuses with early-onset severe fetal growth restriction. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study performed from 2005 to 2020. All singleton pregnancies with severe (estimated fetal weight or abdominal circumference below the third percentile) and early-onset (diagnosed between 20 0/7 and 31 6/7 weeks of gestation) fetal growth restriction were included. Patients with fetal genetic or structural anomalies, suspected congenital infections, absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity at diagnosis, poor pregnancy dating, and absence of follow-up ultrasounds were excluded. Estimated fetal weight, abdominal circumference, and Doppler indices were reviewed longitudinally from diagnosis to delivery. To examine risk factors for absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity, we performed backward stepwise logistic regression and calculated odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Kaplan-Meier curves were compared using log-rank tests. RESULTS: A total of 985 patients met the inclusion criteria, and 79 (8%) progressed to absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity. Factors associated with development of absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity included gestational age at diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio, 4.88 [95% confidence interval, 2.55-9.37] at 20 0/7 to 23 6/7 weeks; adjusted odds ratio, 1.56 [95% confidence interval, 0.86-2.82] at 24 0/7 to 27 6/7 weeks compared with 28 0/7 to 31 6/7 weeks) and presence of chronic hypertension (adjusted odds ratio, 2.37 [95% confidence interval, 1.33-4.23]). Rates of progression from diagnosis of fetal growth restriction with normal umbilical artery Doppler to absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity were significant after 4 weeks from diagnosis (5.84% [95% confidence interval, 4.50-7.57]). Regarding the Doppler indices, the progression from normal values to abnormal indices was similar at 1 and 2 weeks. However, the rate of progression from normal to abnormal systole/diastole ratio compared with the rates of progression from normal to abnormal pulsatility index or resistance index was higher at 4 and 6 weeks. Deterioration from abnormal indices to absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity was shorter with abnormal resistance index and pulsatility index when compared with the systole/diastole ratio at 2, 4, and 6 weeks after diagnosis and at 6 weeks, respectively. CONCLUSION: Earlier gestational age at diagnosis and chronic hypertension are considered as risk factors for Doppler deterioration and development of absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity in the umbilical artery. With normal Doppler indices, significant deterioration and progression to absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity is unlikely until 4 weeks after diagnosis. Abnormal systole/diastole ratio seems to appear first. However, abnormal pulsatility index or resistance index was associated with absent or reversed end-diastolic velocity.

Outcomes of Ultrasound or Physical Examination-Indicated Cerclage according to the Degree of Cervical Dilation.

OBJECTIVE: Pregnancy outcomes of individuals receiving cervical cerclage when the cervix is dilated are not well known. We sought to examine preterm birth rates after ultrasound or physical examination-indicated cerclage placement according to the degree of cervical dilation. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study of individuals with singleton pregnancies undergoing ultrasound or physical examination-indicated cerclage before 240/7 weeks of gestation from 2004 to 2018. Individuals were categorized based on the degree of cervical dilation at the time of cerclage. Our primary outcome was preterm delivery at less than 37 weeks of gestation. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to calculate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95th confidence intervals (95% CI), controlling for predefined covariates. RESULTS: Of 147 individuals undergoing ultrasound or physical examination-indicated cerclage, 90/147 (61%) had a closed or 0.5 cm dilated cervix at the time of cerclage placement, 45/147 (31%) had a cervical dilation of 1 to 2.5 cm, and 12/147 (8%) had a cervical dilation of 3 to 4 cm at the time of placement. Individuals with a cervical dilation of 1 to 2.5 cm compared with those who had a closed cervix did not have increased odds of preterm delivery (58 vs. 42%; aOR: 1.95; 95% CI: 0.93-4.07). However, individuals with a cervical dilation of 3 to 4 cm compared with individuals who had a closed cervix had significantly increased odds of preterm delivery (75 vs. 42%; aOR: 4.33; 95% CI: 1.05-17.77). CONCLUSION: The rate of preterm birth increases with increasing cervical dilation at the time of cerclage placement. However, individuals who have a cerclage placed when the cervix is 1 to 2.5 cm can achieve an outcome that is not significantly different from those who had a cerclage placed when the cervix is closed. KEY POINTS: · Time from cerclage placement to delivery decreases as cervical dilation increases.. · Individuals 1 to 2.5 cm dilated at the time of cerclage can achieve a favorable outcome.. · A cervical dilation of ≥3 cm at cerclage placement was associated with extreme prematurity..

Neonatal and Maternal Outcomes at 22-28 Weeks of Gestation by Mode of Delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To compare neonatal and maternal outcomes after 22- to 28-week delivery between cesarean and vaginal delivery after stratification by gestational age and fetal presentation. METHODS: This study was a repeated cross-sectional analysis using U.S. birth certificate data linked to infant death data from 2017 to 2020. We limited analyses to women with singleton pregnancies who gave birth at 22-28 weeks of gestation and whose neonates were admitted to the intensive care unit. Our primary outcome was neonatal death within 28 days. We also examined infant mortality within 1 year and severe maternal morbidity (SMM; any transfusion, unplanned hysterectomy, and intensive care unit admission). Outcomes were compared between cesarean and vaginal delivery after stratification by gestational age and fetal presentation. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to calculate adjusted odds ratios (vaginal delivery as a referent), controlling for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of 69,672 individuals with eligible deliveries, 1,740 (2.5%) delivered at 22 weeks of gestation, 6,155 (8.8%) delivered at 23 weeks, 9,341 (13.4%) delivered at 24 weeks, 10,516 (15.1%) delivered at 25 weeks, 11,994 (17.2%) delivered at 26 weeks, 13,662 (19.6%) delivered at 27 weeks, and 16,264 (23.3%) delivered at 28 weeks. In cephalic fetuses, cesarean delivery compared with vaginal delivery was associated with neonatal death and infant mortality at 24 weeks of gestation and greater (not significant at 22-23 weeks) and SMM in all gestational age groups. In contrast, in noncephalic fetuses, cesarean delivery compared with vaginal delivery was associated with decreased odds of neonatal death and infant mortality in all gestational age groups. Sample size for SMM in noncephalic fetuses precluded multivariable modeling. CONCLUSION: Cesarean delivery in cephalic fetuses was associated with increased odds of adverse neonatal outcomes (24 weeks of gestation or greater) and SMM (all gestational age groups). Cesarean delivery was associated with decreased odds of neonatal death compared with vaginal delivery for noncephalic fetuses in all gestational age groups.

Infant Outcomes Categorized by Birth Weight Percentile for Deliveries Between 28 and 41 Weeks of Gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between birth weight percentile and severe infant outcomes according to gestational age category. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using publicly available U.S. birth certificate data linked to infant death data from 2017 to 2019. Maternal-neonate pairs of singleton live births between 28 0/7 and 41 6/7 weeks of gestation (vaginal or cesarean delivery) were evaluated. We excluded infants with major fetal anomalies, chromosomal disorders, missing data, and birth weight outliers. The primary outcome was infant mortality within 1 year of life. Neonates were divided into eight sex-specific birth weight percentile categories: less than the 3rd, 3rd-less than the 10th, 10th-less than the 25th, 25th-to less than the 49th, 50th-less than the 75th, 75th-to less than the 90th, 90th-less than the 97th, and 97th or higher. RESULTS: There were 10,459,388 births between 28 and 41 weeks of gestation: 69,793 (0.7%) at 28-31 weeks, 88,673 (0.8%) at 32-33 weeks, 635,904 (6.1%) at 34-36 weeks, 2,763,110 (26.4%) at 37-38 weeks, 6,269,894 (59.9%) at 39-40 weeks, and 632,014 (6.0%) at 41 weeks. Infant mortality during the first year of life significantly increased at higher and lower birth weight percentiles at 28-36 weeks of gestation, with the lowest risk observed at the 50th-less than the 75th percentile. The highest mortality rates were 13.6% at less than the 3rd percentile and 8.4% at the 97th percentile or higher at 28-31 weeks of gestation; the second-highest mortality rates were 7.7% at less than the 3rd percentile and 3.1% at the 97th percentile or higher at 32-33 weeks of gestation. At 34-36 weeks of gestation, the highest and second-highest mortality rates were 3.4% at less than the 3rd percentile and 1.4% at the 3rd-10th percentile. At 37-41 weeks of gestation, infant mortality was associated with lower birth weight percentile, but higher birth weight percentiles were not significantly associated with increased mortality. CONCLUSION: We found different patterns in the association between birth weight percentile and infant mortality depending on gestational age category.

Economic Analysis of Induction versus Elective Cesarean in Term Nulliparas with Supermorbid Obesity.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the economic benefit of the induction of labor compared with elective cesarean delivery in individuals with supermorbid obesity (body mass index 60 kg/m2 or greater) at term. STUDY DESIGN: We developed an economic analysis model to compare induction of labor with elective cesarean delivery in nulliparous individuals with supermorbid obesity at term. The primary outcome was the total cost per strategy from a health system perspective with elective cesarean delivery as a reference group. Pregnancy outcomes for the index and subsequent pregnancies were considered. When available, probabilities of pregnancy outcomes were extracted from our institutions. Rare pregnancy outcomes, relative risks, and costs were derived from the literature. All costs in this analysis were inflated to 2022 USD (U.S. dollar). To determine the robustness of the decision model, we conducted one-way sensitivity analyses by changing point estimates of variables. We then performed a probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation repeating 1,000 times to test the robustness of the results in the setting of simultaneous changes in probabilities, relative risks, and costs. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, assuming that 72.7% of nulliparous individuals undergoing induction of labor would have a cesarean delivery, induction of labor would cost $41,084 compared with $40,742 for elective cesarean delivery, resulting in a higher cost of $342 per nulliparous individuals with supermorbid obesity. In a sensitivity analysis, we found that induction of labor compared with elective cesarean is less economical if the probability of cesarean delivery after induction of labor exceeds 71%. Monte Carlo simulation suggests that elective cesarean delivery was the preferred cost-beneficial strategy with a frequency of 53.5%. CONCLUSION: Among our patient population, induction of labor was less economical compared with elective cesarean delivery at term for nulliparous individuals with supermorbid obesity. KEY POINTS: · The prevalence of obesity in the United States continues to rise.. · Morbid obesity compared with normal weight is associated with increased risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes.. · Induction of labor was less economical compared with elective cesarean delivery at term for nulliparous individuals..

An Externally Validated Model to Predict Prolonged Induction of Labor with an Unfavorable Cervix.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and externally validate a prediction model to calculate the likelihood of prolonged induction of labor (induction start to delivery time > 36 hours). STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study of all nulliparous women with singleton pregnancies and vertex presentation at term who underwent induction of labor and had a vaginal delivery at a single academic center. Women with contraindications for vaginal delivery were excluded. Analyses were limited to women with unfavorable cervix (both simplified Bishop score [dilation, station, and effacement: range 0-9] <6 and cervical dilation <3 cm). Prolonged induction of labor was defined as the duration of induction (induction start time to delivery) longer than 36 hours. A backward stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors associated with prolonged induction of labor by considering maternal characteristics and comorbidities as well as fetal conditions. The final model was validated using an external dataset of the Consortium on Safe Labor after applying the same inclusion and exclusion criteria. We developed a receiver observer characteristic curve with area under the curve (AUC) in validation cohorts. RESULTS: Of 2,118 women, 364 (17%) had prolonged induction of labor. Factors associated with prolonged induction of labor included body mass index at admission, hypertension, fetal conditions, and epidural. Factors including younger maternal age, prelabor rupture of membranes, and a more favorable simplified Bishop score were associated with a decreased likelihood of prolonged induction of labor. In the external validation cohort, 4,418 women were analyzed, of whom 188 (4%) had prolonged induction of labor. The AUC of the final model was 0.76 (95% confidence interval: 0.73-0.80) for the external validation cohort. The online calculator was created and is available at: https://medstarapps.org/obstetricriskcalculator. CONCLUSION: Our externally validated model was efficient in predicting prolonged induction of labor with an unfavorable cervix. KEY POINTS: · The number of inductions of labor at 39 weeks' gestation and beyond has been increasing.. · Our model had a good prediction of prolonged induction of labor.. · An online calculator has been created and available..