Physician Financial Incentives to Reduce Unplanned Hospital Readmissions: A Propensity Score Weighted Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Unplanned hospital readmissions are associated with adverse patient outcomes and substantial healthcare costs. It remains unknown whether physician financial incentives for enhanced discharge planning can reduce readmission risk. METHODS: In 2012, policymakers in British Columbia, Canada, introduced a $75 fee-for-service physician payment to incentivize enhanced discharge planning (the "G78717" fee code). We used population-based administrative health data to compare outcomes among G78717-exposed and G78717-unexposed patients. We identified all nonelective hospitalizations potentially eligible for the incentive over a 5-year study interval. We examined the composite risk of unplanned readmission or death and total direct healthcare costs accrued within 30 days of discharge. Propensity score overlap weights and adjustment were used to account for differences between exposed and unexposed patients. RESULTS: A total of 5262 of 24,787 G78717-exposed and 28,096 of 136,541 unexposed patients experienced subsequent unplanned readmission or death, suggesting exposure to the G78717 incentive did not reduce the risk of adverse outcomes after discharge (crude percent, 21.1% vs 20.6%; adjusted odds ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.93-1.01; P = .23). Mean direct healthcare costs within 30 days of discharge were $3082 and $2993, respectively (adjusted cost ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.95-1.05; P = .93). CONCLUSIONS: A physician financial incentive that encouraged enhanced hospital discharge planning did not reduced the risk of readmission or death, and did not significantly decrease direct healthcare costs. Policymakers should consider the baseline prevalence and effectiveness of enhanced discharge planning, the magnitude and design of financial incentives, and whether auditing of incentivized activities is required when implementing similar incentives elsewhere. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID, NCT03256734.

Patient-Physician Sex Discordance and "Before Medically Advised" Discharge from Hospital: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patient-physician sex discordance (when patient sex does not match physician sex) has been associated with reduced clinical rapport and adverse outcomes including post-operative mortality and unplanned hospital readmission. It remains unknown whether patient-physician sex discordance is associated with "before medically advised" hospital discharge (BMA discharge; commonly known as discharge "against medical advice"). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether patient-physician sex discordance is associated with BMA discharge. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using 15 years (2002-2017) of linked population-based administrative health data for all non-elective, non-obstetrical acute care hospitalizations from British Columbia, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: All individuals with eligible hospitalizations during study interval. MAIN MEASURES: Exposure: patient-physician sex discordance. OUTCOMES: BMA discharge (primary), 30-day hospital readmission or death (secondary). RESULTS: We identified 1,926,118 eligible index hospitalizations, 2.6% of which ended in BMA discharge. Among male patients, sex discordance was associated with BMA discharge (crude rate, 4.0% vs 2.9%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.08; 95%CI 1.03-1.14; p = 0.003). Among female patients, sex discordance was not associated with BMA discharge (crude rate, 2.0% vs 2.3%; aOR 1.02; 95%CI 0.96-1.08; p = 0.557). Compared to patient-physician sex discordance, younger patient age, prior substance use, and prior BMA discharge all had stronger associations with BMA discharge. CONCLUSIONS: Patient-physician sex discordance was associated with a small increase in BMA discharge among male patients. This finding may reflect communication gaps, differences in the care provided by male and female physicians, discriminatory attitudes among male patients, or residual confounding. Improved communication and better treatment of pain and opioid withdrawal may reduce BMA discharge.

Population-Based Trends in Complexity of Hospital Inpatients.

Importance: Clinical experience suggests that hospital inpatients have become more complex over time, but few studies have evaluated this impression. Objective: To assess whether there has been an increase in measures of hospital inpatient complexity over a 15-year period. Design, Setting and Participants: This cohort study used population-based administrative health data from nonelective hospitalizations from April 1, 2002, to January 31, 2017, to describe trends in the complexity of inpatients in British Columbia, Canada. Hospitalizations were included for individuals 18 years and older and for which the most responsible diagnosis did not correspond to pregnancy, childbirth, the puerperal period, or the perinatal period. Data analysis was performed from July to November 2023. Exposure: The passage of time (15-year study interval). Main Outcomes and Measures: Measures of complexity included patient characteristics at the time of admission (eg, advanced age, multimorbidity, polypharmacy, recent hospitalization), features of the index hospitalization (eg, admission via the emergency department, multiple acute medical problems, use of intensive care, prolonged length of stay, in-hospital adverse events, in-hospital death), and 30-day outcomes after hospital discharge (eg, unplanned readmission, all-cause mortality). Logistic regression was used to estimate the relative change in each measure of complexity over the entire 15-year study interval. Results: The final study cohort included 3 367 463 nonelective acute care hospital admissions occurring among 1 272 444 unique individuals (median [IQR] age, 66 [48-79] years; 49.1% female and 50.8% male individuals). Relative to the beginning of the study interval, inpatients at the end of the study interval were more likely to have been admitted via the emergency department (odds ratio [OR], 2.74; 95% CI, 2.71-2.77), to have multimorbidity (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.47-1.53) and polypharmacy (OR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.78-1.85) at presentation, to receive treatment for 5 or more acute medical issues (OR, 2.06; 95% CI, 2.02-2.09), and to experience an in-hospital adverse event (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.19-1.22). The likelihood of an intensive care unit stay and of in-hospital death declined over the study interval (OR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.97, and OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.80-0.83, respectively), but the risks of unplanned readmission and death in the 30 days after discharge increased (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.12-1.16, and OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.25-1.31, respectively). Conclusions and Relevance: By most measures, hospital inpatients have become more complex over time. Health system planning should account for these trends.

Syncope and Traffic Crash: A Population-Based Case-Crossover Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Among individuals with recent syncope, recurrence of syncope while driving might incapacitate a driver and cause a motor vehicle crash. Current driving restrictions assume that some forms of syncope transiently increase crash risk. We evaluated whether syncope is associated with a transient increase in crash risk. METHODS: We performed a case-crossover analysis of linked administrative health and driving data from British Columbia, Canada (2010 to 2015). We included licensed drivers who visited an emergency department with "syncope and collapse" and who were involved as a driver in an eligible motor vehicle crash, both within the study interval. Using conditional logistic regression, we compared the rate of emergency visits for syncope in the 28 days before crash (the "pre-crash interval") with the rate of emergency visits for syncope in 3 self-matched 28-day control intervals (ending 6, 12, and 18 months before the crash). RESULTS: Among eligible crash-involved drivers, 47 of 3026 pre-crash intervals and 112 of 9078 control intervals had emergency visits for syncope, indicating syncope was not significantly associated with subsequent crash (1.6% vs 1.2%; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90-1.79; P = 0.18). There was no significant association between syncope and crash in subgroups at higher risk for adverse outcomes after syncope (eg, age > 65 years, cardiovascular disease, cardiac syncope). CONCLUSIONS: In the context of prevailing modifications of driving behaviour after syncope, an emergency department visit for syncope did not transiently increase the risk of subsequent traffic collision. Overall crash risks after syncope appear to be adequately addressed by current driving restrictions.

Syncope While Driving and the Risk of a Subsequent Motor Vehicle Crash.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Syncope that occurs while driving can result in a motor vehicle crash. Whether individuals with a prior syncope-related crash exhibit an exceptional risk of subsequent crash remains uncertain. METHODS: We performed a population-based retrospective observational study of patients diagnosed with 'syncope and collapse' at any of 6 emergency departments in British Columbia, Canada (2010 to 2015). Data were obtained from chart abstraction, administrative health records, insurance claims and police crash reports. We compared crash-free survival among individuals with crash-associated syncope (a crash and an emergency visit for syncope on the same date) to that among controls with syncope alone (no crash on date of emergency visit for syncope). RESULTS: In the year following their index emergency visit, 13 of 63 drivers with crash-associated syncope and 852 of 9,160 controls with syncope alone experienced a subsequent crash as a driver (crash risk 21% versus 9%). After accounting for censoring and potential confounders, crash-associated syncope was not associated with a significant increase in the risk of subsequent crash (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78 to 2.47). Individuals with crash-associated syncope were 31-fold more likely to have physician driving advice documented during their index visit (prevalence ratio 31.0, 95% CI, 21.3 to 45.1). In the subgroup without documented driving advice, crash-associated syncope was associated with a significant increase in subsequent crash risk (aHR 1.88, 95% CI 1.06 to 3.36). CONCLUSIONS: Crash risk after crash-associated syncope appears similar to crash risk after syncope alone.

Physician Financial Incentives for Use of Outpatient Intravenous Antimicrobial Therapy: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

BACKGROUND: In 2011, policymakers in British Columbia introduced a fee-for-service payment to incentivize infectious diseases physicians to supervise outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy (OPAT). Whether this policy increased use of OPAT remains uncertain. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using population-based administrative data over a 14-year period (2004-2018). We focused on infections that required intravenous antimicrobials for ≥10 days (eg, osteomyelitis, joint infection, endocarditis) and used the monthly proportion of index hospitalizations with a length of stay shorter than the guideline-recommended "usual duration of intravenous antimicrobials" (LOS < UDIVA) as a surrogate for population-level OPAT use. We used interrupted time series analysis to determine whether policy introduction increased the proportion of hospitalizations with LOS < UDIVA. RESULTS: We identified 18 513 eligible hospitalizations. In the pre-policy period, 82.3% of hospitalizations exhibited LOS < UDIVA. Introduction of the incentive was not associated with a change in the proportion of hospitalizations with LOS < UDIVA, suggesting that the policy intervention did not increase OPAT use (step change, -0.06%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -2.69% to 2.58%; P = .97 and slope change, -0.001% per month; 95% CI, -.056% to .055%; P = .98). CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of a financial incentive for physicians did not appear to increase OPAT use. Policymakers should consider modifying the incentive design or addressing organizational barriers to expanded OPAT use.

Syncope and subsequent traffic crash: A responsibility analysis.

BACKGROUND: Physicians are often asked to counsel patients about driving safety after syncope, yet little empirical data guides such advice. METHODS: We identified a population-based retrospective cohort of 9,507 individuals with a driver license who were discharged from any of six urban emergency departments (EDs) with a diagnosis of 'syncope and collapse'. We examined all police-reported crashes that involved a cohort member as a driver and occurred between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2016. We categorized crash-involved drivers as 'responsible' or 'non-responsible' for their crash using detailed police-reported crash data and a validated responsibility scoring tool. We then used logistic regression to test the hypothesis that recent syncope was associated with driver responsibility for crash. RESULTS: Over the 7-year study interval, cohort members were involved in 475 police-reported crashes: 210 drivers were deemed responsible and 133 drivers were deemed non-responsible for their crash; the 132 drivers deemed to have indeterminate responsibility were excluded from further analysis. An ED visit for syncope occurred in the three months leading up to crash in 11 crash-responsible drivers and in 5 crash-non-responsible drivers, suggesting that recent syncope was not associated with driver responsibility for crash (adjusted odds ratio, 1.31; 95%CI, 0.40-4.74; p = 0.67). However, all drivers with cardiac syncope were deemed responsible, precluding calculation of an odds ratio for this important subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Recent syncope was not significantly associated with driver responsibility for traffic crash. Clinicians and policymakers should consider these results when making fitness-to-drive recommendations after syncope.

Syncope and the Risk of Subsequent Motor Vehicle Crash: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

Importance: Medical driving restrictions are burdensome, yet syncope recurrence while driving can cause a motor vehicle crash (MVC). Few empirical data inform current driving restrictions after syncope. Objective: To examine MVC risk among patients visiting the emergency department (ED) after first-episode syncope. Design, Setting, and Participants: A population-based, retrospective observational cohort study of MVC risk after first-episode syncope was performed in British Columbia, Canada. Patients visiting any of 6 urban EDs for syncope and collapse were age- and sex-matched to 4 control patients visiting the same ED in the same month for a condition other than syncope. Patients' ED medical records were linked to administrative health records, driving history, and detailed crash reports. Crash-free survival among individuals with syncope was then compared with that among matched control patients. Data analyses were performed from May 2020 to March 2022. Exposures: Initial ED visit for syncope. Main Outcomes and Measures: Involvement as a driver in an MVC in the year following the index ED visit. Crashes were identified using insurance claim data and police crash reports. Results: The study cohort included 43 589 patients (9223 patients with syncope and 34 366 controls; median [IQR] age, 54 [35-72] years; 22 360 [51.3%] women; 5033 [11.5%] rural residents). At baseline, crude MVC incidence rates among both the syncope and control groups were higher than among the general population (12.2, 13.2, and 8.2 crashes per 100 driver-years, respectively). In the year following index ED visit, 846 first crashes occurred in the syncope group and 3457 first crashes occurred in the control group, indicating no significant difference in subsequent MVC risk (9.2% vs 10.1%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.93; 95% CI, 0.87-1.01; P = .07). Subsequent crash risk among patients with syncope was not significantly increased in the first 30 days after index ED visit (aHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.84-1.36; P = .56) or among subgroups at higher risk of adverse events after syncope (eg, age >65 years; cardiogenic syncope; Canadian Syncope Risk Score ≥1). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this population-based retrospective cohort study suggest that patients visiting the ED with first-episode syncope exhibit a subsequent crash risk no different than the average ED patient. More stringent driving restrictions after syncope may not be warranted.

Restrained eating and alcohol use: Testing drinking to cope and impulsivity as moderators.

The association between restrained eating and alcohol use remains poorly understood among undergraduates. Consistent with tension reduction theory, individuals with disordered eating may be motivated to drink alcohol to cope with negative emotionality. Perhaps what pushes them to drink despite restriction goals is impulsivity. The combined impact of drinking to cope and impulsivity on the theoretically complex link between restrained eating and alcohol outcomes has not been previously examined. The current study tested the moderating effect of drinking to cope and impulsivity on the association between restrained eating and alcohol use and problems. Undergraduates (N = 1,619) self-reported on eating disorder symptoms, alcohol use motives, impulsivity, and alcohol outcomes. A moderation model revealed that restrained eating predicted past 30-day alcohol use, but only for women high in both drinking to cope and impulsivity. These findings help characterize alcohol misuse risk among young adults who restrict their eating, thereby, results may inform interventions.

Neighborhood Socioeconomic Deprivation and Youth Assault Injuries in Vancouver, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the degree to which neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation influences the risk of youth assault injury. STUDY DESIGN: Population-based retrospective study of youth aged 10-24 years seeking emergency medical care between 2012 and 2019 at 14 hospitals in Vancouver, Canada. Neighborhood material and social deprivation were examined as independent predictors of assault injury, accounting for spatial autocorrelation and controlling for neighborhood drinking establishment density. RESULTS: Our data included 4166 assault injuries among 3817 youth. Male sex, substance use, and mental health disorders were common among victims of assault. Relative to the least deprived quintile of neighborhoods, assault injury risk was 2-fold higher in the most materially deprived quintile of neighborhoods (incidence rate ratio per quintile increase, 1.17; 95% CI 1.06-1.30; P < .05), and risk in the most socially deprived quintile was more than 3-fold greater than in the least deprived quintile (incidence rate ratio per quintile increase, 1.35; 95% CI 1.21-1.50; P < .001). Assault risk was 147-fold greater between 2 and 3 AM on Saturday relative to the safest hours of the week. CONCLUSIONS: Neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation substantially increases the risk of youth assault injury. Youth violence prevention efforts should target socioeconomically deprived neighborhoods.

Prescription opioid use among drivers in British Columbia, 1997-2016.

BACKGROUND: Opioids increase the risk of traffic crash by limiting coordination, slowing reflexes, impairing concentration and producing drowsiness. The epidemiology of prescription opioid use among drivers remains uncertain. We aimed to examine population-based trends and geographical variation in drivers' prescription opioid consumption. METHODS: We linked 20 years of province-wide driving records to comprehensive population-based prescription data for all drivers in British Columbia (Canada). We calculated age- and sex-standardised rates of prescription opioid consumption. We assessed temporal trends using segmented linear regression and examined regional variation in prescription opioid use using maps and graphical techniques. RESULTS: A total of 46 million opioid prescriptions were filled by 3.0 million licensed drivers between 1997 and 2016. In 2016 alone, 14.7% of all drivers filled at least one opioid prescription. Prescription opioid use increased from 238 morphine milligram equivalents per driver year (MMEs/DY) in 1997 to a peak of 834 MMEs/DY in 2011. Increases in MMEs/DY were greatest for higher potency and long-acting prescription opioids. The interquartile range of prescription opioid dispensation by geographical region increased from 97 (Q1=220, Q3=317) to 416 (Q1=591, Q3=1007) MMEs/DY over the study interval. IMPLICATIONS: Patterns of prescription opioid consumption among drivers demonstrate substantial temporal and geographical variation, suggesting they may be modified by clinical and policy interventions. Interventions to curtail use of potentially impairing prescription medications might prevent impaired driving.